Alert archive / North Dakota / River Flood Warnings in 2009

River Flood Warning 63, NWS Grand Forks, ND

June 28, 2009Walsh County, North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this river flood warning at Jun 28, 2009, 9:03 PM CDT for Walsh County, North Dakota. It took effect at Jun 29, 2009, 11:33 AM CDT. It was in force for 33 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 28, 2009, 9:03 PM CDT (02:03 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 29, 2009, 11:33 AM CDT
Expired
Jun 30, 2009, 8:46 PM CDT
In force
33 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Flood severity
Minor

County Walsh County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Forest River at Minto (MTON8).

Action stage
4.5 ft
Minor stage
6 ft
Moderate stage
8 ft
Major stage
11 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05085000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KFGF 290203
FLWFGF


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
903 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH DAKOTA... 
  
THIS IS A NEW WARNING FOR...
  THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY
  

.THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO IS EXPECTED TO EXCEED MINOR FLOOD STAGE ON 
MONDAY AS A RESULT OF RECENT HEAVY RAINFALLS. 

  A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT WITH MORE DETAILED FLOODING INFORMATION 
  WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGES...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY...MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.


&&

NDC099-290503-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0063.090629T1500Z-090701T0900Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.090629T1500Z.090630T0000Z.090630T2100Z.NO/
903 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS, ND HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO.
* FROM MONDAY MORNING TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 6.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.


$$
WJB
5 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS83 KFGF 290221
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
921 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...
 
  THE RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON AFFECTING POLK COUNTY
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

   THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
   THE TWO RIVERS RIVER NEAR HALLOCK AFFECTING KITTSON COUNTY
   THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE AFFECTING RICHLAND COUNTY
   THE PARK RIVER AT GRAFTON AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNING FOR...
   THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY

.THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGES...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.


&&

MNC027-291405-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-090629T1405Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090623T0130Z.090629T0205Z.NO/
921 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET. 
* THIS RIVER LOCATION IS EXPERIENCING MINOR FLOODING NOW...
  BUT IS FORECAST TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITHIN THE NEXT 6 
  HOURS.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          11.0   10.1    9.4    8.8    8.2    7.7    7.1

$$

MNC069-301420-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-090704T1800Z/
/HLLM5.1.ER.090628T1522Z.090630T1200Z.090704T0600Z.NO/
921 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TWO RIVERS RIVER NEAR HALLOCK.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 803.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 802.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 805.2 FEET BY 
  TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 805.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. STORM 
  SEWERS START BACKING UP.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05

TWO RIVERS RIVER
  HALLOCK          805.0  805.1  804.5  803.7  802.5  801.1  800.2

$$

NDC077-301420-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-090701T1630Z/
/ABRN8.1.ER.090627T2033Z.090629T1800Z.090701T0430Z.NO/
921 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.3 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TUESDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. CITY 
  STARTS TO MOBILIZE.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE       11.2   10.3    8.7    7.1    5.8    5.1    4.6

$$

NDC099-301420-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0063.090629T1500Z-090701T0900Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.090629T1500Z.090630T0000Z.090630T2100Z.NO/
921 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO.
* FROM MONDAY MORNING TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 6.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 6.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. LEFT
  BANK FLOODING. BANKFULL STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05

FOREST RIVER
  MINTO              6.5    5.9    4.7    3.9    3.3    2.8    2.5

$$

NDC099-301420-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0056.090629T0214Z-090701T0000Z/
/GRNN8.1.ER.090628T2040Z.090629T1200Z.090630T1200Z.NO/
921 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE PARK RIVER AT GRAFTON.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO TUESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.5 FEET, CITY PARK BEGINS TO FLOOD. 5TH 
  STREET WEST AND GOLF COURSE ROAD BLOCKED.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05

PARK RIVER
  GRAFTON           12.4   11.4    9.6    8.7    8.2    8.1    8.0

$$

MNC119-290251-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-090630T0000Z/
/CRKM5.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
921 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON.
* AT  9:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 14.7 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, FLOOD STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN
(MONTH/DAY)         06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05

RED LAKE RIVER
  CROOKSTON         14.0   11.3   10.0    8.8    8.1    7.8    7.6

$$
WJB
000 
WGUS83 KFGF 291331
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
831 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE AFFECTING RICHLAND COUNTY
   THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY
   THE PARK RIVER AT GRAFTON AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY

.ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME DRIZZLE AND AREAS OF VERY LIGHT RAIN...NO
SIGNIGICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HOWEVER...RECENT
HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES TO CAUSE SOME RIVERS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGES...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

&&

NDC077-010131-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-090702T0300Z/
/ABRN8.1.ER.090627T2033Z.090630T0000Z.090701T1500Z.NO/
831 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.4 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. CITY 
  STARTS TO MOBILIZE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE       11.3   10.2    8.3    6.7    5.6    5.0    4.5

$$

NDC099-010130-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0063.090629T1633Z-090701T0600Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.090629T1633Z.090630T0000Z.090630T1800Z.NO/
831 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 6.4 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 6.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. LEFT
  BANK FLOODING. BANKFULL STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06

FOREST RIVER
  MINTO              6.2    5.3    4.1    3.5    3.0    2.7    2.4

$$

NDC099-010130-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-090701T1600Z/
/GRNN8.1.ER.090628T2040Z.090630T0000Z.090701T0400Z.NO/
831 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE PARK RIVER AT GRAFTON.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.2 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW LATE 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.5 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. WATER 
  LEVEL IS AT THE TOP OF HYDRANTS AT 3RD AND WESTERN.WATER REACHES 
  2ND AND BURGAMOTT.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06

PARK RIVER
  GRAFTON           12.8   11.5    9.6    8.7    8.4    8.3    8.2

$$
SPEICHER
000 
WGUS83 KFGF 291911
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
211 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY
   THE PARK RIVER AT GRAFTON AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH 
DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE AFFECTING RICHLAND COUNTY

.THIS IS AN UPDATE FOR THE FORECAST AT GRAFTON BASED ON CURRENT 
DATA AND RECENTLY OBSERVED TRENDS. BASED ON THE INFORMATION RECEIVED
FROM UPSTREAM OF GRAFTON IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT THE PAR RIVER AT
GRAFTON SHOULD BE NEARING ITS PEAK LEVEL DURING THE NEXT 6 TO 12
HOURS. THEREAFTER THE RIVER SHOULD BEGIN TO FALL OFF.

NO PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST THE NEXT 24 TO 72 HOURS.

SLIGHTLY MODIFIED FORECASTS FOR ABERCROMBIE AND MINTO ARE PROVIDED
FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGES...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

&&

NDC077-010711-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-090702T0300Z/
/ABRN8.1.ER.090627T2033Z.090629T1530Z.090701T1500Z.NO/
211 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WILD RICE RIVER 
(ND) AT ABERCROMBIE FOR MINOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE
* UNTIL 10 AM WEDNESDAY JULY 01
* AT 10 AM MONDAY JUNE 29 THE STAGE WAS...11.3 FEET.    
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...10.0 FEET. MODERATE...12.0 FEET. MAJOR...18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...WILL FLUCTUATE AROUND 11.0 FT THRU TOMORROW MORNING 
  THEN WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 10.0 FT LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING 
  THEN WILL FALL BELOW  7.0 FT EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THEN WILL FALL TO
  AROUND 4.5 FT MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. CITY 
  STARTS TO MOBILIZE.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE       11.1    9.8    7.9    6.3    5.3    4.8    4.4

$$

NDC099-010300-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-090701T0300Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.090629T1700Z.090630T0000Z.090630T1500Z.NO/
211 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOREST RIVER AT 
MINTO FOR MINOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  FOREST RIVER AT MINTO
* UNTIL 10 AM TUESDAY JUNE 30
* AT 01 PM MONDAY JUNE 29 THE STAGE WAS...6.1 FEET.    
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...6.0 FEET. MODERATE...8.0 FEET. MAJOR...11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...WILL FLUCTUATE AROUND 6.0 FT THRU THIS EVENING THEN 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 6.0 FT TOMORROW LATE MORNING THEN 
  WILL FALL BELOW  4.5 FT WEDNESDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT THEN WILL FALL TO
  AROUND 2.5 FT MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 6.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. LEFT
  BANK FLOODING. BANKFULL STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06

FOREST RIVER
  MINTO              5.9    4.9    3.9    3.4    2.9    2.7    2.5

$$

NDC099-010710-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-090701T1630Z/
/GRNN8.1.ER.090628T2040Z.090630T0000Z.090701T0430Z.NO/
211 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PARK RIVER AT 
GRAFTON FOR MINOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  PARK RIVER AT GRAFTON
* UNTIL 11 PM TUESDAY JUNE 30
* AT 01 PM MONDAY JUNE 29 THE STAGE WAS...13.2 FEET.    
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...12.0 FEET. MODERATE...13.5 FEET. MAJOR...14.5 FEET.
* FORECAST...WILL FLUCTUATE AROUND 13.5 FT THRU THIS EVENING THEN 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 12.0 FT TOMORROW LATE EVENING THEN 
  WILL FALL BELOW  9.0 FT FRIDAY MORNING THEN WILL FALL TO AROUND 8.0
  FT EARLY MONDAY MORNING THEN WILL FLUCTUATE AROUND 8.0 FT THRU 
  MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.5 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. WATER 
  LEVEL IS AT THE TOP OF HYDRANTS AT 3RD AND WESTERN. WATER REACHES 
  2ND AND BURGAMOTT.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON
(MONTH/DAY)         06/30  07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06

PARK RIVER
  GRAFTON           12.8   10.9    9.5    8.8    8.6    8.4    8.3

$$
000 
WGUS83 KFGF 301404
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
904 AM CDT TUE JUN 30 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A EXTENSION TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR...
   THE RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT EAST GRAND FORKS AFFECTING POLK AND GRAND FORKS 
COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT OSLO AFFECTING MARSHALL...WALSH...POLK AND GRAND 
FORKS COUNTIES
   THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON AFFECTING MARSHALL...WALSH...KITTSON AND 
PEMBINA COUNTIES
   THE TWO RIVERS RIVER NEAR HALLOCK AFFECTING KITTSON COUNTY
   THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE AFFECTING RICHLAND COUNTY
   THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY
   THE PARK RIVER AT GRAFTON AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGES...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

&&

MNC027-NDC017-020204-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-090704T1800Z/
/FGON8.2.ER.090618T0422Z.090623T1030Z.090704T0600Z.NO/
904 AM CDT TUE JUN 30 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06  07/07

RED RIVER
  FARGO             19.6   19.2   18.7   17.8   17.0   16.6   16.3

$$

MNC119-NDC035-020203-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-090704T1800Z/
/EGFM5.1.ER.090628T0640Z.090630T0630Z.090704T0600Z.NO/
904 AM CDT TUE JUN 30 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT EAST GRAND FORKS.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CRESTING NOW AND WILL BEGIN A SLOW FALL.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06  07/07

RED RIVER
  EAST GRAND FORKS  31.1   30.5   29.3   27.6   25.6   23.8   22.1

$$

MNC089-119-NDC035-099-020203-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-090705T1800Z/
/OSLM5.1.ER.090628T1515Z.090701T0600Z.090705T0600Z.UU/
904 AM CDT TUE JUN 30 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT OSLO.
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.6 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06  07/07

RED RIVER
  OSLO              29.6   29.4   28.7   27.4   25.5   23.7   21.9

$$

MNC069-089-NDC067-099-020203-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0061.090702T0300Z-090707T0600Z/
/DRTN8.1.ER.090702T0300Z.090703T0600Z.090706T1800Z.NO/
904 AM CDT TUE JUN 30 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY JULY 7...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT DRAYTON.
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO TUESDAY JULY 7...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 32.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 32.4 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 32.0 FEET, MINOR FLOOD STAGE. NORTH DAKOTA 
  APPROACH TO BRIDGE STARTS TO FLOOD. AGRICULTURAL DAMAGE STARTS. 

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06  07/07

RED RIVER
  DRAYTON           31.6   32.2   32.4   32.4   32.2   32.0   31.7

$$

MNC069-020203-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-090703T1400Z/
/HLLM5.1.ER.090628T1522Z.090630T0145Z.090703T0200Z.NO/
904 AM CDT TUE JUN 30 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE TWO RIVERS RIVER NEAR HALLOCK.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 804.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 802.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06  07/07

TWO RIVERS RIVER
  HALLOCK          803.7  802.7  801.5  800.0  798.6  797.3  796.4

$$

NDC077-011800-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-090701T1800Z/
/ABRN8.1.ER.090627T2033Z.090629T1530Z.090701T0600Z.NO/
904 AM CDT TUE JUN 30 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 10.0 FEET, MINOR FLOOD STAGE. LOW BANK 
  OVERFLOWS.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06  07/07

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE        9.6    7.3    5.7    5.0    4.5    4.1    3.9

$$

NDC099-010730-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-090701T0730Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.090629T1700Z.090630T0645Z.090630T1930Z.NO/
904 AM CDT TUE JUN 30 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 6.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. LEFT
  BANK FLOODING. BANKFULL STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06  07/07

FOREST RIVER
  MINTO              5.0    3.8    3.2    2.9    2.7    2.5    2.3

$$

NDC099-012024-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-090701T2024Z/
/GRNN8.1.ER.090628T2040Z.090630T0200Z.090701T0824Z.NO/
904 AM CDT TUE JUN 30 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PARK RIVER AT GRAFTON.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* MINOR FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.5 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. WATER 
  LEVEL IS AT THE TOP OF HYDRANTS AT 3RD AND WESTERN.WATER REACHES 
  2ND AND BURGAMOTT.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06  07/07

PARK RIVER
  GRAFTON           11.7   10.1    9.2    8.8    8.6    8.5    8.4

$$
000 
WGUS83 KFGF 010146
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
846 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2009

...THIS IS A CANCELLATION FLOOD STATEMENT FOR THE CURRENT WARNING FOR 
  THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY...
 
. THE WATER LEVEL HAS FALLEN BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON AT 3 PM.
A CREST OF 6.47 FEET WAS REACHED AROUND 2 AM.  WATER LEVELS WILL REMAIN
RELATIVELY HIGH FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.   

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGES...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

&&

NDC099-010216-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-090701T0730Z/
/MTON8.1.ER.090629T1700Z.090630T0645Z.090630T2000Z.NO/
846 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE FOREST RIVER AT MINTO.
* AT  8:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.6 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  3:00 PM TUESDAY.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 3.9 FEET BY THURSDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 6.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. LEFT
  BANK FLOODING. BANKFULL STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE
(MONTH/DAY)         07/01  07/02  07/03  07/04  07/05  07/06  07/07

FOREST RIVER
  MINTO              4.5    3.5    3.0    2.7    2.5    2.4    2.3

$$

JK/VP

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 28, 8:39 PM CDT, 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 28, 8:39 PM CDT, 24 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
839 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE...AND WE WILL ALLOW ALL WIND HEADLINES
TO EXPIRE ON TIME AT 02Z. OTHER THAN THAT...THE MOIST WRAPAROUND
FLOW CONTINUES INTO THE NORTHEAST...AND WILL HOLD ONTO SOME LOW
POPS THROUGH TONIGHT. WILL CHECK OVER TEMPS AND THE OTHER
GRIDS...WITH MINIMAL CHANGES EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION...
WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH THE PROGRESSION OF MVFR CLOUDS NEAR THE
UPPER LOW MOVING INTO THE VALLEY. HAVE INDICATED THE THREAT FOR
LOWER CIGS IN THE NORTH AND EAST LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY
MORNING...WITH WINDS TURNING MORE NORTHERLY AND SLOWLY DECREASING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 549 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009/

DISCUSSION...
WINDS ARE INTO ADVISORY CRITERIA IN THE EAST...AND MODEL SOUNDINGS
INDICATE GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE AS A PRESSURE RISE MAX
WORKS INTO THE EAST. THEREFORE...HAVE HOISTED A WIND ADVISORY FOR
THE EAST THROUGH 02Z.

AVIATION...

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY EARLY THIS EVENING
(BY 02Z) AND MOST OF THE CUMULUS OVER ERN ND INTO WCNTRL MN WILL
DISSIPATE. SOME THREAT THAT THE FAR EASTERN AND NORTHEAST FCST
AREA (ROX-BJI-PKD) MAY STAY WITH BROKEN CUMULUS CLOUDS THRU THE
NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AS THICKER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WORKS IT
WAY SOUTH ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER LOW NOW JUST NORTH OF
INTERNATIONAL FALLS. FOR THIS REASON KEPT PREV FCSTR THINKING OF
MVFR CIGS TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING FOR BJI TAF...ALTHOUGH LOWER
CLOUDS MAY MOVE A BIT FURTHER TO THE WEST AND SOUTH SO MAY UPDATE
THIS IN THE 00Z TAFS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGE INCLUDES TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD TRENDS
ASSOCIATED WITH DEPARTING UPPER LOW. GFS/NAM/ECMWF/GEM SHORT-TERM
SOLUTIONS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT...SO WILL USE A MODEL BLEND FOR
THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. HOWEVER...DID LEAN TOWARDS SREF/MAV GUIDANCE
FOR DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES.

