Wind Advisory 15, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WWUS73 KICT 011547
NPWICT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1047 AM CDT WED APR 1 2009

KSZ069-083-092-093-020000-
/O.NEW.KICT.WI.Y.0016.090401T1547Z-090401T2100Z/
/O.CON.KICT.WI.Y.0015.090402T0500Z-090402T1500Z/
BUTLER-SEDGWICK-SUMNER-COWLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EL DORADO...AUGUSTA...WICHITA...
WELLINGTON...WINFIELD...ARKANSAS CITY
1047 AM CDT WED APR 1 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM
CDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. A
WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM
CDT THURSDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TODAY.
THIS HAS RESULTED IN STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ACROSS PARTS 
OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AT MIDDAY...WHICH WILL CONTINUE INTO THE 
AFTERNOON.

BY TONIGHT...INTENSE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS 
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. NORTH OF THE SURFACE LOW...STRONG NORTH AND
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. 
SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 30 AND 35 MPH WILL BE COMMON WITH SOME
GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 30 MPH
AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED.  WINDS THIS STRONG
CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

KSZ049>053-067-068-082-091-020000-
/O.CON.KICT.WI.Y.0015.090402T0500Z-090402T1500Z/
SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-RENO-HARVEY-KINGMAN-HARPER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SALINA...LYONS...MCPHERSON...MARION...
COTTONWOOD FALLS...HUTCHINSON...NEWTON...KINGMAN...ANTHONY...
HARPER
1047 AM CDT WED APR 1 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM
CDT THURSDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM
CDT THURSDAY. 

INTENSE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
TONIGHT. NORTH OF THE SURFACE LOW...STRONG NORTH AND NORTHEAST
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED
WINDS BETWEEN 30 AND 35 MPH WILL BE COMMON WITH SOME GUSTS AROUND
45 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 30 MPH
AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED.  WINDS THIS STRONG
CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

KED

000 
WWUS73 KICT 012017
NPWICT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
317 PM CDT WED APR 1 2009

KSZ069-083-092-093-020430-
/O.CAN.KICT.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-090401T2100Z/
/O.EXT.KICT.WI.Y.0015.090402T0500Z-090402T1600Z/
BUTLER-SEDGWICK-SUMNER-COWLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EL DORADO...AUGUSTA...WICHITA...
WELLINGTON...WINFIELD...ARKANSAS CITY
317 PM CDT WED APR 1 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED FOR THIS AFTERNOON...

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM CDT
THURSDAY...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY FOR THIS AFTERNOON. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT 
FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM CDT THURSDAY.

LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THIS
EVENING. BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...THE INTENSE SURFACE LOW 
PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. NORTH OF THE 
SURFACE LOW...STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 30 AND 35
MPH WILL BE COMMON WITH SOME GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 30 MPH
AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED.  WINDS THIS STRONG
CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

KSZ049-012130-
/O.CAN.KICT.WI.Y.0015.090402T0500Z-090402T1500Z/
SALINE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SALINA
317 PM CDT WED APR 1 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING...AND WILL COMBINE WITH AREAS OF SNOW. 
THEREFORE THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED AND WILL BE 
REPLACED BY A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE COMBINATION OF
SNOW AND GUSTY WINDS.

$$

KSZ050>053-067-068-082-091-020430-
/O.EXT.KICT.WI.Y.0015.090402T0500Z-090402T1600Z/
RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-RENO-HARVEY-KINGMAN-HARPER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LYONS...MCPHERSON...MARION...
COTTONWOOD FALLS...HUTCHINSON...NEWTON...KINGMAN...ANTHONY...
HARPER
317 PM CDT WED APR 1 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM CDT
THURSDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM
CDT THURSDAY. 

