Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2009
Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter storm warning at Jan 9, 2009, 3:56 PM EST for Allegany County, Cattaraugus County, Chautauqua County, New York. It took effect at Jan 10, 2009, 3:00 AM EST. It was in force for 27 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 9, 2009, 3:56 PM EST (20:56 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 10, 2009, 3:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 11, 2009, 6:00 AM EST
- In force
- 27 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 783 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 78 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 121 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 134 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KBUF 092056 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 356 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS OFF OF LAKE ERIE DRIFTING NORTHWARD... ...ANOTHER WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .LAKE EFFECT SNOWS OFF OF LAKE ERIE WILL DRIFT NORTH ACROSS ERIE COUNTY THIS EVENING WHILE GRADUALLY WEAKENING...WITH THE ACTIVITY EVENTUALLY DISSIPATING AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THEN...A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THEN ALONG THE MASON-DIXON LINE SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOW TO MUCH OF THE REGION...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ALONG THE NEW YORK-PENNSYLVANIA BORDER. NYZ019-020-100500- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-090109T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0002.090110T0800Z-090111T1100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN 356 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE DRIFTED NORTH AND WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY SINCE THIS MORNING...THEREFORE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THEN ALONG THE MASON-DIXON LINE SATURDAY NIGHT. STEADY SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...THEN PICK UP IN INTENSITY WHILE CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. FRESH ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE NEW YORK PENNSYLVANIA BORDER. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ021-100500- /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0002.090110T0800Z-090111T1100Z/ ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE 356 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THEN ALONG THE MASON-DIXON LINE SATURDAY NIGHT. STEADY SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...THEN PICK UP IN INTENSITY WHILE CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. FRESH ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE NEW YORK PENNSYLVANIA BORDER. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ010-085-100400- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-090110T0400Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 356 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY WILL LIFT NORTH INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH AREAS OF SNOW CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING BEFORE THE LAKE ACTIVITY WEAKENS AND DISSIPATES BY AROUND 11 PM. THE PRIMARY AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE FROM JUST SOUTH OF THE CITY OF BUFFALO TO AN AREA SOUTH OF ALDEN. THIS REGION...INCLUDING LACKAWANNA... BLASDELL...WEST SENECA...AND ELMA CAN EXPECT TO RECEIVE 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW BY 11 PM...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAREST TO THE LAKE. AREAS TO THE NORTH INCLUDING THE NORTHTOWNS...SHOULD ALSO EXPECT SOME ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL...THOUGH SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL BE MUCH LESS...GENERALLY NO MORE THAN 1 TO 2 INCHES. EVENING COMMUTERS NEED TO BE PREPARED FOR WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS. PLEASE ALLOW PLENTY OF SPACE BETWEEN THE CAR IN FRONT OF YOU AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ JJR/ZAFF
7 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KBUF 092133 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 433 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL REMAIN IN SKI COUNTRY OFF LAKE ERIE THIS EVENING... ANOTHER WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .LAKE EFFECT SNOWS OFF OF LAKE ERIE WILL DRIFT NORTH ACROSS ERIE COUNTY THIS EVENING WHILE GRADUALLY WEAKENING...WITH THE ACTIVITY EVENTUALLY DISSIPATING AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THEN...A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THEN ALONG THE MASON-DIXON LINE SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOW TO MUCH OF THE REGION...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ALONG THE NEW YORK-PENNSYLVANIA BORDER. NYZ010-092245- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-090110T0400Z/ NORTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO 433 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS NOT DRIFTING NORTHWARD AS EARLIER ANTICIPATED. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS NOW EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN SKI COUNTRY WELL SOUTH OF BUFFALO...THEREFORE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY. $$ NYZ019>021-100545- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.090110T0800Z-090111T1100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 433 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THEN ALONG THE MASON-DIXON LINE SATURDAY NIGHT. STEADY SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...THEN PICK UP IN INTENSITY WHILE CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. FRESH ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE NEW YORK PENNSYLVANIA BORDER. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE... OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ085-100400- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-090110T0400Z/ SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 433 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. AREAS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SKI COUNTRY OF SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING. LOCAL ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IN A FEW SPOTS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE BOSTON HILLS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN LATER THIS EVENING AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE REGION AND DISRUPTS THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ HITCHCOCK
