River Flood Warning 55, NWS Atlanta, GA

000 
WGUS82 KFFC 040223
FLSFFC
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1023 PM EDT SUN MAY 03 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN GEORGIA...
 
  CONASAUGA RIVER NEAR TILTON AFFECTING GORDON...MURRAY AND 
  WHITFIELD COUNTIES 
 
.RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA HAS CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF 
INTO STREAMS AND RIVERS...CAUSING THE RIVERS TO RISE. SOME POINTS 
ALONG THE RIVER SYSTEM WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU 
SEE FLOOD WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.

&&

GAC129-213-313-041623-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0055.090504T2320Z-090505T1905Z/
/TLNG1.1.ER.090504T2320Z.090505T0600Z.090505T1305Z.NO/
1023 PM EDT SUN MAY 03 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONASAUGA RIVER NEAR TILTON
* FROM MONDAY EVENING UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING AND
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.6 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 18.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED. MINOR FLOODING BEGINS OF THE
  WOODLAND AREAS ALONG THE RIVER.

$$

000 
WGUS82 KFFC 041239
FLSFFC
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
839 AM EDT MON MAY 04 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
GEORGIA...
 
  CONASAUGA RIVER NEAR TILTON AFFECTING GORDON...MURRAY AND 
  WHITFIELD COUNTIES
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING CREEKS IN
GEORGIA...
  LOOKOUT CREEK NEAR NEW ENGLAND AFFECTING DADE COUNTY 
  COAHULLA CREEK NEAR KEITHS MILL NEAR DALTON AFFECTING WHITFIELD 
  COUNTY 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA HAS CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF 
INTO STREAMS AND RIVERS...CAUSING THE RIVERS TO RISE. SOME POINTS 
ALONG THE RIVER SYSTEM WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU 
SEE FLOOD WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.

&&

GAC083-050100-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-090505T0100Z/
/ENGG1.1.ER.090502T1810Z.090503T0030Z.090504T1900Z.UU/
839 AM EDT MON MAY 04 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LOOKOUT CREEK NEAR NEW ENGLAND
* UNTIL THIS EVENING. 
* AT 8 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET...AND FALLING SLOWLY. 
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* AT 13.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING EXPANDS ALONG SELLS LANE IN
  TRENTON...MASON ROAD NEAR RISING FAWN...AND CREEK ROAD NEAR
  NEW ENGLAND. ALL THESE ROADS WILL TO BE CLOSED.

$$

GAC313-050238-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.090504T0120Z.090504T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
839 AM EDT MON MAY 04 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE COAHULLA CREEK NEAR KEITHS MILL NEAR DALTON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. 
* AT 8 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET...AND RISING SLOWLY.
* MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 

$$

GAC129-213-313-041309-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-090505T1905Z/
/TLNG1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
839 AM EDT MON MAY 04 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CONASAUGA RIVER NEAR TILTON
* THIS MORNING. 
* AT 8 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET...AND RISING SLOWLY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST AROUND 15.8 FEET
  AFTER MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...IT WILL REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
342 PM EDT SUN MAY 3 2009

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS A NICE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
NORTHEAST THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN AL AT 50MPH. THIS LINE IS A
VERY ACTIVE AND FAST MOVING LINE WITH SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND
POSSIBLE TORNADOES ASSOCIATED WITH IT. THIS LINE SHOULD BE ENTERING
WEST CENTRAL GA BY 20-21Z. THE MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT
SHOWING THE CLOSED LOW CENTER OVER THE MS/AR/TN BORDERS MOVING NE TO
THE AL/TN/GA BORDERS BY 00Z MON. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UP THE
EAST COAST AND INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES BY 18Z MON. ITS TRAILING
FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH GA TONIGHT THROUGH MON BRINGING A LOT OF
PRECIPITATION ALONG WITH SEVERE WEATHER. QPF NUMBERS ARE SHOWING
ANOTHER 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES FALLING ACROSS EXTREME N AND NW GA WHERE
WE HAVE A FLOOD WATCH GOING ALREADY. THE MAIN WEST-EAST ORIENTED
FRONT REMAINS STALLED JUST NORTH OF THE CWA AND CONTINUES TO SERVE
AS THE MAIN FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPMENT.  A STRONG
LOW LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA BETWEEN 00Z-18Z
MON COMBINED WITH CAPES IN THE 1000-1500 RANGE AND LIS AROUND -2
TO -3 AS THIS LINE OF STORMS MOVES ACROSS OUR AREA. THE OVERALL
UPPER DYNAMICS WILL BE IN PLACE HELPING TO SUPPORT WIDESPREAD SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE STATE ALSO. AS THE UPPER SHORT WAVE MOVES
TOWARD THE MID-ATLANTIC EARLY MON...THE FRONTAL SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH
FINALLY PUSHES SOUTH INTO THE CWA...FURTHER SERVING TO ENHANCE
SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPMENT MON AND MON NIGHT.

