Alert archive / Michigan / High Wind Warnings in 2009

High Wind Warning 1, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

February 11, 2009Calhoun County, Jackson County, Kalamazoo County, Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this high wind warning at Feb 11, 2009, 3:19 AM EST for Calhoun County, Jackson County, Kalamazoo County, Michigan. It took effect at Feb 11, 2009, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 10 hr. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 11, 2009, 3:19 AM EST (08:19 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 11, 2009, 6:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 12, 2009, 4:14 AM EST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI

Counties Calhoun County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 11, 10:10 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND GST 46Kalamazoo, MI
Feb 11, 10:23 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND GST 513 Wsw Battle Creek, MI
Feb 11, 10:55 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND GST 47Marshall, MI
Feb 11, 11:07 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND GST 49Jackson, MI
Feb 11, 11:57 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND GST 46Jackson, MI

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2009-02-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2009-02-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 256 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
768 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
256 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
255 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS73 KGRR 110819
NPWGRR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
319 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...HIGH WINDS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING...

.AN ATYPICALLY STRONG MID FEBRUARY WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN TONIGHT. THAT TRACK WILL PUT SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN IN A
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT THIS EVENING AS THE COLD AIR STREAMS BACK
IN. THE RESULT WILL BE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH OVER MOST OF THE AREA. THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT. HOWEVER...AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94 AND FROM
KALAMAZOO EAST WILL SEE GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH. THIS IS LIKELY TO
RESULT IN SOME DOWNED LIMBS AND RELATED POWER OUTAGES. 


MIZ072>074-111630-
/O.UPG.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KGRR.HW.W.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/
KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
319 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 60 MPH THIS EVENING
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THAT STRONG MID FEBRUARY STORM MOVES
NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. 

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. IT MAY BE GOOD TO
MOVE VEHICLES FROM UNDER LARGE TREES IF POSSIBLE. 

$$

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071-111630-
/O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON...
GREENVILLE...ALMA...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS...
HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN
319 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY...

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 50 MPH THIS EVENING
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THAT STRONG MID FEBRUARY STORM MOVES
NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO OVERNIGHT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

WDM
6 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS73 KGRR 111139
NPWGRR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
639 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...DENSE FOG THIS MORNING THEN HIGH WINDS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING...

.AN ATYPICALLY STRONG MID FEBRUARY WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN TONIGHT. THE MOISTURE STREAMING AHEAD OF THAT STORM IS
MIXING WITH COOLER AIR OVER MICHIGAN AND HAS CREATED DENSE FOG
NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96. THE FOG WILL MIX OUT AS THE WIND
INCREASE AS THE STORM SYSTEM GETS CLOSER TO LOWER MICHIGAN LATER
THIS MORNING. THE CURRENT TRACK PUTS SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN IN A
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT THIS EVENING AS THE COLD AIR STREAMS BACK
IN. THE RESULT WILL BE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH OVER MOST OF THE AREA. THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT. HOWEVER...AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94 AND FROM
KALAMAZOO EAST WILL SEE GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH. THIS IS LIKELY TO
RESULT IN SOME DOWNED LIMBS AND RELATED POWER OUTAGES.

MIZ072>074-111945-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FG.Y.0001.090211T1139Z-090211T1500Z/
/O.CON.KGRR.HW.W.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/
KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
639 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A DENSE
FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A
HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST THURSDAY. 

DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES INTO MID
MORNING. AT THAT TIME WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AS THE RAIN
OVERSPREADS THE AREA. THE COMBINATION OF STRONGER WINDS AND RAIN
SHOULD IMPROVE THE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR A MILE.

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 60 MPH THIS EVENING
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THAT STRONG MID FEBRUARY STORM MOVES
NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO OVERNIGHT.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. IT MAY BE GOOD TO
MOVE VEHICLES FROM UNDER LARGE TREES IF POSSIBLE.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

$$

MIZ056>059-064>067-071-111945-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FG.Y.0001.090211T1139Z-090211T1500Z/
/O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/
OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
SOUTH HAVEN
639 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A DENSE
FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. A
WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY. 


DENSE FOG NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96 WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES
TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES INTO MID MORNING. AT THAT TIME WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO INCREASE AS THE RAIN OVERSPREADS THE AREA. THE COMBINATION
OF STRONGER WINDS AND RAIN SHOULD IMPROVE THE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR A
MILE.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

$$

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-111945-
/O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON...
GREENVILLE...ALMA
639 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY. 

