Red Flag Warning 9, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WWUS83 KICT 032100
RFWICT

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
400 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2009

KSZ032-047-040000-
/O.CON.KICT.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-090404T0000Z/
RUSSELL-BARTON-
400 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING.

THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES
...47.

THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES ...
47.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS IN CONCERT WITH WARM TEMPERATURES...
RELATIVELY LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES AND CONTINUED MOSTLY DRY
FUELS WILL RESULT IN RED FLAG CONDITIONS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY THIS EVENING FOR AREA GRASSLANDS ACROSS BARTON AND RUSSELL
COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

KETCHAM

000 
WWUS83 KICT 032344
RFWICT

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
644 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2009

KSZ032-047-040045-
/O.CAN.KICT.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-090404T0000Z/
RUSSELL-BARTON-
644 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDED THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES
...47.

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE CANCELLED AS WINDS GRADUALLY WEAKEN
AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS INCREASE DURING THE EVENING HOURS.

$$

JAKUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
637 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2009

.AVIATION...12Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU
PATCHY FOG IS TRYING TO FORM IN EXTREME SE KS AT 11Z WHERE VSBYS AT
KCFV HAVE DROPPED TO 4SM BR. VSBYS AT KCNU ARE STILL 10SM WITH A 3F
TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREAD. HAVE KEPT KCNU IN VFR STATUS FOR THIS MORNING
BUT WILLMONITOR CLOSELY. OTHERWISE...SLY WINDS TO INCREASE MARKEDLY
AS SFC LOW PRESSURE INTENSIFIES RAPIDLY OVER ERN CO. STRONGEST
WINDS TO OCCUR AT KRSL WHERE SUSTAINED 25KTS WITH GUSTS 35KTS ARE
LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMAL DECREASE ANTICIPATED THIS EVENING AS
THE LOW PRESSURE INTENSIFIES FURTHER AS IT DRIFTS TO THE CO/KS
BORDER. LWR-DECK FLOW GRADUALLY BACKS TO MORE ELY COMPONENT LATER
TONIGHT & RESTRENGTHENS FROM 04/06Z ONWARD. THE BEHAVIOR OF THE LOW
PRESSURE & THE ATMOSPHERES SUBSEQUENT RESPONSE WILL BE MONITORED
CLOSELY FOR SUBSEQUENT TAF ISSUANCES...ESPECIALLY THOSE ISSUED THIS
EVENING (04/00Z) & LATE TONIGHT (04/06Z) AS S/SE WINDS WILL FURTHER
INCREASE...LILELY REACHING ADVISORY CRITERIA WITH 30-40KTS POSSIBLE
IN SOME AREAS ON SAT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 312 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2009/

DISCUSSION...

TODAY:

OUTSIDE CHANCE FOR PATCHY RADIATIONAL FOG ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS THIS
MORNING...BUT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION/DISTRIBUTION SHOULD
PRECLUDE WIDESPREAD COVERAGE. NEXT ISSUE WILL BE MIXING HEIGHT
AND WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND IMPACT ON MAXES. SUSPECT BETTER
MIXING WILL BE CONFINED TO AREAS ALONG/WEST OF HIGHWAY 14 AND
COULD SEE WINDS APPROACHING ADVISORY CRITERIA AROUND RUSSELL/BARTON
COUNTIES AROUND 21 UTC.

TONIGHT-SAT:

WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT...WITH A DECENT CHANCE THAT
WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA WILL BE MET ACROSS CENTRAL KS OVERNIGHT. THE
STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON SAT WITH
ADVISORIES LIKELY. LOOKS LIKE MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED...WITH BEST
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ALONG DRYLINE/E OF I-35. TWEAKED GRIDS TO
BETTER REFLECT CLEARING/TEMPERATURES IN WAKE OF DRYLINE ON SAT.
CHANCES FOR GOOD MOISTURE RETURN APPEAR TO BE A BIT LESS...AND MADE
SOME MINOR TWEAKS DOWN ON PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION.