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
ANOTHER WEAKER SHORT WAVE MOVES EAST OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. TUE NIGHT/WED. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR
CONVECTION TUE WOULD BE NEAR THE OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE SE
PART OF THE CWA. MORE WAVES CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST OUT OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK BRINGING A SHRA/TSRA
THREAT TO THE AREA EVERYDAY THROUGH THE EXTENDED. THERE IS A RIDGE
THAT BUILDS INTO THE AREA OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS SAT BUT WITH
THE CURRENT PATTERN IN PLACE NOT SURE IF THIS WILL HAPPEN WILL
CONTINUE WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SAT AT THIS POINT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          61  79  60  79  59 /  60  60  30  20  20
ATLANTA         64  74  62  79  61 /  60  60  20  20  20
BLAIRSVILLE     58  68  51  77  54 /  90  50  20  10  20
CARTERSVILLE    61  76  57  81  57 /  90  60  20  10  20
COLUMBUS        66  81  65  84  65 /  50  60  30  30  10
GAINESVILLE     61  71  59  79  58 /  80  60  30  10  20
MACON           65  81  64  83  64 /  30  70  40  30  20
ROME            63  78  58  82  61 / 100  50  20  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  61  76  60  79  58 /  50  60  30  30  10
VIDALIA         64  83  64  83  63 /  10  50  40  40  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BARROW...BARTOW...BUTTS...CARROLL...
CHATTAHOOCHEE...CHATTOOGA...CHEROKEE...CLAYTON...COBB...COWETA...
CRAWFORD...DEKALB...DOUGLAS...FAYETTE...FLOYD...FORSYTH...
GORDON...GREENE...GWINNETT...HARALSON...HARRIS...HEARD...HENRY...
JASPER...JONES...LAMAR...MACON...MARION...MERIWETHER...MONROE...
MORGAN...MUSCOGEE...NEWTON...NORTH FULTON...OCONEE...PAULDING...
PIKE...POLK...PUTNAM...ROCKDALE...SCHLEY...SOUTH FULTON...
SPALDING...STEWART...SUMTER...TALBOT...TALIAFERRO...TAYLOR...
TROUP...UPSON...WALTON...WEBSTER.

FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
CATOOSA...CHATTOOGA...DADE...FANNIN...FLOYD...GILMER...GORDON...
MURRAY...TOWNS...UNION...WALKER...WHITFIELD.

&&

01

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1119 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2009

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-041200-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1119 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN AND
WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ISOLATED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.SYNOPSIS...
A STATIONARY FRONT WITH RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO ITS SOUTH WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE OVER NORTH GEORGIA WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM
MOVE TOWARD THE AREA TONIGHT.

.PRIMARY HAZARDS...
THE PRIMARY HAZARDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHWEST GEORGIA THROUGH
TONIGHT. IF INSTABILITY AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES MORE
THAN EXPECTED...ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE MOST
LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 4 PM AND 4 AM
AND WILL BE MOST LIKELY OVER AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF A COLUMBUS TO
ATHENS LINE.

.DISCUSSION...
INSTABILITY AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. CAPE IS EXPECTED TO
REACH 1500 THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHILE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
REMAINS WEAK TO MODERATE. COVERAGE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MAY BE ISOLATED IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS THE UPPER
LEVEL STORM SYSTEM REMAINS TO THE WEST OF THE AREA. BY MID
EVENING... WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE MOVING INTO
THE STATE FROM THE WEST...POSSIBLY IN THE FORM OF AN INTENSE
SQUALL LINE WHERE DAMAGING WINDS OVER 70 MPH AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES MAY BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY AS THE STORM
SYSTEM AND FRONT SLOWLY MOVES THROUGH THE STATE. OTHERWISE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION ESPECIALLY BETWEEN 4 PM
AND MIDNIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA.