River Flood Warning 19, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

000 
WGUS43 KFSD 191333 CCA
FLWFSD

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
833 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTH DAKOTA...

  JAMES RIVER NEAR SCOTLAND 
   
.THE FOLLOWING RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE FORECAST PRECIPITATION THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. ANY ADDITIONAL FUTURE RAINS COULD AFFECT THE CREST 
FORECASTS. 
 
HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE JAMES RIVER BASIN EARLIER THIS WEEK HAVE 
PUSHED THE JAMES RIVER AROUND SCOTLAND BACK ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER 
DEPTH AND ROAD CONDITION MAY BE UNSAFE.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=FSD

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...
OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED MONDAY JUNE 22. 

&&

SDC067-135-221600-
/O.NEW.KFSD.FL.W.0019.090619T1333Z-090624T0000Z/
/SCOS2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090619T0500Z.090623T0000Z.NO/
833 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE JAMES RIVER NEAR SCOTLAND.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 07AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* AT STAGES NEAR 13.0 FEET...SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL FLOODING 
BEGINS. 


$$

&& 
LOCATION FLOOD  LATEST OBSERVED  MAXIMUM FORECAST  RECENT OBSERVED
         STAGE  STAGE  TIME      STAGE   TIME      CREST  TIME

JAMES RIVER
SCOS2    13.0   13.19 FRI 7 AM                      13.3  THU JUN 18

000 
WGUS83 KFSD 221316
FLSFSD
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
816 AM CDT MON JUN 22 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTH 
DAKOTA...
  JAMES RIVER NEAR SCOTLAND 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTH 
DAKOTA..
  JAMES RIVER AT HURON
  JAMES RIVER NEAR FORESTBURG
  JAMES RIVER AT MITCHELL
   
.THE FOLLOWING RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE FORECAST PRECIPITATION THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. ANY ADDITIONAL FUTURE RAINS COULD AFFECT THE CREST 
FORECASTS. 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER 
DEPTH AND ROAD CONDITION MAY BE UNSAFE.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=FSD

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...
OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THE MORNING OF MONDAY
JUNE 29.

&&

SDC005-231316-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HURS2.3.ER.090319T0419Z.090505T1015Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
816 AM CDT MON JUN 22 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT HURON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 07AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL HOLD STEADY OR SLOWLY RISE BY 2 OR
  3 TENTHS OF A FOOT FOR THE NEXT 7 TO 10 DAYS.
* AT STAGES NEAR 12.0 FEET...THE PARK ALONG THE JAMES RIVER IN 
  NORTHERN HURON BEGINS TO FLOOD. 

$$

SDC111-231316-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FORS2.3.ER.000000T0000Z.090504T1245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
816 AM CDT MON JUN 22 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER NEAR FORESTBURG.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 07AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AT A RATE OF ABOUT ONE
  TENTH OF A FOOT PER DAY FOR THE NEXT WEEK.

$$

SDC035-061-231316-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JRMS2.2.ER.000000T0000Z.090507T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
816 AM CDT MON JUN 22 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT MITCHELL.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 07AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AT A RATE OF ABOUT ONE
  TENTH OF A FOOT PER DAY FOR THE NEXT WEEK.

$$

SDC067-135-221346-
/O.CAN.KFSD.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-090624T0000Z/
/SCOS2.1.ER.090622T1115Z.090619T0500Z.090622T1115Z.NO/
816 AM CDT MON JUN 22 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER NEAR SCOTLAND.
* AT 07AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6 AM MONDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL AT A RATE OF
  ABOUT ONE TENTH OF A FOOT PER DAY FOR THE NEXT WEEK.

$$

&& 
LOCATION FLOOD  LATEST OBSERVED  MAXIMUM FORECAST    RECENT OBSERVED
         STAGE  STAGE  TIME      STAGE  TIME         CREST TIME

JAMES RIVER
HURS2    11.0   11.58 MON 7 AM   11.9  WED JUL 1
FORS2    12.0   13.11 MON 7 AM   CONTINUE SLOW FALL
JRMS2    17.0   18.56 MON 8 AM   CONTINUE SLOW FALL
SCOS2    13.0   12.92 MON 7 AM                       13.3 FRI JUN 19

GILLISPIE

000 
WGUS83 KFSD 231820 CCA
FLSFSD

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
120 PM CDT TUE JUN 23 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTH 
DAKOTA...
  JAMES RIVER NEAR SCOTLAND 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTH 
DAKOTA..
  JAMES RIVER AT HURON
  JAMES RIVER NEAR FORESTBURG
  JAMES RIVER AT MITCHELL
   
.THE FOLLOWING RIVER FORECASTS INCLUDE FORECAST PRECIPITATION THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. ANY ADDITIONAL FUTURE RAINS COULD AFFECT THE CREST 
FORECASTS. 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER 
DEPTH AND ROAD CONDITION MAY BE UNSAFE.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT 
 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=FSD

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...
OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED THE MORNING OF MONDAY
JUNE 29.

