Wind Advisory 6, NWS El Paso, TX

000 
WWUS74 KEPZ 071150
NPWEPZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
450 AM MST SAT MAR 7 2009

...STRONG WINDS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO TODAY...

.A PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
MEXICO ON SATURDAY. STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE DURING THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONALLY...A SURFACE LOW WILL
DEEPEN IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE THAT WILL TIGHTEN THE SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL OCCUR IN SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST
TEXAS DURING THE AFTERNOON. BLOWING DUST WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES
IN LOWLAND DESERT LOCATIONS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH DURING THE
EVENING.

NMZ022>025-030>032-TXZ055-056-080300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WI.Y.0006.090307T1900Z-090308T0300Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION-
TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
SOUTHERN DESERT-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SILVER CITY...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...
ALAMOGORDO...MESCALERO...CLOUDCROFT...TIMBERON...LORDSBURG...
DEMING...LAS CRUCES...EL PASO...SIERRA BLANCA...DELL CITY
450 AM MST SAT MAR 7 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MST
THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MST
THIS EVENING. 

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG WITH A DEEPENING SURFACE
LOW WILL GENERATE STRONG SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ACROSS SOUTHERN
NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS. WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO 35
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON. BLOWING DUST WILL
REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A MILE IN DUST PRONE AREAS OF THE
DESERT. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

LUNDEEN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
247 AM MST FRI MAR 6 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES TODAY AND SATURDAY BRINGING WINDY
CONDITIONS THE NEXT TWO DAYS ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES
TOMORROW. WESTERLY WINDS WILL CAUSE CONTINUED DRY WEATHER AND
SEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROUGH WITH AN ATTENDANT PACIFIC COLD FRONT ARE MOVING INTO
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND GREAT BASIN EARLY THIS MORNING WITH SYSTEM
ADVANCING INTO ARIZONA LATER TODAY. LEE CYCLONE WILL CONCURRENTLY
DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO WITH LOW AND MID LEVEL
GRADIENTS STRENGTHENING AND SOUTHWEST WINDS TRANSPORTING MORE
WARM AIR INTO THE CWA. BACKING FLOW IS ALSO ADVECTING RATHER
ABUNDANT HIGH LEVEL PACIFIC MOISTURE INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S.
INDICATING EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER TODAY. HOWEVER AIR MASS WILL
REMAIN DRY BELOW 600 MB WITH ELEVATED MIXING HEIGHTS. AS A RESULT
EXPECT WARM AND WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY FURTHER CONTRIBUTING TO AN
EVOLVING DROUGHT SITUATION.

TROUGH AND FRONT WILL ACCELERATE EASTWARD ACROSS NEW MEXICO AND
WESTERN TEXAS LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AS LEE CYCLONE AND
TRAILING SURFACE TROUGH INTENSIFY. WINDS WILL FURTHER INCREASE ON
SATURDAY WITH SPEEDS NEAR ADVISORY CRITERIA DESPITE LOW LEVEL COOL
AIR ADVECTION. STRONG DYNAMICS VIA DIFFERENTIAL PVA ALONG WITH
ABUNDANT MID LEVEL MOISTURE MAY BRING ISOLATED LIGHT RAINS TO
SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE GILAS...BUT
LACK OF MOISTURE BELOW 600 MB INDICATE DRY WEATHER ELSEWHERE.

PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER DEEP
TROUGH MOVES INTO THE WESTERN U.S. SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WHILE LEE
CYCLOGENESIS AGAIN OCCURS OVER SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO. TROUGH WILL
HAVE A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK RESULTING IN OCCASIONALLY BREEZY TO
WINDY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AND DRY WEATHER ACROSS CWA NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES TODAY AND SATURDAY BRINGING WINDY
CONDITIONS AND VERY ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL BUT WITH WIDESPREAD CEILINGS ABOVE
10,000 FEET AGL. MODERATE OR GREATER TURBULENCE BELOW 6000 FEET
AGL...ESPECIALLY ALONG EASTERN SLOPES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
RATHER DEEP UPPER TROUGH WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY BEFORE ADVANCING THROUGH NEW MEXICO AND
WESTERN TEXAS ON SATURDAY. A SURFACE LOW WILL MEANWHILE DEEPEN
OVER SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO. THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL GENERATE
STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY AND SATURDAY WITH VENTILATION
REMAINING GOOD TO EXCELLENT. THE WINDS WILL ALSO TRANSPORT WARM
DRY AIR INTO THE REGION TODAY SUSTAINING VERY HIGH FIRE DANGERS AND
CAUSING RED FLAG CONDITIONS. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE FORECASTED ON
SATURDAY BUT INFLOW OF DRY AIR COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS SUGGEST
A RED FLAG SITUATION AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON. OCCASIONALLY BREEZY
WEST WINDS WILL OCCUR FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK RESULTING IN
SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WITH LOW HUMIDITIES AND NO THREAT OF
RAINFALL. THUS EXPECT FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN HIGH OR GREATER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 81  55  73  46  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA TX        82  52  73  47  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              79  50  72  44  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              79  47  67  42  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              65  32  44  28  46 /   0  10   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   77  45  68  39  66 /   0  10  10   0   0
SILVER CITY             70  37  61  31  58 /   0  10  10   0   0
DEMING                  78  46  71  39  68 /   0  10   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               76  45  70  37  67 /   0  10   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR
     NMZ111-112.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR
     TXZ055-056.

&&

05 ROGASH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
410 AM MST FRI MAR 6 2009

NMZ022>025-030>032-TXZ055-056-071300-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION-
TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
SOUTHERN DESERT-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
410 AM MST FRI MAR 6 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST COMBINED WITH A
DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW TO THE NORTHEAST WILL CAUSE WINDY CONDITIONS
TODAY. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL HAVE SUSTAINED SPEEDS NEAR 25 TO
30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. THE STRONG WINDS...WARM TEMPERATURES
AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL SUSTAIN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

WINDY SATURDAY WITH WEST WINDS SUSTAINED AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
45 MPH. BLOWING DUST WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES OVER A FEW LOCATIONS
TOMORROW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

ROGASH