Flash Flood Warning 31, NWS Kansas City, MO

000 
WGUS73 KEAX 161321
FFSEAX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
821 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

KSC091-103-209-MOC037-047-095-165-161335-
/O.EXP.KEAX.FF.W.0031.000000T0000Z-090616T1330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LEAVENWORTH KS-WYANDOTTE KS-JOHNSON KS-CASS MO-JACKSON MO-CLAY MO-
PLATTE MO-
821 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR JOHNSON COUNTY IN
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...AND WYANDOTTE AND LEAVENWORTH COUNTIES IN
NORTHEAST KANSAS...AND SOUTHERN PLATTE...SOUTHERN CLAY...JACKSON AND
NORTHERN CASS COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI WILL BE ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE AT 830 AM CDT...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. WHILE 
STREAMS AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA MAY CONTINUE TO RUN AT AN 
ELEVATED LEVEL THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS...THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL 
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN 
OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REPORT FLOODING TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY SO THAT THEY 
MAY TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO CLOSE FLOODED ROADWAYS. THEY WILL 
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL.

&&

LAT...LON 3931 9517 3933 9491 3932 9423 3921 9422
      3921 9419 3919 9419 3915 9412 3874 9413
      3874 9506 3897 9505 3896 9510 3898 9518

$$

DUX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
214 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

.SHORT TERM...
FAST MOVING MCS WAS SHIFTING EAST INTO EASTERN MISSOURI EARLY THIS
MORNING. IN ITS WAKE...A COOL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAD PRESSED INTO SRN
AND EASTERN KANSAS. A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WAS FOCUSING A BAND OF
CONVECTION IN SRN KANSAS WITH THE COLD POOL NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY
KEEPING THE BAND NEARLY STATIONARY. THE BAND OF CONVECTION WILL
GRADUALLY SAG ESE AS THE LLJ VEERS THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...AN
OUTLFLOW BOUNDARY...WEAK SHORTWAVE...AND ISENTROPIC LIFT COMBINED
WITH HIGH PWAT VALUES...WAS GENERATING CONVECTION IN ERN KS. THIS
ACTIVITY WILL SLOWLY SPREAD EAST THIS MORNING...BUT GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING AS THE LLJ VEERS. THE THREAT OF SVR LOOKS LOW THIS
MORNING GIVEN THE WEAK TO MODERATE MUCAPE. THE ACTIVITY IN NRN MO
SHOULD BE MORE SCATTERED IN NATURE. WILL MAINTAIN THE FFA FOR THE
CWFA THIS MORNING...BUT THE HEAVIEST RAIN THREAT WILL BE MAINLY ALONG
AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

LOOKS LIKE A QUIET NIGHT TONIGHT AS A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS
SOUTH INTO MISSOURI...BEHIND THE WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH. HAVE SOME
CONCERN ABOUT ISENTROPIC LIFT LATE...BUT AT THE CURRENT TIME...THE
ISENTROPIC LIFT LOOKS WEAK.

ON THURSDAY...INCREASING HEIGHTS AND STRONG H7 CAPPING WL LIKELY
PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORMS...DESPITE A WARM FRONT RETREATING INTO THE NRN
CWA. WL MENTION A SLGHT CHC OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE EXTREME NRN
GRIDS. A FRONT MAY REACH INTO EXTREME NWRN MO BY FRIDAY MORNING. DUE
TO THE CAP AND THE LACK OF CONFIDENCE ON THE TIMING...WL KEEP POPS
LOW.

DB

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON TUESDAY FOR MOZ001-MOZ002-MOZ003-
     MOZ004-MOZ005-MOZ006-MOZ007-MOZ008-MOZ011-MOZ012-MOZ013-
     MOZ014-MOZ015-MOZ016-MOZ017-MOZ020-MOZ021-MOZ022-MOZ023-
     MOZ024-MOZ025-MOZ028-MOZ029-MOZ030-MOZ031-MOZ032-MOZ033-
     MOZ037-MOZ038-MOZ039-MOZ040-MOZ043-MOZ044-MOZ045-MOZ046-
     MOZ053-MOZ054.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON TUESDAY FOR KSZ025-KSZ057-KSZ060-
     KSZ102-KSZ103-KSZ104-KSZ105.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1258 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-161800-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
1258 PM CDT MON JUN 15 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

