River Flood Warning 37, NWS Grand Forks, ND

Issued

Mar 28, 2009, 5:04 PM CDT (22:04 UTC)

In effect from

Mar 28, 2009, 7:00 PM CDT

Expired

Mar 28, 2009, 5:55 PM CDT

In force

Issued by

NWS Grand Forks, ND

Flood severity

Minor

County Norman County, MN

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Written for the forecast point Wild Rice River (MN) at Twin Valley (TWVM5).

Action stage

9 ft

Minor stage

10 ft

Moderate stage

12 ft

Major stage

14 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05062500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

000 
WGUS83 KFGF 282204
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

 
  THIS IS AN EXTENSION FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE
  RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON AFFECTING POLK COUNTY
  
  THIS IS AN EXTENSION FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE
  RED LAKE RIVER AT HIGH LANDING AFFECTING PENNINGTON COUNTY
  
  THIS IS AN EXTENSION FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE
  SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY
  
  THIS IS AN EXTENSION FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE
  MAPLE RIVER NEAR ENDERLIN AFFECTING CASS AND RANSOM COUNTIES
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  MARSH RIVER AT SHELLY AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  SAND HILL RIVER AT CLIMAX AFFECTING POLK COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  TWO RIVERS RIVER NEAR HALLOCK AFFECTING KITTSON COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE AFFECTING RICHLAND COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  SHEYENNE RIVER AT HARWOOD AFFECTING CASS COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  SHEYENNE RIVER NEAR KINDRED AFFECTING CASS AND RICHLAND COUNTIES
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  SHEYENNE RIVER AT LISBON AFFECTING RANSOM COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  SHEYENNE RIVER AT VALLEY CITY AFFECTING BARNES COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  SHEYENNE RIVER AT WEST FARGO DIVERSION AFFECTING CASS COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  MAPLE RIVER NEAR MAPLETON AFFECTING CASS COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  GOOSE RIVER AT HILLSBORO AFFECTING TRAILL COUNTY
  
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...NORTH DAKOTA...


  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE NEW WARNINGS FOR THE WILD
  RICE RIVER (MN) AT TWIN VALLEY AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE NEW WARNINGS FOR THE PARK
  RIVER AT GRAFTON AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY
  

       ************************************************************
****** PLEASE ISSUE A RVS HIGH WATER NOTICE INSTEAD OF THIS PRODCUT 
*******
       ************************************************************
...HIGH WATER CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH DAKOTA...

  
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE HIGH WATER NOTICE FOR THE
  FOREST RIVER AT MINTO AFFECTING WALSH COUNTY 

 
.FLOODING IS STILL ONGOING FOR MOST LOCATIONS ON THE MINNESOTA 
AND NORTH DAKOTA TRIBUTARIES OF THE RED RIVER. WITH RECENT COLDER 
WEATHER...SNOWMELT RUNOFF HAS BEEN REDUCED...SLOWING THE RIVERS RESPONSE. 
ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION FORECASTED OVER THE NEXT WEEK AND A RETURN TO 
SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE RUNOFF TO BEGIN AGAIN AND MAY CAUSE 
THE RIVERS TO RISE AGAIN. ICE REMAINS IN SOME RIVER CHANNELS. REMEMBER...SHOULD 
AN ICE JAM FORM...RAPID BUT LOCALIZED RISES IN WATER LEVELS COULD OCCUR.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGES...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

&&

MNC107-291200-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0037.090329T0000Z-090329T1200Z/
/TWVM5.1.ER.090329T0000Z.090329T0000Z.090329T0000Z.NO/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WILD RICE RIVER 
(MN) AT TWIN VALLEY FOR MINOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT TWIN VALLEY
* UNTIL 07 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28
* AT 03 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...10.0 FEET.    
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.   
* FLOOD STAGE IS...10.0 FEET. MODERATE...12.0 FEET. MAJOR...14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW  9.0 FT WEDNESDAY MORNING THEN RECEDE TO 
  AROUND 8.0 FT NEXT SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 10.0 FEET, FLOOD WARNING STAGE...MINOR. 
  BANKFULL STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

WILD RICE RIVER
  TWIN VALLEY        9.8    9.5    9.3    8.9    8.6    8.4    8.1

$$

MNC107-301004-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HNDM5.3.RS.090321T1210Z.090401T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WILD RICE RIVER 
(MN) AT HENDRUM FOR RECORD FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 04 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...33.2 FEET.    
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...20.0 FEET. MODERATE...28.0 FEET. MAJOR...32.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...FORECAST TO RISE TO AROUND  34.0 FT WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING THEN FLUCTUATE AROUND 33.5 FT THRU NEXT SATURDAY.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 32.0 FEET, MAJOR FLOOD WARNING STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

WILD RICE RIVER
  HENDRUM           33.5   33.7   33.8   33.9   33.9   33.7   33.5

$$

NDC017-301004-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HWDN8.3.RS.090323T1630Z.090401T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SHEYENNE RIVER AT 
HARWOOD FOR RECORD FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  SHEYENNE RIVER AT HARWOOD
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 12 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...891.7 FEET.    
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...884.0 FEET. MODERATE...886.0 FEET. MAJOR...891.0 
  FEET.
* FORECAST...FLUCTUATE AROUND 892.0 FT THRU SATURDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
* BACKWATER IS AN ISSUE AT THIS POINT...REPORTS OF ICE IN THE AREA
  MAY CAUSE AN ADDITIONAL RISE OF A FEW TENTHS OF A FOOT. 
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 891.8 FEET, COUNTY ROAD 22 AND RIVERTON 
  DRIVE IS CLOSED.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

SHEYENNE RIVER
  HARWOOD          891.9  892.0  892.1  892.2  892.1  892.0  891.8

$$

NDC017-077-301003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KNDN8.3.RS.090325T0053Z.090330T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SHEYENNE RIVER 
NEAR KINDRED FOR MAJOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  SHEYENNE RIVER NEAR KINDRED
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 04 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...21.0 FEET.    
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...16.0 FEET. MODERATE...20.0 FEET. MAJOR...22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...FORECAST TO RISE TO AROUND  22.0 FT MONDAY MORNING 
  THEN SLOWLY RECEDE THROUGH THE WEEK. 
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 22.0 FEET, MAJOR FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

SHEYENNE RIVER
  KINDRED           21.8   22.0   21.9   21.5   20.9   20.1   19.2

$$

NDC073-301003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBNN8.3.RS.090323T2052Z.090328T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SHEYENNE RIVER AT 
LISBON FOR MODERATE FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  SHEYENNE RIVER AT LISBON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 04 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...18.8 FEET.    
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...15.0 FEET. MODERATE...17.0 FEET. MAJOR...19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RECEDE TO AROUND 15.0 FT THURSDAY AND REMAIN 
  THERE THRU NEXT SATURDAY.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
* REPORT OF DOWNSTREAM ICE JAM IS CAUSING SOME BACKUP OF WATER. 
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 19.0 FEET, MAJOR FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

SHEYENNE RIVER
  LISBON            18.1   17.4   16.5   15.6   15.4   15.3   15.3

$$

NDC003-301003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0036.090329T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/VCRN8.1.ER.090329T1800Z.090330T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SHEYENNE RIVER AT 
VALLEY CITY FOR MINOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  SHEYENNE RIVER AT VALLEY CITY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 04 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...12.4 FEET.    
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.   
* FLOOD STAGE IS...15.0 FEET. MODERATE...16.0 FEET. MAJOR...17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OF 15.0 FT TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN FORECAST TO CREST AROUND 16.0 FT MONDAY MORNING.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
* BALDHILL DAM CONTROLLED RELEASE IS BRINGING THIS POINT TO MINOR FLOOD. 
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 16.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. STORM 
  DRAINS ARE CLOSED.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