INTENSE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA 
LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. TO THE NORTH OF THE SURFACE
LOW...STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 30 AND 35 MPH WILL
BE COMMON WITH SOME GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 30 MPH
AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED.  WINDS THIS STRONG
CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

KED/ADK

000 
WWUS73 KICT 012039
NPWICT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
339 PM CDT WED APR 1 2009

KSZ050>053-067>069-082-083-091>093-021000-
/O.CON.KICT.WI.Y.0015.090402T0500Z-090402T1600Z/
RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-
HARPER-SUMNER-COWLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LYONS...MCPHERSON...MARION...
COTTONWOOD FALLS...HUTCHINSON...NEWTON...EL DORADO...AUGUSTA...
KINGMAN...WICHITA...ANTHONY...HARPER...WELLINGTON...WINFIELD...
ARKANSAS CITY
339 PM CDT WED APR 1 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM
CDT THURSDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM
CDT THURSDAY. 

INTENSE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. TO THE NORTH OF THE SURFACE
LOW...STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY MIDNIGHT AND
PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS
BETWEEN 30 AND 35 MPH WILL BE COMMON WITH SOME GUSTS AROUND 45
MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 30 MPH
AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED.  WINDS THIS STRONG
CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

ADK

000 
WWUS73 KICT 020822
NPWICT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
322 AM CDT THU APR 2 2009

KSZ050>053-067>069-082-083-091>093-021600-
/O.CON.KICT.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-090402T1600Z/
RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-
HARPER-SUMNER-COWLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LYONS...MCPHERSON...MARION...
COTTONWOOD FALLS...HUTCHINSON...NEWTON...EL DORADO...AUGUSTA...
KINGMAN...WICHITA...ANTHONY...HARPER...WELLINGTON...WINFIELD...
ARKANSAS CITY
322 AM CDT THU APR 2 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING. 

INTENSE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
THIS MORNING. TO THE NORTH OF THE SURFACE LOW...STRONG NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 30 AND 35 MPH WILL BE COMMON WITH
SOME GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 30 MPH
AND/OR WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED.  WINDS THIS STRONG
CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
COX

000 
WWUS73 KICT 021506
NPWICT

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1006 AM CDT THU APR 2 2009

KSZ050>053-067>069-082-083-091>093-021615-
/O.CAN.KICT.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-090402T1600Z/
RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-
HARPER-SUMNER-COWLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LYONS...MCPHERSON...MARION...
COTTONWOOD FALLS...HUTCHINSON...NEWTON...EL DORADO...AUGUSTA...
KINGMAN...WICHITA...ANTHONY...HARPER...WELLINGTON...WINFIELD...
ARKANSAS CITY
1006 AM CDT THU APR 2 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

NORTHERLY WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS AND ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS FOR THE REMAINDER OF
TODAY. THEREFORE THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

JMC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
316 AM CDT WED APR 1 2009

.DISCUSSION...

THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL BE THE TONIGHT
AND THURSDAY MORNING SYSTEM FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT STORM THIS
WEEKEND.

TODAY:
LATEST WATER VAPOR LOOP IS SHOWING A VERY STRONG POTENTIAL VORTICITY
(PV) ANOMALY DIVING INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. BEHIND THIS PV
ANOMALY...THE ACARS PROFILERS WERE SHOWING AROUND 165KT JET STREAK
DIVING SOUTH THROUGH WASHINGTON AND OREGON. THIS IS ABOUT 15KTS
GREATER THAN WHAT THE MODELS ARE PROGGING AT THIS HOUR. AS A
RESULT...WE ARE LOOKING AT A MORE INTENSE SYSTEM DEVELOPING THAN
WHAT WAS PROGGED EARLIER. THIS WILL REALLY CAUSE OUR LEE SIDE TROF
TO STRENGTHEN THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE HIGH PLAINS WHICH WILL
INCREASE OUR SOUTH WINDS IN HURRY. IN FACT...WE COULD BE FLIRTING
WITH WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES
WILL BE ON THE MILD SIDE TODAY WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE 60S.
CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS TO BE ON TRACK WITH REGARDS TO
TEMPERATURES.

