River Flood Warning 69, NWS Grand Forks, ND

000 
WGUS83 KFGF 302355
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
655 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
   THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE AFFECTING RICHLAND COUNTY

.THE RAIN AND SNOW EVENT ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER
SOUTHWEST ONTARIO IS WINDING DOWN...AND PRECIPITATION IS TAPERING OFF.
HOWEVER...ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN AND MELTED SNOW FELL ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN VALLEY. THIS RECENT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO WORK ITS WAY
INTO THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY AND ITS SOUTHERN TRIBUTARIES OVER THE
WEEKEND...CAUSING MINOR FLOODING AT THE AFOREMENTIONED SITES.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

&&

NDC077-011155-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0065.091031T1708Z-091105T0000Z/
/ABRN8.2.ER.091031T1708Z.091102T0000Z.091104T1200Z.NO/
655 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE.
* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY EVENING. 
* AT  4:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 14.0 FEET BY SUNDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, SOME LOCAL FLOODING BEGINS ON 
  RURAL ROADS AND APPROACHES TO BRIDGES.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         10/31  11/01  11/02  11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE        6.2   11.3   14.0   13.0   11.0    9.1    7.5

$$

MNC167-NDC077-011154-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0069.091031T1600Z-091102T1500Z/
/WHNN8.1.ER.091031T1600Z.091101T0600Z.091102T0300Z.NO/
655 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING TO MONDAY MORNING. 
* AT  6:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 10.5 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 11.0 FEET, CITY IS MOBILIZED TO PATROL 
  DIKES.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         10/31  11/01  11/02  11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON           8.7   10.3   10.1    9.0    7.9    7.0    6.3

$$

MNC027-NDC017-011154-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0068.091101T1559Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.091101T1559Z.091104T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
655 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* FROM SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  6:15 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.6 FEET, FARGO...NORTH BROADWAY BRIDGE IS
  CLOSED.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         10/31  11/01  11/02  11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06

RED RIVER
  FARGO             16.3   17.1   18.5   19.8   20.9   20.8   19.5

$$

MNC027-011154-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0066.091101T1800Z-091104T1500Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.091101T1800Z.091102T1800Z.091104T0300Z.NO/
655 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO WEDNESDAY MORNING. 
* AT  4:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.5 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.0 FEET, FLOODING ON ROAD CUT AT OLD 
  MEANDER SCAR EAST OF GAGE BEGINS.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         10/31  11/01  11/02  11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             10.0   11.3   12.2   12.5   12.1   11.4   10.7

$$

MNC027-011154-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0067.091102T2248Z-091105T2000Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.091102T2248Z.091104T0000Z.091105T0800Z.NO/
655 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 
* AT  5:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 13.0 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         10/31  11/01  11/02  11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH           8.6    9.1   10.1   12.1   13.0   12.4   11.2

$$
SPEICHER

000 
WGUS43 KFGF 311351
FLWFGF


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
851 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2009

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY AND 
INCREASED IN DURATION FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MINNESOTA...NORTH 
DAKOTA...

  THIS WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON 
  AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES

.RECENT RAIN AND SNOWFALL IS CAUSING THE RED RIVER IN WAHPETON TO
RISE TO MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. WITH SOILS ALREADY SATURATED IN
THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER BASIN...RUNOFF AND SNOW MELT IS CAUSING
THE RIVER TO RISE AT A FASTER RATE.

  A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT WITH MORE DETAILED FLOODING INFORMATION 
  WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

&&

MNC167-NDC077-311651-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0069.091031T1345Z-091104T1800Z/
/WHNN8.2.ER.091031T0600Z.091101T1200Z.091104T0600Z.NO/
851 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2009

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.0 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.


$$

000 
WGUS83 KFGF 311403
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
903 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
   THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE AFFECTING RICHLAND COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES

.RECENT RAIN AND SNOWFALL IS CAUSING THE RED RIVER AND TRIBUTARIES
IN THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER BASIN TO RISE. WITH SOILS ALREADY
SATURATED IN THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER BASIN...RUNOFF AND SNOW MELT
IS CAUSING RIVERS TO RISE AT A FASTER RATE. PERSONS IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR RIVER LEVELS AND
BE PREPARED TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

&&

MNC167-NDC077-020203-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-091104T1800Z/
/WHNN8.2.ER.091031T0600Z.091101T1200Z.091104T0600Z.NO/
903 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* AT  8:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.0 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE...CITY 
  STARTS TO MOBILIZE. BANKFULL STAGE. FLOODING OF A PORTION OF THE 
  SANITARY SEWER SYSTEM. BRECKENRIDGE...STORM SEWER VALUES ARE CLOSED
  AND INTERIOR PUMPING BEGINS.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         11/01  11/02  11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06  11/07