SHEYENNE RIVER
  VALLEY CITY       15.0   15.8   15.8   15.8   15.7   15.7   15.6

$$

NDC017-301003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WFON8.3.RS.090323T1730Z.090328T0045Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SHEYENNE RIVER AT 
WEST FARGO DIVERSION FOR MAJOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  SHEYENNE RIVER AT WEST FARGO DIVERSION
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 03 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...23.5 FEET.    
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...18.0 FEET. MODERATE...20.0 FEET. MAJOR...21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...FLUCTUATE AROUND 23.0 FT THRU NEXT SATURDAY.
* BACKWATER IS AFFECTING THIS POINT WITH ICE REPORTED IN THE AREA.  
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.


&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

SHEYENNE RIVER
  WEST FARGO DIVER  23.4   23.4   23.4   23.3   23.3   23.2   23.0

$$

MNC119-301003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLXM5.3.RS.090325T1418Z.090402T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAND HILL RIVER AT
CLIMAX FOR MAJOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  SAND HILL RIVER AT CLIMAX
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 03 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...29.2 FEET.    
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...20.0 FEET. MODERATE...25.0 FEET. MAJOR...30.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...FORECAST TO CREST BETWEEN 35 AND 37 FEET THURSDAY  
  AFTERNOON WITH PLENTY OF BACKWATER EFFECTS. 
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 34.0 FEET, SANITARY SEWER LIFT STATION ON 
  NORTH END OF TOWN IS THREATENED.SEVERAL HOMES ON NORTHWEST SIDE OF 
  TOWN THREATENED.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

SANDHILL RIVER
  CLIMAX            30.9   32.5   33.8   34.8   35.4   35.4   35.2

$$

MNC119-301003-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090404T1200Z/
/CRKM5.3.RS.090321T1806Z.090326T0500Z.090404T0000Z.NO/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE RED LAKE RIVER AT 
CROOKSTON FOR MINOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  RED LAKE RIVER AT CROOKSTON
* UNTIL 07 PM FRIDAY APRIL 03
* AT 04 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...19.9 FEET.    
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...15.0 FEET. MODERATE...23.0 FEET. MAJOR...25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 15.0 FT NEXT FRIDAY.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER IS 
  ACTIVATED. DIKE PATROLLING BEGINS.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

RED LAKE RIVER
  CROOKSTON         19.5   18.7   17.4   16.3   15.6   15.1   14.6

$$

MNC113-301003-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-090402T0000Z/
/HIGM5.3.RS.090323T1010Z.090325T1400Z.090401T1200Z.NR/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE RED LAKE RIVER AT 
HIGH LANDING FOR MAJOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  RED LAKE RIVER AT HIGH LANDING
* UNTIL 07 AM WEDNESDAY APRIL 01
* AT 04 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...13.0 FEET.    
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...12.0 FEET. MODERATE...12.5 FEET. MAJOR...13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...FLUCTUATE AROUND 13.0 FT THRU AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW 
  THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 12.0 FT WEDNESDAY. 
* ICE REMAINS AN ISSUE AT THIS POINT. 
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 13.0 FEET, MAJOR FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

RED LAKE RIVER
  HIGH LANDING      12.8   12.5   12.2   11.9   11.5   11.1   10.8

$$

NDC077-301003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ABRN8.3.SM.000000T0000Z.090326T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WILD RICE RIVER 
(ND) AT ABERCROMBIE FOR MAJOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  WILD RICE RIVER (ND) AT ABERCROMBIE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 04 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...25.6 FEET.    
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...10.0 FEET. MODERATE...12.0 FEET. MAJOR...18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RECEDE TO AROUND 19.0 FT NEXT SATURDAY.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.


