Typhoon Warning 1, NWS Guam

000 
WTPQ84 PGUM 020352
HLSPQ4

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON MELOR LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
152 PM CHST FRI OCT 2 2009

...TYPHOON MELOR MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHERN MARIANAS...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN THE MARIANAS AND SURROUNDING WATERS OUT TO 40 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...AGRIHAN AND
GUAM.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 100 PM CHST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON MELOR WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.7 DEGREES EAST.

THIS IS ABOUT 335 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN...345 MILES EAST OF TINIAN...
370 MILES EAST OF ROTA...400 MILES EAST OF GUAM AND 455 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN.

TYPHOON MELOR IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. AN INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 140 MPH. MELOR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE 
TO INTENSIFY...AND MAY BECOME A SUPER TYPHOON IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
MELOR IS A LARGE AND DANGEROUS TYPHOON. THE RADIUS OF DAMAGING
WINDS EXTENDS FAR FROM THE CENTER. ISLANDS HUNDREDS OF MILES FROM
THE TYPHOON EYE WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS. MELOR
IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND MOVE TOWARD THE MARIANAS. THE ONSET
OF DAMAGING WINDS IS EXPECTED IN THE NORTHERN MARIANAS TONIGHT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR PROTECTION OF LIFE
AND PROPERTY. MARINERS NEED TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS
FOR PROTECTING THEIR VESSELS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
AND WELL SECURED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER
LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED INSTRUCTIONS FOR YOUR
LOCATION ISSUED BY LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 9 PM CHST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

GUZ003-004-PMZ153-154-021600-
/X.UPG.PGUM.TR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/X.NEW.PGUM.TY.W.0001.091002T0352Z-000000T0000Z/
/X.UPG.PGUM.TY.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
152 PM CHST FRI OCT 2 2009

...TYPHOON WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TINIAN AND SAIPAN ARE NOW IN TYPHOON CONDITION OF READINESS 2.
TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF MORE THAN 73 MPH...ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SHELTER LOCATIONS AND
INSTRUCTIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ANNOUNCED SHORTLY. CHECK WITH
THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY NEED TO BE
COMPLETED TODAY...BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE TONIGHT. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD DAMAGE. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH 100 MPH ON SAIPAN...WHICH WILL DESTROY
WOOD AND TIN SHELTERS...AND DAMAGE DOORS AND WINDOWS OF CONCRETE
BUILDINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
IF YOU LIVE IN A TIN-ROOF HOME...PREPARE NOW TO LEAVE IT FOR MORE
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. BOAT OWNERS SHOULD SECURE THEIR CRAFT. STAY
INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR MOVES CLOSER TONIGHT...SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL
INCREASE. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AND LAST THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CAUSE INUNDATION OF 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE
WINDWARD COASTS. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 16 TO 20 FEET ON ALL EXPOSURES
IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...UP 6 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN...IS POSSIBLE
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. CONSIDERABLE FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED IN
WESTERN VILLAGES AS OVERFLOW FROM LAKE SUSUPE COMBINES WITH THE
STORM SURGE. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED.

$$

GUZ002-PMZ152-021600-
/X.CON.PGUM.TR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/X.CON.PGUM.TY.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ROTA-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-
152 PM CHST FRI OCT 2 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ROTA REMAINS IN TYPHOON CONDITION OF READINESS 3. TROPICAL STORM-
FORCE WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. TYPHOON
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE
ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS LATE TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM-
FORCE WINDS CAN SERIOUSLY DAMAGE POORLY CONSTRUCTED DWELLINGS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A TIN-ROOF HOME...PLAN TO LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER. BOAT OWNERS SHOULD SECURE THEIR CRAFT. STAY INFORMED AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR MOVES CLOSER...SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL INCREASE.
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CAUSE INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE
ON NORTH AND NORTHWEST EXPOSURES. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 13 TO 17 FEET
IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING.

$$

GUZ001-PMZ151-021600-
/X.UPG.PGUM.TR.A.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/X.EXA.PGUM.TR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GUAM-GUAM COASTAL WATERS-
152 PM CHST FRI OCT 2 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
GUAM REMAINS IN CONDITION OF READINESS 2. TROPICAL STORM-FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARE NOW FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS WHICH CAN BLOW AROUND. IF YOU LIVE IN A TIN-ROOF HOME...
YOU MAY NEED TO LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. BOAT OWNERS
SHOULD SECURE THEIR CRAFT. STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS
WILL INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE AND HAZARDOUS SURF OF
10 TO 13 FEET IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY.