000 WWUS41 KBUF 100134 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 834 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 ...ANOTHER WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .LAKE EFFECT SNOWS OFF OF LAKE ERIE HAVE WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY EARLY THIS EVENING. ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING OVER THE MID SECTION OF THE NATION THIS EVENING WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY ON SATURDAY THEN TRACK EAST ALONG THE MASON-DIXON LINE SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHERN TIER TOWARD DAYBREAK SATURDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. THE PERIOD OF HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED FROM LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. NYZ085-100245- /O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-090110T0400Z/ SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 834 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY EARLY THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO BE AROUND AN INCH IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS...THEREFORE THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ NYZ019>021-100945- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.090110T0800Z-090111T1100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 834 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. A GENERAL SNOWFALL WILL BRING DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES TO THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHERN TIER TOWARD DAYBREAK SATURDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE DURING THE DAY SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE PERIOD OF HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. FRESH ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WILL BE LIKELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE PENNSYLVANIA BORDER. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ HITCHCOCK
000 WWUS41 KBUF 100845 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 345 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...ANOTHER WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT... AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING OVER ILLINOIS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON THEN TRACK EAST ALONG THE MASON-DIXON LINE TONIGHT BEFORE REACHING THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE SNOW THAT IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. NYZ019>021-101645- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090111T1100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 345 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. A GENERAL SNOWFALL WILL BRING DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES TO THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER TODAY AND TONIGHT. LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHERN TIER JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY. NEW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 4 TO 6 INCHES...BRINGING TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS TO ABOUT 10 INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED CLOSE TO THE PENNSYLVANIA BORDER. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ012>014-085-101645- /O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.090110T1200Z-090111T1100Z/ WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 345 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... LIGHT SNOW WILL SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL PICK UP TONIGHT AND ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 4 TO 6 INCHES...BRINGING SNOWFALL TOTALS TO 6 TO 8 INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW, SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ001>005-010-011-101645- /O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.090110T1800Z-090111T1100Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA 345 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... LIGHT SNOW WILL SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND ACCUMULATE AN INCH OR LESS BY THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL BECOME MORE STEADY TONIGHT AND ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES...BRINGING TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS TO ABOUT 6 INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW, SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ006-008-101645- /O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.090110T2300Z-090111T1100Z/ OSWEGO-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE 345 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA TOWARD EVENING AND BECOME STEADY OVERNIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY SUNDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW, SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ TJP
000 WWUS41 KBUF 101501 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1001 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...ANOTHER WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT... AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING OVER ILLINOIS THIS MORNING WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON THEN TRACK EAST ALONG THE MASON-DIXON LINE TONIGHT BEFORE REACHING THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE SNOW THAT IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL THIS EVENING. NYZ019>021-102315- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090111T1100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 1001 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. A GENERAL SNOWFALL WILL BRING DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES TO THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY. NEW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 4 TO 6 INCHES...BRINGING TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS TO 6 TO 10 INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED CLOSE TO THE PENNSYLVANIA BORDER. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ012>014-085-102315- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090111T1100Z/ WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 1001 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES BY THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL PICK UP TONIGHT AND ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 4 TO 6 INCHES...BRINGING SNOWFALL TOTALS TO 5 TO 8 INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ001>005-010-011-102315- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.090110T1800Z-090111T1100Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA 1001 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND ACCUMULATE AN INCH OR SO BY THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL BECOME MORE STEADY TONIGHT AND ACCUMULATE ANOTHER 3 TO 5 INCHES...BRINGING TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS TO ABOUT 4 TO 6 INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ006-008-102315- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.090110T2300Z-090111T1100Z/ OSWEGO-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE 1001 AM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA TOWARD EVENING AND BECOME STEADY OVERNIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY SUNDAY MORNING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ SFM
