River Flood Warning 5, NWS Grand Forks, ND

000 
WGUS83 KFGF 182203
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
503 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

 
  THIS IS AN EXTENSION FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE
  WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT TWIN VALLEY AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN...RICHLAND AND CASS COUNTIES
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON AFFECTING POLK COUNTY

 
.RECENT SNOWMELT OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL CAUSE THE RED RIVER AT
WAHPETON TO RISE OVER FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM WELL 
ABOVE FREEZING FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ADDITIONAL RUNOFF WILL OCCUR
AND RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE NEXT
WEEK AFTER A SIGNIFICANT STORM MOVES INTO THE AREA PRODUCING THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGES...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

&&

MNC167-NDC017-077-201003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0007.090319T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WHNN8.3.SM.090319T0000Z.090324T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
503 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE RED RIVER AT 
WAHPETON FOR MAJOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  RED RIVER AT WAHPETON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY MARCH 18 THE STAGE WAS...9.8 FT.    
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.   
* FLOOD STAGE IS...10.0 FT. MODERATE...12.0 FT. MAJOR...14.0 FT.
* FORECAST...EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OF   10.0 FT THIS 
  EVENING THEN FORECAST TO RISE TO AROUND 15 FT BY WEDNESDAY.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, TOP OF THE PERMANENT DIKE.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          11.0   11.8   12.2   12.7   13.6   14.6   15.0

$$

MNC027-201003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SABM5.2.SM.090318T1905Z.090324T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
503 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH BRANCH 
BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN FOR MODERATE FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY MARCH 18 THE STAGE WAS...13.2 FT.    
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...12.0 FT. MODERATE...15.0 FT. MAJOR...19.0 FT.
* FORECAST...FORECAST TO RISE TO AROUND 15 FT TUESDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             13.7   13.8   13.9   14.0   14.3   15.1   16.1

$$

MNC027-201003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.2.SM.090318T0440Z.090324T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
503 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR
DILWORTH FOR MODERATE FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 3 PM WEDNESDAY MARCH 18 THE STAGE WAS...13.1 FT.    
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...12.0 FT. MODERATE...20.0 FT. MAJOR...26.0 FT.
* FORECAST...FORECAST TO RISE TO AROUND  21 FT TUESDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 22.0 FEET, THE APPROACH ROAD ON THE NORTH 
  SIDE OF THE BRIDGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          15.3   17.5   18.6   19.2   19.9   21.2   22.1

$$

MNC027-NDC017-201003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.090319T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/HWYM5.2.SM.090319T1200Z.090324T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
503 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR
HAWLEY FOR MODERATE FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 2 PM WEDNESDAY MARCH 18 THE STAGE WAS...6.7 FT.    
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.   
* FLOOD STAGE IS...7.0 FT. MODERATE...9.0 FT. MAJOR...11.0 FT.
* FORECAST...EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OF 7.0 FT 
  TOMORROW MORNING THEN FORECAST TO RISE TO AROUND 10 FT TUESDAY 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 10.0 FEET, BANKFULL STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             7.1    7.3    7.7    8.2    9.0    9.6    9.8

$$

MNC107-201003-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0004.090318T2346Z-000000T0000Z/
/TWVM5.1.SM.090318T2346Z.090321T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
503 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WILD RICE RIVER 
(MN) AT TWIN VALLEY FOR MINOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT TWIN VALLEY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 12 PM WEDNESDAY MARCH 18 THE STAGE WAS...7.2 FT.    
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.   
* FLOOD STAGE IS...10.0 FT. MODERATE...12.0 FT. MAJOR...14.0 FT.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE  9.0 FT LATE THIS AFTERNOON THEN EXPECTED 
  TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OF 10 FT THIS EVENING THEN FORECAST 
  TO CREST AROUND 11.5 FT FRIDAY EVENING THEN FLUCTUATE AROUND 11 
  FEET THROUGH TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25

