Alert archive / Georgia / Red Flag Warnings in 2009
Red Flag Warning 7, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this red flag warning at Feb 21, 2009, 3:52 PM EST for 4 counties in Georgia. It took effect at Feb 22, 2009, 11:00 AM EST. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 21, 2009, 3:52 PM EST (20:52 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 22, 2009, 11:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 22, 2009, 8:00 PM EST
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Counties Elbert County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Hart County, GA, Stephens County, GA
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 170 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1884 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 51 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -31 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 23 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KGSP 212052 RFWGSP RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 352 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 GAZ010-017-220500- /O.CAN.KGSP.FW.A.0004.090222T1500Z-090223T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KGSP.FW.A.0005.090223T1600Z-090224T0000Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM- 352 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SUNDAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HUMIDITY VALUES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO FALL REACH RED FLAG CRITERIA FOR 4 HOURS OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SOME RAIN AND SNOW IS ALSO EXPECTED TO FALL OVER THE NORTHEAST GEORGIA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...WHICH SHOULD HELP TO INCREASE FUEL MOISTURE VALUES ON SUNDAY. THEREFORE THE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH LOWER ON MONDAY...FALLING INTO THE UPPER TEENS. THE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURING THE DAY SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MONDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ GAZ018-026-028-029-220500- /O.UPG.KGSP.FW.A.0004.090222T1500Z-090223T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KGSP.FW.W.0007.090222T1600Z-090223T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KGSP.FW.A.0005.090223T1600Z-090224T0000Z/ STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- 352 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA SUNDAY BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT. WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 MPH WILL BE COMMON DURING THE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURING THE AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH DRY FUELS WILL LEAD TO DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER ON MONDAY...FALLING INTO THE UPPER TEENS. THE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURING THE DAY SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MONDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ MCAVOY
3 follow-up statements
000 WWUS82 KGSP 220223 RFWGSP RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 923 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 GAZ018-026-028-029-221200- /O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0007.090222T1600Z-090223T0000Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.FW.A.0005.090223T1600Z-090224T0000Z/ STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- 923 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME AREA FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA SUNDAY BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT. WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 MPH WILL BE COMMON DURING THE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURING THE AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH DRY FUELS WILL LEAD TO DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE EVEN LOWER ON MONDAY...FALLING INTO THE UPPER TEENS. THE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURING THE DAY SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MONDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ GAZ010-017-221200- /O.CON.KGSP.FW.A.0005.090223T1600Z-090224T0000Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM- 923 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. HUMIDITY VALUES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO FALL REACH RED FLAG CRITERIA FOR 4 HOURS OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SOME RAIN AND SNOW IS ALSO EXPECTED TO FALL OVER THE NORTHEAST GEORGIA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...WHICH SHOULD HELP TO INCREASE FUEL MOISTURE VALUES ON SUNDAY. HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH LOWER ON MONDAY...FALLING INTO THE UPPER TEENS. THE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURING THE DAY SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MONDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ 07
