River Flood Warning 3, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WGUS83 KICT 191430
FLSICT
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 
930 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN KANSAS...

  CHIKASKIA RIVER NEAR CORBIN AFFECTING SUMNER COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS OR GO AROUND 
BARRICADES. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED.

&&

KSC191-200230-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0003.090419T1800Z-090420T0600Z/
/CBNK1.1.ER.090419T1800Z.090419T1800Z.090419T1800Z.NO/
930 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHIKASKIA RIVER NEAR CORBIN.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS CAN BE 
  EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTH BANK.

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED
  CORBIN          10.0   9.3 SUN 09 AM    4.6    3.2    3.0

$$

000 
WGUS83 KICT 191931
FLSICT
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 
231 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
KANSAS...
 
  CHIKASKIA RIVER NEAR CORBIN AFFECTING SUMNER COUNTY.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS OR GO AROUND 
BARRICADES. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED.

&&

KSC191-192001-
/O.CAN.KICT.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-090420T0600Z/
/CBNK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
231 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CHIKASKIA RIVER NEAR CORBIN.
* AT  2:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9.7 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL TO 4.4 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS CAN BE 
  EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTH BANK.

&&


                  FLD    OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION          STG    STG  DAY TIME    MON    TUE    WED
  CORBIN          10.0   9.6 SUN 02 PM    4.4    3.2    3.0

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
633 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2009

.AVIATION...12Z TAFS...KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU
RAIN SHIELD WILL EXIT THE CNU TERMINAL BY AROUND 16Z OR SO...AS
POWERFUL UPPER LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO MISSOURI. COULD SEE
LOCALIZED POCKETS OF 4-5 SM VSBYS IN MODERATE/HEAVY RAIN AT CNU.
ALSO...CANNOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE...BUT THINKING
CHANCES ARE TOO LOW TO WARRANT MENTION IN CNU TAF. IFR/MVFR CIGS
WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE/LIFT FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS MORNING...AS
DRIER AIR FILTERS SOUTHEAST. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TODAY...BUT WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING.

ADK

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 324 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2009/

DISCUSSION...

FORECAST CONCERNS WILL BE ENDING OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED STORMS
EARLY TODAY..THEN MAINLY TEMPS FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK.

TODAY:
MAIN UPPER LOW FINALLY MAKING SOME PROGRESS TO THE EAST EARLY TODAY
AS AN OPEN TROUGH.  SHRA AND EMBEDDED TSRA CONTINUE ON THE BACKSIDE
OF THE UPPER LOW AS WARM SECTOR AND ISENTROPIC LIFT WRAP SOME PRECIP
INTO THE NW SIDE OF THE LOW WITH THE MAIN DEFORMATION ZONE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL KS. SHORT RANGE MODELS HANDLING THIS AREA
OF SHRA PRETTY WELL...WITH THIS AREA OF SHRA MAKING SLOW PROGRESS TO
THE EAST DURING THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS. WILL ALSO
CONTINUE TO MENTION SOME ISOLATED TSRA UNTIL THIS AREA MOVES
EAST...AS STEEP LAPSE RATES AND SOME ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL KEEP
SOME RUMBLES OF THUNDER AROUND.

MAIN UPPER LOW MOVES INTO MO BY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH MOST OF THE
PRECIP EAST OF THE AREA. AM A LITTLE CONCERNED ABOUT SLOW PROGRESS
OF THE UPPER LEVEL...SO WILL KEEP SOLID CHANCE POPS IN EASTERN KS
UNTIL MIDDAY.  WILL SEE A DIMINISHING CLOUD TREND FROM WEST TO THE
EAST AS THE AFTERNOON CONTINUES. GRADIENT TIGHTENS ON THE BACKSIDE
OF THIS MAIN STORM SYSTEM...WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS FOR AREAS WEST OF
INTERSTATE 135 AS MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES RETURN. DAYSHIFT WILL HAVE TO
KEEP AN EYE ON THIS AS STEEP LAPSE RATES COULD LEAD TO WIND GUSTS TO
35 MPH.