WILD RICE RIVER
  TWIN VALLEY       10.9   11.4   11.5   11.5   11.4   11.1   10.8

$$

MNC107-201003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0005.090319T1724Z-000000T0000Z/
/HNDM5.1.SM.090319T1724Z.090324T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
503 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WILD RICE RIVER 
(MN) AT HENDRUM FOR MINOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY MARCH 18 THE STAGE WAS...11.6 FT.    
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.   
* FLOOD STAGE IS...20.0 FT. MODERATE...28.0 FT. MAJOR...32.0 FT.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE  18.0 FT TOMORROW MORNING THEN EXPECTED TO 
  RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OF 20.0 FT TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON THEN 
  FORECAST TO CREST AROUND 28 FT TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 28.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD WARNING STAGE. 
  AGRICULTURAL DAMAGE STARTS.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25

WILD RICE RIVER
  HENDRUM           20.2   24.2   24.7   24.9   26.0   27.8   29.2

$$

MNC119-201003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0006.090320T1800Z-090323T1200Z/
/CRKM5.1.SM.090320T1800Z.090321T0600Z.090323T0000Z.NO/
503 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE RED LAKE RIVER AT 
CROOKSTON FOR MINOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON
* UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY MARCH 22
* AT 4 PM WEDNESDAY MARCH 18 THE STAGE WAS...12.8 FT.    
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.   
* FLOOD STAGE IS...15.0 FT. MODERATE...23.0 FT. MAJOR...25.0 FT.
* FORECAST...EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OF   15.0 FT FRIDAY
  EARLY AFTERNOON THEN FORECAST TO RISE TO AROUND 15 FT EARLY 
  SATURDAY MORNING THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 15 FT SUNDAY 
  EVENING THEN FLUCTUATE AROUND 15 FT THRU TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 15.0 FEET, FLOOD STAGE...MINOR.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED
(MONTH/DAY)         03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25

RED LAKE RIVER
  CROOKSTON         14.0   15.0   15.3   15.1   14.8   14.8   15.8

$$
DK/G2

000 
WGUS83 KFGF 191729
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1229 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

 
  THIS IS AN EXTENSION FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE
  WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
  
  THIS IS AN EXTENSION FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE
  RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON AFFECTING POLK COUNTY
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT TWIN VALLEY AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
  
.RECENT SNOWMELT OVER THE LAST COUPLE DAYS HAS BROUGHT THE SOUTH BRANCH
OF THE BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN TO MODERATE FLOOD STAGE AND TO REMAIN AT
MODERATE FLOOD STAGE FOR THE NEXT WEEK. ON THE BUFFALO RIVER...DILWORTH
AND HAWLEY WILL RISE TO MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. ON THE WILD RICE RIVER...
TWIN VALLEY WILL REMAIN MOSTLY AT MINOR FLOOD STAGE AND HENDRUM WILL 
RISE TO MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. ON THE RED LAKE RIVER...CROOKSTON WILL 
RISE TO MINOR FLOOD STAGE. OVERLAND FLOODING MAY AFFECT SOME ROADS
ACROSS CLAY AND WILKIN COUNTIES. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM WELL ABOVE 
FREEZING FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. ADDITIONAL RUNOFF WILL OCCUR 
AND RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE
NEXT WEEK AFTER A SIGNIFICANT STORM MOVES INTO THE AREA PRODUCING THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGES...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

&&

MNC027-210529-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SABM5.2.SM.090318T1905Z.090325T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1229 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.4 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW THEN RISE NEAR 17.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 17.0 FEET, BRIDGE DECK AT GAGE FLOODS.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             15.4   15.2   15.1   15.7   16.5   17.0   16.6

$$

MNC027-210529-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.2.SM.090318T0440Z.090325T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1229 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.4 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 22.0 FEET, THE APPROACH ROAD ON THE NORTH 
  SIDE OF THE BRIDGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          16.3   18.7   19.5   20.4   22.0   23.4   24.3

$$

MNC027-210529-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HWYM5.2.SM.090321T1200Z.090325T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1229 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 10.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 10.0 FEET, BANKFULL STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             6.9    7.0    7.9    9.0    9.7   10.4   10.5

$$

MNC107-210529-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TWVM5.1.SM.000000T0000Z.090325T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1229 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT TWIN VALLEY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.8 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

