Wind Advisory 5, NWS State College, PA

000 
WWUS71 KCTP 300127
NPWCTP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
927 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

PAZ024-033-301500-
/O.CON.KCTP.WI.Y.0005.090330T0300Z-090330T1500Z/
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
927 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY. 

WINDS WILL BECOME VERY GUSTY OVERNIGHT AND WILL LAST THROUGH MUCH
OF THE MORNING HOURS ON MONDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS OF AROUND 40 MPH...WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST LATE TONIGHT
AND GUST UP TO 50 MPH AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH OR
GUSTS OF 46 AND 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG MAY CAUSE
MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE CAUTION UNTIL THE WIND SUBSIDES.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

&&

$$

LAMBERT

000 
WWUS71 KCTP 301358
NPWCTP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
958 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2009


PAZ024-033-301500-
/O.CAN.KCTP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-090330T1500Z/
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
958 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS CANCELLED THE
WIND ADVISORY. 

THE GUSTY WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO SUBSIDE AND WILL CONTINUE TO GET
LIGHTER THROUGH THE DAY.

$$

DANGELO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1044 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTH OF PENNSYLVANIA TODAY...DRAGGING A
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO THE AREA LATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. HOWEVER...AN ACTIVE WEATHER
PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH STORM SYSTEMS LIKELY AFFECTING
THE STATE WEDNESDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING/...
LOW CLOUDS HANGING TOUGH OVER MOST OF THE REGION. BINOVC MAKING IT
INTO THE CENTRAL COS ATTM...BUT THEY SEEM TO CLOSE UP JUST AS FAST
AS THEY OPEN. A FEW SPITS OF DZ REMAIN IN THE EASTERN COS WHERE
THE CLOUDS ARE THICKEST. WILL WATCH FOR THE CLEAR SLOT OVER THE
BLUE RIDGE IN VA AND MD TO WORK NWRD THIS AFTN. HAVE ALLOWED FOR
MAXES IN THE 60S IN THE SE...BUT IT MAY BE A STRUGGLE IF WE DO NOT
MIX AS EXPECTED.

MAIN CONCERN CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBILITY OF THUNDER AND EVEN STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTN OVER THE EAST/SE. WITH THE PARTIAL
CLEARING...WE SHOULD MANAGE TO MIX INTO THE STRONGER WINDS
ALOFT...BUT THEY ARE STILL STUCK IN THE STRATIFIED SOUP FOR NOW.
AT LEAST ONE CAP REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH LATE AFTN AROUND 8-9KFT.
BUT MDLS CONTINUE TO GENERATE SOME MEAGER CAPES THERE THIS
AFTN...AND SPC HAS CONSISTENTLY MENTIONED THE SERN CORNER OF OUR
AREA IN THE SEE TEXT AREA OF SVR RISK PRODS FOR TODAY. WILL
CONTINUE MENTIONS OF THUNDER THERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /9 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
MUCH COOLER AIR WRAPPING BEHIND THE TRIPLE POINT LOW WILL APPROACH
FROM THE OHIO VALLEY LATE TDY WITH A RETURN TO A WINTERLIKE LAKE
EFFECT REGIME TONIGHT AND MONDAY. OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED LAKE
EFFECT SHRA WILL CHANGE TO SHSN OVR THE ALLEGHENIES TONIGHT AS 850
MB TEMPS FALL TO ARND -9C. TYPICAL FOR THE TIME OF YEAR...WARM
GRND TEMPS SHOULD LIMIT SNOW ACCUMS IN THE VALLEYS. HOWEVER...FEEL
UP TO AN INCH OR SO IS LIKELY BY MONDAY MORNING ALONG THE RIDGETOPS
OF NW PA AND THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS.

I INCREASED THE WESTERLY WINDS FOR LATE TONIGHT/EARLY MONDAY AS WE
SEE THE DESCENDING...THERMALLY DIRECT BRANCH/LEFT ENTRANCE REGION
OF THE UPPER JET BECOMING LOCATED ACROSS SOUTHERN PENN AND THE
LAUREL HIGHLANDS. GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE LAURELS WHERE KJST NAM BUFKIT PROFILE SHOWS THE 45 TO
50 KT ISOTACH EXTENDING AS LOW AS 1.2-1.5 KFT AGL BETWEEN 06Z-12Z
MONDAY. THIS MAY REQUIRE WIND ADVISORY ISSUANCE IN THAT AREA.