$$

MUNDELL

000 
WTPQ84 PGUM 020536 CCA
HLSPQ4

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON MELOR LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
335 PM CHST FRI OCT 2 2009

...TYPHOON MELOR MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHERN MARIANAS...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN THE MARIANAS AND SURROUNDING WATERS OUT TO 40 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...AGRIHAN AND
GUAM.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 100 PM CHST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON MELOR WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.7 DEGREES EAST.

THIS IS ABOUT 335 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN...345 MILES EAST OF TINIAN...
370 MILES EAST OF ROTA...400 MILES EAST OF GUAM AND 455 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN.

TYPHOON MELOR IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. AN INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 140 MPH. MELOR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE 
TO INTENSIFY...AND MAY BECOME A SUPER TYPHOON IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 240 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
MELOR IS A LARGE AND DANGEROUS TYPHOON. THE RADIUS OF DAMAGING
WINDS EXTENDS FAR FROM THE CENTER. ISLANDS HUNDREDS OF MILES FROM
THE TYPHOON EYE WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS. MELOR
IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND MOVE TOWARD THE MARIANAS. THE ONSET
OF DAMAGING WINDS IS EXPECTED IN THE NORTHERN MARIANAS TONIGHT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
NOW IS THE TIME TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR PROTECTION OF LIFE
AND PROPERTY. MARINERS NEED TO RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS
FOR PROTECTING THEIR VESSELS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
AND WELL SECURED. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER
LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. FOR ADDITIONAL PREPAREDNESS
INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED INSTRUCTIONS FOR YOUR
LOCATION ISSUED BY LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 9 PM CHST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

GUZ003-004-PMZ153-154-021800-
/X.UPG.PGUM.TR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/X.NEW.PGUM.TY.W.0001.091002T0535Z-000000T0000Z/
/X.UPG.PGUM.TY.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
335 PM CHST FRI OCT 2 2009

...TYPHOON WARNING IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TINIAN AND SAIPAN ARE NOW IN TYPHOON CONDITION OF READINESS 2.
TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF MORE THAN 73 MPH...ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SHELTER LOCATIONS AND
INSTRUCTIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ANNOUNCED SHORTLY. CHECK WITH
THE SAIPAN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY NEED TO BE
COMPLETED TODAY...BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE TONIGHT. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD DAMAGE. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH 100 MPH ON SAIPAN...WHICH WILL DESTROY
WOOD AND TIN SHELTERS...AND DAMAGE DOORS AND WINDOWS OF CONCRETE
BUILDINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.
IF YOU LIVE IN A TIN-ROOF HOME...PREPARE NOW TO LEAVE IT FOR MORE
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. BOAT OWNERS SHOULD SECURE THEIR CRAFT. STAY
INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR MOVES CLOSER TONIGHT...SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL
INCREASE. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AND LAST THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CAUSE INUNDATION OF 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE
WINDWARD COASTS. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 16 TO 20 FEET ON ALL EXPOSURES
IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...UP 6 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN...IS POSSIBLE
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. CONSIDERABLE FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED IN
WESTERN VILLAGES AS OVERFLOW FROM LAKE SUSUPE COMBINES WITH THE
STORM SURGE. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED.

$$

GUZ002-PMZ152-021800-
/X.CON.PGUM.TR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/X.CON.PGUM.TY.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ROTA-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-
335 PM CHST FRI OCT 2 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
ROTA REMAINS IN TYPHOON CONDITION OF READINESS 3. TROPICAL STORM-
FORCE WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. TYPHOON
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE
ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS LATE TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM-
FORCE WINDS CAN SERIOUSLY DAMAGE POORLY CONSTRUCTED DWELLINGS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A TIN-ROOF HOME...PLAN TO LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER. BOAT OWNERS SHOULD SECURE THEIR CRAFT. STAY INFORMED AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR MOVES CLOSER...SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL INCREASE.
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CAUSE INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE
ON NORTH AND NORTHWEST EXPOSURES. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 13 TO 17 FEET
IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING.