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          12.0   11.8   10.8    9.8    8.8    7.9    7.2

$$

MNC027-NDC017-020202-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0068.091101T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.091101T0900Z.091104T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
903 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 24.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 24.0 FEET, FARGO...2ND STREET CLOSES 
  BETWEEN 1ST AND 3RD AVENUE NORTH FOR CONSTRUCTION OF TEMPORARY DIKE
  THAT PROTECTS CITY HALL IF THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE 31 
  FEET.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         11/01  11/02  11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06  11/07

RED RIVER
  FARGO             18.2   20.4   22.7   23.9   23.9   22.4   20.4

$$

NDC077-020202-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0065.091031T1357Z-091105T0800Z/
/ABRN8.2.ER.091031T1155Z.091102T0600Z.091104T2000Z.NO/
903 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 
* AT  7:15 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, SOME LOCAL FLOODING BEGINS ON 
  RURAL ROADS AND APPROACHES TO BRIDGES.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         11/01  11/02  11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06  11/07

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE       13.9   15.0   13.2   10.8    8.7    7.2    6.0

$$

MNC027-020202-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0066.091101T1800Z-091106T0000Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.091101T1800Z.091103T0000Z.091105T1200Z.NO/
903 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY EVENING. 
* AT  8:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 12.5 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.0 FEET, FLOODING ON ROAD CUT AT OLD 
  MEANDER SCAR EAST OF GAGE BEGINS.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         11/01  11/02  11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06  11/07

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             11.8   12.4   12.5   12.4   12.0   11.6   11.1

$$

MNC027-020202-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0067.091102T1930Z-091107T2100Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.091102T1930Z.091104T0600Z.091107T0900Z.NO/
903 AM CDT SAT OCT 31 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON TO SATURDAY NOVEMBER 07. 
* AT  8:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.9 FEET, BOTTOM OF STEEL BRIDGE CAUSES 
  UPSTREAM ROAD TO FLOOD.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         11/01  11/02  11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06  11/07

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH           9.8   11.4   13.0   13.5   13.2   12.7   11.9

$$

000 
WGUS83 KFGF 011542
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
942 AM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE AFFECTING RICHLAND COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
   THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY

.RECENT RAIN AND SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE RIVER RISES TO THE NORTH
OF WAHPETON DURING THIS UPCOMING WEEK.  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON HAS CRESTED
BUT RISES WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE WILD RICE AT ABERCROMBIE AND THE RED RIVER
AT FARGO THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.  RISES WILL ALSO CONTINUE ALONG THE 
BUFFALO RIVER AT DILWORTH AND THE SOUTH FORK OF THE BUFFALO AT SABIN THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT NO SIGNIFCANT PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST FOR 
THE AREA DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS.  

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

&&

NDC077-030342-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-091105T0824Z/
/ABRN8.2.ER.091031T1155Z.091102T1800Z.091104T2024Z.NO/
942 AM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE.
* AT  6:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, SOME LOCAL FLOODING BEGINS ON 
  RURAL ROADS AND APPROACHES TO BRIDGES.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         11/02  11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06  11/07  11/08

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE       13.4   12.8   10.7    8.8    7.2    6.2    5.6

$$

MNC167-NDC077-030341-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-091104T0200Z/
/WHNN8.1.ER.091031T0600Z.091101T0900Z.091103T1400Z.NO/
942 AM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* AT  9:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE A SLOW FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE...CITY 
  STARTS TO MOBILIZE. BANKFULL STAGE.FLOODING OF A PORTION OF THE 
  SANITARY SEWER SYSTEM. BRECKENRIDGE...STORM SEWER VALUES ARE CLOSED
  AND INTERIOR PUMPING BEGINS.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         11/02  11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06  11/07  11/08

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          11.2   10.1    9.0    8.1    7.4    6.8    6.5

$$

MNC027-NDC017-030341-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.091101T0507Z.091105T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 AM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* AT  9:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CREST FROM 23 TO 24 FEET 
  EARLY THURSDAY.    
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 24.0 FEET, FARGO...2ND STREET CLOSES 
  BETWEEN 1ST AND 3RD AVENUE NORTH FOR CONSTRUCTION OF TEMPORARY DIKE
  THAT PROTECTS CITY HALL IF THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE 31 
  FEET.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         11/02  11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06  11/07  11/08

RED RIVER
  FARGO             20.8   22.6   23.8   23.8   22.1   20.2   18.4

$$

MNC027-030341-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-091105T1200Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.091101T1200Z.091102T1200Z.091105T0000Z.NO/
942 AM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* AT  7:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.6 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.0 FEET, FLOODING ON ROAD CUT AT OLD 
  MEANDER SCAR EAST OF GAGE BEGINS.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         11/02  11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06  11/07  11/08

