Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
259 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2009

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #70
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH 7 PM CDT.
CONVECTION LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS
THE ATMOSPHERE STABILIZES WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE DEPARTS TO THE NORTHEAST. SURFACE WINDS WILL
VEER SOUTHWESTERLY OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONT. THIS
SHOULD PRECLUDE FOG FORMATION DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. IF ANY
FOG DOES DEVELOP...IT SHOULD BE RELATIVELY LIGHT. OTHERWISE...THE
COLD FRONT WILL RAPIDLY PUSH THROUGH SOUTH TEXAS FRIDAY WITH CLOUDS
DIMINISHING FROM WEST TO EAST. MUCH DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE
REGION WITH GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE RIO
GRANDE PLAINS AFTER 15Z...AND THE COASTAL PLAINS BY 22Z. AS A
RESULT...WILL MAINTAIN THE CURRENT FIRE WEATHER WATCH CONFIGURATION
FOR FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...GFS/ECMWF REMAIN
CONSISTENT WITH TIMING/PSN OF A STG UPPER SYSTEM TO MOVG ACRS THE
REGION FRI NGT. COUPLING OF DYNAMICS/MSTR/INSTABILITY WL BE
RESTRICTED TO WATERS. WL RETAIN THE CURRENT FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
THE CWFA FRI THROUGH EARLY SAT. THE MAGNITUDE OF THE COLD AIR MASS
(AS REFLECTED IN THE GFS 1000-500MB THICKNESS VALUES) AFTER FROPA
AND WARM SST VALUES WL RESULT IN STG OFFSHORE FLOW AFTER FROPA OVR
THE WATERS FOR EARLY SAT. ANTICIPATE SUFFICIENT CAA TO LOWER MAX
TEMPS SAT AFTN RELATIVE TO FRI...INSOLATION NOTWITHSTANDING.
THE GFS/ECMWF STILL CONSISTENT WITH THE TIMING/PSN OF TWO
PROGRESSIVE UPPER DISTURBANCES PROGD TO EFFECT THE SRN PLAINS MONDAY
AND THURSDAY. IN RESPONSE TO THESE SYSTEMS...FRONTS ARE PROGD TO
ENTER THE REGION TUESDAY AND THURSDAY. DO NOT ANTICIPATE PCPN ALG
EACH AT THIS TIME BASED ON MSTR CONCERNS.

&&

.MARINE (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS
DUE TO SWELLS WILL CONTINUE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE THROUGH FRIDAY.
SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS WILL ALSO PREVAIL DUE TO
SWELLS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OUT 20 NM THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    70  90  47  71  45  /  10  10  10  10   0
VICTORIA          66  81  40  67  37  /  20  10  10  10   0
LAREDO            67  95  48  77  48  /  10  10  10  10   0
ALICE             70  93  46  74  43  /  10  10  10  10   0
ROCKPORT          70  84  49  67  47  /  10  10  10  10   0
COTULLA           62  85  41  74  41  /  10  10  10  10   0
KINGSVILLE        68  91  45  73  43  /  10  10  10  10   0
NAVY CORPUS       70  85  51  67  53  /  10  10  10  10   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARANSAS...BEE...
     CALHOUN...GOLIAD...JIM WELLS...KLEBERG...LIVE OAK...
     NUECES...REFUGIO...SAN PATRICIO...VICTORIA.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: DUVAL...LA SALLE...
     MCMULLEN...WEBB.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 4 PM CDT FRIDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS
     20 TO 60 NM...WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL
     20 TO 60 NM.

&&

TM/95...SHORT TERM
WC/87...LONG TERM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
118 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2009

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-271830-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT OCONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 TO 60 NM-
LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
118 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE
MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL OCCUR
BETWEEN HIGHWAY 77 AND HIGHWAY 16.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SEAS FROM 20 TO 60
NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL LEAD TO STRONG NORTH WINDS LATE FRIDAY INTO
EARLY SATURDAY. GUSTS IN EXCESS OF GALE FORCE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
GULF WATERS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE LIKELY DURING THIS TIME
FRAME.

BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS AND VERY DRY AIR BEHIND FRIDAYS COLD
FRONT WILL LEAD TO A HIGH WILD FIRE DANGER FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN HAS BEEN ACTIVATED.

TM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
323 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     LIGHTNING        2 W BEEVILLE            28.41N 97.78W
03/26/2009                   BEE                TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BEE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED OIL TANKER ON FIRE
            FROM LIGHTNING STRIKE.

&&

RG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
326 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0236 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE GEORGE WEST        28.31N 98.09W
03/26/2009                   LIVE OAK           TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER POLES WERE KNOCKED DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF HWY 59
            AND INTERSTATE 37.

&&

RG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
330 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0140 PM     HAIL             WHITSETT                28.62N 98.28W
03/26/2009  E0.88 INCH       LIVE OAK           TX   PUBLIC

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND VERY STRONG WINDS REPORTED BY PUBLIC
            FROM PURE COUNTRY CONVENIENCE STORE.

0200 PM     HAIL             NORMANNA                28.53N 97.79W
03/26/2009  E1.00 INCH       BEE                TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

0222 PM     HAIL             GEORGE WEST             28.33N 98.12W
03/26/2009  E1.00 INCH       LIVE OAK           TX   AMATEUR RADIO

0224 PM     TSTM WND GST     GEORGE WEST             28.33N 98.12W
03/26/2009  E60.00 MPH       LIVE OAK           TX   AMATEUR RADIO

0225 PM     TSTM WND GST     GEORGE WEST             28.33N 98.12W
03/26/2009  E60.00 MPH       LIVE OAK           TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            60-70 MPH WIND GUST

0225 PM     HAIL             TYNAN                   28.16N 97.73W
03/26/2009  E0.75 INCH       SAN PATRICIO       TX   PUBLIC

0225 PM     TSTM WND GST     GEORGE WEST             28.33N 98.12W
03/26/2009  E60.00 MPH       LIVE OAK           TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            60-70 MPH WIND GUST

0230 PM     TORNADO          5 ESE GEORGE WEST       28.30N 98.04W
03/26/2009                   LIVE OAK           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BRIEF TOUCH DOWN NEAR I-37 AND HWY 59...REPORT OF
            18-WHEELER BLOWN OVER.

0236 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE GEORGE WEST        28.31N 98.09W
03/26/2009                   LIVE OAK           TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER POLES WERE KNOCKED DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF HWY 59
            AND INTERSTATE 37.

0240 PM     HAIL             DINERO                  28.20N 97.93W
03/26/2009  E0.25 INCH       LIVE OAK           TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED NEAR FM 888 AND I-37... ADDITIONAL
            REPORT OF TRACTOR TRAILER TURNED OVER ON OVERPASS.

0245 PM     LIGHTNING        2 W BEEVILLE            28.41N 97.78W
03/26/2009                   BEE                TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            BEE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED OIL TANKER ON FIRE
            FROM LIGHTNING STRIKE.

0253 PM     HAIL             2 W TYNAN               28.16N 97.77W
03/26/2009  E1.75 INCH       SAN PATRICIO       TX   PUBLIC

0305 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W SKIDMORE            28.23N 97.70W
03/26/2009                   BEE                TX   PUBLIC

            FM796 WEST OF SKIDMORE 4 TO 5 POWER POLES KNOCKED DOWN

0308 PM     HAIL             SKIDMORE                28.23N 97.68W
03/26/2009  E0.75 INCH       BEE                TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

ATARDY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
338 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0231 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     2 W ROBSTOWN            27.80N 97.69W
03/26/2009                   NUECES             TX   PUBLIC

            FUNNEL CLOUD WENT BACK INTO CLOUD. NO TOUCHDOWN.

&&

RG

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