$$

GUZ001-PMZ151-021800-
/X.UPG.PGUM.TR.A.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/X.COR.PGUM.TR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GUAM-GUAM COASTAL WATERS-
335 PM CHST FRI OCT 2 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

CORRECTED GUAM CONDITION OF READINESS TO COR 3

...NEW INFORMATION...
GUAM REMAINS IN CONDITION OF READINESS 3. TROPICAL STORM-FORCE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARE NOW FOR THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS WHICH CAN BLOW AROUND. IF YOU LIVE IN A TIN-ROOF HOME...
YOU MAY NEED TO LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. BOAT OWNERS
SHOULD SECURE THEIR CRAFT. STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS
WILL INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE AND HAZARDOUS SURF OF
10 TO 13 FEET IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY.


$$

MUNDELL

000 
WTPQ84 PGUM 021059
HLSPQ4

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON MELOR LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
859 PM CHST FRI OCT 2 2009

...TYPHOON MELOR ABOUT TO CROSS 150E ON ITS WAY TO THE MARIANAS...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN THE MARIANAS AND SURROUNDING WATERS OUT TO 40 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...AGRIHAN AND
GUAM.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 700 PM CHST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON MELOR WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.0 DEGREES EAST.

THIS IS ABOUT 285 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN... 295 MILES EAST OF
TINIAN...325 MILES EAST OF ROTA...360 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF
GUAM AND 400 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN.

TYPHOON MELOR IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION 
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE 
NEXT 12 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 140 MPH. MELOR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE 
TO INTENSIFY...AND MAY BECOME A SUPER TYPHOON IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 
HOURS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
MELOR IS A LARGE AND DANGEROUS TYPHOON. THE RADIUS OF DAMAGING
WINDS EXTENDS FAR FROM THE CENTER. ISLANDS HUNDREDS OF MILES FROM
THE TYPHOON EYE WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS. MELOR
IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND MOVE TOWARD THE MARIANAS. THE ONSET
OF DAMAGING WINDS IS EXPECTED IN THE NORTHERN MARIANAS AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE ARE URGED TO REMAIN INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. DO NOT LISTEN TO RUMORS OR UNINFORMED
OPINIONS. RATHER...SEEK AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. MARINERS
SHOULD KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 3 PM CHST SATURDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

GUZ003-004-PMZ153-154-022300-
/X.CON.PGUM.TY.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
859 PM CHST FRI OCT 2 2009

...TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN
COMPLETED OR BE COMPLETED VERY SOON...BEFORE CONDITIONS
DETERIORATE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINS WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD DAMAGE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH
100 MPH ON SAIPAN...WHICH WILL DESTROY WOOD AND TIN SHELTERS...AND
DAMAGE DOORS AND WINDOWS OF CONCRETE BUILDINGS. SECURE LOOSE
OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU LIVE IN A TIN-
ROOF HOME...PREPARE NOW TO LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.
BOAT OWNERS SHOULD SECURE THEIR CRAFT. STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR MOVES CLOSER TONIGHT...SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL
INCREASE. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED FROM SATURDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
AND LAST THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CAUSE INUNDATION OF 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE
WINDWARD COASTS. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 16 TO 20 FEET ON ALL EXPOSURES
IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...UP 5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN...IS POSSIBLE
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. CONSIDERABLE FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED IN
WESTERN VILLAGES AS OVERFLOW FROM LAKE SUSUPE COMBINES WITH THE
STORM SURGE. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED.

$$

GUZ002-PMZ152-022300-
/X.CON.PGUM.TR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/X.CON.PGUM.TY.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ROTA-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-
859 PM CHST FRI OCT 2 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE
ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS LATE TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM-
FORCE WINDS CAN SERIOUSLY DAMAGE POORLY CONSTRUCTED DWELLINGS.
SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU
LIVE IN A TIN-ROOF HOME...PLAN TO LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER. BOAT OWNERS SHOULD SECURE THEIR CRAFT. STAY INFORMED AND
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR MOVES CLOSER...SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL
INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
FROM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CAUSE INUNDATION OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE
ON NORTH AND NORTHWEST EXPOSURES. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 13 TO 17 FEET
IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING.

$$

GUZ001-PMZ151-022300-
/X.CON.PGUM.TR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GUAM-GUAM COASTAL WATERS-
859 PM CHST FRI OCT 2 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
GUAM IS IN TROPICAL STORM CONDITION OF READINESS 2 AS OF 5 PM
FRIDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED AS SOON AS POSSIBLE
BEFORE THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS WHICH CAN CAUSE
OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS
WILL INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE AND HAZARDOUS SURF OF
10 TO 13 FEET IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY.

$$

000 
WTPQ84 PGUM 021651
HLSPQ4

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON MELOR LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
251 AM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TYPHOON MELOR CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWEST...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN THE MARIANAS AND SURROUNDING WATERS OUT TO 40 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...AGRIHAN AND
GUAM.