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             12.6   12.6   12.2   11.8   11.3   10.8   10.2

$$

MNC027-030341-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0067.091102T1400Z-091107T0900Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.091102T1400Z.091104T0600Z.091106T2100Z.NO/
942 AM CST SUN NOV 01 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* FROM MONDAY MORNING TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. 
* AT  8:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.9 FEET, BOTTOM OF STEEL BRIDGE CAUSES 
  UPSTREAM ROAD TO FLOOD.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         11/02  11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06  11/07  11/08

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          11.9   13.1   13.5   13.1   12.3   11.5   10.6

$$

000 
WGUS83 KFGF 021648
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1048 AM CST MON NOV 02 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
   THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE AFFECTING RICHLAND COUNTY
 
.RECENT RAIN AND SNOW MELT WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE MINOR AND MODERATE
FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE RIVERS IN THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER
VALLEY. THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE...BUT THE
RED RIVER AT FARGO WILL RISE FOR A COUPLE MORE DAYS BEFORE RECEDING
LATER THIS WEEK. THE WILD RICE RIVER AT ABERCROMBIE HAS NEARLY
CRESTED AND WILL RECEDE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. THE SOUTH
BRANCH OF THE BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN WILL CREST SOON...THEN RECEDE.
WHILE THE BUFFALO RIVER AT DILWORTH WILL RISE FOR A COUPLE MORE DAYS
BEFORE RECEDING LATER THIS WEEK. NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS IN
THE FORECAST FOR THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

&&

NDC077-040448-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-091105T0112Z/
/ABRN8.2.ER.091031T1155Z.091102T1800Z.091104T1312Z.NO/
1048 AM CST MON NOV 02 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE.
* AT 6:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. CITY 
  STARTS TO MOBILIZE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE       12.1   10.1    8.3    7.1    6.3    5.7    5.3

$$

MNC167-NDC077-031330-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-091103T1330Z/
/WHNN8.1.ER.091031T0600Z.091101T0900Z.091103T0130Z.NO/
1048 AM CST MON NOV 02 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* AT 7:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 11.0 FEET, CITY IS MOBILIZED TO PATROL 
  DIKES.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON           9.4    8.3    7.3    6.6    6.3    6.2    6.1

$$

MNC027-NDC017-040447-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-091108T2159Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.091101T0507Z.091104T1800Z.091108T0959Z.NO/
1048 AM CST MON NOV 02 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* AT 9:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.7 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 24.0 FEET, FARGO...2ND STREET CLOSES 
  BETWEEN 1ST AND 3RD AVENUE NORTH FOR CONSTRUCTION OF TEMPORARY DIKE
  THAT PROTECTS CITY HALL IF THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE 31 
  FEET.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09

RED RIVER
  FARGO             22.6   23.6   23.5   21.9   19.7   17.9   17.0

$$

MNC027-040447-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-091105T1800Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.091101T1200Z.091102T1800Z.091105T0600Z.NO/
1048 AM CST MON NOV 02 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* AT 7:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.1 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THURSDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.0 FEET, FLOODING ON ROAD CUT AT OLD 
  MEANDER SCAR EAST OF GAGE BEGINS.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             13.0   12.5   11.8   11.1   10.3    9.6    8.9

$$

MNC027-040447-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-091107T1500Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.091103T0000Z.091104T1800Z.091107T0300Z.NO/
1048 AM CST MON NOV 02 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* AT 9:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 13.7 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.9 FEET, BOTTOM OF STEEL BRIDGE CAUSES 
  UPSTREAM ROAD TO FLOOD.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          12.5   13.6   13.4   12.6   11.8   10.9   10.1

$$

000 
WGUS83 KFGF 030431
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1031 PM CST MON NOV 02 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

 
  THIS IS A CANCELLATION FLOOD STATEMENT FOR THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR 
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
  
.DRIER WEATHER OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS HAS ALLOWED RIVER LEVELS AT
WAHPETON TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE. CONTINUED DRY WEATHER WILL
ALLOW LEVELS TO CONTINUE FALLING.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

&&

MNC167-NDC077-030501-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-091103T1330Z/
/WHNN8.1.ER.091031T0600Z.091101T0900Z.091103T0240Z.NO/
1031 PM CST MON NOV 02 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* AT 10:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  8:40 PM MONDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 8.3 FEET BY WEDNESDAY
  MORNING.
* THERE IS NO CREST FORECAST FOR THIS 7-DAY PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 10.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         11/03  11/04  11/05  11/06  11/07  11/08  11/09

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON           8.8    7.8    6.9    6.5    6.2    6.2     M 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
350 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2009

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGES INVOLVE DISSIPATING PRECIPITATION BAND
AND TEMPERATURES/PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR SUNDAYS CLIPPER SYSTEM.
GFS/NAM/ECMWF CONTINUE TO BE IN FAIR AGREEMENT...ALTHOUGH OVERALL
TREND HAS BEEN FOR RAIN/SNOW ALONG DEFORMATION AXIS TO MOVE EAST-
NORTHEAST MORE SLOWLY THAN DEPICTED BY MODEL QPF FIELDS. CONTINUED
WITH A MODEL BLEND FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE.

