Red Flag Warning 4, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 061004
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
504 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2009

GAZ026-028-029-061815-
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0004.090206T1700Z-090206T2300Z/
FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
504 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY. DRY AIR COMBINED
WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS FRANKLIN...HART AND
ELBERT COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 061553
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1053 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2009

GAZ026-028-029-062300-
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0004.090206T1700Z-090206T2300Z/
FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
1053 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY. DRY AIR COMBINED
WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS FRANKLIN...HART AND
ELBERT COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

ARK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
300 PM EST THU FEB 5 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE SOUTHEAST FRIDAY...THEN GRADUALLY
MOVE OFF THE COAST DURING THE WEEKEND.  A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE
GREAT LAKES ON SATURDAY WILL STALL OUT OVER THE OHIO RIVER ON
SUNDAY. THIS FRONT WILL DRIFT SOUTH TO THE CAROLINAS MONDAY...AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND RIDGES SOUTH.  ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST BY MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SFC HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER THE CWFA TONIGHT...THEN SHIFTS OFF THE
SOUTHEAST COAST BY TOMORROW EVENING. TONIGHT WILL BE ONE LAST REALLY
COLD NIGHT THANKS TO GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS (CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS). H85 WAA BEGINS OVERNIGHT...AND THIS SHOULD
HELP STOP TEMPS FROM PLUMMETING OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN. MTN VALLEYS
WILL STILL BE ABLE TO DROP INTO THE LWR TEENS. ELSEWHERE...MIN TEMPS
SHOULD BE IN THE UPR TEENS IN THE NW PIEDMONT TO LWR 20S IN THE UPR
SAVANNAH VALLEY.

FRIDAY...CONTINUED WAA AND DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL HELP TEMPS REBOUND
CONSIDERABLY...AS AIR MASS WILL STILL BE VERY DRY (SUNNY). MAX TEMPS
SHOULD REACH THE 40S IN THE MTNS...AND LWR TO MID 50S ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 2 PM THURSDAY...UPPER RIDGE AXIS STARTS OUT OVER THE AREA WITH
A WEAK SHORT WAVE UNDERCUTTING THE RIDGE FRI NITE. HOWEVER...DRY SFC
RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE AREA DURING THIS PERIOD. HEIGHTS RISE THRU
SAT NITE...BUT THE RIDGE FLATTENS AS A STRONG SHORT WAVE MOVES
ACROSS THE NRN PART OF THE COUNTRY. SFC HIGH SLOWLY SLIDES EASTWARD
DURING THIS TIME WITH DRY RIDGING REMAINING FROM THE ATLANTIC TO THE
GULF COAST. ALL THIS MEANS DRY WX...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND A WARMING
TREND. LOWS NEAR NORMAL FRI NITE...EXCEPT MUCH WARMER OVER THE RIDGE
TOPS...WARM TO 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL SAT NITE. HIGHS SATURDAY
REACHING THE LOW TO MID 60S ALL AREAS EXCEPT 50S FOR THE RIDGES.

THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED STRONG SHORT WAVE DOES DROP INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC SUNDAY HELPING TO PUSH A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA
LATE SUNDAY. THERE IS SOME DIFFERENCE WITH THE MDLS ON THE FRONTAL
POSITION BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THEY ALL SHOW MOISTURE
POOLING ALONG THE MTNS WITH UPSLOPE FLOW. WILL FOLLOW THE GUIDANCE
AND ADD SLIGHT CHC POP FOR THE TN BORDER COUNTIES SUN AFTERNOON.
EVEN WITH THE FNT APPROACHING...THICKNESSES REMAIN QUITE HIGH. HIGHS
WILL REMAIN NEARLY STEADY OVER THE MTNS AND A COUPLE OF DEGREES
WARMER ELSEWHERE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM THURSDAY...A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT WITH VERY
LIMITED MOISTURE ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE. THE BOUNDARY WILL THEN LIFT
SLOWLY NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT ON MONDAY. SLIGHT CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS WILL BE CARRIED NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE AS LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW
DEVELOPS AT 850 MB OVER THE BOUNDARY. OTHERWISE...UPPER LEVEL
HEIGHTS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE EAST MONDAY AS SEVERAL
POTENT WAVES LIFT FROM THE ROCKIES THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS.

THE DEEPEST TROUGH WILL DIG THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS REGION OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN U.S. TUESDAY...PERMITTING A BROAD SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH MID WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN
LOW END SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS TUESDAY INTO WED. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD RISE INTO THE 60S IN MOST AREAS UNDER WARM ADVECTION.

THE ECM IS SLOWER AND FARTHER NORTH THAN THE GFS IN LIFTING THE
SYSTEM EASTWARD THROUGH THURSDAY...AND THE SLOWER SOLUTION IS
PREFERRED. A BLEND TOWARD ECM WILL BRING THE DEEPEST FRONTAL
MOISTURE INTO THE AREA EARLY THURSDAY...WITH FAIRLY RAPID CLEARING
FROM THE WEST DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE PREFERRED ECM SOLUTION WOULD
ALSO KEEP MOUNTAIN TEMPERATURES WARMER THURSDAY AFTERNOON IN THE
POST FROPA AIRMASS.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT CLT...SKY AND VIS WILL REMAIN UNLIMITED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
NLY WNDS ARND 10 KTS WL BCM WLY/SWLY BY ARND 20Z...THEN BACK TO SLY
BY 01Z AND RMN VRY LGT.

ELSEWHERE...SKY AND VIS WILL REMAIN UNLIMITED THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD.  DAYTIME WIND SPEEDS WL BE ARND 5-10 KTS. THIS EVE...WNDS
SHUD SHIFT TO SLY AND BCM VRY LGT.

OUTLOOK...QUIET WX CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN THRU THE WEEKEND.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ALTHOUGH DEW POINTS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FRIDAY...WARMING TEMPS
WILL CAUSE RH VALUES TO FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT SOUTH OF I-85 IN NE GA
DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS IS ALSO THE LOCATION WHERE 10 HOUR FUEL
MOISTURE IS BELOW 10 PERCENT. WILL ISSUE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THOSE
3 COUNTIES. ELSEWHERE...LOW RH WILL CONTINUE...BUT WINDS WILL BE LOW
ENUF FOR NO RED FLAG PRODUCTS.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY FOR GAZ026-028-
     029.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TJB
NEAR TERM...ARK
SHORT TERM...RWH
LONG TERM...HG
AVIATION...ARK
FIRE WEATHER...RWH/ARK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1002 AM EST THU FEB 5 2009

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-061515-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
1002 AM EST THU FEB 5 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

ARK