Red Flag Warning 13, NWS Grand Junction, CO

000 
WWUS85 KGJT 290545
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1145 PM MDT MON SEP 28 2009

COZ201-203-205-207-291500-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.090929T1800Z-090930T0300Z/
CRAIG FORECAST AREA-GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-
MONTROSE FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
1145 PM MDT MON SEP 28 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY FOR WESTERN COLORADO BELOW 9000 FEET FOR STRONG GUSTY 
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY FOR WESTERN COLORADO BELOW 9000 FEET FOR STRONG GUSTY
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES:
IN COLORADO...201...203...205...207

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY AS A STRONG
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL ALSO BE LIMITED. CRITICAL WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH SURFACE
WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH...AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY
DROPPING BELOW 15 PERCENT MAINLY BELOW 9000 FEET. WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE DURANGO FORECAST AREA WILL BE MORE LIKELY TO SEE THIS
COMBINATION OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS.

COMBINING WITH DRY FUELS...THESE CONDITIONS MAY CREATE A HIGH
PROBABILITY OF LARGE FIRE GROWTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

UTZ430-442>444-291500-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.090929T1800Z-090930T0300Z/
WESTERN UINTA BASIN-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-EASTERN UINTA BASIN-
EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-
1145 PM MDT MON SEP 28 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST UTAH BELOW 7000 FEET FOR 
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST UTAH BELOW 7000 FEET FOR 
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES:
IN UTAH...430...442...443...444

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY AS A STRONG
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL ALSO BE LIMITED. CRITICAL WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
CONDITIONS SHOULD DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH
SURFACE WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH...AND THE RELATIVE
HUMIDITY DROPPING BELOW 15 PERCENT MAINLY BELOW 7000 FEET.

COMBINING WITH DRY FUELS...THESE CONDITIONS MAY CREATE A HIGH
PROBABILITY OF LARGE FIRE GROWTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

TGJT

000 
WWUS85 KGJT 291459
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
859 AM MDT TUE SEP 29 2009

COZ201-203-205-207-292300-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.090929T1800Z-090930T0300Z/
CRAIG FORECAST AREA-GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-
MONTROSE FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
859 AM MDT TUE SEP 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR WESTERN COLORADO BELOW 9000 FEET FOR STRONG GUSTY 
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR WESTERN COLORADO BELOW 9000 FEET FOR STRONG GUSTY
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. 

THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES:
IN COLORADO...201...203...205...207

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY AS A STRONG
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL ALSO BE LIMITED. CRITICAL WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH
SURFACE WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH...AND THE RELATIVE
HUMIDITY DROPPING BELOW 15 PERCENT MAINLY BELOW 9000 FEET.
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE DURANGO FORECAST AREA WILL BE MORE LIKELY
TO SEE THIS COMBINATION OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS.

COMBINING WITH DRY FUELS...THESE CONDITIONS MAY CREATE A HIGH
PROBABILITY OF LARGE FIRE GROWTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

UTZ430-442>444-292300-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.090929T1800Z-090930T0300Z/
WESTERN UINTA BASIN-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-EASTERN UINTA BASIN-
EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-
859 AM MDT TUE SEP 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST UTAH BELOW 7000 FEET FOR 
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST UTAH BELOW 7000 FEET FOR 
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. 

THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES:
IN UTAH...430...442...443...444

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY AS A STRONG
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL ALSO BE LIMITED. CRITICAL WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
CONDITIONS SHOULD DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH
SURFACE WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH...AND THE RELATIVE
HUMIDITY DROPPING BELOW 15 PERCENT MAINLY BELOW 7000 FEET.

COMBINING WITH DRY FUELS...THESE CONDITIONS MAY CREATE A HIGH
PROBABILITY OF LARGE FIRE GROWTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

AS

000 
WWUS85 KGJT 292053
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
253 PM MDT TUE SEP 29 2009

COZ201-203-205-207-300600-
/O.EXT.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-090930T1800Z/
CRAIG FORECAST AREA-GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-
MONTROSE FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
253 PM MDT TUE SEP 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT WEDNESDAY 
FOR WESTERN COLORADO BELOW 9000 FEET FOR STRONG GUSTY 
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT WEDNESDAY
FOR WESTERN COLORADO BELOW 9000 FEET FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES:
IN COLORADO...201...203...205...207

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY AS A STRONG
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL ALSO BE LIMITED. CRITICAL WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH
SURFACE WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH...AND THE RELATIVE
HUMIDITY DROPPING BELOW 15 PERCENT MAINLY BELOW 9000 FEET.

WINDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AS A STRONG JET MOVES
OVERHEAD. MIXING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS EXCEPT
FOR THE LOWEST VALLEY LOCATIONS. THEREFORE EXPECT POOR HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES OVERNIGHT IN COMBINATION WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS. AN
ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY
RESULTING IN A SIGNIFICANT WIND SHIFT.

COMBINING WITH DRY FUELS...THESE CONDITIONS MAY CREATE A HIGH
PROBABILITY OF LARGE FIRE GROWTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

UTZ430-442>444-300600-
/O.EXT.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-090930T0600Z/
WESTERN UINTA BASIN-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-EASTERN UINTA BASIN-
EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-
253 PM MDT TUE SEP 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT 
FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST UTAH BELOW 7000 FEET FOR 
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST UTAH BELOW 7000 FEET FOR STRONG GUSTY
WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES:
IN UTAH...430...442...443...444

SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY AS A STRONG
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL ALSO BE LIMITED. CRITICAL WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH SURFACE WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH...AND
THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPPING BELOW 15 PERCENT MAINLY BELOW 7000
FEET.

COMBINING WITH DRY FUELS...THESE CONDITIONS MAY CREATE A HIGH
PROBABILITY OF LARGE FIRE GROWTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

AS

000 
WWUS85 KGJT 300508
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1108 PM MDT TUE SEP 29 2009

UTZ430-442>444-300615-
/O.CAN.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-090930T0600Z/
WESTERN UINTA BASIN-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-EASTERN UINTA BASIN-
EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-
1108 PM MDT TUE SEP 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS CANCELLED THE
RED FLAG WARNING FOR ELEVATIONS BELOW 7000 FEET IN NORTHEAST UTAH.

THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDED THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES:
IN UTAH...430...442...443...444

WINDS CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN STRENGTH AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
RECOVER BACK ABOVE 20 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS. AS A RESULT...THE RED
FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

$$

COZ201-203-205-207-301315-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-090930T1800Z/
CRAIG FORECAST AREA-GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-
MONTROSE FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
1108 PM MDT TUE SEP 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT WEDNESDAY 
BELOW 9000 FEET FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE 
HUMIDITY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT WEDNESDAY
BELOW 9000 FEET FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES:
IN COLORADO...201...203...205...207

SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAIN BELOW 15 PERCENT. THERE WILL BE SOME
IMPROVEMENT IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT WITH WINDS DIMINISHING
FOR A FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE
REDEVELOPING EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...THE RED FLAG WARNING
WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON WEDNESDAY. AFTER NOON MDT...A STRONG
COLD FRONT AND SIGNIFICANT WIND SHIFT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION.
THIS WILL USHER IN MUCH COOLER AIR ALONG WITH STEADILY RISING RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES. ALTHOUGH THE WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

COMBINING WITH DRY FUELS...THESE CONDITIONS MAY CREATE A HIGH PROBABILITY
OF LARGE FIRE GROWTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS85 KGJT 300936
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
336 AM MDT WED SEP 30 2009

COZ201-203-205-207-301045-
/O.CAN.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-090930T1800Z/
CRAIG FORECAST AREA-GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-
MONTROSE FORECAST AREA-DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
336 AM MDT WED SEP 30 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR ELEVATIONS BELOW 9000 FEET 
IN WESTERN COLORADO...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS CANCELLED THE
RED FLAG WARNING FOR ELEVATIONS BELOW 9000 FEET IN WESTERN COLORADO. 

THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDED THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES:
IN COLORADO...201...203...205...207

ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BLOW ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO
TODAY...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE REBOUNDED SUFFICIENTLY AND THE
COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IS NO
LONGER EXPECTED TO OCCUR. IN ADDITION...SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH THIS MORNING. AS A
RESULT...THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR ELEVATIONS BELOW 9000 FEET IN
WESTERN COLORADO HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  

$$

JDC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1043 AM MDT MON SEP 28 2009

...UPDATED HEADLINE SECTION BELOW TO INCLUDE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
NORTHEAST UTAH AND NORTHWEST COLORADO...

...INCREASING WIND ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY COLDER AND UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

QUIET WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES FOR ANOTHER 24 HOURS WITH UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE AXIS MOVING OVERHEAD TODAY AND SHIFTING EAST OF THE
FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING. THUS ANOTHER WARM DAY IS IN STORE WITH
WINDS REMAINING FAIRLY LIGHT ONCE AGAIN.  PATTERN CHANGE ARRIVES
OVERNIGHT AS A VIGOROUS PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM DIVES INTO THE GREAT
BASIN. THIS WILL STRENGTHEN SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS OUR FORECAST
AREA ON TUESDAY...RESULTING IN INCREASING SURFACE WINDS DURING THE
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. IN ADDITION...SLIGHT INCREASE IN
MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND OROGRAPHIC LIFT WILL BE ENOUGH TO TRIGGER
ISOLATED CONVECTION...MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. COVERAGE
WILL BE ISOLATED IN NATURE...SO WILL BE CUTTING POPS BACK SOME...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE TROUGH
IS COMING IN A TAD SLOWER COMPARED WITH PREVIOUS RUNS. BACK TO THE
WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE...COMBINED WITH
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN INCREASED CONCERNS WITH
WILDFIRES...AND WILL CONTINUE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH DETAILS BELOW.  TEMPS WILL BE ABOVE
SEASONAL NORMS THROUGH TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