000 WWUS41 KBUF 102007 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 307 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...ANOTHER WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT... LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN OHIO SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL MOVE ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA TO THE NEW ENGLAND COAST BY SUNDAY MORNING. A LARGE SWATH OF SNOW TO THE NORTH OF ITS TRACK WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK EARLY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. ALL AREAS SHOULD SEE SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS CROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER. NYZ019>021-110415- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090111T1100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 307 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. SNOW OF VARYING RATES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL BY MORNING WILL BE IN THE 6 TO 10 INCH RANGE. ROADS WILL BE QUITE SLIPPERY THIS EVENING. BE PREPARED TO EXERCISE YOUR WINTER DRIVING SKILLS. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ012>014-085-110415- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090111T1100Z/ WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 307 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. SNOW OF VARYING RATES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL BY MORNING WILL BE IN THE 4 TO 8 INCH RANGE. ROADS WILL BE QUITE SLIPPERY THIS EVENING. BE PREPARED TO EXERCISE YOUR WINTER DRIVING SKILLS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ001>005-010-011-110415- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090111T1100Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA 307 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND REACH THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO BY EARLY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL THEN FALL AT VARYING RATES THROUGH MIDNIGHT BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. TOTAL SNOWFALL BY SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE IN THE 3 TO 6 INCH RANGE...WITH PERHAPS SLIGHTLY MORE CLOSE TO LAKE ONTARIO DUE TO A BIT OF ENHANCEMENT OFF THE LAKE. ROADS WILL BECOME QUITE SLIPPERY THIS EVENING. BE PREPARED TO EXERCISE YOUR WINTER DRIVING SKILLS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ006-008-110415- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.090110T2300Z-090111T1100Z/ OSWEGO-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE 307 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA EARLY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE AT VARYING RATES THROUGH THE NIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF TOWARD DAYBREAK SUNDAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY SUNDAY MORNING. ROADS WILL BECOME QUITE SLIPPERY THIS EVENING. BE PREPARED TO EXERCISE YOUR WINTER DRIVING SKILLS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW... BLOWING SNOW... SLEET... FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT... THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ SFM
000 WWUS41 KBUF 110202 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 902 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...GENERAL SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT... .LOW PRESSURE OVER WEST VIRGINIA THIS EVENING WILL MOVE EAST ALONG THE MASON-DIXON LINE OVERNIGHT AND EMERGE OFF THE JERSEY SHORE BY SUNDAY MORNING. A LARGE SWATH OF SNOW TO THE NORTH OF THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF QUICKLY FROM WEST TO EAST BEFORE DAYBREAK SUNDAY. ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. GREATER ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 9 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER WHERE THE SNOW HAS BEEN FALLING FOR A MUCH LONGER PERIOD OF TIME. EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...THERE WILL BE A SHARP NORTHERN CUTOFF TO THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WITH ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS NEAR THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. NYZ019>021-111015- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090111T1100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 902 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. A WIDESPREAD GENERAL SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SLIPPERY DRIVING CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS INTO THE 6 TO 9 INCH RANGE. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ012>014-085-111015- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090111T1100Z/ WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 902 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. A WIDESPREAD GENERAL SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SLIPPERY DRIVING CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS INTO THE 4 TO 6 INCH RANGE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ001>005-010-011-111015- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090111T1100Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA 902 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. A WIDESPREAD GENERAL SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SLIPPERY DRIVING CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS INTO THE 3 TO 6 INCH RANGE. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ006-008-111015- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090111T1100Z/ OSWEGO-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE 902 PM EST SAT JAN 10 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY. A WIDESPREAD GENERAL SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SLIPPERY DRIVING CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL BRING STORM TOTALS INTO THE 4 TO 6 INCH RANGE IN MOST LOCATIONS...WITH MUCH LOWER AMOUNTS IN NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY FROM CROGHAN NORTHWARD. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ HITCHCOCK
000 WWUS41 KBUF 110835 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 335 AM EST SUN JAN 11 2009 ...SNOW WINDING DOWN THIS MORNING... .LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA WILL SLIDE OFF THE JERSEY SHORE THIS MORNING. MAINLY LIGHT SNOW LINGERING BEHIND THE LOW WILL TAPER OFF THIS MORNING. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 9 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER WHERE THE SNOW FELL FOR A MUCH LONGER PERIOD OF TIME. EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...THERE WILL BE A SHARP NORTHERN CUTOFF TO THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WITH ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS NEAR THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. NYZ019>021-111100- /O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090111T1100Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 335 AM EST SUN JAN 11 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING. LIGHT SNOW WILL TAPER OFF BY DAYBREAK TODAY. STORM TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 9 INCHES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ012>014-085-111100- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090111T1100Z/ WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 335 AM EST SUN JAN 11 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING. LIGHT SNOW WILL TAPER OFF THIS MORNING. TOTAL STORM ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ001>005-010-011-111100- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090111T1100Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...BUFFALO...BATAVIA 335 AM EST SUN JAN 11 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING. LIGHT SNOW WILL TAPER OFF BY DAYBREAK. STORM TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ NYZ006-008-111100- /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090111T1100Z/ OSWEGO-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE 335 AM EST SUN JAN 11 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING. LIGHT SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TOWARD DAYBREAK TODAY. STORM TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCH RANGE IN MOST LOCATIONS...WITH MUCH LOWER AMOUNTS IN NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY FROM CROGHAN NORTHWARD. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. $$ TJP
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 9, 3:53 PM EST, 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 3:53 PM EST, 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
353 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009
.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT AND
TURN THE WIND FROM THE NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTHWEST AND BRING AN END
TO ANY REMAINING LAKE EFFECT SNOWS DURING THE OVERNIGHT. LOW
PRESSURE MOVING EAST FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS IS FORECAST TO BRING A
GENERAL SNOWFALL SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE IS
EXPECTED TO BRING MAINLY DRY WEATHER ON SUNDAY BEFORE ANOTHER WEAK
LOW BRINGS A CHANCE FOR SNOW MONDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
FIRST CONCERN IN THE NEAR TERM PERIOD IS ON THE MESOSCALE. LAKE
EFFECT SNOWS OFF OF LAKE ERIE ARE NOW SHIFTING NORTH ACROSS SOUTHERN
ERIE COUNTY AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST...WITH A GOOD UPSTREAM CONNECTION
TO LAKE HURON STILL NOTED ON UPSTREAM SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY.
THIS IS ALLOWING FOR CONTINUED SNOWFALL RATES OF AN INCH OR SO PER
HOUR WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS...WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY
CURRENTLY NOTED ACROSS FAR EASTERN LAKE ERIE AND SOUTHERN ERIE
COUNTY.
LATEST NAM12 AND LOCALLY-RUN MESOSCALE VERSION OF THE WRF SUGGEST
THAT THE LAKE ERIE LAKE SNOWS WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT A LITTLE
FURTHER NORTH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...WITH THE HEAVIER SNOWBANDS
REACHING PARTWAY INTO NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY FOR THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...BEFORE WEAKENING WITH THE LOSS OF THE
UPSTREAM CONNECTION TO LAKE HURON...AND INCREASING DISORGANIZATION
OF THE LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS. BOTH OF THESE MODELS HAVE HANDLED THE
POSITIONING OF THE LAKE EFFECT VERY WELL OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS...AND GIVEN PAST AND CURRENT RADAR TRENDS...STILL APPEAR TO BE
CAPTURING THINGS RATHER WELL. USING THESE AND CURRENT RADAR TRENDS
AS A GUIDE...FEEL WE ARE POTENTIALLY LOOKING AT AN ADDITIONAL 2
TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING FOR NOT
ONLY SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY...BUT ALSO THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF
NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE IMMEDIATE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS.
GIVEN SUCH AMOUNTS AND THE TIMING AROUND THE FRIDAY EVENING
COMMUTE...HAVE ISSUED A NEW LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN
ERIE COUNTY UNTIL 11 PM...AND HAVE ALSO EXTENDED THE EXISTING
ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN ERIE UNTIL THIS SAME 11 PM TIME FRAME. BY
THEN...EXPECT THE LAKE SNOWS TO BE WELL ON THE DECLINE DUE TO THE
AFOREMENTIONED LOSS OF THE UPSTREAM CONNECTION AND INCREASING
SHEAR...WITH THE ACTIVITY EVENTUALLY DISSIPATING A LITTLE AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER...SOME MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE SNOWS STILL
CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...BUT
THESE SHOULD LARGELY SHIFT NORTH OF THESE AREAS BY 4 PM. AS
SUCH...EXPECT TO CANCEL THE EXISTING LAKE SNOW WARNINGS FOR THESE
COUNTIES A LITTLE BEFORE 4 PM.
AS FOR OUR OTHER LAKE...ONLY SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AND
FLURRIES ARE FOUND SOUTHEAST OF THE ENTIRE LENGTH OF THE LAKE AS OF
THIS WRITING...LIKELY DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF DIURNAL
INFLUENCES...A SIGNIFICANT INTRUSION OF DRY AIR AT THE LOW
LEVELS...AND THE LACK OF AN UPSTREAM CONNECTION TO THE UPPER LAKES.
FEEL WE STILL COULD SEE SOME LIMITED ACTIVITY REGENERATE FOR A BRIEF
TIME THIS EVENING IN THE WAYNE-NRN CAYUGA-OSWEGO COUNTY CORRIDOR
WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING AS PER THE NAM12/LOCAL WRF...BUT THIS
SHOULD NOT AMOUNT TO ANYTHING OVERLY SIGNIFICANT. FOR NOW...WILL
COVER THIS POSSIBILITY WITH SOME LIKELY POPS AND AN INCH OR SO
ACCUMULATION DURING THIS EVENING...BEFORE INCREASING SHEAR AND
LOW-LEVEL RIDGING OVERWHELM ANY WEAK ACTIVITY BY THE EARLY OVERNIGHT
HOURS.
THEREAFTER...OUR ATTENTION WILL SHIFT BACK TO THE SYNOPTIC SCALE...
AS A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WORKS
NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT...THEN TO JUST SOUTH OF
PITTSBURGH DURING THE COURSE OF SATURDAY. THE WARM AIR ADVECTION
PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY...AND WILL EVENTUALLY BECOME STRONG
ENOUGH TO GENERATE SOME SNOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER BEGINNING LATE
TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...AND THEN ACROSS REMAINING AREAS
SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO DURING THE LATE SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON TIMEFRAME. ACCORDINGLY...HAVE BROUGHT A MIX OF
LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS TO THE SOUTHERN TIER LATE TONIGHT...AND
TO ALL AREAS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO DURING SATURDAY. FARTHER
NORTH...HAVE HELD POPS IN THE SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE RANGE PER
EXISTING CONTINUITY.
AS FOR EXPECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...THE SHORT TERM OPERATIONAL
GUIDANCE HAS STARTED TO TREND A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH AGAIN WITH THE
TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM WITH THE 12Z MODEL CYCLE...WHICH NOW BRINGS
SLIGHTLY HEAVIER QPF INTO THE AREA...MOST NOTABLY ALONG THE NY/PA
BORDER. AFTER ONLY SOME MINOR NUISANCE AMOUNTS LATE TONIGHT ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN TIER...MODEL PROJECTIONS FOR SATURDAY INDICATE THE
POTENTIAL FOR AS MUCH AS 3-6 ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER...1-3 FROM
SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY EASTWARD TO ONTARIO COUNTY...AND GENERALLY
AN INCH OR LESS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO.
GIVEN THE ABOVE PROJECTIONS...THE LIKELIHOOD OF ADDITIONAL MODEST
ACCUMS SATURDAY NIGHT /SEE BELOW/...AND THE HISTORY OF SIMILAR
SYSTEMS TRACKING A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH THAN MODEL PROJECTIONS THIS
WINTER...WILL BE ISSUING A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR OUR WESTERN
SOUTHERN TIER COUNTIES AFTER COLLABORATING WITH OUR SURROUNDING
WFOS. FARTHER NORTH...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN AMOUNTS IS MUCH
LOWER...AND AS SUCH WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY FLAGS FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE AREA AT THIS TIME.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS IS FORECAST TO MOVE
ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY SATURDAY...THEN TRACK JUST SOUTH OF PA
SATURDAY NIGHT BEFORE DRIFTING OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST
SUNDAY. THE NAM HAS COME MORE IN LINE WITH THE MORE SOUTHERLY TRACKS
OF THE GFS AND ECMWF. BASED ON THIS TREND...EXPECT THE STEADIEST
SNOW TO FALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER WHERE THERE MAY BE ENOUGH
TOTAL SNOWFALL NEEDED FOR A WARNING. IN TERMS OF POSSIBLE SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...EXPECT AMOUNTS TO VARY FROM 6
INCHES OR MORE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER TO 1 TO 2 INCHES ALONG THE
LAKE ONTARIO SHORE...AND LESS THAN AN INCH ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY.
ON SUNDAY...MOISTURE LINGERING BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW MAY BRING
SOME LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE DRIER AIR ADVECTS IN FROM THE
WEST DURING THE AFTERNOON. SOME LAKE EFFECT FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE
BEHIND THIS SYSTEM SUNDAY AFTERNOON...DECREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPING
OF WELL ORGANIZED LAKE BANDS.
LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY WITH A WARM ADVECTIVE PATTERN
LASTING THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. TEMPS ON MONDAY WILL CLIMB TO THE
LOWER 30S.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT...THEN COLD AIR WILL DROP TEMPS DURING THE DAY ON
TUESDAY. THE TEMPERATURE TREND WILL BE TO HOLD TEMPS STEADY DURING
THE NIGHT MONDAY NIGHT...THEN FALLING TEMPS ON TUESDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE CROSSES THE REGION. IT APPEARS TO BE A GOOD SETUP FOR A
WINDY PERIOD TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BEHIND
THE RETREATING LOW...SIMILAR TO RECENT WIND EVENTS...THEN THE FIRST
TASTE OF THE REALLY COLD AIR ARRIVES TUESDAY NIGHT.
EVEN COLDER AIR IS FORECAST TO ADVECT ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY. WHILE IT IS TOO EARLY TO GIVE DETAILS REGARDING
THE POTENTIAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW...THE RIGHT COMBINATION OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE...FAVORABLE WIND SHEAR AND SNOW GROWTH COULD RESULT IN IN
SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS IN THIS ARCTIC PATTERN. THERE WILL BE VARYING
WINDS DURING THIS COLD SNAP...WHICH WILL NOT ALLOW LAKE SNOW TO STAY
OVER ANY ONE AREA AS HAD HAPPENED IN FEBRUARY OF 2007...BUT THE
SOUTH SHORE TO THE EAST SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO COULD EXPERIENCE
VARYING AMOUNT OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW. THE COLD AIR WILL PRODUCE
INCREASING ICE COVER ON LAKE ERIE...WHICH WILL RESULT IN REDUCED
LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL DROP TO THE SINGLE NUMBERS OR BELOW ZERO EACH
NIGHT FROM WED NIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH EXTREME COLD
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AS LOWS DROP TO THE MINUS TEENS TO MINUS 20S.
DAYTIME TEMPS WILL NOT FARE MUCH BETTER AS HIGHS FOR THE SECOND HALF
OF THE WEEK WILL BE MAINLY IN THE TEENS...THE COLDEST DAY BEING ON
THURSDAY AS HIGHS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE NUMBERS AND MAYBE NOT
CLEARING THE ZERO MARK FOR SOME LOCATIONS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.
&&
.AVIATION /21Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OF COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES INTO EARLY THIS EVENING...AND THIS WILL KEEP
LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS GOING EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES
THROUGH THEN. THIS WILL BE ESPECIALLY THE CASE OFF OF LAKE ERIE...
WHERE THERE WILL BE A CONNECTION TO LAKE HURON THROUGH AT LEAST
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. IFR/LIFR CIGS AND VSBYS WILL BE COMMONPLACE
WITHIN THE LAKE SNOW AREAS INTO THIS EVENING...WITH MAINLY VFR
CONDITIONS PREVALENT OUTSIDE OF THE LAKE SNOWS. THE LAKE SNOWS
WILL THEN WEAKEN AND EVENTUALLY FALL APART DURING THE COURSE OF
THIS EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL RIDGING CRESTS ACROSS THE AREA...ALONG
WITH INCREASING AMOUNTS OF SHEAR.
THEREAFTER...OUR ATTENTION WILL RETURN TO THE SYNOPTIC SCALE AS
A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WORKS
NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. THE WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY...AND WILL BECOME STRONG ENOUGH TO
GENERATE SOME LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER BEGINNING LATE
TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL LIKELY LOWER VSBYS ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN TIER INTO THE MVFR RANGE LATE TONIGHT...AND INTO THE
IFR RANGE DURING SATURDAY MORNING. THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA
SHOULD SEE GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY
MORNING...THOUGH THERE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN MID AND UPPER CLOUDS
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE WARM ADVECTION ALOFT.
OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...VFR DETERIORATING TO MVFR/IFR IN SNOW SOUTH
OF LAKE ONTARIO...VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUING ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY.
SATURDAY NIGHT...IFR/MVFR IN SNOW SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...VFR
FURTHER NORTH.
SUNDAY...VFR.
MONDAY...MVFR TO IFR IN SNOW.
TUESDAY...MVFR IN LIGHT SNOW.