000 WWUS82 KGSP 221030 RFWGSP RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 530 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009 GAZ018-026-028-029-222100- /O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0007.090222T1600Z-090223T0000Z/ /O.CON.KGSP.FW.A.0005.090223T1600Z-090224T0000Z/ STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- 530 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT. WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 MPH WILL BE COMMON DURING THE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND 20 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURING THE AFTERNOON OUTSIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH DRY FUELS WILL LEAD TO DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND 20 PERCENT AGAIN ON MONDAY. THE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURING THE DAY...SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ GAZ010-017-222100- /O.CON.KGSP.FW.A.0005.090223T1600Z-090224T0000Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM- 530 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND 20 PERCENT MONDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA MOUNTAINS. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURING THE DAY...SO THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$
000 WWUS82 KGSP 221945 RFWGSP RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 245 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009 GAZ018-026-028-029-230115- /O.UPG.KGSP.FW.A.0005.090223T1600Z-090224T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KGSP.FW.W.0008.090223T1600Z-090224T0100Z/ /O.EXT.KGSP.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-090223T0100Z/ STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- 245 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EST MONDAY. THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER TEENS TO LOW 20S THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AFTER SUNSET. IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL WEAKEN EARLY THIS EVENING...REMAINING 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DECREASE TO CRITICAL LEVELS FOR 4 TO 7 HOURS ON MONDAY. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...SUNNY CONDITIONS...AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL LIKELY INCREASE WILDFIRE POTENTIAL. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. $$ GAZ010-017-230115- /O.UPG.KGSP.FW.A.0005.090223T1600Z-090224T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KGSP.FW.W.0008.090223T1600Z-090224T0100Z/ RABUN-HABERSHAM- 245 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EST MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND 20 PERCENT MONDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA MOUNTAINS. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURING THE DAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...SUNNY CONDITIONS...AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL LIKELY INCREASE WILDFIRE POTENTIAL. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Feb 21, 3:03 PM EST, 49 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 21, 3:03 PM EST, 49 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
303 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009
.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY COLD
AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY. THIS HIGH WILL
SLOWLY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MIDWEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT RANGE MODELS AGREE THAT A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS LATE TONIGHT...PUSHING EAST OF THE CWA
SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. MOS TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT MIN
TEMPS SHOULD RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 20S ACROSS THE NC MTNS...WITH
LOW TO MID 30S EAST. BASED ON THE TIMING OF THE TEMPERATURE
PROFILE...IT APPEARS THAT SHRA WILL STEADILY MIX OVER TO SHSN
TONIGHT. NW FLOW...CAA...AND LLVL MOISTURE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
UPSLOPE SNOW ALONG THE FAVORED NWFS AREAS THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW. WE
EXPECT THAT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 1-2 INCHES ALONG THE
RIDGES TO AN INCH OR LESS ACROSS THE VALLEYS. WE PLAN TO HIGHLIGHT
THE REGION WITH A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. MTN COUNTIES EAST OF THE
ADVISORY COULD SEE A DUSTING TO A TENTH OF AN INCH.
SUNDAY...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING COLD LLVL THICKNESS AND
H85 TEMPS ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE MORNING. COOL TEMPERATURE
PROFILES AND DEEP MIXING SHOULD LIMIT HEATING...KEEPING TEMPERATURES
SEVERAL CATE BELOW NORMAL. DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS TO LOW TEENS...RESULTING IN RH VALUES NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...NW WINDS WILL LIKELY BECOME GUSTY BY
MID DAY AND REMAIN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. PLEASE SEE THE FIRE
WEATHER DISCUSSION BELOW FOR DETAILS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 220 PM SATURDAY...SCT SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL END OVER THE
NRN MTNS SUNDAY EVENING. CROSS SECTIONS SHOW THAT THE MOISTURE
BECOMES VERY SHALLOW AFTER 00 UTC...AND ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS
SHOULD BE LIGHT. MIN TEMPS WILL BE QUITE COLD OVERNIGHT WITH L-M20S
OVER THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT AND TEENS IN THE MTNS.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION ON MONDAY. THE SOURCE
REGION FOR THE HIGH IS WESTERN CANADA...SO THE AIRMASS SHOULD BE
QUITE COLD. DESPITE SUNNY SKIES MAX TEMPS WILL RUN 8 TO 10 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.
