Tornado Warning 27, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS52 KGSP 162314
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
714 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

SCC023-170000-
/O.CON.KGSP.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-090617T0000Z/
CHESTER SC-
714 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FOR CHESTER
COUNTY...

AT 714 PM EDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED
NEAR CORNWELL...OR 6 MILES SOUTH OF CHESTER...MOVING SOUTH AT 25 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
BLACKSTOCK

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
AND CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3457 8142 3463 8142 3480 8144 3482 8114
      3481 8106 3454 8095
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 339DEG 20KT 3462 8119

$$

NED

000 
WWUS52 KGSP 162333
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
733 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

SCC023-162342-
/O.CAN.KGSP.TO.W.0027.000000T0000Z-090617T0000Z/
CHESTER SC-
733 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CHESTER COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED SOUTH OF 
CHESTER COUNTY. THEREFORE...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CHESTER COUNTY 
HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT 
UNTIL 100 AM EDT WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN 
NORTH CAROLINA AND CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA.

LAT...LON 3457 8142 3463 8142 3480 8144 3482 8114
      3481 8106 3454 8095
TIME...MOT...LOC 2332Z 339DEG 20KT 3453 8115

$$

NED

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
603 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A STATIONARY FRONT SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL LINGER THROUGH
WEDNESDAY THEN MOVE OFF THE COAST ON THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
THEN MOVE ACROSS THE CAROLINAS ON SATURDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD OVER THE REGION DURING THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WILL SEND A QUICK UPDATE TO INCLUDE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 436.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...EXPECT
THUNDERSTORMS TO FIRE ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF AN
ILL-DEFINED NEARLY STATIONARY SURFACE BOUNDARY THAT CUTS NW-SE
ACROSS THE NC FOOTHILLS/WRN PIEDMONT. WE REMAIN UNDER A SLGT RISK ON
THE DAY1 OUTLOOK. THE SITUATION LOOKS SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORABLE THAN
YESTERDAY WITH 500 MB TEMPS A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER RESULTING IN
BETTER BUOYANCY...BUT WE LACK AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM EARLIER
CONVECTION TO GET THINGS GOING. THIS SHOULD IMPROVE BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE WELL INTO THE EVENING
HOURS. WHAT REMAINS TO BE SEEN IS IF A LINE OF STORMS MOVING INTO
MIDDLE TN WILL MAKE IT TO THE MTNS BY SUNSET AND THEN IF IT CAN
SURVIVE. THE MODELS SAY NO...BUT APPEAR TO BE HAVING A HARD TIME
KNOWING OF ITS EXISTANCE. HOWEVER...THE POSSIBLE LEFTOVER MCV IS
FAVORABLE FOR MORE STORMS LATER ON.

A GREATER CONCERN MIGHT BE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN LATER
TONIGHT. THE MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE SURFACE HIGH STRENGTHENING OFF
THE NEW ENGLAND COAST COULD DRIVE THE SURFACE BOUNDARY FARTHER WEST
AND SOUTH. LOW LEVEL EASTERLY UPSLOPE BALANCING WEST/NORTHWEST MID
LEVEL WINDS COULD ANCHOR DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE...
RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION. THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED
FOR A FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TEMPS WILL REMAIN MILD.

