Wind Advisory 5, NWS Green Bay, WI

000 
WWUS73 KGRB 061510
NPWGRB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1010 AM CDT TUE OCT 6 2009

...STRONG WINDS DEVELOPING OVER DOOR COUNTY TONIGHT...

.STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE WAKE OF A DEEPENING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT. THE WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER WEDNESDAY MORNING.

WIZ022-062315-
/O.CON.KGRB.WI.Y.0005.091007T0300Z-091007T1200Z/
DOOR-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...STURGEON BAY
1010 AM CDT TUE OCT 6 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 
7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY.

WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH.
THE STRONGEST WIND ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE SHORE OF THE BAY NORTH
OF STURGEON BAY...WHERE SOME GUSTS MAY REACH 45 TO 50 MPH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH OR GUSTS
TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$
ECKBERG

000 
WWUS73 KGRB 061954
NPWGRB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
254 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2009

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS DOOR COUNTY THIS
EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE ACROSS CENTRAL WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON WILL
INTENSIFY AND MOVE INTO NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING. 
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM.

WIZ022-070500-
/O.CON.KGRB.WI.Y.0005.091007T0300Z-091007T1200Z/
DOOR-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...STURGEON BAY
254 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY.

EAST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST...AND THEN INCREASE TO 25
TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 50 MPH POSSIBLE LATER THIS EVENING.
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY
ALONG THE BAY AND NEAR GILLS ROCK. THE STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE SOME
SMALL TREE BRANCHES TO BREAK.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH OR GUSTS TO
45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
ECKBERG/TE

000 
WWUS73 KGRB 070216
NPWGRB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
916 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2009

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS DOOR COUNTY THIS EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN THIS EVENING WILL MOVE
TO SOUTHEAST ONTARIO BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS
ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.

WIZ022-071030-
/O.CON.KGRB.WI.Y.0005.091007T0300Z-091007T1200Z/
DOOR-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...STURGEON BAY
916 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY. 

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
LATE THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY ALONG THE BAY AND NEAR GILLS ROCK. THE STRONG
WINDS MAY CAUSE SOME SMALL TREE BRANCHES TO BREAK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH OR GUSTS TO
45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

MG

000 
WWUS73 KGRB 070511
NPWGRB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1211 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2009

...HIGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS DOOR COUNTY OVERNIGHT...

.LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE STRAITS OF MACKINAW AT MIDNIGHT WILL MOVE TO
SOUTHEAST ONTARIO BY DAYBREAK ON WEDNESDAY. STRONG NORTHWEST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.

WIZ022-071200-
/O.UPG.KGRB.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-091007T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KGRB.HW.W.0002.091007T0511Z-091007T1200Z/
DOOR-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...STURGEON BAY
1211 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN BAY HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING. THIS
REPLACES THE WIND ADVISORY THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT.

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN DOOR COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
NEAR 60 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TREE BRANCHES
AND POWER LINES CAN COME DOWN IN WINDS THESE STRONG. HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES WILL BE DIFFICULT TO DRIVE IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
312 AM CDT TUE OCT 6 2009

.SHORT TERM...TODAY/TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY. RAIN HAS ALREADY SPREAD
INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING SYSTEM OVER THE
NORTHERN PLAINS.  BAND OF TSRA NOTED OVER IA EARLY THIS AM ON NOSE
OF STRONG ISENT LIFT AND H8 FRONTAL SYSTEM. MAIN ISENT LIFT
REGION TO PASS OVER AROUND MIDDAY FOR THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA SO CONTINUED TSRA MENTION IN THIS REGION. THE MAIN
CHALLENGE WITH THIS FORECAST IS THE ENDING TREND OF THE
PRECIPITATION AND THE STRONG WINDS DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT.

SYSTEM HAS THE APPEARANCE OF A WINTER STORM WITH RESPECT TO
MAIN BAND OF RAIN TONIGHT NORTHWEST OF THE TRACK OF THE H8 AND
SURFACE LOW WHICH TRACKS OVER EC WI EARLY THIS EVENING. SYSTEM
PASSES THROUGH FAIRLY QUICK THIS EVENING SO HIGHER POPS WILL BE
EARLY THIS EVENING THEN RAPIDLY ENDING THE PCPN FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST AS THE SYSTEM DEPARTS. HOWEVER VERY STRONG PRES RISE
COUPLE TO WORK OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING. ALREADY COORDINATED A
GALE WARNING FOR PART OF THE LAKESHORE. SINCE A GALE ALREADY WRAPS
AROUND DOOR COUNTY...WILL ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR DOOR AS WELL.
WINDS DO TURN FROM NE TO NW FAIRLY QUICK SO SHEAR MAY BE A
NEGATIVE HOWEVER GETTING A FEW HOURS OF CRITERIA QUITE POSSIBLE.