THE RIDGE AXIS WILL STILL BE CENTERED OVER THE REGION TUESDAY
MORNING AND MIN TEMPS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE QUITE COLD. HIGH CLOUDS
WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY BUT THE
LLVLS WILL REMAIN DRY. THE CENTER OF THE HIGH WILL MOVE OFF THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST ON WED AS THE MID-TROPOSPHERIC FLOW TAKES ON A
WEAK ZONAL CONFIGURATION. THIS WILL CAUSE LLVL WARM ADVECTION TO
GRADUALLY INCREASE...BUT THE AIRMASS STILL LOOKS DRY WITH ONLY HIGH
CLOUDS. MAX TEMPS SHOULD FINALLY RISE TO AROUND SEASONABLE LEVELS.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM SATURDAY...NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS THINKING FOR
AT LEAST THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD BE OFF THE
EAST COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL OPEN THE GATES FOR MOISTURE TO
RETURN FROM THE ATLANTIC AND GULF AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM DIGGING OVER
THE PLAINS. THE GFS PROBABLY CONTINUES TO DEVELOP PRECIP A BIT TOO
EARLY IN THE RETURN FLOW SO WEDNESDAY NIGHT WAS KEPT DRY. PRECIP
CHANCES WERE RAMPED UP FROM WEST TO EAST ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT. FORTUNATELY...WARM ADVECTION AND PARTIAL THICKNESS SUGGEST
THAT ANY PRECIP WILL BE LIQUID. THE MODELS ARE STILL IN DECENT
AGREEMENT WITH DROPPING A SURFACE FRONT DOWN ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA ON FRIDAY AS THE MAIN SHORT WAVE PASSES ACROSS THE UPPER OH
VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES. POP WILL BE KEPT IN CHANCE RANGE FOR THE
PASSAGE OF THE FRONT BUT WILL HOLD OFF WITH MENTIONING THUNDER AT
THIS POINT AS INSTABILITY IS MARGINAL AT BEST.
THE MODELS DIVERGE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE GFS STALLS THE
BOUNDARY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND DEVELOPS A WAVE ON THE FRONT
TO THE WEST...WHICH TRAVERSES THE AREA ON SATURDAY. THIS LOOKS
OVERDONE AS A LOW LEVEL PV ANOMALY BLOWS UP OVER THE SRN PLAINS AND
AMPLIFIES A SURFACE LOW MOVING EASTWARD FRIDAY NIGHT. THE ECMWF
MOVES THE FRONT FARTHER SOUTH BUT KEEPS THE NRN EDGE OF PRECIP
NEARBY. FOR NOW WOULD PREFER TO KEEP SATURDAY DRY ACROSS MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA BUT WILL CONCEDE A SLIGHT CHANCE ACROSS THE SOUTH
BASED ON THE ECMWF.
&&
.AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AT KCLT...SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8-10 KTS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
TERMINAL EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE UNTIL SUNSET. THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT...WINDS WILL WEAKEN TO AROUND 5 KTS AS HIGH AND
MID LEVEL CLOUDS GRADUALLY INCREASE. AROUND SUNRISE...WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO VEER TO WEST AS A SFC COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE
REGION. A FEW SHRA MAY EXIST IN THE VICINITY...BUT WILL ADVERTISE A
040 KFT CEILING. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO VEER FROM THE NW THROUGH MID
MORNING...WITH SPEEDS RANGING FROM 10-15 KTS GUSTING TO 20-25 KTS.
ELSEWHERE...LIGHT WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN FROM THE SOUTH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...SPEEDS RANGING FROM 7-9 KTS. HIGH TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS
WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS FROM MID EVENING THROUGH
THE REST OF THE NIGHT. AS THE FRONT APPROACHES LATE TONIGHT...WINDS
ACROSS THE REGION WILL VEER WEST AND CIGS WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER. IT
APPEARS THAT CIGS WILL REMAIN VFR THROUGH FROPA. HOWEVER...A FEW
PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS MAY EXIST NEAR KAVL LATE TONIGHT AND
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...A FEW SHSN MAY CROSS THE KAVL
TERMINAL...BUT CHCS APPEAR TOO LIMITED AT THIS TIME. SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TO 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS
25-30 KTS.
OUTLOOK...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
AFTER COORDINATION WITH GA LAND MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS...WE WILL ISSUE
A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE NON-MOUNTAINOUS PARTS OF GA ON SAT. RH/S
FALL TO AROUND 25 PERCENT FOR THE REQUISITE 4 HOURS. THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS SHOULD SEE A LITTLE MORE PCPN OVERNIGHT...SO EVEN IF RH/S
VERIFY LOWER THAN EXPECTED IN THE MTNS...FIRE DANGER SHOULD NOT AS
HIGH THERE. WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 25 MPH THROUGHOUT THE
AFTERNOON...WHICH ALSO TOUCHES ON METEOROLOGICAL RED FLAG CRITERIA
IN GA. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR ALL OF NE GA FOR MON
AS RH/S LOOKS TO FALL INTO THE UPPER TEENS...THOUGH WINDS WILL NOT
BE AN ISSUE.