WILD RICE RIVER
  TWIN VALLEY       10.9   10.6   10.4   10.8   11.3   11.8   12.0

$$

MNC107-210529-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.090320T1724Z-000000T0000Z/
/HNDM5.1.SM.090320T1724Z.090325T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1229 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM.
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 27.6 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL
  RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 28.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD WARNING STAGE. 
  AGRICULTURAL DAMAGE STARTS.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

WILD RICE RIVER
  HENDRUM           19.1   21.7   23.5   24.9   26.1   27.6   29.0

$$

MNC119-210528-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0006.090320T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRKM5.1.SM.090320T0300Z.090325T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1229 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 17.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE 
  POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 18.0 FEET, PUBLIC WORKS DEPARTMENT 
  MAINTAINS 24 HOUR SHIFTS TO PUMP WATER OVER CLOSED STORM GATES.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

RED LAKE RIVER
  CROOKSTON         15.4   15.6   15.3   14.9   15.2   17.5   19.3

$$

000 
WGUS83 KFGF 191946
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT TWIN VALLEY AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON AFFECTING POLK COUNTY

.THIS IS A CONSOLIDATED FLOOD STATEMENT DESIGNED TO INCLUDED FUTURE 
POTENTIAL CREST INFORMATION. THE CREST INFORMATION IS INCLUDED 
WITHIN THE REMARKS SECTION OF THE FLOOD STATEMENT. THE TIMING OF 
CRESTS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDANT ON SEVERAL FACTORS. THIS INCLUDES 
THE RATE OF THE MELT...THE AMOUNT AND AREAL COVERAGE OF FUTURE 
PRECIPITATION COINCIDENT WITH THE MELT...AND FUTURE FREEZE/THAW 
CYCLES.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH 7AM CDT FRI MAR 20. 
 
THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH >>> ENTER LENGTH OF QPF FCST HERE <<<.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGES...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

&&

MNC167-NDC077-210746-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WHNN8.3.SM.000000T0000Z.090325T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.7 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 16.0 FEET, TOP OF THE PERMANENT DIKE.
* PRELIMINARY CREST OF 15 TO 18 FEET MARCH 25 TO 27.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          11.5   11.9   12.3   13.2   14.2   15.5   16.0

$$

MNC027-NDC017-210745-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0008.090320T2000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.3.SM.090320T2000Z.090325T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 31.4 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 31.0 FEET, MOORHEAD...1ST AVENUE NORTH 
  UNDERPASS IS CLOSED.
* PRELIMINARY CREST 37 TO 40 FEET MARCH 28 TO APRIL 1.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

RED RIVER
  FARGO             17.5   19.1   21.4   24.8   28.1   30.8   33.2

$$

MNC027-210745-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SABM5.2.SM.090318T1905Z.090325T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.4 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 17.0 FEET, BRIDGE DECK AT GAGE FLOODS.
* PRELIMINARY CREST 16 TO 18 FEET.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             15.4   15.2   15.1   15.7   16.5   17.0   16.6

$$

MNC027-210745-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.2.SM.090318T0440Z.090325T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.7 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 22.0 FEET, THE APPROACH ROAD ON THE NORTH 
  SIDE OF THE BRIDGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* PRELIMINARY CREST 24 TO 26 FEET MARCH 26 TO MARCH 28.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          16.3   18.7   19.5   20.4   22.0   23.4   24.3

$$

MNC027-210745-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HWYM5.2.SM.090321T1200Z.090325T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 10.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 10.0 FEET, BANKFULL STAGE.
* CRESTS 9 TO 11 FEET MARCH 25 TO 27.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             6.9    7.0    7.9    9.0    9.7   10.4   10.5

$$

MNC107-210745-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TWVM5.1.SM.000000T0000Z.090325T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT TWIN VALLEY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.9 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.
* PRELIMINARY CRESTS 11 TO 13 FEET MARCH 26 TO 28.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