STILL EXPECTING AN UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT TO
SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA IN THE WED-THU TIME FRAME. WINDY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON WED AHEAD OF IT. 00Z NAM MODEL TIMING
CONTINUES TO LAG BEHIND THE 00Z GFS AND 27/12Z ECMWF AND WAS WEIGHTED
LESS IN THE FORECAST. GFS/ECWMF ARE KEEPING THE CENTER A LITTLE
FARTHER NORTH NOW. WHILE THIS SHOULD STILL LET A DECENT AMOUNT OF
COLD AIR ACROSS THE REGION...700 MB TEMPS DROP TO -6C TO -8C BY THU
MORNING...IT MAY ALLOW A MORE SIGNIFICANT DRY SLOT TO PUSH IN FROM
THE SOUTHWEST ON WED FOR LOWER PRECIP CHANCES IN SE UT/SW CO VALLEYS.
CURRENT FORECAST SHOWS THIS GRADATION TOWARD LOWER POPS IN SE UT...SO
NO CHANGES HERE. COLDER AIR AND MORE FAVORABLE W-NW OROGRAPHIC FLOW
IN SOME WRAPAROUND MOISTURE WILL FAVOR SNOWFALL OVER THE NRN AND
CENTRAL CO MTNS WED NIGHT AND THU...AND THIS GEOGRAPHIC AREA IS WHERE
THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. CONSIDERABLY COOLER ALL
AREAS FOR THE FIRST DAY OF OCTOBER.

THIS STORM MOVES INTO THE PLAINS AND INTENSIFIES LATE IN THE WEEK
EVENTUALLY FORMING A CLOSED LOW OVER THE MIDWEST. AT THE SAME TIME...
ANOTHER TROUGH MOVES INLAND AND DEVELOPS A DEEP CLOSED LOW OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST BY SAT. FLOW ALOFT BECOMES SOUTHWEST THIS WEEKEND
FOR WARMING TEMPS AND MOSTLY DRY WEATHER.

OVERALL...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE CURRENT FORECAST GRIDS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGION THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING EAST ACROSS THE REGION. INCREASING
SOUTHWEST WIND ON TUESDAY WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF MOUNTAIN
WAVES AND TURBULENT CONDITIONS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER....
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON TUESDAY
CAUSING AN INCREASE IN SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. WINDS WILL BECOME
STRONG AND GUSTY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL ALSO BE LIMITED. CRITICAL WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
CONDITIONS SHOULD DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH
SURFACE WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 25 MPH...AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY
DROPPING BELOW 15 PERCENT MAINLY BELOW 8500 FEET. WESTERN PORTIONS OF
WEST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST COLORADO WILL BE MORE LIKELY TO SEE
THIS COMBINATION OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG
WEDNESDAY AS THE TROUGH AXIS AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT TRACK OVER
THE AREA. MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY INCREASE WEDNESDAY HELPING WITH A
BETTER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.CO...FIRE WX WATCH TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR WEST-
      CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST COLORADO BELOW 9000 FEET...CO FIRE
      ZONES 201...203...205...207.
.UT...FIRE WX WATCH TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR NORTHEAST
      UTAH BELOW 9000 FEET...UT FIRE ZONES 428...429...430...442...
      443...444.

SHORT TERM.....JDC
LONG TERM......JAD
AVIATION.......TGJT
FIRE WX........AS/JDC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1045 AM MDT MON SEP 28 2009

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-291200-
ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-FLAT TOPS-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GRAND VALLEY-LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-
SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-
UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-
1045 AM MDT MON SEP 28 2009

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT ALL AREAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

WINDS WILL INCREASE ON TUESDAY AS A SIGNIFICANT PACIFIC STORM
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. A COMBINATION OF DRY GRASSES AND FOLIAGE
...CONTINUED WARMTH...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS
WILL HEIGHTEN FIRE DANGER INTO TUESDAY EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL
COOL WITH THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING ON
WEDNESDAY...THEN CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY. SNOW WILL FALL OVER THE
HIGH MOUNTAINS...WITH SNOW LEVELS GRADUALLY DROPPING BY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT REACHING ELEVATIONS AS LOW AS 6000 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.
SIGNIFICANT MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

JDC/NL