Alert archive / Michigan / Wind Advisories in 2009
Wind Advisory 1, NWS Grand Rapids, MI
NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this wind advisory at Feb 10, 2009, 3:38 PM EST for 23 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Feb 11, 2009, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 10, 2009, 3:38 PM EST (20:38 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 11, 2009, 6:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 12, 2009, 4:14 AM EST
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Rapids, MI
All 23 counties
Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Clare County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lake County, MI, Mason County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Van Buren County, MI
The radar
The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 27 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 645 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 69 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 455 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 427 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS73 KGRR 102038 NPWGRR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 338 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009 ...HIGH WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING... .INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BRING STRONG WINDS...WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM HOLLAND TO LANSING. MIZ050-056>059-064>067-071>074-110445- /O.UPG.KGRR.HW.A.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM- VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS... IONIA...ST. JOHNS...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING... SOUTH HAVEN...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 338 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN ON WEDNESDAY AND STRONG WINDS WILL FOLLOW BEHIND THE LOW FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH MAY BRING SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ MIZ037>040-043>046-051-052-110445- /O.NEW.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MONTCALM- GRATIOT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT... GREENVILLE...ALMA 338 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN ON WEDNESDAY AND STRONG WINDS WILL FOLLOW BEHIND THE LOW FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH MAY BRING SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ OSTUNO
8 follow-up statements
000 WWUS73 KGRR 110300 NPWGRR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 1000 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009 ...HIGH WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING... .INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BRING STRONG WINDS... WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM HOLLAND TO LANSING. MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-111100- /O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON- MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON- INGHAM-VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON... GREENVILLE...ALMA...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS... HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN... KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 1000 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A VIGOROUS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN LATE WEDNESDAY AND STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE LOW FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ LAURENS
000 WWUS73 KGRR 110819 NPWGRR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 319 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...HIGH WINDS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING... .AN ATYPICALLY STRONG MID FEBRUARY WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN TONIGHT. THAT TRACK WILL PUT SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN IN A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT THIS EVENING AS THE COLD AIR STREAMS BACK IN. THE RESULT WILL BE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH OVER MOST OF THE AREA. THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94 AND FROM KALAMAZOO EAST WILL SEE GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH. THIS IS LIKELY TO RESULT IN SOME DOWNED LIMBS AND RELATED POWER OUTAGES. MIZ072>074-111630- /O.UPG.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KGRR.HW.W.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 319 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 60 MPH THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THAT STRONG MID FEBRUARY STORM MOVES NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. IT MAY BE GOOD TO MOVE VEHICLES FROM UNDER LARGE TREES IF POSSIBLE. $$ MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071-111630- /O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON- MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON- INGHAM-VAN BUREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON... GREENVILLE...ALMA...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS... HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN 319 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 50 MPH THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THAT STRONG MID FEBRUARY STORM MOVES NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ WDM
000 WWUS73 KGRR 111139 NPWGRR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 639 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...DENSE FOG THIS MORNING THEN HIGH WINDS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING... .AN ATYPICALLY STRONG MID FEBRUARY WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN TONIGHT. THE MOISTURE STREAMING AHEAD OF THAT STORM IS MIXING WITH COOLER AIR OVER MICHIGAN AND HAS CREATED DENSE FOG NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96. THE FOG WILL MIX OUT AS THE WIND INCREASE AS THE STORM SYSTEM GETS CLOSER TO LOWER MICHIGAN LATER THIS MORNING. THE CURRENT TRACK PUTS SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN IN A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT THIS EVENING AS THE COLD AIR STREAMS BACK IN. THE RESULT WILL BE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH OVER MOST OF THE AREA. THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94 AND FROM KALAMAZOO EAST WILL SEE GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH. THIS IS LIKELY TO RESULT IN SOME DOWNED LIMBS AND RELATED POWER OUTAGES. MIZ072>074-111945- /O.NEW.KGRR.FG.Y.0001.090211T1139Z-090211T1500Z/ /O.CON.KGRR.HW.W.