Gale Warning 16, NWS Cleveland, OH

037 
WHUS71 KCLE 101443
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
943 AM EST THU DEC 10 2009

LEZ061-149-169-102245-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-091211T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091211T1500Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
943 AM EST THU DEC 10 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY. THE STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

WINDS HAVE FALLEN BELOW STORM FORCE BUT ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
AT GALE FORCE THROUGH TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 40 KNOT GALES
WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE
WESTERLY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL REMAIN
GALE FORCE UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING. WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 13 TO 17
FEET THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT 
OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPER EQUIPMENT. MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER
EXPERIENCE SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ142-143-162-163-102245-
/O.EXT.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091211T1500Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091211T2100Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
943 AM EST THU DEC 10 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY. A LOW WATER
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT GALE FORCE 35 TO 40 KNOTS THROUGH THE DAY
INTO TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST OF THE AREA.PRESSURE
THE WIND IS EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW GALES TO 30 KNOTS FRIDAY MORNING.

THE DIMINISHING WIND ALLOWED THE WATER LEVEL ON THE WESTERN BASIN
TO QUICKLY RISE EARLY THIS MORNING. THE WATER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE
TO RISE AND APPROACH THE CRITICAL MARK LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

AS OF 9 AM EST...THE WATER LEVEL AT TOLEDO IS 10 INCHES BELOW THE
CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION.

THE WATER LEVEL BOTTOMED OUT AT APPROXIMATELY 67 INCHES BELOW THE
CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION. THIS LEVEL IS CLOSE TO THE ALL
TIME LOW WATER LEVEL. DURING THE RAPID SURGE OF THE SEICHE...
WATER LEVELS MAY REACH THE CRITICAL MARK OF -3 INCHES THIS
AFTERNOON BUT THEN SETTLE BACK DOWN BELOW THE CRITICAL MARK INTO
TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS WAVES AND CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT OR RETURNING TO PORT.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPER EQUIPMENT.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW
THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION. VESSELS MAY BOTTOM OUT OR
BECOME GROUNDED. CONTACT THE COAST GUARD FOR THE LATEST WATER
LEVEL. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION OR CONSIDER WAITING
UNTIL WATER LEVELS RISE.

&&

$$

LEZ144>148-164>168-102245-
/O.EXT.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091211T1500Z/
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
943 AM EST THU DEC 10 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT GALE FORCE 35 TO 40 KNOTS THROUGH THE DAY
INTO TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST OF THE AREA AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARD THE REGION. THE WIND IS EXPECTED TO DROP
BELOW GALES TO 30 KNOTS FRIDAY MORNING.

THE DIMINISHING WIND ALLOWED THE WATER LEVEL ON THE WESTERN BASIN
TO QUICKLY RISE EARLY THIS MORNING. THE WATER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE
TO RISE AND APPROACH THE CRITICAL MARK LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPER EQUIPMENT.

&&

$$

GARNET

368 
WHUS71 KCLE 102008
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
308 PM EST THU DEC 10 2009

LEZ142-143-162-163-110415-
/O.EXT.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091212T0000Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091211T2100Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
308 PM EST THU DEC 10 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. A LOW
WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT GALE FORCE 35 TO 40 KNOTS TONIGHT AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST OF THE AREA. THE WIND IS EXPECTED TO
DROP BELOW GALES TO 30 KNOTS FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

THE WATER LEVELS ON THE WESTERN BASIN CONTINUE TO FLUCTUATE AS
STRONG WINDS REMAIN OVER THE LAKE BUT WILL REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL
LEVELS FOR NAVIGATION THROUGH FRIDAY.

AS OF 3 PM EST...THE WATER LEVEL AT TOLEDO IS 22 INCHES BELOW THE
CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION.

