Wind Advisory 12, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 071548
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1148 AM EDT WED OCT 7 2009

...WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS PARTS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON...

NCZ033-049-050-072000-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-091007T2000Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
1148 AM EDT WED OCT 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 45 MPH...WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA. THE WINDS WILL RAPIDLY DIMINISH TOWARD
SUNSET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. TAKE STEPS NOW TO SECURE ANY
LOOSE OBJECTS THAT MIGHT BE BLOWN ABOUT BY THE WIND.

&&

$$

GAZ010-017-NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-501>510-SCZ001>003-
072000-
/O.CON.KGSP.LW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-091007T2000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE...
RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS
1148 AM EDT WED OCT 7 2009

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...AS WELL AS THE
MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. THE
WINDS WILL RAPIDLY DIMINISH TOWARD SUNSET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

&&

$$

MCAVOY

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 072003
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
403 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2009

NCZ033-049-050-072115-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-091007T2000Z/
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE
403 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.
HOWEVER...WINDS AND GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.

$$

GAZ010-017-NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-501>510-SCZ001>003-
072115-
/O.EXP.KGSP.LW.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-091007T2000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...
HENDERSONVILLE...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE...
RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS
403 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2009

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.
HOWEVER...WINDS AND GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
758 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE CAROLINAS TONIGHT AND MOVE OVER THE
REGION ON WEDNESDAY. A SURFACE HIGH WILL THEN BRIEFLY BUILD OVER THE
REGION BEFORE ANOTHER SURFACE FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST LATE
FRIDAY AND STALLS OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WEAK CONVECTION ACROSS THE NC MTNS EARLY THIS EVENING IS GENERALLY
DECAYING AS IT MOVES EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. PRECIPITATION COVERAGE
WILL LIKELY REBOUND AS THE TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE
FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE INCREASES ALONG
THE FRONTAL ZONE. WILL KEEP A TIGHT WEST TO EAST GRADIENT IN POPS
THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH CATEGORICAL MTN COVERAGE TO ISOLATED
COVERAGE IN THE ERN PIEDMONT. ISOLATED TSTM CHANCES WILL SPREAD EAST
WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE THROUGH DAYBREAK.

THE DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET WILL LEAD TO BREEZY TO WINDY RIDGE TOP
CONDITIONS LATER TONIGHT...AND THEN BETTER GUSTS AT LOWER TERRAIN
WITH MIXING INTO WED POST FROPA. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA WED...AT SOME POINT.

DOWNSLOPE WARMING WILL PUSH MAX TEMPS UP TO AROUND 80 TOMORROW OVER
THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. TEMPS WILL BE CONSIDERABLY COOLER IN THE
MTNS WITH COLD ADVECTION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM TUESDAY...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SETTLE
ACROSS THE VIRGINIAS AND CAROLINAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH CLEAR
SKIES AND COOL TEMPERATURES. SOME PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE IN THE
DEEPEST SHELTER VALLEYS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...AS A BLEND OF
VARIOUS MOS TEMPERATURE GUIDE DROPS MINS IN THE 37 TO 42 DEGREE
RANGE...WITH MAINLY 40S ELSEWHERE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY SLIDE OFF TO THE EAST THURSDAY...WITH
A RETURN SWLY FLOW YIELDING A BIT MORE CLOUDS WRN AREAS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. LOTS OF SUNSHINE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. MEANWHILE THE DRY
ATMOSPHERE ON THURSDAY SHOULD RESPOND NICELY TO THE SUNSHINE...WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE 70S.

AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT FRIDAY FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL HELP
THICKEN CLOUDS A BIT...BUT STILL ANOTHER MILD DAY. WE WILL CONTINUE
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS WRN PARTS OF OUR FORECAST AREA FRIDAY
AS A NARROW RIBBON OF DEEPER MOISTURE DEVELOPS... AND ENHANCED LIFT
COMES INTO PLAY ALONG RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF JET OVER THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM TUESDAY...ALTHOUGH MODELS CONTINUE TO PUSH APPROACHING
COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR FORECAST AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SAT...
PERSISTENT  W-SWLY FLOW ALOFT SUGGESTS THAT POST FRONT MOISTURE...
COUPLED WITH WEAK ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE...WILL CONTINUE THE CHANCE OF
SHOWERS INTO SATURDAY.