TRANQUIL AND MILDER WX SHOULD FOLLOW FOR TUESDAY...AS HIGH PRES RIDGE
BUILDS OVR THE STATE. A BIT OF HIGH CLOUDS MAY BEGIN SPILLING OVR
UPPER RIDGE AHEAD OF NEXT STORM SYSTEM. HOWEVER...MSUNNY SKIES SHOULD
SUFFICE WITH HIGHS REBOUNDING TO NR 60F BASED ON MODEL SOUNDINGS.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MINIMAL SPREAD AMONGST ENSEMBLE MEMBERS MID-WEEK...WHICH POSES
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN MID LVL TROUGH INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH A
RIDGE FOCUSED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. EXPECT A WEAK INFLUENCE FROM
THIS RIDGE TO IMPACT MID-ATLANTIC REGION. UPPER LVL FLOW SHUD TAKE
MID-WEEK SHORTWAVE ACROSS GRT LKS REGION LAYING OUT A WEAK FRONTAL
BNDRY SE THRU MID-ATLANTIC REGION. OPER GFS PAINTS A SECONDARY LOW
DEVELOPING IN WAKE OF MID-WEEK SYSTEM...AND BRINGS IT TOWARDS MID-
ATLANTIC. MID-ATLANTIC SHUD REMAIN ON THE UPSLOPE OF AN 850MB
THERMAL TROUGH...AIDING IN TEMPS REMAINING NEAR SEASONAL CONDS
THRU EXTENDED PERIOD. THE QUESTION ARISES IF WE BECOME CAD IN THE
THUR-FRI PERIOD WITH A LGT ONSHORE FLOW BTWN SYSTEMS.

TROUGH AXIS QUICKLY SWINGS NE FRI-SAT ALLOWING WEAK SFC RIDGE TO
SLIDE IN BEHIND IT...CONF IS MARGINAL GIVEN INCREASING SPREAD
AMONGS GEFS MEMBERS.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
CONSID LLVL MOISTURE HAS PRODUCED AREAS OF IFR AND ISOLATED LIFR
CIGS AND VSBYS FOR CENTRAL PA AIRFIELDS. SAT IMAGERY INDICATES
EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER BUT A FEW BREAKS SHOWING UP NOW IN CENTRAL
AREAS. MIXING COULD RAISE CIGS THIS AFTN. EXPECT A BAND OF HEAVIER
CONVECTIVE SHOWERS TO DEVELOP INVOF KMDT/KMUI THIS AFTN THEN SLIDE
E AS THE FRONT PASSES BTWN 18 AND 22Z...WITH EVEN A CHANCE FOR
SOME THUNDERSTORMS. MVFR CIGS RETURN TO THE WEST WITH RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS TURNING TO PLAIN SHSN IN THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE WRN MTS.

OUTLOOK...
MON...MVFR CIGS WEST LIFTING/CLEARING LATE. VFR CENTRAL/EAST.
TUE-THU...MAINLY VFR. SCT LGT SHRA TUE NIGHT INTO WED NIGHT.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...FITZGERALD
NEAR TERM...DANGELO
SHORT TERM...FITZGERALD
LONG TERM...BEACHLER
AVIATION...DANGELO/BEACHLER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
447 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-063-300900-
WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-
NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-
JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-
447 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ064>066-300900-
ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
447 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...LIKELY
ACCOMPANIED BY A ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS A
SLIGHT CHANGE THAT A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD CONTAIN
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
203 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

PAZ026-035-291830-
FULTON PA-HUNTINGDON PA-
203 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN FULTON AND SOUTHEASTERN
HUNTINGDON COUNTIES...

AT 202 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF BREEZEWOOD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND PEA-SIZED HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR SIDELING HILL REST AROUND 210 PM...FORT
LITTLETON AROUND 215 PM...THREE SPRINGS AROUND 225 PM AND SHADE GAP
AROUND 230 PM.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 172
AND 186.

THIS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE FOLLOWING MAJOR ROADS...ROUTE 30...ROUTE
522.

FORECASTER: DANGELO