WEDNESDAY...VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE CROSSING THE LAKES TONIGHT WILL ALLOW WINDS TO SUBSIDE
FURTHER...THUS ALL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN DROPPED. LOW
PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH OF NEW YORK STATE
SATURDAY...THEN SLIDE OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST SUNDAY.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO THE AREA...BUT WIND AND
WAVES ON THE LAKES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CRITERIA.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
NYZ010-085.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
NYZ019>021.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...WCH
NEAR TERM...JJR
SHORT TERM...WCH
LONG TERM...WCH
AVIATION...JJR/WCH
MARINE...WCHHazardous weather outlook, Jan 9, 5:04 AM EST, 10 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 504 AM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 NYZ001>003-010>014-021-101015- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON- ONTARIO-ALLEGANY- 504 AM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. LIGHT SNOW WILL SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS JUST SOUTH OF PENNSYLVANIA. LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL BRING A GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE AREA MONDAY. MUCH COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THIS SYSTEM MAY BRING A ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ085-101015- SOUTHERN ERIE- 504 AM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. STEADY LIGHT SNOW WILL SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS JUST SOUTH OF PENNSYLVANIA. LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL BRING A GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE AREA MONDAY. MUCH COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THIS SYSTEM MAY BRING A ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ019-020-101015- CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- 504 AM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. STEADY SNOW WILL SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS JUST SOUTH OF PENNSYLVANIA. UP TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE. LOW TRACKING EAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL BRING A GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE AREA MONDAY. MUCH COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THIS SYSTEM MAY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ004>006-101015- WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO- 504 AM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TODAY AS LAKE SNOWS LINGER ACROSS THE AREA. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. SOME SNOW WILL SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS JUST SOUTH OF NEW YORK STATE. LOW TRACKING EAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL BRING A GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE AREA MONDAY. MUCH COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THIS SYSTEM MAY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ007-008-101015- JEFFERSON-LEWIS- 504 AM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL SPREAD NORTH ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS JUST SOUTH OF PENNSYLVANIA. ANOTHER LOW TRACKING EAST FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL BRING A GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE AREA MONDAY. MUCH COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THIS SYSTEM MAY BRING A ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-101015- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- 504 AM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jan 9, 12:03 PM EST, 3 hours 53 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1203 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 NYZ019-020-085-092015- CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK... SPRINGVILLE 1203 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON... LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. THROUGH 3 PM ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM ANOTHER ONE TO 4 INCHES. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTH DURING THE AFTERNOON WHICH WILL AFFECT MUCH OF ERIE COUNTY SOUTH OF HAMBURG. TRAVEL WILL CONTINUE TO BE DIFFICULT ON MOST ROADWAYS ESPECIALLY OVER CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY BETWEEN MAYVILLE AND BROCTON WHICH HAS BEEN RECEIVING HEAVY SNOW SINCE 11 AM. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION. ALLOW PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. VISIBILITIES COULD BE DRASTICALLY REDUCED AT TIMES.
Special weather statement, Jan 9, 2:51 PM EST, 1 hour 5 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 251 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 NYZ010-085-092300- NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 251 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO AFFECT THE EVENING COMMUTE... BETWEEN 3 PM AND 5 PM...BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTY WILL MOVE NORTHWARD AND AFFECT THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS. IN ADDITION...OTHER BANDS OF SNOW OVER LAKE ERIE WILL MOVE INLAND AND AFFECT THE BUFFALO METRO AREA AND SOUTH. ROADWAYS DURING EVENING COMMUTE MAY QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK...PARTICULARLY SOUTH OF THE THRUWAY. IN THIS AREA...EXPECT A QUICK 1 TO 3 INCHES BY 6 PM...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR TO LAKE ERIE. THE NORTHTOWNS WILL ALSO SEE AN INCH OR TWO OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AFTER DARK...HOWEVER THE IMMEDIATE CONCERN IS FOR TRAVELERS DRIVING SOUTH OF BUFFALO. NYZ019-020-092300- CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN 251 PM EST FRI JAN 9 2009 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES AND BEGINS TO MOVE NORTH... BETWEEN 3 PM AND 5 PM...BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW OVER CHAUTAUQUA DNA CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES WILL BE DRIFTING TO THE NORTH TOWARD THE ERIE COUNTY LINE. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. MANY ROADWAYS MAY CONTINUE TO BE SNOW COVERED AND SLICK INTO THE EVENING. DRIVE WITH CAUTION. ZAFF
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 4:01 AM EST | Lake Effect Snow Advisory | BUF | Erie | 17 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2009Every winter storm warning in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.