.LONG TERM...WED NGT THRU NXT TUE. MAIN FCST CHALLENGE REMAINS
PCPN CHCS AS SEVERAL SHRTWV TROFS SLIDE SE THRU THE MEAN FLOW
ALOFT. MDLS ALWAYS HAVE TIMING DIFFICULTY WITH THESE FAST MOVG
SYSTEMS...THUS TRYING TO PICK WHICH DAYS TO MENTION PCPN IS RATHER
DIFFICULT. TEMPS LOOK TO TAKE A DOWNWARD TREND AFT MID-WEEK AS
COOLER CANADIAN AIRMASS GETS LOCKED INTO THE GREAT LKS.

MDLS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT ON BRINGING A CDFNT INTO CNTRL SECTIONS
OF WI LATE WED NGT. PBLM FOR PCPN INITIALLY WL BE TSTMS EXPECTED
TO FIRE OVR THE MID-MS VALLEY WHICH WOULD CUT-OFF THE MSTR INFLOW
HEADED FOR THE GREAT LKS. THERE IS SOME WEAK Q-G FORCING ALONG THE
FNT...BUT BETTER FORCING APRS TO LAG THE FNT. SINCE THE CDFNT IS
EXPECTED TO BARELY REACH N-CNTRL WI BY DAYBREAK...PREFER TO HOLD
OFF ON ANY PCPN WORDING AND JUST FOCUS ON INCREASING THE CLDS.
ONLY REAL CHG TO TEMPS WAS TO ADD A COUPLE OF DEGS TO THE NORTH
WHERE THICKER CLDS TO ARRIVE FIRST.

THE CDFNT WL BE A SLOW MOVER DUE TO RIDGING ALONG THE EAST COAST
AND WEAK SFC WAVES RISING ALONG THE FNT OVR THE SRN PLAINS/SW MO
VCNTY. A 50 TO 60 KT LOW-LVL JET IS FCST TO QUICKLY BRING GULF
MSTR NWD AND THERE IS A POWERHOUSE 170 KT UPR JET SITUATED OVR THE
GREAT LKS. ALL SIGNS POINT TO A HVY RAIN EVENT OVR THE MID-MS
VALLEY WITH WI RESIDING ON THE NRN FRINGE. PCPN CHCS FOR NE WI WL
COME DOWN TO WHERE THE CDFNT RESIDES WHICH APRS TO BE JUST TO OUR
EAST ON THU. HAVE RAISED POPS A TOUCH AND WL RANGE VALUES FROM
SLGT CHC N-CNTRL...TO CHC OVR SRN SECTIONS FOR THE FCST AREA. HAVE
USED THE COOLER MAV GUID FOR MAX TEMPS ON THU.

AS THE SFC WAVE RIDES NE ALONG THE CDFNT TOWARD THE ERN GREAT LKS
THU NGT...PCPN CHCS WL LINGER OVR MOST OF THE FCST AREA. ERN WI TO
REMAIN THE MOST VULNERABLE WHERE Q-G FORCING/FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING/
LIFT FROM THE UPR JET TO ALL COINCIDE. WL NEED TO RAISE POPS AGAIN
OVR THE EAST...WHILE THE NORTH REMAINS MOSTLY DRY. WE WL HAVE TO
WATCH THE WND DIRECTION CAREFULLY THU NGT...BECAUSE ANY SHIFT TO
THE N-NW COULD GENERATE LK EFFECT PCPN OVR N-CNTRL WI. THE AIRMASS
WOULD BE COLD ENUF TO SEE A RAIN/SNOW MIX OCCUR IF THIS WERE TO
HAPPEN. FOR NOW...IT APRS THAT WNDS WL HAVE TOO MUCH OF A WESTERLY
COMPONENT TO BE A PBLM.

