Severe Thunderstorm Warning 5, NWS Cleveland, OH

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 120139
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
839 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

PAC039-049-120200-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090212T0200Z/
CRAWFORD PA-ERIE PA-
839 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EST
FOR ERIE AND CRAWFORD COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...

AT 833 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED STRONG 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING THE CITY OF ERIE. THE STORMS 
WERE LOCATED ON A LINE SOUTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL CRAWFORD COUNTY. THE 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING EAST EAST AT ALMOST 50 MPH. 

DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. 
THUNDER AND LIGHTNING MAY NOT BE PRESENT.

A RESIDENT IN LINESVILLE REPORTED MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO A PORCH 
FROM THE HIGH WINDS AT 814 PM.

* LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNED AREA INCLUDE...
  MEADVILLE...          ERIE...

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EST
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

LAT...LON 4161 7965 4162 7982 4152 7998 4148 8001
      4149 8052 4199 8052 4203 8035 4210 8019
      4217 8012 4215 8005 4220 7997 4227 7976
      4200 7976 4199 7961 4162 7961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0134Z 249DEG 46KT 4224 8063 4122 7980

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
759 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL ILLINOIS WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN
AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING. A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT...BRINGING
RAINY AND WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION AS WELL
AS A RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. NARROW RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY WHILE LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY ON SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WILL LET THE ORGANIZED LINE OF CONVECTION MOVE ACROSS NW PA AND
EXIT THE AREA. WILL CANCEL THE SEVERE THUNDERTORM WATCH FROM WEST
TO EAST AS APPROPRIATE EARLY TONIGHT...THE HIGH WIND WARNING
ESSENTIALLY WILL REPLACE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH/SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS. THE SURFACE LOW CONTINUES TO DEEPEN
IMPRESSIVELY AS IT MOVES ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN. THE HIGH WIND
WARNING WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY THURSDAY.

ISSUED A FLOOD ADVISORY TO COVER THE HEAVY RAIN ASSOCD WITH THE
FRONT AS WATER WILL RISE IN STREAMS...POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW
LYING AREAS WITH THE NEW RAIN. THE GROUND IS SATURATED SO ALMOST
ANY AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL CAUSE A RISE IN WATER. RAIN MOVING FAST
ENOUGH THAT MAJOR FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED BUT WILL BE PLENTY OF
MINOR/MODERATE PROBLEMS. RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT AND
WILL CONTINUE TO BE ISSUED AS NEEDED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS MAINLY IN THE NORTHEAST TOMORROW. COULD SEE
COUPLE OF INCHES OF SNOW THERE. STRONG WINDS SLOWLY DIMINISHING
DURING THE DAY. THEN EXCEPT FOR FEW SNOW SHOWERS STILL LINGERING
IN THE NORTHEAST HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING ACROSS THE AREA WILL BRING
DRY WEATHER FOR FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT OF THE CENTRAL
PLAINS WILL PASS THROUGH SOUTHERN OHIO ON SATURDAY. A MODERATE
SNOWFALL POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM IN THE RANGE OF 2 TO 5 INCHES.
8H TEMPS ARE NEAR ZERO OR JUST BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN
AREAS AND COULD SEE MIXTURE OF SNOW SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN THERE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST TO EAST AND REMAIN JUST SOUTH
OF THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.  THE STORM SYSTEM
SHOULD BE EXITING THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SHOULD KEEP A
LINGERING CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS.

BOTH GFS AND EUROPEAN SUGGEST HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST ACROSS
THE AREA SETTING UP A COLD NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE AREA. I
WILL KEEP A MENTION OF SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHEAST
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. UPPER LEVEL PVA WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE REGION
WITH A LITTLE BIT OF MEAN RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO HELP SUPPORT LAKE
ENHANCED SNOWS. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT
AND THIS SHOULD BRING AN END TO THE PRECIPITATION THREAT.

FAIR WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION MOVING NORTHEAST WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING
QUICKLY EAST IN THE RELATIVELY ZONAL FLOW FOR TUESDAY. I WILL BRING
A CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM.