TONIGHT-THURSDAY:
THIS TIMEFRAME WAS A TOUGH CALL ESPECIALLY WITH REGARDS TO
PRECIPITATION TYPE AND HIGH WIND POTENTIAL. WE FAVORED MORE OF THE
GFS/NAM/SREF SOLUTIONS WITH REGARDS TO THE POSITION AND STRENGTH OF
THE UPPER LEVEL WAVE...BASED ON THE CURRENT TRENDS. THESE MODELS ARE
ALL SHOWING THIS SYSTEM SLOWING DOWN A BIT MORE THAN EARLIER RUNS.
THIS COMBINED WITH STRONGER JET DYNAMICS WILL FAVOR A SLOWER AND
TIGHTER BAROCLINIC ZONE MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL KANSAS OVERNIGHT. THE
NAM IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN SHOWING VERY STRONG VERTICAL MOTION
ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED BETWEEN 700 AND 600MB WHICH IS
THE LAYER WHERE THE BEST SNOW GROWTH POTENTIAL WILL EXIST. THE MAIN
QUESTION IS WHETHER THE BOUNDARY LAYER CAN COOL OFF ENOUGH TO CAUSE
THINGS TO CHANGEOVER TO SNOW. RIGHT NOW...WE FEEL THAT THIS IS
CERTAINLY PLAUSIBLE DUE TO GOOD DIABATIC COOLING EFFECTS. IF THIS
OCCURS...WE ARE AT LEAST 50 PERCENT CONFIDENT THAT PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL KANSAS WILL SEE SNOW AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES BY DAYBREAK.
WE ARE EVEN MORE CONFIDENT THAT WIND SPEEDS WILL REALLY CRANK UP
LATE TONIGHT AFTER THE SURFACE TROF PIVOTS THROUGH THE AREA. THESE
STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH THE FALLING SNOW WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS
DRIVING CONDITIONS. AS A RESULT...WE WENT AHEAD AND ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL KANSAS AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH A
WIND ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WELL.
BOTH OF THESE ADVISORIES WILL BE IN EFFECT UNTIL 15Z THURSDAY. THE
SNOW SHOULD BEGIN TO TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES OVER CENTRAL KANSAS
DURING THE MORNING. THIS BAROCLINIC ZONE MAY CONTINUE TO SHIFT
EAST THROUGH THE MORNING...BUT IT MAY LOSE SOME OF ITS PUNCH.
THEREFORE...WE ARE THINKING THAT IT MAY BE MORE OF THE LIQUID TYPE
OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS. IT ALSO CONTINUE TO BE
QUITE WINDY AND COOL DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

THURSDAY NIGHT-FRIDAY NIGHT:
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE AT THIS POINT DUE TO THE SURFACE
HIGH DOMINATING THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THE SOUTH WINDS
WILL CRANK UP AGAIN ON FRIDAY AS THE LEE SIDE TROF STRENGTHENS OVER
THE ROCKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE RATHER MILD ON FRIDAY WITH HIGHS
MAINLY IN THE 60S.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY:
THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THE NEXT SYSTEM TAKING A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK
THAN ITS PREDECESSOR. AS A RESULT...THIS WILL ALLOW US TO BE IN
THE WARM SECTOR THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON SATURDAY. THE MAIN
QUESTION STILL RESIDES ON HOW MUCH MOISTURE WILL RETURN WITH THIS
NEXT WAVE. THE ECMWF CONTINUES TO BE THE MORE PESSIMISTIC SOLUTION
IN BRINGING UP THE GULF MOISTURE WHILE THE GFS IS QUITE A BIT MORE
OPTIMISTIC WITH MIXED LAYER CAPES NEAR 1000 J/KG SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE. BOTH MODELS ARE STILL SHOWING
GOOD SHEAR POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS...BUT THE MOISTURE AT THIS
POINTS LOOKS LIKE TO BE VERY MARGINAL. WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE HOW
THINGS EVOLVE AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES.