WILD RICE RIVER
  TWIN VALLEY       10.9   10.6   10.4   10.8   11.3   11.8   12.0

$$

MNC107-210745-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0005.090320T1724Z-000000T0000Z/
/HNDM5.2.SM.090320T1724Z.090325T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM.
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 28.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD WARNING STAGE. 
  AGRICULTURAL DAMAGE STARTS.
* PRELIMINARY CREST 30 TO 32 FEET MARCH 28 TO 31 ST. CREST BACKWATER
  AFFECTED.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

WILD RICE RIVER
  HENDRUM           19.1   21.7   23.5   24.9   26.1   27.6   29.0

$$

MNC119-210745-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0006.090320T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRKM5.1.SM.090320T0300Z.090325T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  2:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 18.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RISES 
  ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 18.0 FEET, PUBLIC WORKS DEPARTMENT 
  MAINTAINS 24 HOUR SHIFTS TO PUMP WATER OVER CLOSED STORM GATES.
* PRELIMINARY CREST 20 TO 23 FEET MARCH 27 TO 29.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

RED LAKE RIVER
  CROOKSTON         15.4   15.6   15.3   14.9   15.2   17.5   19.3

$$

908 
WGUS83 KFGF 192040 CCA
FLSFGF

FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  RED RIVER AT WAHPETON AFFECTING WILKIN AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  RED RIVER AT FARGO AFFECTING CLAY AND CASS COUNTIES
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT TWIN VALLEY AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON AFFECTING POLK COUNTY

.THIS IS A CONSOLIDATED FLOOD STATEMENT DESIGNED TO INCLUDED FUTURE 
POTENTIAL CREST INFORMATION. THE CREST INFORMATION IS INCLUDED 
WITHIN THE REMARKS SECTION OF THE FLOOD STATEMENT. THE TIMING OF 
CRESTS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDANT ON SEVERAL FACTORS. THIS INCLUDES 
THE RATE OF THE MELT...THE AMOUNT AND AREAL COVERAGE OF FUTURE 
PRECIPITATION COINCIDENT WITH THE MELT...AND FUTURE FREEZE/THAW 
CYCLES.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH 7AM CDT FRI MAR 20. 
 
THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY PRECIPITATION 
THROUGH 7AM FRIDAY MARCH 20.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGES...TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN... 
 
 - DON'T TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS!

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

&&

MNC167-NDC077-210746-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WHNN8.3.SM.000000T0000Z.090325T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.7 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 16.0 FEET, TOP OF THE PERMANENT DIKE.
* PRELIMINARY CREST OF 15 TO 18 FEET MARCH 25 TO 27.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

RED RIVER
  WAHPETON          11.5   11.9   12.3   13.2   14.2   15.5   16.0

$$

MNC027-NDC017-210745-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0008.090320T2000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FGON8.3.SM.090320T2000Z.090325T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT FARGO.
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 31.4 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 31.0 FEET, MOORHEAD...1ST AVENUE NORTH 
  UNDERPASS IS CLOSED.
* PRELIMINARY CREST 37 TO 40 FEET MARCH 28 TO APRIL 1.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

RED RIVER
  FARGO             17.5   19.1   21.4   24.8   28.1   30.8   33.2

$$

MNC027-210745-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SABM5.2.SM.090318T1905Z.090325T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.4 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 17.0 FEET, BRIDGE DECK AT GAGE FLOODS.
* PRELIMINARY CREST 16 TO 18 FEET.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             15.4   15.2   15.1   15.7   16.5   17.0   16.6

$$

MNC027-210745-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.2.SM.090318T0440Z.090325T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 23.7 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 22.0 FEET, THE APPROACH ROAD ON THE NORTH 
  SIDE OF THE BRIDGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* PRELIMINARY CREST 24 TO 26 FEET MARCH 26 TO MARCH 28.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          16.3   18.7   19.5   20.4   22.0   23.4   24.3

$$

MNC027-210745-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HWYM5.2.SM.090321T1200Z.090325T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 10.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 10.0 FEET, BANKFULL STAGE.
* CRESTS 9 TO 11 FEET MARCH 25 TO 27.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY             6.9    7.0    7.9    9.0    9.7   10.4   10.5

$$

MNC107-210745-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TWVM5.1.SM.000000T0000Z.090325T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT TWIN VALLEY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.9 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 12.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.
* PRELIMINARY CRESTS 11 TO 13 FEET MARCH 26 TO 28.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