TEMPERATURES THROUGH THIS PERIOD APPEAR THEY WILL BE ABOUT NORMAL AS
NO STRONG COLD AIR OUTBREAKS ARE EXPECTED.  ZONAL FLOW WILL KEEP
STRONG POLAR JET TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE
EXTENDED PERIODS.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
LINE OF CONVECTION WITH LITTLE LIGHTNING...BUT SEVERE WINDS MOVING
EAST OF CLE AND CAK. THIS LINE HAS A HISTORY OF GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
50 KNOTS. AFTER THIS...LULL IN PRECIP AND GUSTS AROUND 30 KNOTS.
SURFACE AND UPPER LOW TO TRACK INTO SOUTHEAST MI AND AS IT DOES SO
WRAP AROUND PRECIPITATION AND STRONGER WINDS WILL RETURN. THERE
ARE A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES WITH THIS LESS STABLE AREA AND HAVE
INCLUDED EITHER CB OR VCTS OR SOME PREDOMINANT -TSRA. SO GUSTS
WILL BE IN EXCESS OF 40KNOTS FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. TEMPS TO
FALL BACK FAST TONIGHT...BUT MOISTURE ALSO PULLS OUT OF -10C TO
-20C LAYER SO DO NOT HAVE MUCH SHSN IN THE TAFS...EXCEPT ERI. WE
MAY VERY WELL DRY OUT BY MORNING EXCEPT FOR EXTREME NORTHEAST. SO
DID SOME VCSH BEFORE ENDING IT. WE WILL MONITOR. GUSTS CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY.  MVFR CEILINGS OVERNIGHT AND THURSDAY.

.OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS WILL LINGER INTO FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
SHOULD BRING VFR WEATHER LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER
LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN OHIO SATURDAY BRINGING MVFR
CONDITIONS WITH IFR WEATHER POSSIBLE IN SNOW. MVFR CEILINGS MAY
LINGER ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NOT MUCH CHANGE TO EARLIER FORECAST PACKAGE.  GALES STILL LOOK LIKE
A GOOD BET OVERNIGHT BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT SET TO MOVE ACROSS
THE LAKE.  IF ANYTHING...MODELS ARE TRENDING SLIGHTLY WEAKER WITH
THE WINDS SO NO NEED TO CONSIDER AN UPGRADE TO STORMS.  WESTERLY
FLOW WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.  LIGHT
FLOW EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY.  WINDS WILL BECOME NE AND THEN EAST FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES UP THE OH VALLEY.  LIGHT N
TO NW FLOW WILL DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS LOW SATURDAY NIGHT
AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR OHZ003-006>014-
     017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089.
     FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY FOR OHZ003-006>014-017>019-
     027>030-036-037-047-089.
PA...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR PAZ001>003.
     FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY FOR PAZ001>003.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR LEZ061-142>149-
     162>169.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RANDEL
NEAR TERM...KOSARIK
SHORT TERM...RANDEL
LONG TERM...LOMBARDY
AVIATION...OUDEMAN
MARINE...KUBINA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
751 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001>003-130100-
LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-
SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
751 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 20 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

OHZ003-006>011-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-130100-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-HANCOCK-SENECA-
HURON-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-MARION-MORROW-KNOX-
751 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

OHZ020-031-038-130100-
MEDINA-WAYNE-HOLMES-
751 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS
STRONG LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES THE REGION. FLOODING OF AREA CREEKS
AND STREAMS IS A POSSIBILITY DEPENDING ON WHERE THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL OCCURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

OHZ021>023-032-033-130100-
SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-STARK-MAHONING-
751 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 20 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS
STRONG LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES THE REGION. FLOODING OF AREA CREEKS
AND STREAMS IS A POSSIBILITY DEPENDING ON WHERE THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL OCCURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-130100-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
751 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
514 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

OHZ029>032-036>038-047-120015-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANSFIELD...ASHLAND...WOOSTER...
CANTON...MARION...MOUNT GILEAD...MILLERSBURG...MOUNT VERNON
514 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50
MPH OR MORE...WILL SPREAD ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
OHIO EARLY THIS EVENING FROM MARION TO MT VERNON TO MILLERSBURG
AND CANTON.

THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH AND WILL REACH MARION BY 6 PM AND MOUNT
VERNON SHORTLY AFTER 6 PM. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL REACH
MANSFIELD AND MILLERSBURG AROUND 7 PM AND WOOSTER AND CANTON BY
730 PM.

WINDS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY WITH THE ONSET OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AVERAGE 30 MPH WITH GUSTS
AS HIGH AS 50 MPH.

RESIDENTS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OHIO SHOULD STAY ALERT
FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS. STAY INDOORS AND AWAY
FROM WINDOWS FOR PROTECTION FROM THE WIND.

KOSARIK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
750 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     TSTM WND GST     EDISON                  40.56N 82.86W
02/11/2009  E60.00 MPH       MORROW             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

0621 PM     TSTM WND GST     MANSFIELD               40.76N 82.53W
02/11/2009  M66.00 MPH       RICHLAND           OH   ASOS

0709 PM     TSTM WND GST     CLEVELAND               41.48N 81.68W
02/11/2009  M67.00 MPH       CUYAHOGA           OH   ASOS

&&

KO