WEAK BUBBLE OF HI PRES IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOV ACROSS THE WRN
GREAT LKS RGN ON FRI AND BRING A FEW PEEKS OF SUNSHINE TO NE WI.
ONLY CONCERN WOULD BE IF ANOTHER SFC WAVE MOVS UP THE FNT WHICH
WOULD LINGER A FEW SHWRS OVR ERN WI. HAVE KEPT THINGS OPTIMISTIC
FOR NOW AND WL NOT MENTION ANY FURTHER PCPN. 8H TEMPS BETWEEN -2C
AND -4C SHOULD LIMIT THE AMT OF DIURNAL RISE IN TEMPS. HAVE LOWERED
VALUES A FEW DEGS FROM THE PREV FCST. BREAK IN THE PCPN CHCS MAY BE
BRIEF AS A SHRTWV TROF SLIDES SE TOWARD WI FRI NGT AND THRU THE
GREAT LKS ON SAT. HAVE ADDED A SML CHC POP TO N-CNTRL WI FRI NGT
WHERE STRONGER FORCING TO ARRIVE. BASED ON THE PROJECTED MIN TEMPS
IN THE LWR 30S...WL NEED TO MENTION A RAIN/SNOW MIX AT THAT TIME.
BEST FORCING ALREADY SHIFTING OFF TO THE EAST ON SAT LEAVING
SOMEWHAT BLUSTERY CONDITIONS ACROSS NE WI WITH PERHAPS A FEW
SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES AROUND. NOT ENUF CONFIDENCE TO INCLUDE IN
THE ZONES RIGHT NOW...SO HAVE KEPT SAT DRY FOR NOW. MAX TEMPS MAY
STRUGGLE JUST TO CLIMB THRU THE 40S WITH MOST READINGS IN THE 42
TO 48 DEG RANGE.

THE MAIN STORY FOR THE START OF NXT WEEK WL BE THE SHIFT EWD OF
THE UPR RDG INTO THE ROCKIES BY NXT MON. NW FLOW ALOFT TO REMAIN
OVR WI WHICH LEADS TO A CONTINUED RISK OF SHRTWVS DROPPING SE INTO
THE AREA. TIMING OF THESE SHRTWVS ARE QUITE DIFFICULT IN THE LONG
TERM...THUS DO NOT PLAN ON MAKING ANY CHGS TO EITHER SUNDAY OR MON.
&&

.AVIATION...MVFR CEILINGS WILL LOWER TO THE IFR/LIFR/VLIFR
CATEGORY TODAY AS RAIN CONTINUES TO SPREAD INTO THE AREA. ISOLD
TSRA ALSO POSSIBLE. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PICK UP TODAY AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES. STRONG PRES RISE COUPLET TO PASS OVER
THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT FOR PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS TO 30 TO 40
MPH OVER EC WI...AND ESPECIALLY OVER DOOR COUNTY.
&&

.MARINE...HOISTED A GALE WARNING FOR ALL OF NEARSHORE WATERS
EXCEPT FOR THE SOUTHERN END OF THE BAY OF GREEN BAY. AS A
DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE DEPARTS TO THE EAST TONIGHT...NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNTS WITH GUSTS TO
NEAR 40 KNTS POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TOWARD WEDNESDAY
MORNING.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR
WIZ022.

&&

TDH/KALLAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
423 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2009

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-061100-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE-LINCOLN-LANGLADE-
MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-WOOD-PORTAGE-
WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-CALUMET-
MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE-SOUTHERN OCONTO-
423 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
AND NORTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE LAKE.
THE WIND MAY BECOME STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW AROUND UNSECURED OUTDOOR
OBJECTS SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE...AND MAKE
DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES DIFFICULT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

LMZ521-522-541>543-061100-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-
423 AM CDT MON OCT 5 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LAKE
MICHIGAN AND THE WATERS OF GREEN BAY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

INCREASING EAST WINDS WILL LEAD TO CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL
CRAFT BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO GALE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE BY
LATE AFTERNOON OVER WATERS ADJACENT TO THE NORTHERN PART OF THE
DOOR PENINSULA.

CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY NIGHT
AND INTO WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AS STRONG WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOP. A PERIOD OF NORTHWEST GALES IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE WATERS ADJACENT TO THE NORTHERN PART OF THE DOOR
PENINSULA.

JS/RDM