WILD RICE RIVER
  TWIN VALLEY       10.9   10.6   10.4   10.8   11.3   11.8   12.0

$$

MNC107-210745-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0005.090320T1724Z-000000T0000Z/
/HNDM5.2.SM.090320T1724Z.090325T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM.
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 28.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD WARNING STAGE. 
  AGRICULTURAL DAMAGE STARTS.
* PRELIMINARY CREST 30 TO 32 FEET MARCH 28 TO 31 ST. CREST BACKWATER
  AFFECTED.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

WILD RICE RIVER
  HENDRUM           19.1   21.7   23.5   24.9   26.1   27.6   29.0

$$

MNC119-210745-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0006.090320T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRKM5.1.SM.090320T0300Z.090325T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
246 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON.
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  2:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 18.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RISES 
  ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 18.0 FEET, PUBLIC WORKS DEPARTMENT 
  MAINTAINS 24 HOUR SHIFTS TO PUMP WATER OVER CLOSED STORM GATES.
* PRELIMINARY CREST 20 TO 23 FEET MARCH 27 TO 29.

&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU
(MONTH/DAY)         03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

RED LAKE RIVER
  CROOKSTON         15.4   15.6   15.3   14.9   15.2   17.5   19.3

$$
...CORRECTED TO ADD PRECIPITATION COMMENT...

EWENS

000 
WGUS43 KFGF 201610
FLWFGF


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1110 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2009



  A NEW FLOOD WAQRNING FOR MODERATE FLOODING WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGES...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY...MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

&&

MNC107-201640-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0005.090321T0742Z-000000T0000Z/
/HNDM5.2.SM.090321T0742Z.090326T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1110 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2009

* A NEW FLOOD WARNING FOR MODERATE FLOODING WILL BE
  ISSUED SHORTLY.
* AT  8:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 32.2 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
254 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2009

.SHORT TERM...
THE MAIN CHALLENGE THROUGHOUT THE TONIGHT-SATURDAY FORECAST WILL
BE TEMPS. THERE STILL LOOKS LIKE ONE CHANCE FOR SOME MINOR PCPN IN
THE THU NIGHT/FRI TIME FRAME...OTHERWISE THE BIGGER SYSTEM WILL BE
DISCUSSED IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST.

TONIGHT...MAIN THEME FOR TONIGHT WILL PROBABLY BE COLDER THAN
EXPECTED TEMPS...WHICH WAS THE CASE TODAY. TEMPS SO FAR TODAY HAVE
ONLY RISEN ABOUT 5F FROM THE MORNING LOWS. SFC HIGH PRESSURE AND
NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE KEPT A STEADY PUSH OF COLD ADVECTION OVER THE
FA. EVEN THE TRADITIONALLY WARMER AREAS OF OUR EASTERN FA HAVE
BEEN STUCK WITH LITTLE TO NO RISE. THE SFC HIGH IS EXPECTED TO
DRIFT OVER OUR MN FA TONIGHT...WHICH MEANS LIGHT WINDS AND MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES. COLDEST 850MB TEMPS BY MORNING ALSO SET UP FROM KBDE
TO KPKD. THIS AREA SO FAR HAS ONLY PEAKED OUT FROM 20 TO 30F RANGE
TODAY. SFC DEW POINTS ALSO RANGE FROM 7 TO 19F THERE...SO WOULD
EXPECT A PRETTY QUICK DROP AGAIN TONIGHT. THE OTHER AREA THAT WAS
STUCK IN THE COLD TODAY IS THE HEAVIER SNOW PACKED REGION FROM
COOPERSTOWN TO DEVILS LAKE TO CANDO/LANGDON. THIS AREA HAS CURRENT
SFC DEW POINTS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TOO...SO WILL GO WITH LOWS IN
THAT RANGE TONIGHT. WITH LITTLE MELTING TODAY AND THE DRY SFC DEW
POINTS...IT SHOULD RULE OUT FOG FORMATION TOO.

