Severe Thunderstorm Warning 130, NWS Cleveland, OH

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 282039
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
439 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2009

OHC147-282100-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0130.000000T0000Z-090828T2100Z/
SENECA OH-
439 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT
FOR SENECA COUNTY...

AT 437 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TIFFIN...MOVING EAST AT
15 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
REPUBLIC...BLOOMVILLE AND ATTICA.

LAT...LON 4125 8285 4100 8283 4099 8288 4099 8342
      4113 8342 4117 8340 4125 8290
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 268DEG 13KT 4111 8315

$$

WILLARD

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 282057
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
457 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2009

OHC147-282108-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0130.000000T0000Z-090828T2100Z/
SENECA OH-
457 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2009

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SENECA COUNTY EXPIRES AT 500
PM EDT...

LAT...LON 4125 8285 4100 8283 4099 8288 4099 8342
      4113 8342 4117 8340 4125 8290
TIME...MOT...LOC 2058Z 268DEG 13KT 4111 8306

$$

WILLARD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
348 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER INDIANA WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND CROSS SOUTHWEST
ONTARIO ON SATURDAY. A WARM FRONT NEAR THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE
ERIE WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH WHILE THE WEAK COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE AREA LATER
TONIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT FROM THE MIDWEST WILL CROSS THE
AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON. IT WILL GET COOL ENOUGH FOR SOME LAKE
EFFECT SHOWERS DOWNWIND OF THE GREAT LAKES SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
WEAK SURFACE LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST AND SHOULD CROSS
NORTHWEST OHIO AND WESTERN LAKE ERIE TONIGHT ON ITS WAY TO SOUTHWEST
ONTARIO. AIRMASS HAS DESTABILIZED ACROSS NORTH AND NORTHEAST OHIO
FROM THE AFTERNOON SUNSHINE. WITH SURFACE LOW BEING SOUTHWEST OF THE
AREA...THE WIND COULD BACK TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF ANY STORM
ADDING TO THE LOW LEVEL SHEAR BUT MOST LIKELY NEAR THE ACTUAL WARM
FRONT NEAR THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ERIE. WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO
MONITOR FOR ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING AND WATCH FOR ROTATING STORMS.

IN GENERAL...SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH
LATE AFTERNOON BUT THEN LIKELY CONSOLIDATE ACROSS NORTHERN OHIO
AHEAD OF THE WEAK COLD FRONT. WILL NOT TRY TO TIME ACTIVITY
EARLY TONIGHT IN THE ZONE FORECAST ALTHOUGH GRAPHIC FORECAST WILL
HAVE SOME MINOR RESOLUTION IN 3 HOUR POP/WEATHER FORECAST. SCHOOLS
THAT START FOOTBALL SEASON THIS EVENING SHOULD BE ALERT FOR THE
THREAT OF LIGHTNING. SHOULD SEE SOME DRYING FROM THE WEST LATER
TONIGHT AND WHAT REMAINS OF THE RAIN BY DAYBREAK SHOULD BE ACROSS
EXTREME NE OH/NW PA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS SEEM TO BE INDICATING A SECONDARY FRONT OR SURFACE TROUGH
CROSSING THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. THE BOUNDARY
LAYER WILL BE DRIER AND MORE STABLE BUT THERE WILL LIKELY BE ENOUGH
INSTABILITY AND UPWARD MOTION ACROSS NE OH/NW PA...ESPECIALLY INLAND
LOCATIONS...FOR SHOWERS AND PERHAPS THUNDERSTORMS TO REDEVELOP... AT
LEAST SCATTERED ACTIVITY. COULD BE SOME SUNSHINE SATURDAY...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS NW OHIO...ALTHOUGH CLOUDS WILL FILL BACK IN
EVENTUALLY. WITH ENOUGH SUN...TEMPS WILL LIKELY SNEAK BACK INTO THE
MID 70S SATURDAY.

UPWARD LOW PROGGED TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST OVER THE WEEKEND. THE MAIN
SHORT WAVE IS PROGGED TO ROTATE THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY
MORNING AND WILL BE COLD ENOUGH ALOFT FOR LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS/STORMS
TO DEVELOP. FLOW MAY BE SOUTHWEST AT FIRST BUT SHOULD EVENTUALLY
COME ONSHORE. SECONDARY SHORT WAVE PROGGED TO ROTATE ACROSS THE AREA
LATE SUNDAY. WILL CONTINUE WITH A CHANCE FOR LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS
SUNDAY NIGHT. FLOW PROGGED TO BE ALMOST NORTHERLY BY MONDAY MORNING
AND CANNOT RULE OUT A LINGERING SHOWER MONDAY MORNING IN THE
CLEVELAND AREA. WILL BE CHILLY SUNDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT
AS THE NIGHTS GET LONGER.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
EXTENDED PERIODS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY QUIET AS HIGH PRESSURE
DOMINATES THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD.  HIGH PRESSURE IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE GRADUALLY EAST AND THIS WILL SET UP A RETURN
SOUTHERLY FLOW AND EXPECTED GRADUAL INCREASE IN DEW POINT
TEMPERATURES BY THE END OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY
RECOVER AS WELL BACK TO NEAR NORMAL AFTER A COOL EARLY PART OF THE
WEEK.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP THREAT OF ANY PRECIPITATION AWAY FROM THE
AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD AT THIS TIME.  THERE MAY BE A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS BY WEEKS END DUE TO GRADUAL DESTABILIZATION AND
INCREASED WARMING.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED AND IS MOVING EAST
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS ACTIVITY
WILL CAUSE SOME PROBLEMS AT THE CLE AND ERI TAF SITES OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. MORE ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF
MFD...CAK AND YNG AND MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE REGION. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
BE A PROBLEM THIS AFTERNOON AS WELL OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS.
MORE SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE TOL AND
FDY AREAS AND THEN EVENTUALLY AFFECT THE REGION. I ANTICIPATE A
DRY SLOT WILL TRY TO WORK INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO
TOMORROW MORNING. THIS SHOULD BRING IMPROVING CEILINGS TO THE
AREA. SOME MVFR FOG POSSIBLE AT CAK AND YNG. DOWNSLOPING WILL
LIKELY KEEP CLE AND ERI VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.OUTLOOK...NON-VFR POSSIBLE AT TIMES SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
SUNDAY. NON VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE WEEKEND IN NORTHEAST OHIO AND
NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

&&

.MARINE...
A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE LAKE SATURDAY MORNING SHOULD FORCE A SOUTH
WIND TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE FRONT VEERING TO WEST SAT MORNING.  COLD
AIR ADVECTION OVER THE WARM WATERS WILL MIX WELL AND EXPECT
WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW OF 15 TO 25 KNOTS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AND WITH
THIS A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED WITH WAVES OF 4 TO
6 FEET POSSIBLE. A SECONDARY TROUGH CROSSES THE LAKE
SUNDAY...WATERSPOUTS POSSIBLE TOO. MONDAY AND TUESDAY WIND/WAVES
QUIET DOWN AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS WITH
LIGHT FLOW CONTINUING WEDNESDAY.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KOSARIK
NEAR TERM...KOSARIK
SHORT TERM...KOSARIK
LONG TERM...LOMBARDY
AVIATION...LOMBARDY
MARINE...ADAMS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1117 AM EDT FRI AUG 28 2009

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-291530-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-
ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-
WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-
HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
CRAWFORD PA-
1117 AM EDT FRI AUG 28 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. A WARM FRONT ACROSS THE AREA WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTH THIS
AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT OVER INDIANA WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE AREA.
BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS...IN THE DRY SLOT...SOME SUNSHINE IS
LIKELY...ESPECIALLY AROUND THE INTERSTATE 71 CORRIDOR. THE
CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURE IS IN THE LOWER 80S AND NEW THUNDERSTORMS
WILL LIKELY POP UP. ISOLATED STORMS MAY HAVE DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL
AND ROTATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-291530-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1117 AM EDT FRI AUG 28 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
COLD AIR FLOWING OVER THE WARM WATERS OF LAKE ERIE WILL CREATE
ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO INCREASE THE POSSIBILITY OF WATERSPOUTS
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
329 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0308 PM     HAIL             VERMILION               41.41N 82.32W
08/28/2009  E0.88 INCH       LORAIN             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

0321 PM     HAIL             AMHERST                 41.40N 82.23W
08/28/2009  E1.25 INCH       LORAIN             OH   AMATEUR RADIO

0321 PM     HAIL             ELYRIA                  41.38N 82.11W
08/28/2009  E1.75 INCH       LORAIN             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NEAR HWY 113

&&

ASTIFAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
333 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0332 PM     HAIL             1 NW ELYRIA             41.39N 82.12W
08/28/2009  E1.00 INCH       LORAIN             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            OVER ONE MINUTE OF QUARTER HAIL ON NORTHWEST SIDE OF
            ELYRIA

&&

ASTIFAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
338 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     4 S ELYRIA              41.32N 82.11W
08/28/2009                   LORAIN             OH   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BETWEEN ELYRIA AND LAGRANGE ALONG SR 301

&&

ASTIFAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
345 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0344 PM     HAIL             2 E ELYRIA              41.38N 82.07W
08/28/2009  E0.88 INCH       LORAIN             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            8 MINUTES OF NICKEL HAIL

&&

ASTIFAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
358 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     HAIL             EATON ESTATES           41.31N 82.01W
08/28/2009  E1.00 INCH       LORAIN             OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

ASTIFAN