ON WEDNESDAY...THE BOUNDARY REMAINS NEARBY AND ONCE AGAIN THE MODELS
EVENTUALLY DEVELOP NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. WILL GO ABOVE THE MOSGUIDE POP AND KEEP LIKELY ACROSS ALL BUT
THE SOUTHERN THIRD. TEMPS WILL BE TRICKY AGAIN ESPECIALLY IF WE
START THE DAY WITH LEFTOVER CONVECTION AND WEDGE-LIKE CLOUDS ACROSS
THE NW PIEDMONT...BUT ALLOWED FOR SOME HEATING THAT WOULD LET TEMPS
GET A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER ACROSS THE NW PIEDMONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 145 PM EDT TUESDAY...A STACKED UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST TO THE GREAT LAKES THURSDAY...THEN PROGRESS
TOWARDS THE EASTERN SEABOARD FRIDAY. AS A RESULT...THERE WILL BE
DECREASED CHANCES FOR CONVECTION AS ATMOSPHERE BECOMES CAPPED BY
WARMING MID LVLS AND DRYING LOW LVLS IN INCREASING NWLY DOWNSLOPE
FLOW. A CLIMO POP FOR THURSDAY (CHC MTNS AND SLGT CHC PIEDMONT) FOR
AFTN SHWRS/TSTMS...THEN NO CONVECTION EXPECTED FRIDAY. TEMPS WILL BE
WARMING UP MARKEDLY FROM THURSDAY TO FRIDAY...AS MODEL THICKNESSES
SUPPORT UPPER 90S ACRS THE PIEDMONT GIVEN FULL SUNSHINE.
HOWEVER...WITH HIGH SOIL MOISTURES FROM THIS RECENT WET
PERIOD...STILL THINK GUIDANCE IS A BIT TOO WARM. SO I LEFT MAX TEMPS
FRIDAY AS IS. THE COMBINATION OF MID-UPR 90S AND DECENT MOISTURE
FLUX FROM THE SOIL COULD PUSH HEAT INDEX VALUES OVER 100 DEGREES
(HEAT ADV CRITERIA). WILL KEEP THE MENTION IN THE HWO. WITH ALL THAT
SAID...IT DOES LOOK LIKE A FAIRLY SUNNY AFTN FRIDAY WITH AN ABSENCE
OF DEEP CONVECTION EXPECTED. ALSO...DOWNSLOPE FLOW ON THE ORDER OF
20 KTS COULD BE ENUF TO GET TEMPS UP TOWARD THE 12Z ADJMEX NUMBERS.
IF THEY VERIFY...THE RECORD HIGHS AT KAVL AND KGSP WOULD BE IN
JEOPARDY (SEE CLIMO SECTION BELOW).

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM EDT TUESDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE FCST BEGINS 00Z SAT WITH
AN UPPER LVL TROUGH AMPLIFYING OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST REGION. THIS
FEATURE ATTEMPTS TO FLATTEN THE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN ESTABLISHED OVER
THE SE CONUS OVER THE PREVIOUS FEW DAYS. BY LATE SAT OR EARLY
SUN...DEPENDING ON WHICH MODEL YOU USE...THIS TROUGH DEVELOPS INTO A
CLOSED LOW OVER NEW ENGLAND. FOR THE REMINDER OF THE FCST...THE LONG
RANGE MODELS HAVE IT MOVING VERY SLOWLY TO THE NE...AND THUS BY DAY
7 IT IS STILL ANCHORED OVER THE FAR NE CONUS. THE MOST RECENT GFS IS
ABOUT 6 TO 12 HRS FASTER THAN THE ECMWF EARLY IN THE PERIOD. THE
DIFFERENCE IS NEGLIGIBLE AFTER DAY 5 OR SO...AS THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN
LINES UP BETTER.

AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST ON
SATURDAY...REACHING THE CAROLINA COAST BY SUNDAY. BY MONDAY BOTH
MODELS HAVE THIS FRONT NEARLY STATIONARY AND WELL TO OUR SOUTH AS
THE PARENT SFC LOW LINGERS OVER NEW ENGLAND. BEST CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN SAT WITH THE FROPA. I LEFT A SLIGHT
CHANCE POP FOR THE LATER PART OF SUN FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AS NW
FLOW COULD TRIGGER SOME CONVECTION. TEMPERATURES WERE CHANGED VERY
LITTLE FROM THE PREVIOUS FCST AND WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL BEFORE
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...DROPPING TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AFTER
THE FROPA.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
FOR THE BALANCE OF THE AFTERNOON...CONVECTIVE CLOUDS WILL PERSIST
WITH BASES BETWEEN 2K AND 3K FEET. ALL TAF SITES WILL BE IN AND OUT
OF AN MVFR CEILING FOR SEVERAL HOURS...BUT AFTER 19Z THE PREVAILING
CONDITION SHOULD BE SCATTERED. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION. ALL TAF SITES GET A VCTS AND AMENDMENTS
WILL BE MADE AS NECESSARY WHEN STORMS THREATEN AN AIRFIELD. WINDS
ARE A TOUGH CALL AS A WEAK BOUNDARY WILL LINGER ACROSS THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS. MOST PLACES WILL BE VARIABLE AND LIGHT WITH DIRECTIONS
EVENTUALLY A FACTOR OF WHERE THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES MOVE. A
LIGHT EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW SHOULD DEVELOP THIS EVENING THAT WILL
FORM A CEILING LOWERING FROM MVFR TO IFR DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS SUFFICIENT TO ALSO FORM FOG LATE
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY WHERE SHOWERS DEVELOP TODAY. MVFR/IFR CEILING
AND VISIBILITY WILL BE SLOW TO LIFT/BURN OFF AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY...
MOST LIKELY LINGERING UNTIL 15Z-16Z.

