Alert archive / South Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2009

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 106, NWS Columbia, SC

June 18, 2009McCormick County, South Carolina; Lincoln County, Georgia

NWS Columbia, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 18, 2009, 5:31 PM EDT for McCormick County, South Carolina; Lincoln County, Georgia. It was in force for 59 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 18, 2009, 5:31 PM EDT (21:31 UTC)
Expired
Jun 18, 2009, 6:30 PM EDT
In force
59 min
Issued by
NWS Columbia, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Lincoln County, GA, McCormick County, SC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 18, 3:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 203 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2009-06-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2883 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2009-06-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 64 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2883 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-24 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
758 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
158 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.9
Supercell composite
5.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Columbia, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 18, 2:15 PM EDT, 3 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 18, 2:15 PM EDT, 3 hours 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
215 PM EDT THU JUN 18 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT OUR REGION LATE TODAY AND
TONIGHT...WHICH COULD POSSIBLY BE SEVERE. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD
OVER THE REGION FRIDAY AND SATURDAY PROVIDING HOT TEMPERATURES. A
WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SUNDAY...AND ANOTHER FRONT MAY AFFECT
OUR REGION MONDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS HOT SUNDAY
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WEATHER QUIET OVER OUR REGION CURRENTLY IN WAKE OF MCS AND UPPER
LEVEL DEBRIS CLOUDINESS THAT AFFECTED US EARLY THIS MORNING.
LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WILL EXPECT DESTABILIZATION WITH CONTINUED
SUNSHINE AND WARMING. MCS CURRENTLY OVER E KY/TENN WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE CLOCKWISE AROUND THE UPPER RIDGE/RING OF FIRE...AND MAY
AFFECT OUR REGION LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. REGARDLESS OF THAT
FEATURE...OTHER THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP GIVEN MODERATE TO
STRONG INSTABILITY IN PLACE. SPC MAINTAINS SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
OVER MOST OF OUR FA...AND UPGRADED TO A MODERATE RISK JUST NW OF
OUR FA WHERE THERE IS A GREATER CHANCE OF MCS STAYING INTACT AND
AFFECTING THAT AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
UPPER RIDGE AXIS TO SHIFT EASTWARD TOWARDS OUR REGION FRI/SAT...WITH
A LOW LEVEL DOWNSLOPE FLOW DEVELOPING. IT APPEARS THAT ENOUGH
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT...ALONG WITH
CONVERGENCE NEAR LEE SIDE TROUGH OR SEA BREEZE...TO WARRANT A SLIGHT
CHANCE POP FRI AFTN/EVE. THINK HIGH SOIL MOISTURE FROM RECENT RAINS
MAY ACT TO KEEP MAX TEMPS DOWN BELOW GUIDANCE A BIT. LATEST MOS
TRENDING DOWN A LITTLE WITH THE DEWPOINTS. AT THIS TIME...SATURDAY
APPEARS WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY WITH HIGHEST HEAT INDEXES. WILL
CONTINUE TO FORECAST HEAT INDEX VALUES BETWEEN 100 AND 105. AT THIS
TIME...CONFIDENCE OF HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105 OR HIGHER FOR TWO
HOURS OR MORE NOT QUITE SUFFICIENT ENOUGH FOR HEAT ADVISORY FOR
FRIDAY. HOWEVER...ONE MAY NEED TO BE CONSIDERED FOR SATURDAY. THESE
ARE TYPICALLY ISSUED 12 TO 24 HOURS IN ADVANCE DEPENDING ON
CONFIDENCE LEVEL.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
UPPER RIDGE TO SHIFT WESTWARD...WHILE UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS ALONG
THE EAST COAST. THIS WILL ALLOW A WEAK FRONT TO COME THROUGH
SUNDAY...WHICH COULD BE FOCSUING MECHANISM FOR CONVECTION. EXPECT
SOME WEAK COOL ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT...REDUCING MAX
TEMPS. LATEST RUNS OF THE GFS INDICATING A FRONT ON MONDAY WITH
IMPULSE RIDING SE ALONG IT NEAR OUR REGION. ECMWF DOES NOT SEEM TO
INDICATE THE FEATURE. WILL ACCEPT HPC GUIDANCE OF CHANCE POP
MONDAY. WITH UPPER RIDGE TO OUR WEST...PERHAPS OUR REGION COULD BE
IN THE RING OF FIRE AGAIN NEXT WEEK...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH AT THIE TIME FOR ANYTHING GREATER THAN SLIGHT CHANCE
DIURNAL POPS...PER GFS ENSEMBLE MOS AVERAGE.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 21Z. A STRONG CONVECTIVE SYSTEM CROSSING KY
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEAST. IF THIS SYSTEM
HOLDS TOGETHER OVER THE MOUNTAINS, IT COULD AFFECT THE TAF SITES IN
THE 21Z-04Z TIME-FRAME. MODELS INDICATING MODERATE TO STRONG
INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODELS ALSO INDICATING
MVFR FOG AT KAGS/KOGB BETWEEN 07Z AND 12Z FRIDAY. WILL HOLD OFF
WITH THE MENTION OF FOG SINCE CLOUD COVER IS DEPENDENT ON
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM. AFTER 13Z FRIDAY...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS AS THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILD INTO THE AREA.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...OTHERWISE VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC...DCM
AVIATION...10
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 18, 3:21 PM EDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Columbia, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 17, 10:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEBarnwell50 min
Jun 18, 12:12 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEMcCormick63 min
Jun 18, 12:57 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEEdgefield, McCormick48 min
Jun 18, 1:34 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEAiken, Edgefield41 min
Jun 18, 2:04 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEAiken, Barnwell, Orangeburg26 min
Jun 18, 4:08 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEFairfield37 min
Jun 18, 5:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEFairfield, Newberry55 min
Jun 18, 5:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEEdgefield, Newberry, Saluda63 min
Jun 18, 6:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEChesterfield, Lancaster64 min
Jun 18, 6:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEAiken, Edgefield, McCormick67 min
Jun 18, 6:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEFairfield, Lexington, Newberry, Richland, Saluda66 min
Jun 18, 6:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEAiken, Barnwell, Calhoun, Edgefield, Lexington, Orangeburg54 min
Jun 18, 6:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEChesterfield, Kershaw50 min
Jun 18, 7:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEAiken, Barnwell43 min
Jun 18, 7:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEAiken, Bamberg, Barnwell, Orangeburg64 min
Jun 18, 7:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAECalhoun, Clarendon, Kershaw, Orangeburg, Richland, Sumter61 min
Jun 18, 5:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCAEBurke45 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Carolina, 2009Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Georgia, 2009Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.