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

WDM
000 
WWUS73 KGRR 111438
NPWGRR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
938 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...DENSE FOG THIS MORNING THEN HIGH WINDS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING...

.AN ATYPICALLY STRONG MID FEBRUARY WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN TONIGHT. THE MOISTURE STREAMING AHEAD OF THAT STORM IS
MIXING WITH COOLER AIR OVER MICHIGAN AND HAS CREATED DENSE FOG
ACROSS THE AREA. THE FOG WILL MIX OUT AS THE WINDS INCREASE AND
RAIN BEGINS TO FALL TODAY. THE CURRENT TRACK PUTS SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN
IN A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT THIS EVENING AS THE COLD AIR STREAMS
BACK IN. THE RESULT WILL BE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30
MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH OVER MOST OF THE AREA. THIS EVENING
AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER...AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94 AND
FROM KALAMAZOO EAST WILL SEE GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH. THIS IS LIKELY
TO RESULT IN SOME DOWNED LIMBS AND RELATED POWER OUTAGES.

MIZ072>074-112245-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090211T1500Z/
/O.CON.KGRR.HW.W.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/
KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
938 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST THURSDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE
DENSE FOG ADVISORY. A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. 

VISIBILITIES HAVE IMPROVED ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AS WINDS
HAVE INCREASED.

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 60 MPH THIS EVENING
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THAT STRONG MID FEBRUARY STORM MOVES
NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO OVERNIGHT.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. IT MAY BE GOOD TO MOVE
VEHICLES FROM UNDER LARGE TREES IF POSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ064>067-071-112245-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090211T1500Z/
/O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/
ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...
LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN
938 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE
DENSE FOG ADVISORY. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM
THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. 

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH TO 58 MPH ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-112245-
/O.EXB.KGRR.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090211T1900Z/
/O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON...
GREENVILLE...ALMA
938 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A DENSE
FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.
A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY. 

DENSE FOG HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. WIDESPREAD
VISIBILITIES OF LESS THAN A QUARTER OF A MILE ARE IN PLACE ACROSS
THE AREA. VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE THIS AFTERNOON AS
WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE.

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED
TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...USE YOUR
HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

MIZ056>059-112245-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090211T1700Z/
/O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/
OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
938 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. A
WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY. 

DENSE FOG REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING.
VISIBILITIES REMAIN AT OR BELOW A QUARTER OF A MILE ACROSS THE
AREA. VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE THIS AFTERNOON AS
WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE.

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

WDM/NJJ
000 
WWUS73 KGRR 111701
NPWGRR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1201 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...HIGH WINDS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING...

.A STRONG MID FEBRUARY WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE CURRENT TRACK PUTS SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN IN A
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT THIS EVENING AS THE COLD AIR SURGES BACK IN.
THE RESULT WILL BE NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH OVER MOST OF THE AREA THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT. HOWEVER...AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94 AND FROM
KALAMAZOO EAST WILL SEE GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH. THIS IS LIKELY TO
RESULT IN SOME DOWNED LIMBS AND RELATED POWER OUTAGES.

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-120115-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090211T1900Z/
/O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON...
GREENVILLE...ALMA
1201 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH TO 58 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

MIZ056>059-120115-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FG.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090211T1700Z/
/O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/
OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
1201 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH TO 58 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

MIZ072>074-120115-
/O.CON.KGRR.HW.W.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/
KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
1201 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST THURSDAY...

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO NEAR 60 MPH THIS EVENING
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THAT STRONG MID FEBRUARY STORM MOVES
NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO OVERNIGHT.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. IT MAY BE GOOD TO
MOVE VEHICLES FROM UNDER LARGE TREES IF POSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ064>067-071-120115-
/O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/
ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...
LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN
1201 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST THURSDAY...

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH TO 58 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

NJJ
000 
WWUS73 KGRR 112101
NPWGRR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
401 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...HIGH WINDS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING...