IN THE WAKE OF THIS MORNINGS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY HAS SPREAD ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA...FROM CLINTON NORTHWESTWARD TO EMPORIA AND TOPEKA.
STRONG INSTABILITY IS DEVELOPING ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS
BOUNDARY...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SHOULD SEVERE STORMS DEVELOP...THE
PRIMARY THREATS WOULD BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

ANOTHER LARGE COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO AGAIN DEVELOP
ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS MONDAY NIGHT...AND MOVE INTO THE OUTLOOK AREA
TONIGHT. THESE STORMS WILL TRY TO RIDE SOUTHEAST ALONG A HIGHLY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS SOUTH OF A SURFACE WARM FRONT FROM CENTRAL KANSAS
INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. SHOULD THESE STORMS HOLD THEIR INTENSITY
AS THEY REACH THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
WOULD BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. THE AREA WHICH COULD HAVE THE HIGHEST
CHANCE OF SEEING SEVERE WEATHER WOULD BE ALONG AND SOUTHWEST OF A
LINE FROM MARYVILLE TO SEDALIA.

THIS COMPLEX WILL BRING AN ADDITIONAL CHANCE FOR HEAVY AND EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL
FOR LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING ACROSS MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA TUESDAY
MORNING. WHILE THE SEVERE THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE
WANING...HEAVY RAIN MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE MORNING. SHOULD
THIS THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX CLEAR THE AREA EARLY ENOUGH IN THE
DAY...STRONG INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP LEADING TO AN ADDITIONAL THREAT
FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE
LOCATION OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND OTHER LOCALIZED ENHANCEMENTS WILL
BE KEY TO THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SEVERE WEATHER. THE PRIMARY THREATS
FOR THIS ACTIVITY WOULD BE FROM LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

AN ADDITIONAL THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. DUE TO A RATHER WARM AIRMASS
DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS
AND EXTREME WESTERN MISSOURI...AS WELL AS SOUTH AND WEST OF A LINE
FROM MARYVILLE TO SEDALIA OVERNIGHT. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY ALSO BE
NECESSARY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SPOTTERS ARE URGED TO REPORT HEAVY
RAINFALL TOTALS.

DUX

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
116 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

KSZ060-160645-
LINN-
116 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR SOUTHERN LINN COUNTY UNTIL 145 AM
CDT...

AT 114 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BLUE MOUND...OR 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MOUND
CITY...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PRESCOTT AROUND 140 AM CDT.

LAT...LON 3803 9505 3811 9505 3811 9462 3802 9462

DEROCHE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
135 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BLACKWATER              38.98N 92.99W
06/16/2009                   COOPER             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            23 HWY IS CLOSED. WATER OVER THE ROAD.

&&

MELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
142 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SEDALIA                 38.70N 93.23W
06/16/2009                   PETTIS             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER IS OVER THE ROADS ALONG HWY TT, HWY 135 NORTH OF
            50, SMALTZEL AND TEBOW ROADS.

&&

MELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
145 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SEDALIA                 38.70N 93.23W
06/16/2009                   PETTIS             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER IS COMPLETELY OVER THE ROAD ON HWY O AT BOONVILLE
            AND SALEM ROADS.

&&

MELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
217 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     FLASH FLOOD      OREGON                  39.98N 95.14W
06/16/2009                   HOLT               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER THE ROAD ON 111TH AND KINSEY CREEK. NORTH ON
            I-29 S OF HWY 120 THERE IS BARB WIRE AND DEBRIS OVER THE
            ROAD. HWY 59 EAST OF U HWY HAS MUD OVER THE ROAD BUT
            ROADS ARE PASSABLE.

&&

MELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
229 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CLINTON                 38.37N 93.77W
06/15/2009                   HENRY              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            3 FOOT DIAMETER TREE FELL ONTO A HOUSE. NOBODY WAS
            INJURED.

&&

MELL