&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

WILD RICE RIVER
  ABERCROMBIE       24.8   23.9   22.9   21.9   21.1   20.2   19.2

$$


MNC027-301003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DILM5.2.RS.090318T0440Z.090325T2230Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR
DILWORTH FOR MODERATE FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  BUFFALO RIVER NEAR DILWORTH
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 03 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...22.8 FEET.    
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...12.0 FEET. MODERATE...20.0 FEET. MAJOR...26.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RECEDE TO AROUND 19.0 FT SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 22.0 FEET, THE APPROACH ROAD ON THE NORTH 
  SIDE OF THE BRIDGE BEGINS TO FLOOD.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

BUFFALO RIVER
  DILWORTH          22.1   21.6   21.2   20.6   20.1   19.7   19.3

$$

MNC027-301003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HWYM5.2.RS.090319T1600Z.090326T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BUFFALO RIVER NEAR
HAWLEY FOR MODERATE FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  BUFFALO RIVER NEAR HAWLEY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 02 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...10.1 FEET.    
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...7.0 FEET. MODERATE...9.0 FEET. MAJOR...11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RECEDE TO AROUND 9.0 FT SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 10.0 FEET, BANKFULL STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

BUFFALO RIVER
  HAWLEY            10.0    9.8    9.6    9.4    9.1    8.9    8.7

$$

MNC107-301003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SHYM5.3.RS.090323T0633Z.090326T0545Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MARSH RIVER AT 
SHELLY FOR MODERATE FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  MARSH RIVER AT SHELLY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 03 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...21.1 FEET.    
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...14.0 FEET. MODERATE...20.0 FEET. MAJOR...23.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...FLUCTUATE AROUND 20.5 FT THRU SATURDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 20.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE. 
  AGRICULTURAL FLOODING BEGINS.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

MARSH RIVER
  SHELLY            20.9   20.9   20.8   20.8   20.8   20.8   20.6

$$

MNC089-301003-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-090403T1800Z/
/ALVM5.2.RS.090323T0430Z.090325T1415Z.090403T0600Z.NR/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SNAKE RIVER AT 
ALVARADO FOR MODERATE FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  SNAKE RIVER AT ALVARADO
* UNTIL 01 AM FRIDAY APRIL 03
* AT 04 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...109.1 FEET.    
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...106.0 FEET. MODERATE...108.0 FEET. MAJOR...110.0 
  FEET.
* FORECAST...FLUCTUATE AROUND 109.0 FT THRU AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW
  THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 106.0 FT EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THEN 
  RECEDE TO AROUND 105.0 FT SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 110.0 FEET, MAJOR FLOOD STAGE...110 FEET...
  FLOODING BETWEEN HWY 1 AND RAILROAD GRADE DUE TO BACKWATER. 
  INSPECTIONS OF THE DIKE BEGIN.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

SNAKE RIVER
  ALVARADO         108.9  108.2  107.6  106.9  106.3  105.7  105.3

$$

MNC069-301003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLLM5.2.ER.090323T1348Z.090330T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TWO RIVERS RIVER 
NEAR HALLOCK FOR MODERATE FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  TWO RIVERS RIVER NEAR HALLOCK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 04 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...807.9 FEET.    
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...802.0 FEET. MODERATE...806.0 FEET. MAJOR...810.0 
  FEET.
* FORECAST...FLUCTUATE AROUND 808.0 FT THRU THIS EVENING THEN 
  FORECAST TO RISE TO AROUND  809.0 FT MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON THEN 
  RECEDE TO AROUND 806.0 FT SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 809.0 FEET, CITY CREW ON SHIFTS FOR MANNING
  OF PUMPS AND CHECKING LIFT STATIONS.LINE SANDBAGGING STARTS.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