THU-SAT NIGHT...SFC HIGH SHIFTS EAST ON THU WITH SFC WIND FLOW
TURNING BACK TO EITHER LIGHT SOUTHEAST (IN THE EASTERN FA) OR
SOUTHEAST 10-15 MPH IN THE WESTERN FA. SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE NOT A
GOOD WIND FOR MUCH TEMP RECOVERY. 850MB TEMPS DO RECOVER AT LEAST
4-8C...SO WOULD EXPECT TEMPS A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY...
BUT WILL TRY TO HOLD DOWN TEMPS IN THE WESTERN FA DUE TO THE
THICKER SNOW PACK. MODELS SHOW A MUCH TIGHTER SFC PRESSURE
GRADIENT THU NIGHT WITH 925MB WINDS UP AROUND 25-30MPH. WITH THE
STRONGER PUSH OF WARM ADVECTION IN THE LAYERS OFF THE SFC AND A
LITTLE UPPER JET SUPPORT...WILL MAINTAIN THE LOW CHANCES FOR PCPN
LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI. MODELS SHOW THE PCPN TYPE TO BE MORE RAIN
OR FREEZING RAIN...WITH SFC TEMPS BELOW FREEZING AT LEAST FRI
MORNING. DOES NOT LOOK LIKE MUCH FOR ACCUMULATIONS...WHICH IS A
POSITIVE THING FOR THE FLOOD OUTLOOK. FOR FRI NIGHT THRU SAT NIGHT
THE LOW IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST STARTS TO ORGANIZE DOWN TOWARD
COLORADO. THE SFC-925MB WIND FLOW IS FAIRLY WEAK...BUT 850MB TEMPS
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MODERATE. WILL TRY TO OPEN UP TEMP RANGES A BIT
MORE...TO SHOW COOLER TEMPS OVER THE DEEPER SNOW PACK.

.LONG TERM SUN-WED...
THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE BEGINNING TO AGREE MUCH BETTER WITH TIMING AND
INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE LATEST GFS RUNS SLOW
DOWN THE PROGRESSION OF THIS SYSTEM KEEPING THE SURFACE LOW ACROSS
THE WESTERN CONUS WELL INTO MON. CONTINUED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
WORDING ON MON AS SHOWALTERS DIP BELOW ZERO AND A STRENGTHENING LOW
LEVEL JET MAKES ITS WAY INTO THE SOUTHERN FORECAST AREA. INCREASED
POPS LATE MON AND TUE INTO THE 50-60 RANGE AS THE LOW CONTINUES
TRACKING TO THE NORTHEAST. GRADUALLY SHIFTED TO A RAIN/SNOW MIX
EARLY TUE THEN CHANGING TO ALL SNOW BY WED. FINALLY STARTED TO TAPER
OFF POPS ON THUR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE HEADING
INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK. HOWEVER...BEHIND THE SYSTEM THERE
WILL BE A PRETTY GOOD TEMPERATURE DROP WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR SOME
ACCUMULATING SNOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH ONLY A FEW POCKETS OF HIGH CIRRUS EXPECTED
THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL TAPER OFF THIS
EVENING BEFORE SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY THUR.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
LOCAL RUNOFF CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN RED RIVER BASIN.
FURTHER NORTH...LOCAL INFLOW CONTINUES WITH MOST DRAINS AND DITCHES
STILL CLOGGED WITH ICE AND SNOW. SIGNIFICANT RAIN MAY FALL LATE THIS
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WOULD HAVE A LARGE IMPACT ON THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING WELL
ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE WEEKEND.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

GODON/HOMANN/DK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
540 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2009