THE UPSHOT...WE WILL HIT POPS RATHER HARD FRIDAY NIGHT WRN 1/3 WITH
LIKELY VALUES...AND A SOLID CHANCE EASTERN SECTIONS. THIS DUE TO THE
COMBINATION OF AFOREMENTIONED FAVORABLE JET STRUCTURE AND
CONVERGENCE ALONG SAID FROPA.

12Z OPERATIONAL GFS LOOKS MORE IN LINE WITH ITS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...
WITH MOISTURE AND POPS LINGERING SAT. AS A RESULT WE WILL CONTINUE
WITH HIGHER CHC VALUES SOUTH AND EASTERN FA (AND THIS MIGHT BE
UNDERDONE)...WITH LESS CHANCE NC MOUNTAINS.

IT APPEARS DEEPER MOISTURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT...BUT FLOW ALOFT MAY ACTUALLY TRY TO NUDGE MOISTURE BACK NORTH
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. WE WILL FOLLOW HPC GUIDE AT THIS POINT WITH
SMALL RAIN CHANCES...AND THEN FINISH WITH QUIET WX INTO THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.

OVERALL COOLING TREND IN TEMPERATURES THIS PART OF THE CYCLE.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT...MIXING ON LIGHT SW FLOW ALONG WITH DRYING HAS ALLOWED MVFR
CIGS TO SCATTER OUT THIS EVENING. DEEPER MOISTURE ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE APPROACHING FRONTAL ZONE SHOULD ALLOW MVFR CIGS TO REFORM TOWARD
MIDNIGHT. GIVEN THE IMPROVING FLOW AND MIXING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...FOG SHOULD BE NO ISSUE...AND CEILINGS MAY STAY IN THE MVFR
RANGE. IFR CIGS ARE POSSIBLE AFTER 08Z...BUT NO LONGER LOOK LIKELY
GIVEN IMPROVED FLOW AND SPARSE SHOWER ACTIVITY. GUSTS WILL PICK UP
FROM THE WEST THEN NORTHWEST AFTER DAYBREAK...WITH DRYING FAIRLY
RAPID THROUGH 14Z.

ELSEWHERE...MAINLY MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS AS MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW STRENGTHENS. SHOWER CHANCES LOOK
THE BEST FROM KAVL TO KHKY...WITH KAVL MOST LIKELY LATE THIS EVENING
THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. A 35 TO 40 KT LOW LEVEL JET IS
STILL PROGGED TO DEVELOP JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL ZONE. THE
POTENTIAL FOR LLVL WIND SHEAR WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED. WINDS WILL
QUICKLY SHIFT WEST WITH FROPA AROUND DAYBREAK...AND THEN BECOME
GUSTY FROM THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS WED. MORNING MVFR
CIGS SHOULD SCATTER OUT QUICKLY WITH FROPA.

OUTLOOK...DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN WED NIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT.
SHOWERS MOVE BACK IN FRI INTO SAT WITH NEXT COLD FRONT.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
DEWPOINTS WILL FALL QUICKLY BEHIND A COLD FRONT TOMORROW. PARTS OF
THE NC FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT WILL SEE RH/S FALL TO AROUND 25
PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE CLOSE TO RED FLAG CRITERIA
FOR A FEW HOURS IN THE MORNING...BUT SHOULD LET UP LATER IN THE DAY.
WHILE WE SHOULDN/T HIT RED FLAG CRITERIA...THERE WILL BE HEIGHTENED
FIRE DANGER TOMORROW FROM A METEOROLOGICAL PERSPECTIVE.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JAT
NEAR TERM...HG
SHORT TERM...TS
LONG TERM...TS
AVIATION...HG
FIRE WEATHER...TS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
344 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2009

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-SCZ001>014-
019-070900-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-
MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
344 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION TONIGHT...BEFORE EXITING THE
AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE FROM CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-501>510-070900-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
344 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2009

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION TONIGHT...BEFORE EXITING THE
AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE FROM CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

STUREY