TWO RIVERS RIVER
  HALLOCK          808.6  808.9  808.6  808.0  807.3  806.6  805.9

$$

NDC017-073-300900-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-090330T0900Z/
/ENDN8.2.RS.090323T0648Z.090325T0445Z.090329T2100Z.NR/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MAPLE RIVER NEAR 
ENDERLIN FOR MINOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  MAPLE RIVER NEAR ENDERLIN
* UNTIL 04 PM SUNDAY MARCH 29
* AT 04 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...11.1 FEET.    
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...9.5 FEET. MODERATE...12.0 FEET. MAJOR...14.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 9.5 FT TOMORROW AFTERNOON 
  THEN FALL BELOW  8.0 FT MONDAY EVENING THEN RECEDE TO AROUND 5.5 FT
  FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON THEN FLUCTUATE AROUND 5.5 FT THRU SATURDAY 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 11.0 FEET, FLOODING OF SOME FARM BUILDINGS 
  BEGINS.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

MAPLE RIVER
  ENDERLIN           9.7    8.3    7.2    6.5    5.7    5.4    5.4

$$

NDC017-301003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MPLN8.3.RS.090323T0734Z.090326T0015Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MAPLE RIVER NEAR 
MAPLETON FOR MODERATE FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  MAPLE RIVER NEAR MAPLETON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 03 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...908.9 FEET.    
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...905.0 FEET. MODERATE...908.0 FEET. MAJOR...910.0 
  FEET.
* FORECAST...RECEDE TO AROUND 906.0 FT SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 908.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

MAPLE RIVER
  MAPLETON         908.5  907.9  907.3  906.8  906.3  905.9  905.7

$$

NDC097-301003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-090402T1800Z/
/HGRN8.3.RS.000000T0000Z.090325T1530Z.090402T0600Z.NR/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GOOSE RIVER AT 
HILLSBORO FOR MODERATE FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  GOOSE RIVER AT HILLSBORO
* UNTIL 01 AM THURSDAY APRIL 02
* AT 01 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...13.8 FEET.    
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...10.0 FEET. MODERATE...13.0 FEET. MAJOR...16.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE OF 10.0 FT EARLY THURSDAY 
  MORNING THEN RECEDE TO AROUND 8.0 FT SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.0 FEET, RESIDENTIAL AREA NORTH OF 
  HILLSBORO STARTS TO FLOOD.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

GOOSE RIVER
  HILLSBORO         12.9   12.1   11.3   10.4    9.6    8.9    8.2

$$

MNC027-301003-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SABM5.3.RS.090318T1905Z.090325T0830Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH BRANCH 
BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN FOR MINOR FLOODING...  

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  SOUTH BRANCH BUFFALO RIVER AT SABIN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 04 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...14.4 FEET.    
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS...12.0 FEET. MODERATE...15.0 FEET. MAJOR...19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RECEDE TO AROUND 12.0 FT EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THEN 
  FLUCTUATE AROUND 12.0 FT THRU SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 14.2 FEET, ROAD TO ACCESS GAGE FLOODS.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

S. BUFFALO RIVER
  SABIN             13.3   12.9   12.6   12.5   12.5   12.4   12.3

$$

NDC099-301003-
/O.ROU.KFGF.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTON8.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
504 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  FOREST RIVER AT MINTO
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 03 PM SATURDAY MARCH 28 THE STAGE WAS...4.7 FEET.    
* FLOOD STAGE IS...6.0 FEET. MODERATE...8.0 FEET. MAJOR...11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...FALL BELOW  4.5 FT TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON THEN 
  RECEDE TO AROUND 3.0 FT EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THEN FLUCTUATE 
  AROUND 3.0 FT THRU SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* FLOODING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN IS NORMALLY LONG TERM. THIS
  FORECAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 4.5 FEET, FORECAST SERVICE STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 1 PM CDT/NOON CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI    SAT
(MONTH/DAY)         03/29  03/30  03/31  04/01  04/02  04/03  04/04

FOREST RIVER
  MINTO              4.5    4.2    3.9    3.7    3.5    3.3    3.2

$$

000 
WGUS43 KFGF 282255
FLWFGF


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
555 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009


...FLOOD WARNING FOR TWIN VALLEY IS CANCELLED...
 