&&

SDC005-301316-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HURS2.3.ER.090319T0419Z.090505T1015Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
120 PM CDT TUE JUN 23 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT HURON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 07AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL HOLD STEADY OR SLOWLY RISE BY 2 OR
  3 TENTHS OF A FOOT FOR THE NEXT 7 TO 10 DAYS.
* AT STAGES NEAR 12.0 FEET...THE PARK ALONG THE JAMES RIVER IN 
  NORTHERN HURON BEGINS TO FLOOD. 

$$

SDC111-301316-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FORS2.3.ER.000000T0000Z.090504T1245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
120 PM CDT TUE JUN 23 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER NEAR FORESTBURG.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 07AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AT A RATE OF ABOUT ONE
  TENTH OF A FOOT PER DAY FOR THE NEXT WEEK.

$$

SDC035-061-301316-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JRMS2.2.ER.000000T0000Z.090507T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
120 PM CDT TUE JUN 23 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER AT MITCHELL.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 07AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AT A RATE OF ABOUT ONE
  TENTH OF A FOOT PER DAY FOR THE NEXT WEEK.

$$

SDC067-135-221346-
/O.CAN.KFSD.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-090624T0000Z/
/SCOS2.1.ER.090622T1115Z.090619T0500Z.090622T1115Z.NO/
120 PM CDT TUE JUN 23 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE JAMES RIVER NEAR SCOTLAND.
* AT 07AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* RECENT ACTIVITY...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 6 AM MONDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY FALL AT A RATE OF
  ABOUT ONE TENTH OF A FOOT PER DAY FOR THE NEXT WEEK.

$$

&& 
LOCATION FLOOD  LATEST OBSERVED  MAXIMUM FORECAST    RECENT OBSERVED
         STAGE  STAGE  TIME      STAGE  TIME         CREST TIME

JAMES RIVER
HURS2    11.0   11.58 MON 7 AM   11.9  WED JUL 1
FORS2    12.0   13.11 MON 7 AM   CONTINUE SLOW FALL
JRMS2    17.0   18.56 MON 8 AM   CONTINUE SLOW FALL
SCOS2    13.0   12.92 MON 7 AM                       13.3 FRI JUN 19

GILLISPIE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN/NORTHWEST IA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
350 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2009

.DISCUSSION...
IN THE NEAR TERM...DEALING WITH YET ANOTHER MCS JUST TO SOUTH OF OUR
FA IN CENTRAL AND ERN NEB. GENERAL TREND OF THE STRONGEST PART OF
THIS CONVECTION HAS BEEN TO MOVE E OR EVEN A BIT ESE AWAY FM OUR
FA...STEERING MORE INTO THE STOUT LLV JET CURRENTLY IN KS. UP HERE
IN OUR FA...OUR LLV FLOW IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY CUTOFF FM THE
WEST...EVEN AT H85. THEREFORE SHEAR PROFILES ARE WEAK IN THE LOWEST
1.5 KM. STILL...SHRA AND TS IS INCHING NEWD ATTM AND WL CERTAINLY
AFFECT THE FAR SRN PARTS OF THE FA EARLY TODAY. ALSO...SCT SHRA AND
A FEW TS ALSO ARE INDICATED IN WEST CENTRAL NEB...AND EVEN SOME
ISOLD TS/SHRA JUST WEST OF THE BLKHLS. THIS ACTIVITY IS LIKELY
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN WAVE. SO WITH THE WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL
NEB CONVECTION...CANNOT TOTALLY RULE OUT SOME OF THAT DRIFTING A BIT
FUTHER NORTH INTO THIS AREA THIS MORNING...THUS CHC OR SCT POPS
NORTH OF SIOUX CITY AND STORM LAKE. THEN IN THE LATE MORNING...
STUBBORN LLV FRONTOGENESIS HANGS OUT IN THE FAR SRN PART OF OUR FA
AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING WAVE. THIS AFTERNOON...THE CRUX OF THE WAVE
ENERGY MOVES THRU THIS FA. ELEVATED MU CAPES DO SHOW SOME
INSTABILITY IN THE RANGE OF 400 TO 800 J/KG...WITH ALSO SOME
INSTABILITY IN THE LIFTED INDICES. SHEAR PROFILES ARE OBVIOUSLY
PRETTY WEAK BY THAT POINT...BUT ENOUGH INSTABILITY EXISTS TO WARRANT
POPS EXCEPT IN OUR FAR WEST. ALTERED MAX TEMPS LITTLE TODAY...WITH
MIXING TO ABOUT H85 MOST LOCATIONS.

TONIGHT FINALLY LOOKS QUIET WX WISE. THOUGHT ABOUT SOME LATE NIGHT
FOG BUT THE WINDS JUST OFF THE SFC DO STAY NWLY. SO THAT MAY
PRECLUDE FOG DEVELOPMENT EXCEPT POSSIBLY IN THE RIVER BOTTOMS. S/W
RIDGING THEN MOVES ACROSS THE FA SATURDAY GIVING A PLEASANT SUMMER
DAY WITH A LOT OF MID 80S.