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 639 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES INTO MID MORNING. AT THAT TIME WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AS THE RAIN OVERSPREADS THE AREA. THE COMBINATION OF STRONGER WINDS AND RAIN SHOULD IMPROVE THE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR A MILE. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 60 MPH THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THAT STRONG MID FEBRUARY STORM MOVES NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. IT MAY BE GOOD TO MOVE VEHICLES FROM UNDER LARGE TREES IF POSSIBLE. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. $$ MIZ056>059-064>067-071-111945- /O.NEW.KGRR.FG.Y.0001.090211T1139Z-090211T1500Z/ /O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-VAN BUREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA... ST. JOHNS...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING... SOUTH HAVEN 639 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. DENSE FOG NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96 WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES INTO MID MORNING. AT THAT TIME WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AS THE RAIN OVERSPREADS THE AREA. THE COMBINATION OF STRONGER WINDS AND RAIN SHOULD IMPROVE THE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR A MILE. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. $$ MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-111945- /O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON- MONTCALM-GRATIOT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON... GREENVILLE...ALMA 639 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ WDM
000 WWUS73 KGRR 111438 NPWGRR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 938 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...DENSE FOG THIS MORNING THEN HIGH WINDS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING... .AN ATYPICALLY STRONG MID FEBRUARY WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN TONIGHT. THE MOISTURE STREAMING AHEAD OF THAT STORM IS MIXING WITH COOLER AIR OVER MICHIGAN AND HAS CREATED DENSE FOG ACROSS THE AREA. THE FOG WILL MIX OUT AS THE WINDS INCREASE AND RAIN BEGINS TO FALL TODAY. THE CURRENT TRACK PUTS SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN IN A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT THIS EVENING AS THE COLD AIR STREAMS BACK IN. THE RESULT WILL BE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH OVER MOST OF THE AREA. THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94 AND FROM KALAMAZOO EAST WILL SEE GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH. THIS IS LIKELY TO RESULT IN SOME DOWNED LIMBS AND RELATED POWER OUTAGES. MIZ072>074-112245- /O.CAN.KGRR.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090211T1500Z/ /O.CON.KGRR.HW.W.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 938 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. VISIBILITIES HAVE IMPROVED ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AS WINDS HAVE INCREASED. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 60 MPH THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THAT STRONG MID FEBRUARY STORM MOVES NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. IT MAY BE GOOD TO MOVE VEHICLES FROM UNDER LARGE TREES IF POSSIBLE. $$ MIZ064>067-071-112245- /O.CAN.KGRR.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090211T1500Z/ /O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-VAN BUREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE... LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN 938 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH TO 58 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-112245- /O.EXB.KGRR.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090211T1900Z/ /O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON- MONTCALM-GRATIOT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON... GREENVILLE...ALMA 938 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. DENSE FOG HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. WIDESPREAD VISIBILITIES OF LESS THAN A QUARTER OF A MILE ARE IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ MIZ056>059-112245- /O.EXT.KGRR.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090211T1700Z/ /O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA... ST. JOHNS 938 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. DENSE FOG REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. VISIBILITIES REMAIN AT OR BELOW A QUARTER OF A MILE ACROSS THE AREA. VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN... USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ WDM/NJJ
000 WWUS73 KGRR 111701 NPWGRR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 1201 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...HIGH WINDS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING... .A STRONG MID FEBRUARY WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN THROUGH TONIGHT. THE CURRENT TRACK PUTS SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN IN A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT THIS EVENING AS THE COLD AIR SURGES BACK IN. THE RESULT WILL BE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH OVER MOST OF THE AREA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94 AND FROM KALAMAZOO EAST WILL SEE GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH. THIS IS LIKELY TO RESULT IN SOME DOWNED LIMBS AND RELATED POWER OUTAGES. MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-120115- /O.CAN.KGRR.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090211T1900Z/ /O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON- MONTCALM-GRATIOT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON... GREENVILLE...ALMA 1201 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH TO 58 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ MIZ056>059-120115- /O.CAN.KGRR.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090211T1700Z/ /O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA... ST. JOHNS 1201 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH TO 58 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ MIZ072>074-120115- /O.CON.KGRR.HW.W.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 1201 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 60 MPH THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THAT STRONG MID FEBRUARY STORM MOVES NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. IT MAY BE GOOD TO MOVE VEHICLES FROM UNDER LARGE TREES IF POSSIBLE. $$ MIZ064>067-071-120115- /O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-VAN BUREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE... LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN 1201 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY... NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH TO 58 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ NJJ