UPPER CLOSED LOW HAS WEAKENED AND BECOME AN OPEN WAVE WITH PRIMARY
300 HPA JET ENERGY NOW ACROSS EASTERN MN. AT THE SURFACE...LOW
CENTER IS NOW OVER MN ARROWHEAD...ALLOWING FOR A STIFF NORTHWEST
WIND WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
REGIONAL WSR-88D RADARS SHOW PRIMARY PRECIPITATION BAND ALONG
DEFORMATION AXIS FROM ROSEAU TO SIOUX CITY IA. ALTHOUGH SURFACE
TEMPERATURES HAVE REMAINED AT OR ABOVE FREEZING...ALL PRECIPITATION
HAS CHANGED OVER TO SNOW WITH SOME AREAS HAVING PICKED UP ONE TO
TWO INCHES OF WET SNOW/SLUSH THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT REMAINING
SNOW BAND TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND PUSH EAST THIS EVENING AS LOW
PRESSURE CENTER MOVES INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO. AN ADDITIONAL ONE
HALF INCH OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...BUT ALL AREAS
SHOULD FINALLY DRY OUT BY SATURDAY MORNING. EXPECT UNTREATED ROADS
TO REMAIN SLICK OVERNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING BY MORNING DESPITE THICK CLOUD COVER AND
ELEVATED WIND.

SATURDAY WILL BE DRY AS THE FORECAST AREA IS BETWEEN SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE CENTERS AND AN UPPER RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD. EXPECT PARTLY
SUNNY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S TO
MID 40S. SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...THE NEXT CLIPPER SYSTEM
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE
NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER AS TIGHT LOW-LEVEL BAROCLINIC AXIS
SETS UP ACROSS 850 HPA WAVE. WITH IMPRESSIVE 925-850 HPA WARM AIR
ADVECTION...A RAIN/SNOW MIX WILL BE MOST LIKELY...ALTHOUGH WILL
NEED TO MONITOR FUTURE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES FOR FREEZING RAIN
POTENTIAL. ANY AREAS THAT RECEIVE SNOW SHOULD SEE TWO INCHES OR
LESS. TEMPERATURES SUNDAY SHOULD BE WARMER...PRIMARILY IN THE 40S
TO LOW 50S.

FOR MONDAY...EXPECT A RETURN TO DRY CONDITIONS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY

THE LONG RANGE MODELS REMAIN IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT IN WITH THE
500MB PATTERN IN NW FLOW FOR THE EARLY PART OF THE EXTENDED
FORECAST. THEY BEGIN TO DIVERGE MORE TOWARDS THE LATER PERIODS...AS
THERE ARE DISCREPANCIES IN HOW QUICKLY THE 500MB RIDGE WILL BUILD
OVER THE W U.S. ALTHOUGH THERE ARE A FEW WEAK WAVES THAT MOVE
THROUGH THE NW FLOW...NOT EXPECTING ANY SIGNIFICANT PCPN AT THIS
TIME...SO KEPT FORECAST DRY. AS FAR AS TEMPS...EXPECT THEM TO
REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...

IFR/MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS WILL LIFT TO VFR AROUND 00Z THIS EVENING AS
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES NE AND ASSOCIATED SNOW BAND DISSIPATES.
WINDS TO REMAIN FROM THE NW 15 TO 20 KTS MUCH OF THE NIGHT...WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KTS POSSIBLE.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

ROGERS/NG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
543 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2009

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-311045-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
543 AM CDT FRI OCT 30 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TODAY RAINFALL...MODERATE AT TIMES...WILL CHANGEOVER TO SNOW FROM
SOUTHEASTERN ND LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE BEMIDJI AND BAUDETTE
AREAS BY THIS EVENING. SNOW COMBINED WITH WINDY NORTH TO NORTH
WEST MAY CAUSED REDUCED VISIBILITIES ON THE ROADS THIS AFTERNOON.
ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 2 INCHES IN NW MN TO AN INCH IN THE FARGO...
MOORHEAD AREA CAN BE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SUNDAY MORNING THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS CHANGING OVER TO
RAIN SHOWERS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A TIME PERIOD OF MIXED PRECIP
AS A WARM FRONT SLIDES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
432 PM CDT FRI OCT 30 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0431 PM     SNOW             FOSSTON                 47.58N 95.75W
10/30/2009  M4.5 INCH        POLK               MN   PUBLIC

            MEASURED ON DECK

&&

DRIDDLE