.A STRONG MID FEBRUARY WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE CURRENT TRACK PUTS SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN IN A
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS THE
COLD AIR SURGES BACK IN. THE RESULT WILL BE NORTH TO NORTHWEST
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH OVER MOST OF THE
AREA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. AREAS ALONG INTERSTATE 94 FROM
KALAMAZOO TO THE EAST WILL SEE GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH. THIS IS LIKELY
TO RESULT IN SOME DOWNED LIMBS AND RELATED POWER OUTAGES.

MIZ072>074-120515-
/O.CON.KGRR.HW.W.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/
KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
401 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH ACROSS THE
AREA LATER THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED
LATER THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH THEN THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. IT MAY BE GOOD TO
MOVE VEHICLES FROM UNDER LARGE TREES IF POSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071-120515-
/O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.090211T2300Z-090212T1200Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON...
GREENVILLE...ALMA...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS...
HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN
401 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH ACROSS THE
AREA LATER THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
LATER THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH THEN THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH TO 58 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

NJJ
000 
WWUS73 KGRR 120350
NPWGRR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1050 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...HIGH WINDS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING...

.A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS
IT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF
20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER MOST OF
THE AREA TONIGHT. AREAS ALONG INTERSTATE 94 FROM KALAMAZOO TO THE
EAST COULD SEE GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH. THIS MAY RESULT IN SOME
DOWNED LIMBS AND RELATED POWER OUTAGES.

MIZ072>074-121200-
/O.CON.KGRR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-090212T1200Z/
KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
1050 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60
MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. IT WILL REMAIN WINDY
EARLY THURSDAY...BUT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH
THE DAY.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. IT MAY BE GOOD TO
MOVE VEHICLES FROM UNDER LARGE TREES IF POSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071-121200-
/O.CON.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090212T1200Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON...
GREENVILLE...ALMA...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS...
HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN
1050 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. IT WILL REMAIN WINDY
EARLY THURSDAY...BUT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH
THE DAY.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH TO 58 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$
000 
WWUS73 KGRR 120914
NPWGRR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
414 AM EST THU FEB 12 2009

...WINDS DIMINISHING...

.AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE AREA TODAY IT WILL REMAIN BRISK
...HOWEVER WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA SPEEDS.

MIZ072>074-121015-
/O.CAN.KGRR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-090212T1200Z/
KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
414 AM EST THU FEB 12 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE
HIGH WIND WARNING. 

WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL STILL BE LIKELY TODAY. HOWEVER
THIS IS BELOW WIND ADVISORY OR WARNING CRITERIA...THEREFORE THE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071-121015-
/O.CAN.KGRR.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090212T1200Z/
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-
INGHAM-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...
CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON...
GREENVILLE...ALMA...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS...
HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...SOUTH HAVEN
414 AM EST THU FEB 12 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS CANCELLED THE
WIND ADVISORY. 

WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL STILL BE LIKELY TODAY. HOWEVER
THIS IS BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA...THEREFORE THE ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Feb 11, 12:10 AM EST, 3 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 12:10 AM EST, 3 hours 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1210 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

LATEST UPDATE...AVIATION..

.SYNOPSIS...(321 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009)
A STORM WILL MOVE IN WITH HEAVY RAIN ON WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY
STRONG WINDS AND RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOME
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY FROM THE COMBINATION OF RAIN AND
MELTED SNOW. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY AS WINDS GUST OVER 40 MPH AT TIMES.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(1058 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009)
(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)

NO HEADLINE CHANGES WERE NECESSARY THIS EVENING AND THE FCST IS
GOING AS PLANNED. WE WILL BE REVIEWING ALL THE LATEST 00Z GUIDANCE
AND MODEL TRENDS VERY CLOSELY OVERNIGHT TO EVALUATE POTENTIAL FOR
HIGH WIND... FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER WEDNESDAY AS WELL AS SNOW
POTENTIAL WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.

REMAINDER OF PREVIOUS SHORT TERM FCST DISCUSSION FOLLOWS... PRIMARY
FORECAST CONCERNS ARE FOR HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDER POTENTIAL ON
WEDNESDAY...HIGH WINDS AND CHANGEOVER TO SNOW ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

FOR TONIGHT...WILL LEAVE MENTION OF PATCHY FOG AS WINDS GO LIGHT IN
BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE CENTERS. WILL BRING POPS INTO SOUTHERN CWA
AFTER 06Z AS MOISTURE STREAMS NORTH.