000 WWUS73 KGRR 112101 NPWGRR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 401 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...HIGH WINDS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING... .A STRONG MID FEBRUARY WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN THROUGH TONIGHT. THE CURRENT TRACK PUTS SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN IN A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS THE COLD AIR SURGES BACK IN. THE RESULT WILL BE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH OVER MOST OF THE AREA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. AREAS ALONG INTERSTATE 94 FROM KALAMAZOO TO THE EAST WILL SEE GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH. THIS IS LIKELY TO RESULT IN SOME DOWNED LIMBS AND RELATED POWER OUTAGES. MIZ072>074-120515- /O.CON.KGRR.HW.W.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 401 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THEN THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. IT MAY BE GOOD TO MOVE VEHICLES FROM UNDER LARGE TREES IF POSSIBLE. $$ MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071-120515- /O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON- MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON- INGHAM-VAN BUREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON... GREENVILLE...ALMA...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS... HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN 401 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THEN THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH TO 58 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ NJJ
000 WWUS73 KGRR 120350 NPWGRR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 1050 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...HIGH WINDS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING... .A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER MOST OF THE AREA TONIGHT. AREAS ALONG INTERSTATE 94 FROM KALAMAZOO TO THE EAST COULD SEE GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH. THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME DOWNED LIMBS AND RELATED POWER OUTAGES. MIZ072>074-121200- /O.CON.KGRR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-090212T1200Z/ KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 1050 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. IT WILL REMAIN WINDY EARLY THURSDAY...BUT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. IT MAY BE GOOD TO MOVE VEHICLES FROM UNDER LARGE TREES IF POSSIBLE. $$ MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071-121200- /O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090212T1200Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON- MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON- INGHAM-VAN BUREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON... GREENVILLE...ALMA...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS... HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN 1050 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY... NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. IT WILL REMAIN WINDY EARLY THURSDAY...BUT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH TO 58 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$
000 WWUS73 KGRR 120914 NPWGRR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 414 AM EST THU FEB 12 2009 ...WINDS DIMINISHING... .AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE AREA TODAY IT WILL REMAIN BRISK ...HOWEVER WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA SPEEDS. MIZ072>074-121015- /O.CAN.KGRR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-090212T1200Z/ KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON 414 AM EST THU FEB 12 2009 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL STILL BE LIKELY TODAY. HOWEVER THIS IS BELOW WIND ADVISORY OR WARNING CRITERIA...THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071-121015- /O.CAN.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090212T1200Z/ MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON- MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON- INGHAM-VAN BUREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON... GREENVILLE...ALMA...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS... HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN 414 AM EST THU FEB 12 2009 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL STILL BE LIKELY TODAY. HOWEVER THIS IS BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA...THEREFORE THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Feb 10, 3:21 PM EST, 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 10, 3:21 PM EST, 17 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 321 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009 LATEST UPDATE...SYNOPSIS/SHORT TERM/HYDRO... .SYNOPSIS...(321 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009) A STORM WILL MOVE IN WITH HEAVY RAIN ON WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY STRONG WINDS AND RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOME FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY FROM THE COMBINATION OF RAIN AND MELTED SNOW. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AS WINDS GUST OVER 40 MPH AT TIMES. && .SHORT TERM...(321 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009) (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT) PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERNS ARE FOR HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDER POTENTIAL ON WEDNESDAY...HIGH WINDS AND CHANGEOVER TO SNOW ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT. FOR TONIGHT...WILL LEAVE MENTION OF PATCHY FOG AS WINDS GO LIGHT IN BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE CENTERS. WILL BRING POPS INTO SOUTHERN CWA AFTER 06Z AS MOISTURE STREAMS NORTH. HAVE NOT MADE MANY CHANGES TO THE WEATHER GRIDS ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE REMAINS SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...BUT WILL HAVE TO WATCH CONVECTIVE TRENDS CAREFULLY ON WEDNESDAY AS WARM OR OCCLUDED FRONT LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE EASTERN FORECAST AREA. MODEL WIND PROFILES SHOW 50 KTS OF WIND ONLY 2 KFT OFF THE SFC AROUND 18Z...SO EVEN ISOLATED CONVECTION MAY PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS. A MORE WIDESPREAD...SYNOPTIC WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BOTH NAM AND GFS SHOW AT LEAST ADVISORY CRITERIA...WITH POTENTIAL FOR WARNING CRITERIA ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FORECAST AREA. DECIDED AGAINST A WARNING BASED ON THE MARGINAL CONDITIONS AND THE 12Z ECMWF WHICH IS WEAKER AND FASTER WITH THE SFC LOW. MODEL QPF FROM THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN WAS FOLLOWED...ALTHOUGH THE 12Z ECMWF IS FURTHER EAST AND WOULD TAKE THE BULK OF THE HEAVY RAIN EAST OF OUR FORECAST AREA. HAVE ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE CWA BASED ON COMBINED SNOWMELT AND ABOUT AN INCH OF RAIN. TWEAKED THE TIMING AND AMOUNTS OF SNOW ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 12Z MODEL RUNS SHOW A BIT LESS SNOW AND SLOWER CHANGEOVER AND REFLECTED THIS INT HE GRIDS. && .LONG TERM...