High Wind Watch 2, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
915 AM MST SAT MAR 28 2009

.SYNOPSIS...FAIR WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...WITH
STRONG WINDS EXPECTED OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM
WILL ALSO BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO EASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE STATE FROM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LOOK FOR FAIR WEATHER TODAY THROUGH MID MORNING SUNDAY
ACROSS NORTHERN AZ. FROM LATE SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...STRONG SOUTHWEST SFC WINDS WILL RETURN TO THE NORTHLAND. A
POTENT COLD FRONT IS SHOWN TO MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AZ/UT BORDER
LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE SOUTHWARD THROUGH OUR CWA DURING
THE EVENING. WE WILL EVALUATE THIS MORNINGS MODEL RUNS TO SEE
WHETHER A WIND ADVISORY (GUSTS FROM 40 TO 58 MPH) OR HIGH WIND
WATCH/WARNING (SUSTAINED GREATER THAN 40 MPH AND OR GUSTS GREATER
THAN 58 MPH) WILL BE NEEDED FOR SUNDAY...PERHAPS A COMBINATION OF
BOTH. MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM IS LIMITED AND AT THIS TIME MODEL
QPF IS LIMITED TO THE NAVAJO NATION SUNDAY NIGHT.

PREV DISCUSSION 315 AM...NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE FOR
MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. OCCASIONAL DISTURBANCES IN THIS FLOW
WILL BRING PERIODS OF HIGHER WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE
REGION. ONE OF THESE DISTURBANCES IS DUE SUNDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY REACH INTO ADVISORY TERRITORY
SUNDAY...WITH VERY COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS BEHIND THE FRONT MONDAY.
A STRONGER WAVE MAY BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW TO THE AREA
LATER NEXT WEEK....TIME WILL TELL.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE
FCST PERIOD. AFT 29/15Z...WINDS BCMG SW15-25G35KT. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM
SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
AZZ118-AZZ137.

&&

PUBLIC.....................DL
AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER......DB

VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
630 AM MST FRI MAR 27 2009

AZZ004>018-037>040-280700-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU-COCONINO PLATEAU-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
BLACK MESA AREA-LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-
630 AM MST FRI MAR 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN
GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

NO WEATHER HAZARDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED ONCE AGAIN BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS ANOTHER VIGOROUS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO
DIVE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH COLORADO. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR
SUNDAY. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY SUNDAY AFTERNOON
ALONG WITH THE STRONG WINDS...MAY ALSO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS AS WELL. THOSE WITH OUTDOOR INTEREST SHOULD STAY TUNE TO
LATER UPDATES IN THE FORECAST.