  A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT WITH MORE DETAILED FLOODING INFORMATION 
  WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGES...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - PERSONS IN THE WARNED AREA NEED TO TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT LIFE 
   AND PROPERTY. IF NECESSARY...MOVE TO A HIGHER AND SAFER LOCATION.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

THIS FORECAST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR ICE JAMS THAT CAN 
QUICKLY RAISE LOCAL RIVER LEVELS WITH LITTLE OR NO NOTICE.

&&

MNC107-282325-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0037.090329T0000Z-090329T1200Z/
/TWVM5.1.ER.090329T0000Z.090329T0000Z.090329T0000Z.NO/
555 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

* AT  3:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 

$$

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 28, 2:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
240 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST CHALLENGE CONCERNS TEMPERATURES INITIALLY AND NEXT STORM
SYSTEM EARLY NEXT WEEK.  TRACKS AND TIMING CONTINUE TO SHOW
DIFFERENCES AND WILL FOLLOW GFS FOR DETAILS WHICH HAS BEEN TRENDING
SOUTHWARD CLOSER TO NATIONALLY PREFERRED ECMWF.

TONIGHT AND SUNDAY REGION TO BE MAINLY UNDER COL AREA WITH FAIRLY
WEAK FLOW AND ANY WARM ADVECTION TO SPEAK OF CONFINED TO SUNDAY.
CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT LIKELY LIMITED TO MAINLY CI AND WITH WARMER
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER DEWPOINTS TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE
SO COLD. WILL FOLLOW MET GUIDANCE WHICH HAS BEEN HANDLING COLDER
TEMPERATURES WITH SNOW COVER BEST.

DEGREE OF SOLAR LOOKS SIMILAR FOR SUNDAY AND WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER
COLUMN AND LITTLE WARMER START TEMPERATURES SHOULD ACCORDINGLY BE A
FEW DEGREES WARMER. AGAIN FEEL MAV VALUES WAY TO GENEROUS.

MAIN FOCUS WILL TURN TO STORM SYSTEM MOVING FROM CENTRAL PLAINS TO
WESTERN GREAT LAKES MIDWEEK.

GFS AS WELL AS CANADIAN HAVE BEEN TRENDING FARTHER SOUTH CLOSER TO
ECMWF SOLUTION LAST FEW RUNS. MODELS HAVE ALSO BEEN TRENDING A
LITTLE SLOWER BRINGING MAIN PERIOD INTO FA ON MONDAY. WITH SOUTHWARD
TREND FEEL BEST POTENTIAL FOR MOST SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL WILL BE
ALONG ND/SD BORDER INTO WEST CENTRAL MN ALTHOUGH 00Z ECMWF SHIFTS
MOST SNOW POTENTIAL SOUTH OF FA. WITH ABOVE TRENDS AND EVENT NOT TIL
MONDAY WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY POTENTIAL HEADLINES AT THIS TIME AS
STILL TIME TO LOOK AT ONE OR TWO MORE MODEL RUNS. ONE POSITIVE NOTE
IS THAT MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT PCPN PHASE THROUGH EVENT WILL
BE ALL SNOW.

AS LOW LIFTS NE TOWARDS GREAT LAKES WRAP AROUND -SN TO CONTINUE TO
AFFECT FA THROUGH TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BLO AVERAGE.
SUFFICIENT WIND CAUSING WAVE ACTION AGAINST DIKES AT THIS TIME LOOKS
MARGINAL BUT WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED.