SAT NIGHT:

WITH COOLING IN WAKE OF LOW...POTENTIAL FOR MORE WINTER
WEATHER...BUT JUXTAPOSITION OF MOISTURE/DYNAMICS IS LESS THAN
OPTIMAL ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. BETTER CHANCE MAY OCCUR WITH WRAP
AROUND VERY LATE SAT NIGHT OR MORE LIKELY EARLY SUN. OVERALL LEANED
TOWARD 00 UTC GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM MODEL/12 UTC EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR
MEDIUM RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS MODEL WHICH WERE FAIRLY SIMILAR
HANDLING THESE FEATURES. NEW 0000 UTC EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM
RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS MODEL APPEARS TO BE EVEN DRIER...WITH DRY
SLOT QUICKLY OVERSPREADING ALL OF CENTRAL KS BY 0000 UTC SUN.

SUN:

TRENDED PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURES DOWN A BIT WITH CLOUDS COLD AIR
ADVECTION RESULTING IN SMALL DIURNAL RANGE ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS.

MON-THU:

NO CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST. -HOWERTON

AVIATION...06Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU
WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD OVERNIGHT...WITH
SOUTHERLY WINDS GRADUALLY INCREASING FOR CENTRAL KANSAS SHORTLY
AFTER DAYBREAK. SOUTHEAST KANSAS COULD SEE SOME PATCHY LIGHT FOG
AS DECOUPLING NEAR THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL BE IN THE
VICINITY. OTHERWISE...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER EASTERN COLORADO ON FRIDAY.

JAKUB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    61  48  74  36 /   0  10  20  20
HUTCHINSON      60  45  71  33 /   0  10  20  20
NEWTON          59  44  72  36 /   0  10  20  20
ELDORADO        57  45  73  39 /   0  10  20  20
WINFIELD-KWLD   60  49  77  39 /   0  10  20  10
RUSSELL         64  45  64  28 /   0  10  20  40
GREAT BEND      65  43  66  29 /   0  10  20  30
SALINA          61  45  71  33 /   0  10  20  30
MCPHERSON       60  44  70  33 /   0  10  20  20
COFFEYVILLE     62  45  74  43 /   0  10  20  30
CHANUTE         60  42  73  41 /   0  10  20  40
IOLA            59  42  72  41 /   0  10  20  40
PARSONS-KPPF    61  45  74  42 /   0  10  20  30

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
431 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2009

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-040945-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
431 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS TOWARD DAYBREAK.
LOCALIZED VISIBILITIES COULD DROP BELOW ONE MILE.

THE FIRE DANGER WILL BE VERY HIGH THIS AFTERNOON WEST OF A LINE
FROM SALINA TO WICHITA TO WELLINGTON...AND HIGH ELSEWHERE.
FOR RUSSELL AND BARTON COUNTIES...THE FIRE DANGER MAY APPROACH
EXTREME CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

FIRE DANGER WILL BE VERY HIGH AREA WIDE ON SATURDAY...AND MOST
LOCATIONS ON SUNDAY. FIRE DANGER MAY APPROACH EXTREME WEST OF
HIGHWAY 14 ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

VERY STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT TIMES OVER THE
WEEKEND...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OVER 30 MPH AND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH
LIKELY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS ON SUNDAY. WIND
ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED OVER THE WEEKEND.

A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
ROUGHLY EAST OF I-35. THESE STORMS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A
DRYLINE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. THE PRIMARY THREAT WOULD BE 50
MPH WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

HIGH OR VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL PERSIST FROM MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA.

A HARD FREEZE IS POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL KANSAS SUNDAY
NIGHT...AND AREA WIDE MONDAY NIGHT. LOWS SHOULD DROP INTO THE
LOWER TO MID 20S ACROSS MOST OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.
THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL AND HORTICULTURAL INTERESTS WILL NEED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR
TONIGHT...BUT MAY BE NEEDED LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

HOWERTON