THE WATER LEVEL BOTTOMED OUT AT APPROXIMATELY 67 INCHES BELOW THE
CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION. THIS LEVEL IS CLOSE TO THE ALL
TIME LOW WATER LEVEL. DURING THE RAPID SURGE OF THE SEICHE...
WATER LEVELS MAY FLUCTUATE BUT WILL REMAIN BELOW THE CRITICAL MARK
OF -3 INCHES THROUGH FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS WAVES AND CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT OR RETURNING TO PORT.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPER EQUIPMENT.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW
THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION. VESSELS MAY BOTTOM OUT OR
BECOME GROUNDED. CONTACT THE COAST GUARD FOR THE LATEST WATER
LEVEL. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION OR CONSIDER WAITING
UNTIL WATER LEVELS RISE.

&&

$$

LEZ061-144>149-164>169-110415-
/O.EXT.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091212T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
308 PM EST THU DEC 10 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT GALE FORCE 35 TO 40 KNOTS TONIGHT AS LOW
PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST OF THE AREA. THE WIND IS EXPECTED TO
DROP BELOW GALES TO 30 KNOTS FRIDAY EVENING. WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO
BE 10 TO 15 FEET THROUGH FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPER EQUIPMENT. MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER
EXPERIENCE SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GARNET

714 
WHUS71 KCLE 110312
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1012 PM EST THU DEC 10 2009

LEZ142-143-162-163-111115-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091212T0000Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091211T2100Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
1012 PM EST THU DEC 10 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY FOR ALL OF
LAKE ERIE. A LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
FRIDAY FOR THE WESTERN BASIN OF LAKE ERIE.

THE WATER LEVELS ON THE WESTERN BASIN WILL REMAIN BELOW THE CRITICAL
LEVELS FOR NAVIGATION THROUGH FRIDAY.

AS OF 9 PM EST...THE WATER LEVEL AT TOLEDO WAS 30 INCHES BELOW THE
CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION.

THE WATER LEVEL WILL SLOWLY RECOVER DURING THE DAY FRIDAY AND WILL
RISE TO THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION BY LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS WAVES AND SHOULD CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT.

THE LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
BELOW THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION. VESSELS MAY BOTTOM
OUT OR BECOME GROUNDED. CONTACT THE COAST GUARD FOR THE LATEST
WATER LEVEL. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION OR CONSIDER 
WAITING UNTIL WATER LEVELS RISE.

&&

$$

LEZ061-144>149-164>169-111115-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091212T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1012 PM EST THU DEC 10 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY FOR ALL OF
LAKE ERIE.

SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT 40 KNOT GALES TONIGHT
INTO FRIDAY THEN DIMINISHING TO 30 KNOTS FRIDAY EVENING. WAVES OF
10 TO 16 FEET ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS WAVES AND SHOULD CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT.

&&

$$

528 
WHUS71 KCLE 110834
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
334 AM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

LEZ142-143-162-163-111645-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091212T0000Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091211T2100Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
334 AM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. A
LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 35 KNOT GALES THROUGH
THE DAY AND IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BELOW GALES THIS EVENING. 

WAVES WILL BE 6 TO 9 FEET ON THE WESTERN BASIN OF LAKE ERIE
THROUGH TODAY AND WILL SUBSIDE TONIGHT.

THE WATER LEVELS ON THE WESTERN BASIN CLIMBED BACK TO THE CRITICAL
MARK OF 3 INCHES BELOW LOW WATER DATUM AS OF 3 AM EST THIS
MORNING. THE WATER LEVEL IS FORECAST TO GO BACK BELOW THE CRITICAL
MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION THIS MORNING AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH THE
REST OF THE DAY. THE WATER LEVEL SHOULD GO BACK ABOVE THE
CRITICAL MARK LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH
SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS WAVES AND SHOULD CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT.

THE LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
BELOW THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION. VESSELS MAY BOTTOM
OUT OR BECOME GROUNDED. CONTACT THE COAST GUARD FOR THE LATEST
WATER LEVEL. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION OR CONSIDER
WAITING UNTIL WATER LEVELS RISE.