A FEW SITES (KFGN/KHCO/KBJI) ACROSS NORTHWEST MINNESOTA HAVE
BARELY REACHED WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA (SUSTAINED 30 MPH AND/OR
GUSTS TO 45 MPH) THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...DECIDED NOT TO ISSUE
ADVISORY GIVEN ISOLATED REPORTS AND WIND SPEEDS ON THE LOW-END OF
CRITERIA. THE VAST MAJORITY OF SURFACE OBSERVATION SITES REMAIN IN
THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE AND WINDS...ALONG WITH THERMALLY-DRIVEN
CUMULUS WILL DISSIPATE WITH LOSS OF SOLAR THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL
REMAIN ELEVATED ENOUGH OVERNIGHT TO PREVENT MAXIMUM NOCTURNAL
COOLING...RESULTING IN LOWS GENERALLY IN THE LOW 50S.

ALL MODELS SHOW STACKED UPPER LOW ACROSS SOUTHWEST ONTARIO TO SLOWLY
DROP SOUTHEASTWARD THE NEXT FEW DAYS...CENTERED NEAR LAKE HURON
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AT THE SAME TIME...A WEST COAST RIDGE BUILDS
ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND NORTHERN PLAINS...KEEPING THE
FORECAST AREA IN NORTH-NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH
PRESSURE OVER WESTERN HUDSON BAY WILL BUILD TO THE SOUTH...NOSING
INTO EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA BEGINNING
MONDAY. THIS HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM LOOKS TO DOMINATE THE REGIONAL
WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY...KEEPING CONDITIONS MOSTLY TO
PARTLY SUNNY AND DRY.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT TRICKY...THOUGH...WITH THE FORECAST
AREA STUCK BETWEEN THE TROUGH TO THE EAST AND RIDGE TO THE WEST.
RECENT MODEL RUNS SUGGEST A COOLER LOW-LEVEL THERMAL PROFILE SO
DROPPED TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH DAYTIME
HIGHS PRIMARILY IN THE MID-70S. IN ADDITION...SOME LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE MAY CONTINUE TO WRAP AROUND THE GREAT LAKES LOW WITH
CONTINUED CLOUDS MAINLY ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND AREAS
EAST.

OVERALL...A PLEASANT LAST FEW DAYS OF JUNE.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY

THE UPPER LOW OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE EAST...WITH A
MORE ZONAL WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE NRN PLAINS AND SRN CANADA
FOR LATE IN THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND.  WHILE MODELS ARE IN FAIR
AGREEMENT IN THE OVERALL PATTERN...THEY DISAGREE IN THE STRENGTH AND
NUMBER OF POSSIBLE UPPER AIR DISTURBANCES THAT WILL AFFECT THE AREA
IN THIS WNW UPPER AIR PATTERN.  SOME GENERAL AGREEMENT AMONG THE
CANADIAN/ECMWF/GFS IN SHOWING SOME LOW THREAT FOR CONVECTION IN THE
FRI-SUN TIME PERIOD SO CONSENSUS OF SURROUNDING OFFICES WAS TO GO
ALONG WITH HPC 20 POPS FOR THIS PERIOD. OVERALL TEMPS LOOK NEAR
OR JUST A TAD BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MNZ005-006-008-009-
     013>016-022>024-027-028-031-032.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MNZ017.

&&

DK
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 28, 10:10 AM CDT, 10 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1010 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-291200-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
1010 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH
GUSTS OVER 30 MPH ILKELY.

LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWEST ONTARIO WILL WEAKEN TODAY. THE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE THE BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AS WE APPROACH THE FOURTH
OF JULY WEEKEND.  OTHERWISE DRY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

HOPPES/RIDDLE

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 28, 6:20 PM CDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
620 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0616 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BEMIDJI                 47.48N 94.88W
06/28/2009                   BELTRAMI           MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREES FALLING AND DAMAGING
            AUTOMOBILES/POWER LINES THROUGHOUT BELTRAMI COUNTY. WFO
            HAS OBSERVED WIND GUSTS TO 50MPH.TREE BASES POSSIBLY
            WEAKENED FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL.

&&

WBARRETT
Local storm report, Jun 28, 7:09 PM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
709 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BEMIDJI                 47.48N 94.88W
06/28/2009                   BELTRAMI           MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORT OF TREE FALLING INTO POWER LINE.

&&

WBARRETT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 29, 12:58 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGFBenson, Nelson, Ramsey, Towner21 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Dakota, 2009Every river flood warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.