.LONG TERM WED-SAT...
MAIN THING IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL BE WATCHING TEMPS...HOW
FAST TO WARM THINGS UP AND WHETHER THERE ARE ANY MORE CHANCES FOR
PCPN. MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER ON HOW FAST TO MOVE OUT THE SYSTEM
THAT STARTS AT THE END OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. 12Z GFS ACTUALLY
LINGERS LIGHT PCPN THRU 12Z FRI...WITH A MUCH SLOWER MOVING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM. THE ECMWF IS MORE PROGRESSIVE...SHOWING ANY LIGHT
PCPN GONE BY 12Z THU. HPC HAS PREFERRED THE ECMWF SOLUTION WHICH
SEEMS TO HAVE BETTER CONSISTENCY. THEREFORE WILL ONLY KEEP PCPN
MENTIONED FOR WED WITH NEARLY THE REST OF THE FORECAST DRY. WILL
CONTINUE THE TREND OF UNDERCUTTING GUIDANCE TEMPS THROUGHOUT...DUE
TO THE CURRENT AND EXPECTED SNOW.

&&

.AVIATION...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY. SCT
TO BKN BANDS OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL ADVANCE EAST ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING DUE TO WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION
REGIME IN RETURN FLOW. THERE COULD BE A FEW POCKETS OF MVFR LATE
TONIGHT...MAINLY FROM 06Z THROUGH 12Z...BUT LEFT FORECAST VFR ATTM.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN MID LEVEL
CLOUDS AFTER 18Z...AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE ROCKIES.

&&

.HYDRO...
MAIN CHANGE TO FORECAST WAS TO SLOWLY LOWER RIVER VALUES IN FARGO
WITH TIME. OTHERWISE CREST WAS LOWERED SLIGHTLY IN GRAND FORKS WITH
SOUTHERN TRIBS EITHER NEAR CREST OR CONTINUING TO FALL.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

VOELKER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
652 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-291200-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
652 AM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...RIVER AND AERIAL FLOODING CONTINUE IN EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

...ANOTHER ROUND OF WINTER WEATHER COULD IMPACT PORTIONS OF EASTERN
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA FROM SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RIVER AND OVERLAND FLOODING REMAIN A SIGNIFICANT THREAT IN THE RED
RIVER OF THE NORTH BASIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION AND
GUSTY WINDS...MAINLY IN SOUTHEASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. AT THIS TIME...ANY PRECIPITATION
THAT DEVELOPS FROM THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO FALL AS SNOW.
HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ON THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM...WHICH WILL MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE ON WHERE THE HEAVIEST
SNOW WILL FALL. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR FUTURE UPDATES ON THIS
DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

NG

In the hours before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
328 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-291015-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROOKSTON...EAST GRAND FORKS...
HALSTAD...MOORHEAD...HALLOCK...ROSEAU...BAUDETTE...WARREN...
NEWFOLDEN...RED LAKE...THIEF RIVER FALLS...RED LAKE FALLS...
FOSSTON...BAGLEY...BEMIDJI...MAHNOMEN...LAKE ITASCA...
PARK RAPIDS...DETROIT LAKES...WOLF LAKE...BRECKENRIDGE...
FERGUS FALLS...NEW YORK MILLS...WADENA...ELBOW LAKE...CANDO...
LANGDON...CAVALIER...MADDOCK...LEEDS...DEVILS LAKE...GRAFTON...
NEW ROCKFORD...LAKOTA...GRAND FORKS...COOPERSTOWN...FINLEY...
MAYVILLE...VALLEY CITY...FARGO...LISBON...GWINNER...WAHPETON...
ADAMS
328 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

...MORE WINTER WEATHER COULD IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NORTH
DAKOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION AND
GUSTY WINDS...MAINLY ACROSS FAR SOUTHEASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND WEST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ON THE TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM...WHICH WILL MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE ON WHERE THE HEAVIEST
SNOW WILL FALL. AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT SNOW FALL WILL BE ALONG THE NORTH AND SOUTH DAKOTA
BORDER INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

SNOW SHOULD BEGIN BY NOON MONDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY.
GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS COULD ALSO CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING
DRIFTING SNOW.

PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR FUTURE UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING
STORM SYSTEM.

VOELKER

River Flood Warnings in Minnesota, 2009Every river flood warning in 2009

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.