&&

$$

LEZ061-144>149-164>169-111645-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091212T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
334 AM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 35 KNOT GALES THROUGH
THE DAY AND IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BELOW GALES THIS EVENING. 

WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 11 TO 15 FEET THROUGH TODAY AND WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS WAVES AND SHOULD CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT.

&&

$$

LOMBARDY

245 
WHUS71 KCLE 111505
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1005 AM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

LEZ142-143-162-163-112315-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091212T0000Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091211T2100Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
1005 AM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. A
LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 35 KNOT GALES THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON AND IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BELOW GALES THIS
EVENING.

WAVES WILL BE 6 TO 9 FEET ON THE WESTERN BASIN OF LAKE ERIE
THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL SUBSIDE TONIGHT.

THE WATER LEVELS ON THE WESTERN BASIN IS ABOUT 11 INCHES BELOW LOW
WATER DATUM AS OF 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL FLUCTUATIONS
UP TO 18 INCHES BELOW LOW WATER DATUM ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON.

THE WATER LEVEL SHOULD GO BACK ABOVE THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE
NAVIGATION THIS EVENING AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS WAVES AND SHOULD CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT.

THE LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
BELOW THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION. VESSELS MAY BOTTOM
OUT OR BECOME GROUNDED. CONTACT THE COAST GUARD FOR THE LATEST
WATER LEVEL. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION OR CONSIDER
WAITING UNTIL WATER LEVELS RISE.

&&

$$

LEZ061-144>149-164>169-112315-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091212T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1005 AM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 35 KNOT GALES THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON AND IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BELOW GALES THIS
EVENING.

WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 11 TO 15 FEET THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS WAVES AND SHOULD CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT.

&&

$$

303 
WHUS71 KCLE 112048
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
348 PM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

LEZ142-143-162-163-120200-
/O.EXT.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091212T0200Z/
/O.EXT.KCLE.LO.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091212T0200Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
348 PM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THE LOW WATER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE WEST AT 30 KNOT GALES THROUGH THIS
EVENING AND ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE LATER TONIGHT.

WAVES WILL BE 6 TO 9 FEET ON THE WESTERN BASIN OF LAKE ERIE THIS
EVENING AND WILL SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT.

THE WATER LEVELS ON THE WESTERN BASIN IS ABOUT 14 INCHES BELOW
LOW WATER DATUM AS OF 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL
FLUCTUATIONS UP TO 18 INCHES BELOW LOW WATER DATUM ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. 

THE WATER LEVEL SHOULD GO BACK ABOVE THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE
NAVIGATION LATER TONIGHT AND REMAIN THROUGH SATURDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS WAVES AND SHOULD CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT.

THE LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
BELOW THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION. VESSELS MAY BOTTOM
OUT OR BECOME GROUNDED. CONTACT THE COAST GUARD FOR THE LATEST
WATER LEVEL. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION OR CONSIDER
WAITING UNTIL WATER LEVELS RISE.

&&

$$

LEZ061-144>149-164>169-120200-
/O.EXT.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091212T0200Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
348 PM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE WEST AT 35 KNOT GALES THROUGH THIS
EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE LATER TONIGHT.

WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 10 TO 15 FEET THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT
AND WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS WAVES AND SHOULD CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT.

&&

$$

404 
WHUS71 KCLE 120000
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
700 PM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

LEZ142-143-162-163-120200-
/O.CAN.KCLE.LO.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-091212T0200Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091212T0200Z/
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
700 PM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE LOW
WATER ADVISORY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST
THIS EVENING. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE WEST AT 35 KNOT GALES THROUGH THIS
EVENING AND ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE LATER
TONIGHT.

