Severe Thunderstorm Warning 102, NWS Cleveland, OH

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 112237
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
637 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2009

OHC101-175-112315-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-090811T2315Z/
WYANDOT OH-MARION OH-
637 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR MARION AND SOUTHERN WYANDOT COUNTIES...

AT 633 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF UPPER 
SANDUSKY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO 
ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...LA
RUE...MORRAL...NEW BLOOMINGTON...MARION...GREEN CAMP...WALDO AND
CALEDONIA.

LAT...LON 4044 8324 4050 8326 4050 8341 4068 8342
      4070 8349 4080 8347 4085 8317 4070 8312
      4070 8286 4065 8286 4065 8296 4049 8297
      4049 8301 4043 8303
TIME...MOT...LOC 2237Z 308DEG 20KT 4071 8332

$$

WILLARD

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 112259
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
659 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2009

OHC101-175-112315-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-090811T2315Z/
WYANDOT OH-MARION OH-
659 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR MARION AND SOUTHEASTERN WYANDOT COUNTIES...

AT 659 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MARION...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
MARION...GREEN CAMP...WALDO...CALEDONIA AND PROSPECT.

LAT...LON 4044 8322 4044 8324 4050 8326 4050 8341
      4068 8342 4085 8317 4070 8312 4070 8286
      4065 8286 4065 8296 4049 8298 4049 8301
      4043 8303
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 309DEG 21KT 4062 8318

$$

WILLARD

000 
WWUS51 KCLE 112319
SVSCLE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
719 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2009

OHC101-175-112329-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-090811T2315Z/
WYANDOT OH-MARION OH-
719 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2009

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MARION AND SOUTHEASTERN
WYANDOT COUNTIES EXPIRED AT 715 PM EDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

LAT...LON 4044 8322 4044 8324 4050 8326 4050 8341
      4068 8342 4085 8317 4070 8312 4070 8286
      4065 8286 4065 8296 4049 8298 4049 8301
      4043 8303
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 309DEG 21KT 4062 8318

$$

WILLARD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
317 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD FRONT ACROSS LAKE ERIE...WILL PUSH SOUTH TO THE OHIO RIVER
TONIGHT.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
LEADING EDGE OF THE COLD FRONT JUST SOUTH OF TOLEDO FOCUS OF
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY THIS EVENING.   CAPES ACROSS THE AREA BETWEEN
1000 AND 1500 J/KG WITH LIS OF  -3 TO -5.  SECONDARY AREA OF TSRA
DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE 850MB FRONT NOW ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

TSRA MOVING ONTO LAKE ERIE HAVING A HARD TIME HOLDING TOGETHER. SO
FORECAST QUESTION IS HOW FAR EAST TO TAKE THE POPS THIS EVENING.
FOR MY FORECAST WENT LIKELY POPS THIS EVENING WEST OF A CLE TO CAK
LINE. TSRA SHOULD BEGIN WEAKING AFTER SUNSET...AND BE SOUTH OF THE
AREA BY MIDNIGHT.

EXPECT FRONT TO BE SOUTH OF THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING TAKING ALL
THE TSRA WITH IT.  MODELS HAVE THE FRONT NEAR THE OHIO RIVER BY
DAYBREAK...BUT THAT MIGHT BE A TAD FAST CONSIDERING THE PREVIOUS
MODEL RUNS PAST 2 DAYS HAVE BEEN TOO FAST WITH THE FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT MOVING LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY.  THIS WILL PRODUCE DRY
AND MORE SEASONABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
HIGH SHIFTS EAST ON FRIDAY ALLOWING FOR A GRADUAL WARM UP.

&&

.LONG TERM.../SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST TO THE ATLANTIC COAST ALLOWING A WEAK
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO MOVE ALONG ITS WESTERN PERIPHERY. STILL SOME
UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAR NORTHWEST THE BETTER CHANCES WILL MOVE.
FOR NOW WILL ONLY GO WITH SLIGHT CHANCES. STILL LOOKS LIKE ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP ALONG SEVERAL BOUNDARIES ACROSS
THE REGION. MOST CONCERN WILL BE WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED
OVER NW OHIO AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT IS SLOWLY MOVING
SOUTHWARD. WINDS WILL VARY IN THE CONVECTION BUT WILL GRADUALLY
BECOME NORTH IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT/CONVECTION. WILL THEN HAVE
TO WATCH FOR FOG...ESPECIALLY WHERE RAIN OCCURS. WILL SEE SOME
IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS WITH THE FOG IN THE MORNING.

.OUTLOOK...MAINLY VFR...EXCEPT SOME LOCAL MVFR BR IN THE AM.

&&

.MARINE...
COLD FRONT/WEAK TROUGHS WILL CLEAR THE LAKE BY THIS EVENING TAKING
WITH THEM THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LIGHT NORTHERLY
FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY MOVES
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. WINDS WILL COME AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST AND
TO THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE WEEKEND. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FOR
MARINERS THE REST OF THE WEEK. FLOW LOOKS TO REMAIN LIGHT ENOUGH
THAT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DJB
NEAR TERM...DJB
SHORT TERM...DJB
LONG TERM...MULLEN
AVIATION...MULLEN
MARINE...OUDEMAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
411 AM EDT TUE AUG 11 2009

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-120815-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LUCAS-WOOD-
OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-
HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA-
411 AM EDT TUE AUG 11 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION AND CAUSE
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

LOMBARDY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
604 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0558 PM     HAIL             UNIONTOWN               40.97N 81.40W
08/11/2009  E0.75 INCH       STARK              OH   PUBLIC

&&

LEINS