HAVE NOT MADE MANY CHANGES TO THE WEATHER GRIDS ON WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE REMAINS SOUTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA...BUT WILL HAVE TO WATCH CONVECTIVE TRENDS CAREFULLY
ON WEDNESDAY AS WARM OR OCCLUDED FRONT LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE
EASTERN FORECAST AREA. MODEL WIND PROFILES SHOW 50 KTS OF WIND ONLY
2 KFT OFF THE SFC AROUND 18Z...SO EVEN ISOLATED CONVECTION MAY
PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS. A MORE WIDESPREAD...SYNOPTIC WIND EVENT
IS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BOTH NAM AND GFS SHOW AT LEAST
ADVISORY CRITERIA...WITH POTENTIAL FOR WARNING CRITERIA ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN FORECAST AREA. DECIDED AGAINST A WARNING BASED ON THE
MARGINAL CONDITIONS AND THE 12Z ECMWF WHICH IS WEAKER AND FASTER
WITH THE SFC LOW.

MODEL QPF FROM THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN WAS FOLLOWED...ALTHOUGH THE 12Z
ECMWF IS FURTHER EAST AND WOULD TAKE THE BULK OF THE HEAVY RAIN EAST
OF OUR FORECAST AREA. HAVE ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE CWA
BASED ON COMBINED SNOWMELT AND ABOUT AN INCH OF RAIN.

TWEAKED THE TIMING AND AMOUNTS OF SNOW ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 12Z MODEL
RUNS SHOW A BIT LESS SNOW AND SLOWER CHANGEOVER AND REFLECTED THIS
INT HE GRIDS.

&&

.LONG TERM...(144 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009)
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
FORECAST CONCERNS DURING THE LONG TERM DEAL WITH THE DEPARTURE OF
WEDNESDAY/S LOW AND WIND ASSOCIATED WITH IT AND THEN THE POTENTIAL
FOR SOME SNOW ON SATURDAY.

THREE HOUR PRESSURE CHANGES SHOULD BE MUCH LOWER THURSDAY MORNING VS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AROUND 3-4MB/3HR. THAT/S LIKELY NOT ENOUGH TO
WARRANT WIND HEADLINES. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY OCCUR THURSDAY
MORNING BUT RELAX DURING THE AFTERNOON. SOME LIGHT SNOW THURSDAY IS
ALSO POSSIBLE THURSDAY MORNING BUT THE BULK OF THE SYNOPTIC SNOW
WILL HAVE ALREADY PUSHED EAST OF THE CWA. H8 TEMPS BEHIND THE LOW
DON/T APPEAR COLD ENOUGH TO GENERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW...BUT WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE CWA...WE NEED TO KEEP SOME PCPN IN
THE GRIDS. DRY WX IS THEN EXPECTED FRI/FRI NIGHT.

THE MODELS HAVE BEEN MOVING NORTH AND SOUTH WITH THE PLACEMENT OF
THE NEXT LOW THAT WILL MOVE EAST FROM THE PLAINS. THE ECMWF/GFS ARE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE LOW TRACK...BUT THE GFS IS A BIT STRONGER.
MEANWHILE THE GLBLGEM IS A BIT FARTHER SOUTH. GIVEN THE GFS/ECMWF
TRACK...WE COULD SEE SOME LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE SRN CWA AND SO WE
ADDED A LOW CHC POP. GFS IS ADVERTISING H8 TEMPS BEHIND THE LOW TO
THE SOUTH TO FALL TO NEAR -15C SATURDAY-MONDAY. THAT SHOULD BE
ENOUGH FOR SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP SO WE ADDED THAT
TO THE GRIDS. MOISTURE LOOKS TO BE A LIMITING FACTOR THOUGH.