AT KCLT...THE SURFACE BOUNDARY CUTS ACROSS THE METRO AREA. THIS
MAKES THUNDERSTORMS A BIT MORE LIKELY FOR THE NEXT 6 TO 8 HOURS...
AND MAKES WIND DIRECTION VERY DIFFICULT TO CALL. IN GENERAL IT
SHOULD BE FROM THE EAST OR NORTHEAST...BUT DIRECTION WILL CHANGE
DEPENDING ON THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS. IFR CEILINGS LOOK LIKE A GOOD
BET AFTER MIDNIGHT AGAIN WITH THE UPSLOPE FLOW.

OUTLOOK...CIG/VSBY RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE IN SHWRS/TSTMS TUE
AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY...ALONG WITH AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG IN
THE MORNING. CHANCES OF RESTRICTIONS WILL DECREASE CONSIDERABLY
THU-FRI AS DRIER HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION FOR A COUPLE
DAYS.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD HIGHS FOR FRIDAY JUNE 19TH:

ASHEVILLE (KAVL): 92 SET IN 1933
GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG AREA (KGSP): 98 SET IN 1944
CHARLOTTE METRO AREA (KCLT): 102 SET IN 1944

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JPT
NEAR TERM...PM/RB
SHORT TERM...ARK
LONG TERM...JPT
AVIATION...PM
CLIMATE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
341 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-171945-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
341 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

MOST OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA HAS A SLIGHT
RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE AREA
FROM HICKORY AND CHARLOTTE TO THE WEST SHOULD SEE NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY UNTIL MIDNIGHT. A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

MEANWHILE...THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA AND FROM
HICKORY TO THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA COULD EXPERIENCE HEAVY RAIN IN
PERSISTENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY FOR ALL OR PART OF
THIS AREA...PERHAPS EVEN THE AREA NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A
FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105 DEGREES ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
IN THE UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
625 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0617 PM     HAIL             1 NW KINGS MOUNTAIN     35.25N 81.36W
06/16/2009  E1.00 INCH       CLEVELAND          NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF OAK GROVE ROAD AND HW-74.

0624 PM     HAIL             4 SW KINGS MOUNTAIN     35.20N 81.40W
06/16/2009  E1.75 INCH       CLEVELAND          NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALONG BETHLEHEM ROAD.

&&

BSH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
629 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0624 PM     HAIL             5 SW KINGS MOUNTAIN     35.19N 81.41W
06/16/2009  E1.75 INCH       CLEVELAND          NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALONG HUNT SEAT LANE. MULTIPLE LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN AS
            WELL.

&&

BSH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
650 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0611 PM     TORNADO          4 SW KINGS MOUNTAIN     35.20N 81.40W
06/16/2009                   CLEVELAND          NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            REPORT OF A TORNADO AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO A HOME ON
            PHIFER CIRCLE...NEAR BETHLEHEM CHURCH ROAD.

&&

BSH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
657 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TORNADO          3 W CHERRYVILLE         35.38N 81.43W
06/16/2009                   CLEVELAND          NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POSSIBLE TORNADO. SEVERAL TREES DOWN AT FALLSTON-WACO
            ROAD AND CEDAR LAKE FARM ROAD.

0618 PM     HAIL             2 W KINGS MOUNTAIN      35.24N 81.38W
06/16/2009  E2.00 INCH       CLEVELAND          NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

0625 PM     HAIL             2 SW KINGS MOUNTAIN     35.22N 81.37W
06/16/2009  E1.75 INCH       CLEVELAND          NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

0629 PM     TORNADO          6 NW KINGS MOUNTAIN     35.30N 81.42W
06/16/2009                   CLEVELAND          NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ON EAST SIDE OF KINGS MOUNTAIN
            RESERVOIR. TORNADO WAS SIGHTED BY PUBLIC.

&&

ARK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
658 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0617 PM     TORNADO          3 SSW KINGS MOUNTAIN    35.20N 81.37W
06/16/2009                   CLEVELAND          NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTS MULTIPLE TREES DOWN AND UPROOTED FROM
            MILE MARKER 3 TO MILE MARKER 8 ON I-85. THE SOUTH BOUND
            LANE OF THE INTERSTATE IS BLOCKED BY A FALLEN TREE.

&&

BSH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
703 PM EDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0657 PM     TORNADO          5 NW YORK               35.05N 81.30W
06/16/2009                   YORK               SC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            2 REPORTS OF A TORNADO ON THE GROUND NEAR THE
            INTERSECTION OF BEERSHEBA ROAD AND BLACK HIGHWAY.

&&

BSH