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-191040-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
540 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RECENT WARM WEATHER HAS CAUSED EXTENSIVE SNOW MELT.  MOST RURAL
DRAINAGE CHANNELS...RIVERS AND STREAMS REMAIN CLOGGED WITH ICE. THIS
WILL ALLOW FOR OVERLAND MOVEMENT OF WATER...WITH MINOR RURAL PONDING
OF WATER LOW SPOTS AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS.  COOLER WEATHER TODAY WILL
SLOW DOWN THE SNOW MELT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO AFFECT THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS IN THE FORM OF RAIN OR RAIN MIXED
WITH SNOW MAY OCCUR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. IF THIS STORM DEVELOPS AS
CURRENTLY FORECAST...IT COULD HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON AREA
FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

DTR

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
243 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2009

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-182145-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROOKSTON...EAST GRAND FORKS...
HALSTAD...MOORHEAD...HALLOCK...ROSEAU...BAUDETTE...WARREN...
NEWFOLDEN...RED LAKE...THIEF RIVER FALLS...RED LAKE FALLS...
FOSSTON...BAGLEY...BEMIDJI...MAHNOMEN...LAKE ITASCA...
PARK RAPIDS...DETROIT LAKES...WOLF LAKE...BRECKENRIDGE...
FERGUS FALLS...NEW YORK MILLS...WADENA...ELBOW LAKE...CANDO...
LANGDON...CAVALIER...MADDOCK...LEEDS...DEVILS LAKE...GRAFTON...
NEW ROCKFORD...LAKOTA...GRAND FORKS...COOPERSTOWN...FINLEY...
MAYVILLE...VALLEY CITY...FARGO...LISBON...GWINNER...WAHPETON...
ADAMS
243 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2009

...SNOW MELT CONTINUES IN THE RED RIVER VALLEY...
...STRONG STORM SYSTEM POSSIBLE LATE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK...

SNOW MELT CONDITIONS WILL SLOW DOWN THROUGH THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH
THE RECENT WARM SPELL HAS ALLOWED SOME LOCAL RUNOFF INTO THE
RIVER SYSTEM.

MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR FRIDAY THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND THIS WILL ACCELERATE THE MELTING PROCESS.
THIS SHOULD CAUSE DAYTIME HIGHS TO CLIMB FROM THE MIDDLE 40S OVER
THE NORTHERN RED RIVER VALLEY TO THE LOWER 50S ACROSS THE SOUTH.

MANY RURAL DRAINAGE CHANNELS...RIVERS AND STREAMS REMAIN CLOGGED
WITH ICE IN THE RED RIVER VALLEY. LOOK FOR ADDITIONAL OVERLAND
MOVEMENT OF WATER WITH INCREASED PONDING IN LOW SPOTS. ICE JAMS
ARE VERY POSSIBLE INTO NEXT WEEK AS LOCAL RUNOFF ENCOUNTERS THE THICK
RIVER ICE.

THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK SHOULD SEE QUIET WEATHER WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. FLOOD FIGHTERS SHOULD MAKE
MAXIMUM USE OF THIS PERIOD TO ACCELERATE DIKE PREPARATIONS.

THE POTENTIAL FOR A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM TO INFLUENCE THE REGION
REMAINS IN THE FORECAST FOR LATE THIS COMING WEEKEND INTO THE
EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO DRAW WARM...MOIST
AND UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS STATES. AS A RESULT...THIS
SHOULD SET THE STAGE FOR SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS. SOME
OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH
WILL AGGRAVATE FLOODING. A WIDESPREAD AREA OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION
IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM. AS THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER
MOVES THROUGH...PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE FROM RAIN TO SNOW AS
COLDER AIR IS DRAWN SOUTHWARD BY WEDNESDAY.

IF THIS STORM DEVELOPS AS CURRENTLY FORECAST...IT COULD HAVE A
SUBSTANTIAL IMPACT ON AREA FLOODING ACROSS THE RED RIVER VALLEY
AND THE DEVILS LAKE BASIN. DUE TO THE STORM BEING SEVERAL DAYS
AWAY...A SLIGHT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK COULD SHIFT THE AREA
WHICH WOULD SEE THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION TOTALS. RESIDENTS IN
THE RED RIVER VALLEY ARE ADVISED TO PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO LATER
FORECASTS. YOUR NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND PROVIDE UPDATED STATEMENTS AND
FORECASTS ON THIS DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM.

DK/ME