TONIGHT-WED:
AS MAIN UPPER LOW MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA LOOKS TO DROP INTO THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL
HELP BUILD AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES...WITH NW FLOW IN
CONTROL ACROSS THE PLAINS FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK. WILL
SEE A GRADUAL WARMING TREND EACH DAY...AS NORTHWEST TO WEST FLOW
LEADS TO NICE DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS FOR TUE INTO WED. WILL INCREASE
TEMPS BOTH DAYS TUE/WED IN CENTRAL KS WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND LOTS
OF SUNSHINE.

REST OF THE EXTENDED:
RIDGE LOOKS TO BREAK DOWN FOR WED NIGHT INTO FRI...WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS BRINGING SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE BACK INTO THE
AREA.  MOST OF THIS MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL GO TO SATURATING THE MID
LAYERS AS LIFT INCREASES ACROSS NORTHERN KS...SO WILL KEEP WED NIGHT
INTO THU DRY. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE WARMING TEMPS AS DRY ATMOSPHERE
ACROSS THE AREA WILL LEAD TO LARGE DIURNAL TEMP SWINGS WITH MAX
TEMPS WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THU. COULD ALSO SEE SOME GUSTY WINDS ON
THU INTO FRI AS GRADIENT AGAIN TIGHTENS.

KETCHAM

AVIATION...06Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU

BROAD UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO MAKE SLOW PROGRESS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL KS AT THIS TIME...WITH SHRA AND EMBEDDED TSRA FOR THE
KICT AND KCNU TAFS. EXPECT THIS SHOWER AREA TO CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST
THE NEXT 3 TO 4 HOURS AS DEFORMATION ZONE WITH THIS SYSTEM WITH
EMBEDDED TSRA AND ASSOCIATED MVFR CEILINGS STAYING AROUND. EXPECT
SHRA TO END FROM WEST TO EAST BY AROUND 12Z/SUN.

FOR AREAS WEST OF THE UPPER LOW...AN AREA OF MVFR CEILINGS AROUND
1500 FEET WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO KRSL/KSLN BY 06-08Z/SUN AND
EVENTUALLY KICT/KHUT BY 09-12Z/SUN.  THIS AREA OF CEILINGS WILL
SLOWLY LIFT AS THE DAYTIME HOURS...PROGRESS....WITH CLEARING SKIES
MOVING INTO CENTRAL KS BY 18-21Z/SUN AS DOWNSLOPE FLOW SCOURS OUT
THE LOW LAYER MOISTURE.

KETCHAM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    64  42  70  45 /  50   0   0   0
HUTCHINSON      64  41  71  44 /  40   0   0   0
NEWTON          64  42  69  44 /  60   0   0   0
ELDORADO        63  42  68  44 /  70   0   0   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   64  43  69  45 /  60   0   0   0
RUSSELL         66  40  73  42 /  20   0   0   0
GREAT BEND      66  40  73  43 /  30   0   0   0
SALINA          64  40  71  42 /  40   0   0   0
MCPHERSON       64  41  71  43 /  40   0   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     63  44  66  44 /  80   0   0   0
CHANUTE         62  43  66  44 /  80   0   0   0
IOLA            62  43  65  43 /  90   0   0   0
PARSONS-KPPF    62  44  66  44 /  80   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
537 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2009

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-201045-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
537 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT AREAS
EAST OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE FOR THE MORNING HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND SOME LOWLAND FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE JUST EAST
OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE WITH TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3
INCHES POSSIBLE.

A HIGH FIRE DANGER EXISTS ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A HIGH FIRE DANGER EXISTS IN ALL AREAS MONDAY. HOWEVER A VERY HIGH
FIRE DANGER IS POSSIBLE IN ALL AREAS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

KETCHAM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
606 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2009

KSZ093-191145-
COWLEY-
606 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2009

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT FOR COWLEY COUNTY...

AT 601 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL EXTENDING FROM NEAR WINFIELD TO ARKANSAS
CITY. RAINFALL RATES MAY APPROACH ONE-HALF INCH TO ONE INCH PER HOUR.

THE RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE MINOR STREET FLOODING. LISTEN FOR LATER
STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE FLOODING WARNINGS...SHOULD THE RISK FOR MINOR
FLOODING BECOME MORE IMMINENT.

KLEINSASSER