(144 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009) (THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY) FORECAST CONCERNS DURING THE LONG TERM DEAL WITH THE DEPARTURE OF WEDNESDAY/S LOW AND WIND ASSOCIATED WITH IT AND THEN THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SNOW ON SATURDAY. THREE HOUR PRESSURE CHANGES SHOULD BE MUCH LOWER THURSDAY MORNING VS WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AROUND 3-4MB/3HR. THAT/S LIKELY NOT ENOUGH TO WARRANT WIND HEADLINES. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY OCCUR THURSDAY MORNING BUT RELAX DURING THE AFTERNOON. SOME LIGHT SNOW THURSDAY IS ALSO POSSIBLE THURSDAY MORNING BUT THE BULK OF THE SYNOPTIC SNOW WILL HAVE ALREADY PUSHED EAST OF THE CWA. H8 TEMPS BEHIND THE LOW DON/T APPEAR COLD ENOUGH TO GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW...BUT WITH THE UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE CWA...WE NEED TO KEEP SOME PCPN IN THE GRIDS. DRY WX IS THEN EXPECTED FRI/FRI NIGHT. THE MODELS HAVE BEEN MOVING NORTH AND SOUTH WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE NEXT LOW THAT WILL MOVE EAST FROM THE PLAINS. THE ECMWF/GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE LOW TRACK...BUT THE GFS IS A BIT STRONGER. MEANWHILE THE GLBLGEM IS A BIT FARTHER SOUTH. GIVEN THE GFS/ECMWF TRACK...WE COULD SEE SOME LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE SRN CWA AND SO WE ADDED A LOW CHC POP. GFS IS ADVERTISING H8 TEMPS BEHIND THE LOW TO THE SOUTH TO FALL TO NEAR -15C SATURDAY-MONDAY. THAT SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP SO WE ADDED THAT TO THE GRIDS. MOISTURE LOOKS TO BE A LIMITING FACTOR THOUGH. && .AVIATION...(1237 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009) VFR WX EXPECTED THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE SW UNTIL THIS EVENING WHEN THEY WILL BEGIN TO BACK TOWARD THE SE. DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE WILL CAUSE RAIN AND IFR CIGS/VSBYS TO MOVE IN DURING THE LATE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD. SOME OF THE RAIN MAY BE HEAVY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM AFTER 12Z BUT THEY WERE NOT ADDED TO THE TAF. && .HYDROLOGY...(321 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009) FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN FOR WED AND WED NIGHT BASED ON AN INCH OR MORE OF QPF COMBINED WITH MELTED SNOW. SOME RIVER POINTS MAY REACH FLOOD STAGE BEGINNING WED NIGHT THEN INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE RISES MAKE THEIR WAY DOWNSTREAM. A WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR COMSTOCK PARK...AND OTHER RIVER POINT WARNINGS MAY FOLLOW. && .GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...FLOOD WATCH WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH WIND ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LM...NONE. && SYNOPSIS: OSTUNO SHORT TERM: OSTUNO LONG TERM: 93 AVIATION: 93 HYDROLOGY: OSTUNO
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 10, 5:40 AM EST, 9 hours 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 540 AM EST TUE FEB 10 2009 LMZ844>849-MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-111045- ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI- HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI- WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-MASON-LAKE- OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-MONTCALM- GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM- VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON- 540 AM EST TUE FEB 10 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL REMAIN AT ELEVATED LEVELS FROM BOTH MELTING SNOW AND THE RUNOFF FROM THE THIRD OF AN INCH OF RAIN THAT FELL ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. NO FLOODING IS FORECAST AT FOR THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTH INTO SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN AROUND SUNRISE. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT IS GREATEST EAST OF ROUTE 131 AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96 FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AND SMALL HAIL IS POSSIBLE FROM THE STRONGER STORMS. AT THIS POINT THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY SOUTH OF MICHIGAN. THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THE REMAINING MELTING SNOW AND WET GROUND WILL INCREASE THE THREAT OF URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING INTO THURSDAY. SEVERAL RIVERS MAY COME CLOSE TO FLOOD STAGE. ONCE THE CENTER OF THE STORM MOVES NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING...COLD AIR WILL SURGE BACK IN ON VERY STRONG WINDS. SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96...WINDS MAY GUST OVER 60 MPH FROM MID EVENING WEDNESDAY INTO THE MID MORNING HOURS OF THURSDAY. WHILE THAT IS HAPPENING THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SNOW BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SOME ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. SINCE THIS WILL BE A WET SNOW...EVEN WITH THE STRONG WINDS... BLOWING AND DRIFTING WILL BE REDUCED SOME. GUSTY WINDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. WDM
The office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 3:39 AM EST | High Wind Watch | GRR | Allegan, Barry, Calhoun, Clinton, Eaton, Ingham and 7 more | 12 hr |
| Feb 10, 12:04 PM EST | Flood Watch | GRR | Allegan, Barry, Calhoun, Clare, Clinton, Eaton and 17 more | 24 hr |
| Feb 10, 12:06 PM EST | River Flood Warning | GRR | Kent | 7 days |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Michigan, 2009Every wind advisory in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.