Wind Advisory 1, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WWUS73 KGLD 071752
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1052 AM MST WED JAN 7 2009

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY...

.STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SPREAD ACROSS
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA TODAY. WINDS WILL BE THE
STRONGEST ALONG AND WEST OF THE KANSAS AND COLORADO BORDER. WIND
GUSTS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 50 MPH DURING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
DECREASING AROUND SUNSET.

COZ090>092-KSZ001-013-027-041-NEZ079-080100-
/O.CON.KGLD.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0100Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-SHERMAN-WALLACE-GREELEY-
DUNDY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...GOODLAND...SHARON SPRINGS...
TRIBUNE...BENKELMAN
1052 AM MST WED JAN 7 2009 /1152 AM CST WED JAN 7 2009/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST /7 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST /7 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WIND SPEEDS OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE NEBRASKA PANHANDLE HAVE
INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST INTO THE 40G50KT RANGE. AT
GOODLAND...WINDS HAVE INCREASED FROM THE NORTHWEST INTO THE
20G25KT RANGE BY MID DAY. EXPECT WINDS TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO
25 TO 35 MPH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE WINDS WEAKEN AROUND SUNSET.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT
TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. BE
PREPARED FOR SUDDEN WIND GUSTS WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOSS OF
VEHICLE CONTROL.

$$
BLM

000 
WWUS73 KGLD 080056
NPWGLD

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
556 PM MST WED JAN 7 2009


COZ090>092-KSZ001-013-027-041-NEZ079-080200-
/O.EXP.KGLD.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0100Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-SHERMAN-WALLACE-GREELEY-
DUNDY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...GOODLAND...SHARON SPRINGS...
TRIBUNE...BENKELMAN
556 PM MST WED JAN 7 2009 /656 PM CST WED JAN 7 2009/

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MST /7 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MST /7 PM CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON. 

NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE DECREASED BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA ACROSS
EASTERN COLORADO AND NORTHWEST KANSAS. THEREFORE THE WIND ADVISORY
WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

FS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
435 AM MST WED JAN 7 2009

.DISCUSSION...

FAST NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA TODAY WILL BECOME ZONAL THURSDAY
NIGHT AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT THAT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY. SHOULD SEE QUITE A BIT OF CLOUDINESS
TODAY BUT THAT WILL DECREASE QUITE A BIT TONIGHT BEFORE INCREASING
AGAIN FRIDAY WITH THE TROUGH AND FRONTAL PASSAGE. HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW 50S ACROSS THE MCCOOK AREA TO THE
MID AND UPPER 50S ELSEWHERE. UPPER 50S AND LOW 60S EXPECTED
THURSDAY BEFORE FALLING INTO THE LOW TO MID 40S FRIDAY...PERHAPS A
FEW READINGS CLOSE TO 50 FROM HILL CITY TO LEOTI AND WILL DEPEND
ON FRONTAL TIMING.

WITH PLENTY OF 850-500 MOISTURE...APPROACHING UPPER JET AND SOME
MODEST LAPSE RATES HAVE ADDED SOME SPRINKLES/FLURRIES THROUGH 18Z
FOR AREAS EAST OF A TRENTON TO GOVE LINE AND SPRINKLES NORTH AND
EAST OF A TRENTON TO HILL CITY LINE AFTER 18Z. CANT TOTALLY RULE
OUT SOME LIGHT PRECIP FRIDAY WITH THE FRONT BUT DISAGREEMENTS AS
TO THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AND HANDLING OF THE DYNAMICS PREVENT A
MENTION AT PRESENT TIME.

OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL BE OF CONCERN BOTH TODAY AND AGAIN FRIDAY.
NOSE OF 130+ KT UPPER JET WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING TIME OF
PEAK HEATING TODAY. MODEST LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD BRING SOME
35 TO 40 MPH GUSTS DOWN TO THE SURFACE OVER FAR EASTERN COLORADO
AND ADJACENT LOCATIONS IN WESTERN KANSAS. WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR
ADVISORY CRITERIA GUSTS...FOR NOW IT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE JUST
SHORT OF IT. ON FRIDAY WINDS WILL APPROACH ADVISORY CRITERIA WITH
GUSTS CLOSE TO 45 MPH FROM THE NORTH AS LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
BECOME QUITE STEEP AGAIN MIXING DOWN 30-40KT 850 WINDS.

ON SATURDAY 850 TEMPERATURES START TO WARM BACK UP BEHIND THE
UPPER TROUGHS PASSAGE. HOW MUCH WARMING IS THE QUESTION. WENT WITH
LOW TO MID 40S AS A START WHICH IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE
ECMWF/GFS.

SUNDAY-TUESDAY...NO CHANGES MADE.

07
&&

.AVIATION...
426 AM MST WED JAN 7 2009

FOR 12Z TAFS...MAIN CONCERN FOR PERIOD WILL ONCE AGAIN BE WIND
SPEEDS FOR TODAY. SOME MID CLOUDS AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED FLURRY
OR TWO ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...BUT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VFR. FOR THE WINDS...MIXED LAYER PROFILES OF GFS...NAM AND RUC
SUPPORT WIND SPEEDS INCREASING SHARPLY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH
STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE GLD AREA. CONFIDENCE IN
THIS BEGINNING TO INCREASE AS EVEN WEAKER NAM STARTING TO HINT AT
WIND POTENTIAL...AND STRONG WINDS ALREADY BEGINNING TO OCCUR ACROSS
SOUTHEAST WYOMING. POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER WINDS WILL BE TIED TO
HOW MUCH AREA WARMS UP...AND CURRENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST SUSTAINED
WINDS APPROACHING 26KTS WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40KTS.

JRM
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
345 AM MST WED JAN 7 2009

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-081200-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
345 AM MST WED JAN 7 2009 /445 AM CST WED JAN 7 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
FAR EASTERN COLORADO AND ADJACENT LOCATIONS IN FAR WESTERN KANSAS.
THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO STRONG JET STREAM WINDS MIXING DOWN TO THE
SURFACE AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH WILL BE COMMON DURING THE DAY FRIDAY
ALONG WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

07