THE WATER LEVEL ON THE WESTERN BASIN OF LAKE ERIE WAS 4 INCHES
ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM THIS EVENING OR ABOUT THREE-QUARTERS OF A
FOOT ABOVE THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION. THOUGH SOME
FLUCTUATION IN THE WATER LEVEL WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING...IT IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN ABOVE THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION.

THE WATER LEVEL SHOULD GO BACK ABOVE THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE
NAVIGATION LATER TONIGHT AND REMAIN THROUGH SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS WAVES AND SHOULD CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT.

THE LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
BELOW THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION. VESSELS MAY BOTTOM
OUT OR BECOME GROUNDED. CONTACT THE COAST GUARD FOR THE LATEST
WATER LEVEL. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION OR CONSIDER
WAITING UNTIL WATER LEVELS RISE.

&&

$$

LEZ061-144>149-164>169-120200-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091212T0200Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
700 PM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE WEST AT 35 KNOT GALES THROUGH THIS
EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE LATER
TONIGHT.

WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE 10 TO 15 FEET THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT AND
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS WAVES AND SHOULD CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT.

&&

$$

357 
WHUS71 KCLE 120125
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
825 PM EST FRI DEC 11 2009


LEZ145>149-120930-
/O.CAN.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091212T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0170.091212T0125Z-091212T2100Z/
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-ON-THE-
LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
825 PM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SATURDAY. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

WEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS THIS EVENING WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO 10
TO 20 KNOTS LATE TONIGHT AND THEN CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT
10 TO 20 KNOTS ON SATURDAY. WAVES OF 5 TO 10 FEET EARLY TONIGHT
WILL GRADUALL SUBSIDE BUT REMAIN ABOVE SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA...3 TO
5 FEET INTO SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WAVES WILL AVERAGE 4 FEET OR
MORE AND WIND SPEEDS MAY EXCEED 22 KNOTS WHICH WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD STAY IN PORT
OR RETURN TO PORT PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ061-142>144-162>169-120230-
/O.CAN.KCLE.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091212T0200Z/
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
824 PM EST FRI DEC 11 2009

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING.
 