SAT NIGHT IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY INTERESTING. STRONG S/W ENERGY
PER THE NAM/UKMET/ECMWF BEGINS TO MOVE NEWD FM THE SRN ROCKIES ON
SATURDAY DAY PERIOD...THEN INTO OUR FA SAT NIGHT. THE GFS HAS
NOTHING. NOW THE ECWMF HAS BEEN VERY CONSISTENT THE PAST SEVERAL
RUNS AT LEAST IN SHOWING THIS FEATURE...ESP AFFECTING OUR WEST AND
NORTH. NOW THE NAM AND UKMET HAS PICKED UP ON IT. LLV JET VEERS TO
THE SOUTH AND INCREASES DRAMATICALLY SAT EVENING PROVIDING GREAT
SPEED SHEAR IN THIS AREA. AND A JET STREAK IS NOTED TO BE MOVG NEWD
FM WRN KS...PLACING THIS FA IN A POTENTIAL LEFT EXIT REGION
ENHANCING BROAD SCALE LIFT. DEEP SHEAR BEGINS TO LIFT NEWD AS THE
NIGHT PROGRESSES...THEREFORE CHC POPS ARE DEFINITELY WARRANTED ATTM.
IF THE GFS COMES AROUND...POPS WL PROBABLY BE RAISED IN FUTURE
FCSTS. BUT AT LEAST RIGHT NOW...THE SETUP LOOKS INCREASINGLY WET SAT
NIGHT.

THIS PROJECTED SYSTEM EXITS THE ERN SECTIONS OF OUR FA SUNDAY
MORNING...THEN ENOUGH AFTERNOON INSTABILITY EXISTS WITH SW FLOW
ALOFT TO WARRANT SMALL POPS CWA WIDE IN THE AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON
CINS ARE VIRTUALLY NON EXISTENT...SO IF WE REALIZE OUR FCST HIGHS OF
85 TO 90...COUPLED WITH AIR ALOFT THAT IS STILL NOT TOO HOT YET...
CANNOT RULE OUT SOME ISOLD ACTIVITY. SUNDAY NIGHT...THERE COULD BE
ANOTHER WAVE MOVG NEWD...MAINLY AFFECTING OUR WEST AND NRN SECTIONS.

FURTHER OUT EARLY NEXT WEEK...GFS AND ECMWF STILL POINT AT BUILDING
UPPER HGTS IN THE PLAINS...WITH THE PATTERN AMPLIFIED ACROSS THE
CONUS. THIS MEANS THAT MANY AREAS ACROSS THE ERN PARTS OF OUR FA WL
BE INCREASINGLY CAPPED OFF...COUPLED WITH LITTLE OR NO FOCUS
MECHANISM NEAR THE SFC. THEREFORE ONLY VERY SMALL POPS ARE WARRANTED
PRIMARILY ACROSS OUR WEST WITH ANY LITTLE IMPULSE THAT MAY MOVE NEWD
FM THE CENTRAL RCKYS. LOOKS PRETTY HOT AND HUMID ON MON AND TUE
GIVEN THE LATEST H85 TEMPS AND A PERSISTENTLY MOIST SLY FLOW. TOWARD
MID WEEK...STILL LOOKS LIKE WE ARE LOOKING AT INCREASING
THUNDERSTORM CHCS SAGGING SWD IN THE TUE NIGHT THRU THURSDAY TIME
FRAME. BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS CONT TO SHOW VIGOROUS UPPER LOW PRES
MOVG ACROSS S CENTRAL CANADA. ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THIS LOW...
DISTURBANCES WILL ACT TO FLATTEN THE RIDGE...AND PCPN CHCS WL BE
AIDED BY INCREASING LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AS A WEAK CDFNT MOVES SEWD
MID WEEK. SO IT COULD BE VERY INTERESTING MID WEEK NEXT WEEK.  /MJF

&&

.AVIATION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS NW IA THIS
MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE. NOT EXPECTING
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...BUT HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL IS POSSIBLE
WITH ANY STRONGER STORMS. LESSER CHANCES FOR CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
INTO SW MN AND ERN SD. WILL SEE VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD OTHER
THAN WHERE THUNDERSTORMS EXIST. AGAIN WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
THUNDERSTORM WINDS...RELATIVELY LIGHT NW WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED
BEHIND A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL PUSH EAST OF THE AREA THIS
MORNING...THEN VERY LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN.
/LIEBL

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...NONE.
MN...NONE.
NE...NONE.
SD...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
455 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

SDZ038>040-050-052>071-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-201200-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-
CHARLES MIX-CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-
DAVISON-DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-
IDA IA-JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-
LYON IA-LYON MN-MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
OBRIEN IA-OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-
SIOUX IA-TURNER-UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-
455 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD OCCUR TODAY EMBEDDED WITHIN SOME SHOWER
ACTIVITY. BUT ANY STORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THIS AREA AS SATURDAY
NIGHT PROGRESSES...LASTING INTO SUNDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE
ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SIOUXFALLS. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.