A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 100 AM CHST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON MELOR WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.4 DEGREES EAST.

THIS IS ABOUT 245 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN...255 MILES EAST OF TINIAN
...290 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA...335 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF
GUAM AND 350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN.

TYPHOON MELOR IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH. MELOR IS EXPECTED TO 
MAKE A SLIGHT TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD 
SPEED OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 130 MPH. MELOR IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY 
SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES FROM THE 
CENTER.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
MELOR IS A LARGE AND DANGEROUS TYPHOON. THE RADIUS OF DAMAGING
WINDS EXTENDS FAR FROM THE CENTER. ISLANDS HUNDREDS OF MILES FROM
THE TYPHOON EYE WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS. MELOR
IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND MOVE TOWARD THE MARIANAS. THE ONSET
OF DAMAGING WINDS IS EXPECTED IN THE NORTHERN MARIANAS EARLY THIS
MORNING.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE ARE URGED TO REMAIN INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. DO NOT LISTEN TO RUMORS OR UNINFORMED
OPINIONS. RATHER...SEEK AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. MARINERS
SHOULD KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 9 AM CHST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

GUZ003-004-PMZ153-154-030100-
/X.CON.PGUM.TY.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
251 AM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

TINIAN...SAIPAN AND AGRIHAN REMAIN IN TYPHOON CONDTION OF
READINESS 1.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN
COMPLETED. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS WILL CAUSE
WIDESPREAD DAMAGE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH 80 MPH ON
TINIAN...SAIPAN AND 60 MPH ON AGRIHAN. THESE WINDS MAY DESTROY POORLY
CONSTRUCTED WOOD AND TIN BUILDINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS
WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU LIVE IN A TIN-ROOF HOME...
PREPARE NOW TO LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. BOAT OWNERS
SHOULD SECURE THEIR CRAFT. STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR MOVES CLOSER THIS MORNING...SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL
INCREASE. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THIS EVENING ON TINIAN AND SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA THIS MORNING AND
LAST THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON AGRIHAN FROM THIS
MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CAUSE INUNDATION OF 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE
WINDWARD COASTS. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 12 TO 16 FEET ON ALL EXPOSURES
IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...UP 5 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN...IS POSSIBLE
THROUGH TONIGHT. CONSIDERABLE FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED IN WESTERN
VILLAGES AS OVERFLOW FROM LAKE SUSUPE COMBINES WITH THE STORM
SURGE. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED.


$$

GUZ002-PMZ152-030100-
/X.CON.PGUM.TR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/X.CON.PGUM.TY.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ROTA-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-
251 AM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETED. THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE
OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR
OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU LIVE IN A TIN-ROOF HOME
...LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. BOAT OWNERS AND CAPTAINS
OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION THE SECURING OF THEIR
CRAFT.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR MOVES CLOSER...SUSTAINED HIGH WINDS WILL
INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE ON NORTH AND
NORTHWEST EXPOSURES IS POSSIBLE. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 10 TO 12 FEET
IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING.

$$

GUZ001-PMZ151-030100-
/X.CON.PGUM.TR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GUAM-GUAM COASTAL WATERS-
251 AM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE ONSET OF GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE
ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH
CAN BE BLOWN AROUND.