&&

.AVIATION...(1210 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009)
LOW CLOUDS (MVFR) ARE ALREADY BEGINNING TO INVADE THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTH. THE CLOUDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT SCATTERED FOR A FEW HOURS...BUT
WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD LATER TONIGHT...AFTER 10-11Z. RAIN WILL
SPREAD ACROSS ALL THE TAF SITES BETWEEN 10Z AND 13Z. CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN POOR THROUGH THE DAY...IFR FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE
DAY...DIPPING INTO LIFR AT TIMES. KEPT THUNDER OUT OF THE TAFS ONCE
AGAIN...BECAUSE OF LOW CONFIDENCE...BUT IT CANNOT BE RULED OUT
WEDNESDAY DURING THE DAY. WIND WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY OUT OF A
WESTERLY DIRECTION WEDNESDAY EVENING...PICKING UP SIGNIFICANTLY
DURING THE 00Z TO 06Z TIME FRAME. WINDS WILL LIKELY SUSTAIN BETWEEN
20-30 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS OVER 40 KNOTS LIKELY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...(321 PM EST TUE FEB 10 2009)
FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN FOR WED
AND WED NIGHT BASED ON AN INCH OR MORE OF QPF COMBINED WITH MELTED
SNOW. SOME RIVER POINTS MAY REACH FLOOD STAGE BEGINNING WED NIGHT
THEN INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE RISES MAKE THEIR WAY DOWNSTREAM. A
WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR COMSTOCK PARK...AND OTHER RIVER POINT
WARNINGS MAY FOLLOW.

&&

.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...FLOOD WATCH WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH WIND ADVISORY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
LM...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS:     OSTUNO
SHORT TERM:   LAURENS
LONG TERM:    93
AVIATION:     DUKE
HYDROLOGY:    OSTUNO
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 10, 5:40 AM EST, 21 hours 39 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
540 AM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

LMZ844>849-MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-111045-
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI-SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI-
HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI-GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI-
WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI-PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI-MASON-LAKE-
OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON-MONTCALM-
GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-
VAN BUREN-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
540 AM EST TUE FEB 10 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL REMAIN AT ELEVATED LEVELS FROM BOTH
MELTING SNOW AND THE RUNOFF FROM THE THIRD OF AN INCH OF RAIN THAT
FELL ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. NO FLOODING IS FORECAST AT
FOR THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTH
INTO SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN AROUND SUNRISE. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT IS
GREATEST EAST OF ROUTE 131 AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96 FROM WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH AND
SMALL HAIL IS POSSIBLE FROM THE STRONGER STORMS. AT THIS POINT THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY SOUTH OF MICHIGAN.

THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THE REMAINING MELTING SNOW AND
WET GROUND WILL INCREASE THE THREAT OF URBAN AND SMALL STREAM
FLOODING INTO THURSDAY. SEVERAL RIVERS MAY COME CLOSE TO FLOOD STAGE.

ONCE THE CENTER OF THE STORM MOVES NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE AREA
EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING...COLD AIR WILL SURGE BACK IN ON VERY
STRONG WINDS. SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 96...WINDS MAY GUST OVER 60 MPH
FROM MID EVENING WEDNESDAY INTO THE MID MORNING HOURS OF THURSDAY.
WHILE THAT IS HAPPENING THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SNOW
BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SOME ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. SINCE THIS WILL
BE A WET SNOW...EVEN WITH THE STRONG WINDS... BLOWING AND DRIFTING
WILL BE REDUCED SOME.

GUSTY WINDS AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING.

WDM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 10, 9:30 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRRKalamazoo62 hr
Feb 10, 9:30 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRRJackson39 hr
Feb 10, 9:30 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRREaton39 hr
Feb 10, 9:30 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRROttawa7 days
Feb 10, 9:30 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRRIngham71 hr
Feb 10, 9:30 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRRClinton39 hr
Feb 10, 9:30 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRRBarry4 days
Feb 10, 9:30 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRRKent49 hr
Feb 11, 6:39 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryGRRAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Clare, Clinton, Eaton and 17 more5 hr
Feb 11, 11:56 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningGRRAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Clare, Clinton, Eaton and 17 more23 hr
Feb 11, 11:58 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRRIngham34 hr
Feb 11, 11:58 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRRIonia24 hr
Feb 11, 11:58 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRRKent24 hr
Feb 11, 11:58 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRRKent24 hr
Feb 11, 11:58 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRRKent24 hr
Feb 11, 11:58 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRRClinton5 days
Feb 11, 11:58 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRRKent57 hr
Feb 11, 11:58 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningGRRMason72 hr
Feb 11, 12:20 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRIngham36 hr
Feb 11, 12:20 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRMuskegon36 hr
Feb 11, 12:20 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRROsceola36 hr
Feb 11, 12:20 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGRRIsabella24 hr

Nearby

High Wind Warnings in Michigan, 2009Every high wind warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.