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
319 AM EST THU DEC 10 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
DEEP LOW PRESSURE NEAR GEORGIAN BAY WILL CROSS QUEBEC THURSDAY AND
OFF THE COAST BY FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE PLAINS STATES WILL
MOVE EAST ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THURSDAY AND TO THE SOUTHEAST
STATES ON FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
WILL CONTINUE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FOR GEAUGA AND CRAWFORD
COUNTIES BUT WILL ADD LAKE AND INLAND ASHTABULA TO THE WARNING.
FOLLOWING CLOSELY THE NAM12 LOW LEVEL LIFT AND WIND CHARTS...THE
MODEL FIRST SHOWS A WNWLY 850MB FLOW AT 12Z THIS MORNING HOWEVER
925MB REMAINS SW. THE INITIAL SHEAR WILL NOT BE A FAVORABLE
PARAMETER HOWEVER THERE IS ENOUGH LIFT AND LAKE TEMP DIFFERENTIAL
FOR SNOW SHOWERS TO MAKE IT INLAND. BY 18Z THE MODEL LOWERS THE
SHEAR TO 10 OR 20 DEGREES WITH STRONG COLD ADVECTION MOVING IN
QUICKLY. THE WIND DIRECTION HOWEVER SUGGESTS THE PRIMARY SNOW
BANDS WOULD MOVE OFF SHORE. BY 00Z THIS EVENING HOWEVER...WINDS
VEER 10 OR 20 DEGREES AND LIFT IS MONSTROUS AND ALREADY ONSHORE
ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. IN ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW THE
BEST LIFT IS WITHIN THE FAVORABLE SNOW GROWTH TEMP AREA. ALL IN
ALL...BELIEVE WE GET A MORNING BURST OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS
THE WARNING AREA WHICH WILL TAPER AND DRIFT NORTH POSSIBLY
COMPLETELY OFF SHORE LATE MORNING/ EARLY AFTERNOON. AFTER ABOUT
20Z OR SO EXPECT IT TO RETURN AND BECOME HEAVY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
ERIE COUNTY. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF BY
AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY SEE A BIT OF SUNSHINE IN THE WEST DURING
THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
CONTINUING TO FOLLOW THE NAM12 LOW LEVEL OMEGA AND WIND CHARTS
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. IMPRESSIVE LIFT ALONG WITH MODEL CAPE WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS WARNING AREA TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. 850MB TEMPS
IN THE GENERATION AREA ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE LAKE
WILL DROP TO -18C THROUGH THE NIGHT BUT WILL RISE A FEW DEGREES
FRIDAY. STILL HOWEVER...EXPECT SNOW BAND WITH HEAVY SNOW AND MOST
LIKELY THUNDER/LIGHTNING AT TIMES TO CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AND INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER POSITIVE IS THAT BEST OMEGA
CONTINUES TO RESIDE WITHIN THE FAVORABLE AREA FOR SNOW GROWTH INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT. FOR NOW...WARNING LOCATION LOOKS FINE. BY 12Z
FRIDAY MODEL SHOWS MORE OF A WNW FLOW AT 850MB HOWEVER...WILL
HOLD OFF ON ADDING GEAUGA AND CRAWFORD TO THE WARNING AT THIS TIME
HOWEVER SINCE THE LAKE TENDS TO HOLD ONTO A TROF WHICH WOULD BACK
WINDS FROM THE FORECAST. NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE FORECAST SATURDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. DID ALLOW FOR MORE SUNSHINE SATURDAY WITH
THE BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE. MODEL DIFFERENCES SHOWING UP IN THE RH
FIELDS SUNDAY NIGHT WITH THE GFS 6 TO 8 HOURS FASTER WITH THE
MOISTURE. AT THIS TIMES WILL USE A BLEND OF THE
MODELS...TRANSITIONING TO THE GFS FOR LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT.  MODELS AGREE IN BRINGING WARM AIR ADVECTION TO
THE REGION DURING THE DAY IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT. GRADIENT
PICKS UP ENOUGH TO INCREASE WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH DURING THE DAY
AND I DECIDED TO BUMP TEMPERATURES INTO THE 40S FOR HIGHS. AS
TEMPERATURES WARM UP DURING THE DAY MONDAY...WARM AIR ADVECTION
SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP PRECIPITATION ALL RAIN DURING THE
DAY.

COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SWEEP EAST ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY EVENING
AND THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD AIR TO THE REGION.  MODELS
GRADUALLY BRING THE MORE INTENSE COLD AIR INTO THE REGION DURING THE
END 48 HOURS OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD. THE COLDER AIR WILL TRANSITION
PRECIPITATION TO A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT. THE SYNOPTIC
SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION INTO LAKE EFFECT SNOW THROUGH THE
LATTER PERIODS AS COLD AIR ADVECTION TAKES PLACE ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST OVER SOUTHEAST ONTARIO AND
WILL BE LOCATED OVER QUEBEC BY THURSDAY EVENING. GUSTY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF PERIOD FOR MOST TAF SITES...BUT THERE
WILL BE A GRADUAL DIMINISHING TREND.

MAINLY MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS THE AREA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST THE MORNING HOURS. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA
WILL BRING VIS DOWN TO IFR PERIODICALLY OVERNIGHT. ACROSS WESTERN
ZONES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS EXPECTING A TREND
TOWARD VFR WHILE REMAINDER OF SITES WILL IMPROVE TO VFR BETWEEN
18Z AND 03Z FRIDAY.

ERI WILL BE MOST IMPACTED BY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AFTER 18Z AND
CONTINUE BEYOND TAF PERIOD INTO FRIDAY MORNING WITH LAKE EFFECT
SNOW. MODELS SHOWING GOOD SET UP FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS TO
IMPACT ERI BY THE EVENING. GIVEN THE POTENTIAL...MENTIONED SNOW
SHOWERS WITH IFR VIS AND NEAR IFR CEILINGS AT TOWARDS END OF THE
PD.

