Severe Thunderstorm Warning 106, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
322 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT IS MOVING INTO THE HILL COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON WITH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT.
DAYTIME HEATING AND A WEAK UPPER SHORT-WAVE WILL KEEP THE POPS
GOING INTO AT LEAST THIS EVENING MOST AREAS. WILL RANGE FROM
CHANCE SOUTH WHERE BEST DYNAMICS AND MOISTURE RESIDE TO ISOLATED
NORTH WHERE FRONT WILL PASS EARLIEST. FEATURES MOVE SOUTH AND EAST
OF AREA OVERNIGHT ENDING POPS.

THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BUILDS INTO TEXAS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
THE RIDGE FLATTENS SUNDAY AS A SHORT-WAVE LIFTS OUT OF THE WEST
COAST UPPER TROUGH ALLOWING FOR A WEST-SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THAT
WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER
SHORT-WAVE WILL LIFT OUT OF THE TROUGH AROUND MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
A SURFACE HIGH SETTLES INTO THE AREA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. A
SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS IN THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS ON SATURDAY AS THE
SURFACE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE EAST WITH SOUTHERLY LOWER LEVEL FLOW
RETURNING. PWS DECREASE A LITTLE GOING INTO THIS WEEKEND, THEN
INCREASE A LITTLE NEXT WEEK. WARM MID LEVELS WILL CAP THE AIRMASS
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND HAVE KEPT POPS OUT OF THE FORECAST.
HOWEVER, CAN NOT RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED STORMS
COMING OFF THE DRYLINE OF WEST TEXAS AND THE BURRO MOUNTAINS OF
MEXICO AND MOVING INTO FAR WESTERN AREAS FROM FRIDAY AND BEYOND.

HAVE GONE SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN MAV/MEX HIGHS DUE TO SOUTHWESTERLY
850 MB FLOW MOST DAYS WHILE MAV/MEX LOWS SEEM REASONABLE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              70  92  65  96  70 /  10  -    0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  67  91  61  95  66 /  10  -    0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     68  93  63  95  67 /  10  -    0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            64  87  64  93  69 /  10  -    0  -   -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           71  96  72  99  73 /  10  -   -   -   -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        67  90  64  93  69 /  10  -    0  -   -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             68  94  65  95  68 /  10  -    0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        67  92  63  95  67 /  10  -    0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   68  88  64  92  68 /  30  -   -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       70  92  66  96  71 /  10  -    0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           68  93  65  97  70 /  20  -    0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

04/25

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
604 AM CDT WED JUN 3 2009

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-041115-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
604 AM CDT WED JUN 3 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
446 PM CDT WED JUN 03 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HAIL             7 E HONDO               29.34N  99.04W
06/03/2009  E1.00 INCH       MEDINA             TX   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTED HAIL ALONG COUNTY ROAD 4581

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00646

JPB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
508 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2009

TXZ218-219-228-032315-
DIMMIT-FRIO-ZAVALA-
508 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2009

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS AFFECTING DIMMIT...FRIO AND ZAVALA
COUNTIES...

AT 507 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS ARE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR DIVOT...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF DILLEY...MOVING SOUTH AT 10
MPH.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN DIMMIT...SOUTHEASTERN ZAVALA AND SOUTHWESTERN
FRIO COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...DIVOT...SHOULD
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER
THREATEN.

MARBLE SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
515 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2009

TXZ223>225-032345-
GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GONZALES...CUERO...HALLETTSVILLE
515 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND
MOVE SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS. FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE STORMS. DRIVERS ARE ADVISED TO USE ADDITIONAL CAUTION
AS VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL SUDDENLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES. RUNOFF
FROM THESE STORMS WILL ALSO CAUSE PONDING AT INTERSECTIONS AND
MINOR STREET FLOODING.

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