&&

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR MOVES CLOSER...THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS
WILL INCREASE. THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS FOR A FEW HOURS FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
A STORM SURGE OF UP TO 1 FOOT ABOVE HIGH TIDE AND HAZARDOUS SURF OF
9 TO 11 FEET IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY.

$$

000 
WTPQ84 PGUM 022340
HLSPQ4

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON MELOR LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
940 AM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TYPHOON MELOR EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF SAIPAN THIS EVENING...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN THE NORTHERN MARIANAS AND SURROUNDING WATERS OUT TO
40 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR GUAM.
THE TYPHOON WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR ROTA.
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 700 AM CHST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON MELOR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.3 DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS ABOUT 175 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN...185 MILES EAST-
NORTHEAST OF TINIAN...240 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ROTA...285 MILES
NORTHEAST OF GUAM...AND 270 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
MELOR IS A LARGE AND DANGEROUS TYPHOON. THE RADIUS OF DAMAGING
WINDS EXTENDS FAR FROM THE CENTER ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE TYPHOON
BUT IS SIGNIFICANTLY SMALLER SOUTH OF THE CENTER. AS A RESULT...
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN JUST NORTH OF THE SAIPAN
COASTAL WATERS....HOWEVER ANY UNEXPECTED JOG SOUTHWARD BY THE TYPHOON
EYE COULD BRING THE RADIUS OF TYPHOON FORCE WINDS OVER THEM AGAIN.
THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS IS EXPECTED IN THE NORTHERN MARIANAS
THIS MORNING.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE ARE URGED TO REMAIN INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. DO NOT LISTEN TO RUMORS OR UNINFORMED
OPINIONS. RATHER...SEEK AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. MARINERS
SHOULD KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 3 PM CHST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

GUZ003-004-PMZ153-154-031145-
/X.CON.PGUM.TY.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
940 AM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
A TYPHOON WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN. ISLANDS IN THE
NORTHERN MARIANAS LOCATED BETWEEN SAIPAN AND AGRIHAN CAN ALSO
EXPECT TYPHOON CONDITIONS AS MELOR PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN
MARIANAS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. TINIAN...SAIPAN
AND AGRIHAN REMAIN IN TYPHOON CONDITION OF READINESS 1.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN
COMPLETED. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS CAN CAUSE WIDESPREAD DAMAGE. WIND
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH 75 MPH ON TINIAN AND SAIPAN AND 80
MPH ON AGRIHAN. THESE WINDS CAN DESTROY POORLY CONSTRUCTED WOOD
AND TIN BUILDINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN
AROUND. IF YOU LIVE IN A TIN-ROOF HOME...PLAN TO LEAVE IT FOR
MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. BOAT OWNERS SHOULD SECURE THEIR CRAFT.
STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN HOURS ON TINIAN AND SAIPAN...AND
THIS AFTERNOON ON AGRIHAN. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME
AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. SOME
POWER LINES MAY BE KNOCKED DOWN BY FALLING TREES...RESULTING IN
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF TREES WILL BE
SNAPPED...AND A FEW TREES MAY BE UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CAUSE INUNDATION OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE
WINDWARD COASTS. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 12 TO 16 FEET ON ALL EXPOSURES
IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. SOME FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED IN WESTERN VILLAGES
AS OVERFLOW FROM LAKE SUSUPE COMBINES WITH THE STORM SURGE.

$$

GUZ002-PMZ152-031145-
/X.CAN.PGUM.TY.A.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/X.CON.PGUM.TR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ROTA-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-
940 AM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...TYPHOON WATCH IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...
THE TYPHOON WATCH FOR ROTA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. TROPICAL STORM-
FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE LIKELY ON ROTA TODAY AND TONIGHT AS MELOR
PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN MARIANAS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS. SECURE
LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU LIVE IN A
TIN-ROOF HOME...YOU MAY NEED TO LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

...WINDS...
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 50 MPH. HOWEVER...AS TYPHOON MELOR APPROACHES... STRONGER
WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST
FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE ON NORTH AND NORTHWEST
EXPOSURES IS POSSIBLE. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 10 TO 12 FEET IS POSSIBLE.

$$

GUZ001-PMZ151-030045-
/X.CAN.PGUM.TR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GUAM-GUAM COASTAL WATERS-
940 AM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED ON GUAM...AND
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN
IN PORT. RESTRICT OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES UNTIL THE THREAT OF HIGH
WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN PASSES LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
&&

...WINDS...
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 20 TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH SOME
STRONGER GUSTS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
A STORM SURGE OF UP TO 1 FOOT ABOVE HIGH TIDE AND HAZARDOUS SURF
OF 9 TO 12 FEET IS POSSIBLE.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP TO 1 INCH ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY.

$$


MUNDELL

000 
WTPQ84 PGUM 030400
HLSPQ4

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON MELOR LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
200 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TYPHOON MELOR MOVING CLOSER TO THE NORTHERN MARIANAS...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN THE NORTHERN MARIANAS AND SURROUNDING WATERS OUT TO
40 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN...TINIAN AND
AGRIHAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 100 PM CHST...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON MELOR WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.4 DEGREES EAST.
THIS IS ABOUT 125 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN...135 MILES EAST-
NORTHEAST OF TINIAN...190 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROTA...AND 230 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF AGRIHAN.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
MELOR IS A LARGE AND DANGEROUS TYPHOON. THE RADIUS OF DAMAGING
WINDS EXTENDS FAR FROM THE CENTER ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE TYPHOON
BUT IS SIGNIFICANTLY SMALLER SOUTH OF THE CENTER. AS A RESULT...
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN JUST NORTH OF THE SAIPAN
COASTAL WATERS. ANY UNEXPECTED JOG SOUTHWARD BY THE TYPHOON EYE
COULD BRING THE RADIUS OF TYPHOON FORCE WINDS OVER THE MARINE
ZONES. DAMAGING WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE NORTHERN MARIANAS AT
THIS TIME...AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE ARE URGED TO REMAIN INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. DO NOT LISTEN TO RUMORS OR UNINFORMED
OPINIONS. RATHER...SEEK AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. MARINERS
SHOULD KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 9 PM CHST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

GUZ003-004-PMZ153-154-031700-
/X.CON.PGUM.TY.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
200 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TYPHOON MELOR IS EXPECTED TO MAKE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO SAIPAN
AND TINIAN WITHIN THE NEXT SIX HOURS. ISLANDS IN THE NORTHERN
MARIANAS BETWEEN SAIPAN AND AGRIHAN WILL EXPERIENCE TYPHOON
CONDITIONS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AS MELOR PASSES THROUGH THE
NORTHERN MARIANAS. TINIAN...SAIPAN AND AGRIHAN REMAIN IN TYPHOON
CONDITION OF READINESS 1.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN
COMPLETED. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS CAN CAUSE WIDESPREAD DAMAGE. WIND
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH 85 MPH ON TINIAN AND SAIPAN AND 75
MPH ON AGRIHAN. THESE WINDS CAN DESTROY POORLY CONSTRUCTED WOOD
AND TIN BUILDINGS. SECURE LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN
AROUND. IF YOU LIVE IN A TIN-ROOF HOME...PLAN TO LEAVE IT FOR
MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. BOAT OWNERS SHOULD SECURE THEIR CRAFT.
STAY INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR APPROACHES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE OCCURRING ON TINIAN AND SAIPAN...AND ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING
ON AGRIHAN. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME AIRBORNE...CAUSING
ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. SOME POWER LINES MAY BE
KNOCKED DOWN BY FALLING TREES...RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES. MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND A FEW
TREES MAY BE UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CAUSE INUNDATION OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE
WINDWARD COASTS. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 12 TO 16 FEET ON ALL EXPOSURES
IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. SOME FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED IN WESTERN VILLAGES
AS OVERFLOW FROM LAKE SUSUPE COMBINES WITH THE STORM SURGE.

$$

GUZ002-PMZ152-031700-
/X.CON.PGUM.TR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ROTA-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-
200 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE FORECAST TO
OCCUR TONIGHT AS MELOR PASSES THROUGH THE NORTHERN MARIANAS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FINAL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINS CAN CAUSE OUTSIDE ACTIVITIES TO BECOME DANGEROUS. SECURE
LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS WHICH CAN BE BLOWN AROUND. IF YOU LIVE IN A
TIN-ROOF HOME...YOU MAY NEED TO LEAVE IT FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

&&

...WINDS...
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 60 MPH. CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES AND BE READY TO ACT.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE ON NORTH AND NORTHWEST
EXPOSURES IS POSSIBLE. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 10 TO 12 FEET IS POSSIBLE.

$$

MUNDELL

000 
WTPQ84 PGUM 031140
HLSPQ4

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON MELOR LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
940 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TYPHOON MELOR PASSING JUST NORTH OF ANATAHAN...

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN THE NORTHERN MARIANAS AND SURROUNDING WATERS OUT TO
40 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN...TINIAN AND
AGRIHAN. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ROTA IS CANCELED AS OF 8 PM CHST.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 900 PM CHST...1100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED EYE OF TYPHOON MELOR
WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 DEGREES NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 145.5 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 90 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST
OF SAIPAN...100 MILES NORTH OF TINIAN...160 MILES NORTH OF
ROTA...210 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM AND 165 MILES SOUTH OF
AGRIHAN. TYPHOON MELOR IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 130 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
MELOR IS A LARGE AND DANGEROUS TYPHOON. THE RADIUS OF DAMAGING
WINDS EXTENDS FAR FROM THE CENTER ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE
TYPHOON BUT IS SIGNIFICANTLY SMALLER SOUTH OF THE CENTER. AS A
RESULT...TYPHOON FORCE WINDS CONTINUE TO REMAIN JUST NORTH OF THE
SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS. DAMAGING WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE
NORTHERN MARIANAS AT THIS TIME...AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE ARE URGED TO REMAIN INFORMED AND LISTEN FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. DO NOT LISTEN TO RUMORS OR UNINFORMED
OPINIONS. RATHER...SEEK AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION FROM YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. MARINERS
SHOULD KEEP INFORMED OF THE LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST.
&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 3 AM CHST SUNDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

GUZ003-004-PMZ153-154-032000-
/X.CON.PGUM.TY.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
940 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR MOVES THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA...TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR ON TINIAN AND SAIPAN...AND ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING ON AGRIHAN. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS CAN STILL
BECOME AIRBORNE... CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY.
SOME POWER LINES MAY BE KNOCKED DOWN BY FALLING TREES...RESULTING
IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF TREES WILL BE
SNAPPED...AND A FEW TREES MAY BE UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CAUSE INUNDATION OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE
WINDWARD COASTS. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 12 TO 16 FEET ON ALL EXPOSURES
IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

$$

GUZ002-PMZ152-031245-
/X.CAN.PGUM.TR.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
ROTA-ROTA COASTAL WATERS-
940 PM CHST SAT OCT 3 2009

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

&&

...WINDS...
EVEN THOUGH THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED TROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
HAZARDOUS SURF OF 10 TO 12 FEET IS POSSIBLE.

$$

000 
WTPQ84 PGUM 031539
HLSPQ4

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON MELOR LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
139 AM CHST SUN OCT 4 2009

....TYPHOON MELOR MOVING AWAY FROM TINIAN AND SAIPAN..

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE IN THE NORTHERN MARIANAS AND SURROUNDING WATERS OUT TO
40 NM.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE A TYPHOON WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED AS OF 12 AM FOR
SAIPAN AND TINIAN.

A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN. 

.STORM INFORMATION...

AT 1256 AM CHST...1456Z...THE EYE OF TYPHOON MELOR WAS LOCATED BY 
RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.4 DEGREES 
EAST. THIS ABOUT 130 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN...180 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF AGRIHAN AND 215 MILES NORTH OF THE GUAM. THE CENTER
APPEARS TO BE MOVING TO THE WEST AT 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
ARE 130 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
WHEN MAKING DECISIONS...DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK.
MELOR IS A LARGE AND DANGEROUS TYPHOON. THE RADIUS OF DAMAGING
WINDS EXTENDS FAR FROM THE CENTER ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE
TYPHOON BUT IS SIGNIFICANTLY SMALLER SOUTH OF THE CENTER. AS A
RESULT...TYPHOON FORCE WINDS MAY BRIEFLY OCCUR ACROSS AGRIHAN THIS
MORNING.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DURING THE STORM...STAY INSIDE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. DO NOT
VENTURE OUTSIDE WHEN HIGH WINDS ARE OCCURRING OR DURING TEMPORARY
LULLS AS FLYING DEBRIS CAN EASILY...AND SUDDENLY...CAUSE SERIOUS
INJURY.
 

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AROUND 3 AM CHST SUNDAY MORNING...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

GUZ003-004-PMZ153-154-031645-
/X.CAN.PGUM.TY.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
TINIAN-SAIPAN-TINIAN COASTAL WATERS-SAIPAN COASTAL WATERS-
139 AM CHST SUN OCT 4 2009

...TYPHOON WARNING IS CANCELLED AS OF 12 AM...