COX

&&

.AVIATION...06Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU
ALL 5 TERMINALS TO REMAIN IN VFR STATUS THROUGH 02/00Z. HOWEVER AN
INTENSIFYING MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS STILL PROGGED TO DROP ALMOST
DUE S FROM THE NRN ROCKIES WED. REACHING THE OK/TX PANHANDLES EARLY
WED EVENING (02/00Z) THE DISTURBANCE WILL INDUCE INTENSE & RAPID
SFC CYCLOGENESIS OVER OK/TX PANHANDLE VICINITY WED AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL IN TURN INDUCE S/SE WINDS TO STRENGTHEN ACROSS KS BY 02/17Z
WITH 17-22KTS/20-25MPH SUSTAINED IN MOST AREAS BY 02/17Z PRIMARILY
ACROSS SC & SE KS WHERE GUSTS OF 26-30KTS/30-35MPH ARE BEGINNING
TO APPEAR POSSIBLE. THE SFC LOW SHOULD STRENGTHEN EVEN FURTHER WED
EVENING AS IT SURGES SE ACROSS THE WRN RED RIVER. THIS WILL INDUCE
LWR-DECK FLOW TO BACK TOWARD THE NE & SET STAGE FOR WIDESPREAD RAIN
EVENT OVER ESPECIALLY CNTRL KS DURING 02/00Z-02/06Z OUTLOOK PERIOD.
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT LOW-END MVFR & PERHAPS EVEN IFR CIGS & VSBYS
MAY OVERSPREAD KSLN & KRSL TERMINALS BY 02/06Z. SHRA & A FEW TSRA
ARE POSSIBLE OVER SC & SE KS DURING THIS LATTER PERIOD. STAY TUNED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    64  39  51  34 /  10  60  40   0
HUTCHINSON      62  35  51  34 /  10  70  40   0
NEWTON          61  38  51  34 /  10  60  40   0
ELDORADO        62  40  50  34 /  10  60  50   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   64  42  52  35 /  10  60  50   0
RUSSELL         58  31  51  32 /  10  80  20   0
GREAT BEND      60  32  51  33 /  10  80  20   0
SALINA          58  33  51  33 /  10  80  40   0
MCPHERSON       61  35  51  33 /  10  70  40   0
COFFEYVILLE     66  45  52  35 /  10  60  70   0
CHANUTE         64  44  50  34 /  10  60  60   0
IOLA            63  43  50  33 /  10  60  60   0
PARSONS-KPPF    65  45  51  34 /  10  60  60   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR
KSZ049>053-067>069-082-083-091>093.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM CDT
THURSDAY FOR KSZ032-033-047-048.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
445 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-012145-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
445 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER INDEX IS EXPECTED TO BE HIGH TO VERY
HIGH ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...DUE
TO STOUT SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND MOSTLY DRY FUELS.

A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SPREADING WIDESPREAD RAIN AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE
SMALL HAIL ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS. FURTHER NORTHWEST ACROSS
CENTRAL KANSAS...IT NOW APPEARS ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE...GENERALLY NORTHWEST OF A SALINA TO GREAT BEND LINE.
WHILE A MAJOR WINTER STORM IS NOT ANTICIPATED...ACCUMULATIONS OF
1 TO 3 INCHES APPEAR POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING. STAY TUNED...AS THERE STILL REMAINS SOME
UNCERTAINTY SURROUNDING THIS WEATHER SYSTEM.

ANOTHER POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ONTO THE PLAINS
STATES SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...WHICH SHOULD HELP TRIGGER
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF A DRY LINE AND COLD
FRONT. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT THERE REMAINS SOME
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING MOISTURE AVAILABILITY AND SUBSEQUENT
INSTABILITY. STAY TUNED.

FINALLY...THE GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER INDEX IS EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE HIGH OR VERY HIGH CATEGORY FROM THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...DUE
TO WINDY CONDITIONS AND CONTINUED MOSTLY DRY FUELS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

REC/ADK