WE WILL ALSO ISSUE A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND
PIEDMONT OF WRN NC AND FOR UPSTATE SC. THE RH/S WILL BE LOWER IN
SC...BUT THE WINDS WILL BE HIGHER IN NC. ATTM IT APPEARS THAT THERE
SHOULD BE ONLY VERY LIMITED OVERLAP IN WIND AND RH RED FLAG
CRITERIA. BOTH CAE AND RAH HAVE COORDINATED WITH STATE LAND
MANAGEMENT FOLKS AND THEY ARE CONTENT WITH A STATEMENT FOR NOW.
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR GAZ018-026-
028-029.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
FOR GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029.
NC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR NCZ033-048>052-058-059-062-063-501-503-
505.
SC...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...NED
SHORT TERM...MCAVOY
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...NED
FIRE WEATHER...MCAVOYHazardous weather outlook, Feb 21, 4:54 AM EST, 10 hours 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 454 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-221000- AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS- 454 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT WILL CHANGE FROM RAIN TO SNOW ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE BY MORNING AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND LOCATIONS ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO AS MUCH AS 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY EVENING WHEN THE SNOW SHOWERS TAPER OFF. THE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR MAINLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND LOCATIONS ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT SUNDAY. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. SCZ001>003-221000- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- 454 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT WILL CHANGE FROM RAIN TO SNOW ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTH CAROLINA. VERY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE BY MORNING AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT SUNDAY. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. GAZ010-017-221000- RABUN-HABERSHAM- 454 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT WILL CHANGE FROM RAIN TO SNOW ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA. VERY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE BY MORNING AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FIRE WEATHER WATCH. WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT SUNDAY. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. GAZ018-026-028-029-221000- STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT- 454 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FIRE WEATHER WATCH. WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND A COLD FRONT SUNDAY. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510-SCZ004>014-019- 221000- ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON- MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE- EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-GREATER OCONEE- GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 454 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND A COLD FRONT SUNDAY. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Feb 21, 3:34 PM EST, 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 334 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510-221000- ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON- MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE- EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY... SALISBURY...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE... CONCORD...MONROE...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...RUTHERFORD... COLUMBUS 334 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 ...INCREASED FIRE DANGER FROM 11 AM THROUGH 7 PM SUNDAY... WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 25 MPH MUCH OF THE DAY ON SUNDAY. THE HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AS FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS ARE QUITE LOW OVER THE REGION...THERE WILL BE INCREASED FIRE DANGER DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AT THIS TIME RED FLAG CRITERIA IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MET. HOWEVER...IF DEWPOINTS ARE LOWER THAN FORECAST...THEN RED FLAG CRITERIA COULD STILL BE MET OVER PARTS OF THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. SCZ004>014-019-212230- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER- GREENWOOD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY... ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER... GREENWOOD 330 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 AFTERNOON HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 PERCENT OVER UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA ON SUNDAY. WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA...BUT WITH LOW FUEL MOISTURE THERE WILL STILL BE INCREASED FIRE DANGER SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IF THE WINDS ARE STRONGER THAN PREDICTED...THEN PARTS OF THE UPSTATE COULD STILL MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA LATER IN THE DAY ON SUNDAY. MCAVOY
The office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 5:58 AM EST | Fire Weather Watch | GSP | Elbert, Franklin, Habersham, Hart, Rabun, Stephens | 10 hr |
| Feb 21, 3:52 PM EST | Fire Weather Watch | GSP | Elbert, Franklin, Habersham, Hart, Rabun, Stephens | 23 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Georgia, 2009Every red flag warning in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.