.OUTLOOK...NON VFR THURSDAY NIGHT MAINLY ERI. NON VFR CONTINUING
ALONG LAKESHORE EAST OF CLEVELAND INTO SATURDAY MORNING...THEN VFR
ALL SITES SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. NON VFR SUNDAY AND
MONDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
WILL GO AHEAD AND DROP THE STORM WARNINGS ON LAKE ERIE AS WINDS HAVE
DROPPED BELOW THE 50 KNOT THRESHOLD. LONG POINT STILL HAD WINDS
SUSTAINED AT ABOUT 48 KNOTS AT 03Z BUT I ANTICIPATE THEY TOO WILL
DROP FURTHER DURING THE MORNING. WINDS AT ALL OF THE LAND SITES HAVE
DROPPED DOWN TO BELOW GALES BUT I TILL THINK WE ARE SEEING GALE
FORCE WINDS ON THE LAKE AT THIS TIME.  SO WILL GO WITH THE GALE
WARNINGS FOR THE TIME BEING. WINDS ARE GOING TO TAKE THEIR TIME
DECREASING OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IT WILL TAKE UNTIL AT LEAST
SATURDAY TO SEE REASONABLE DECREASES IN THE WIND SPEED.

STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS CAUSED WATER LEVELS ON THE WESTERN END OF
LAKE ERIE TO DROP TO AT OR NEAR RECORD LEVELS LIKELY EXPOSING A LOT
OF THE MUD BOTTOM ALONG THE WESTERN SHORE.  WATER LEVELS APPROACHED
70 INCHES BELOW THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION ON THE WESTERN
BASIN.  WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW WATER ADVISORY THROUGH THE MORNING.
WATER LEVELS ARE QUICKLY STARTING TO GO BACK UP AGAIN AND WE HAVE
RECOVERED ABOUT HALF THE DISTANCE BETWEEN WHERE IT BOTTOMED OUT AND
THE CRITICAL MARK.  PROBABLY A WALL OF WATER RETURNING BACK TO THE
WEST END.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY FOR OHZ012-
     014-089.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
     NIGHT FOR OHZ013.
PA...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY FOR PAZ001-
     002.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
     NIGHT FOR PAZ003.
MARINE...STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY FOR LEZ061-142>149-162>169.
     LOW WATER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY FOR LEZ142-143-162-
     163.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TK
NEAR TERM...TK
SHORT TERM...TK
LONG TERM...LOMBARDY
AVIATION...ABE
MARINE...LOMBARDY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1036 PM EST WED DEC 9 2009

OHZ003-006>011-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-110345-
LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-HANCOCK-SENECA-
HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-
ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING-MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-
1036 PM EST WED DEC 9 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT BUT DAMAGING WINDS ARE
NO LONGER EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LEZ142-143-162-163-110345-
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS-
1036 PM EST WED DEC 9 2009

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE LOW WATER ADVISORY AND THE
STORM WARNING ON LAKE ERIE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
LOW WATER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON THE WEST END OF LAKE ERIE
UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM
FRIDAY.

LEZ061-144>149-164>169-110345-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY-
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH-
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH-GENEVA-
ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT-
LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-
1036 PM EST WED DEC 9 2009

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE STORM WARNING ON LAKE ERIE IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM FRIDAY.

OHZ012>014-PAZ003-110345-
LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-CRAWFORD PA-
1036 PM EST WED DEC 9 2009

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT BUT DAMAGING WINDS ARE
NO LONGER EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ089-PAZ001-002-110345-
ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1036 PM EST WED DEC 9 2009

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT BUT DAMAGING WINDS ARE
NO LONGER EXPECTED. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
POTENTIALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT IS POSSIBLE INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. PLEASE
LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET
FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.