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

...WINDS...
AS TYPHOON MELOR MOVES AWAY FROM THE LOCAL AREA...OCCASIONAL TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR ON TINIAN AND SAIPAN...AND ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING ON AGRIHAN. LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS
CAN STILL BECOME AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE
INJURY. SOME POWER LINES MAY BE KNOCKED DOWN BY FALLING
TREES...RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. MANY LARGE BRANCHES
OF TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND A FEW TREES MAY BE UPROOTED.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE FOR AGRIHAN...
STORM SURGE WILL CAUSE INUNDATION OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE HIGH TIDE
WINDWARD COASTS. HAZARDOUS SURF OF 12 TO 16 FEET ON ALL EXPOSURES
IS POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL BE DEADLY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
700 AM CHST FRI OCT 2 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
PGUA WSR-88D SHOWED A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS TO OUR EAST
AND SOUTHEAST. THESE SHOWERS HAVE LARGELY DISSOLVED...ALTHOUGH
MORE WILL MOVE IN AS TYPHOON MELOR CONTINUES TO APPROACH.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TYPHOON MELOR IS THE 800 POUND GORILLA IN THE ROOM. THIS ONE
FEATURE WILL MAKE OR BREAK THE ENTIRE FORECAST. GFS...UKMET AND
ECMWF-HIRES ARE ALL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT AS TO THE TRACK AND
TIMING OF MELOR. THEY TEND TO TAKE IT A LITTLE NORTH OF SAIPAN ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...
MARINE CONDITIONS WILL VARY WIDELY THROUGHOUT THE MARIANAS. GUAM
WATERS MAY HAVE MINIMAL GALES AND 8 TO 10 FOOT WIND WAVES WHEREAS
SAIPAN WATERS MIGHT EXPECT WIND WAVES AS HIGH AS 30 FEET. IN
GENERAL THOUGH...MARINERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR AND SECURE THEIR
BOATS WHILE THE GETTING IS GOOD.

&&

.TROPICAL SYSTEMS...
TYPHOON MELOR HAS FINISHED ITS PERIOD OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION BUT
IS STILL INTENSIFYING. IT WILL CONTINUE TO APPROACH AND MAY BECOME
A SUPER TYPHOON AS IT DOES SO. MOST MODELS AND FORECASTS HAVE HAD
IT PASSING BETWEEN SAIPAN AND ANATAHAN...WHICH STILL LOOKS FAIRLY
LIKELY. AS THE MOST POPULATED ISLANDS WOULD BE LEFT OF THE STORM
TRACK THIS WOULD SPARE THEM THE FULL BRUNT OF ITS FURY. LET US
HOPE IT IS ENOUGH.

&&

.EASTERN MICRONESIA...
MAINLY QUIET WX CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ISLANDS DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...EXCEPT FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS MOVING INTO
POHNPEI BEFORE NOON TODAY. NUMERICAL MODEL INITIALIZES A CIRCULATION
WEST OF MAJURO BY SUNDAY BUT WILL WAIT ON THE NEXT FEW MODEL RUNS
BEFORE MAKING CHANGES TO PQ1. EXPECT ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND LIGHT
TO MODERATE TRADES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.WESTERN MICRONESIA...
MADE MINOR CHANGES FOR YAP TO REFLECT INCREASING CLOUDINESS NEAR THE
ISLAND DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
SOUTH OF A MONSOON TROUGH WHICH RUNS FROM THE NORTH OF YAP AND KOROR
TO TYPHOON MELOR. HOWEVER...MODEL SEEMS TO DOWNPLAY EXPECTED WX
CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ACROSS YAP...BUT FOR NOW HAVE KEPT
ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. ON CHUUK...LITTLE WX IS
EXPECTED. AS TYPHOON MELOR DRIFTS NEAR THE MARIANAS DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE NEAR CHUUK WITH ONLY ISOLATED
SHOWERS IN THE WAY.

HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KOROR AND YAP TODAY. SURF
HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA BY THIS
EVENING...WHICH MAY REQUIRE CANCELLATION OF HSA.

&&

.GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GU...TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR GUZ001.

     TYPHOON WATCH FOR GUZ002>004.

     TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GUZ002>004.

MARIANAS WATERS...TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR PMZ151.

     TYPHOON WATCH FOR PMZ152>154.

     TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PMZ152>154.

&&

STANKO/ZIOBRO/BAQUI