River Flood Warning 16, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 091532
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1132 AM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC037-055-092132-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-090311T1500Z/
/GRBN6.2.ER.090309T0845Z.090310T0600Z.090311T0900Z.UU/
1132 AM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 7.1 FEET 
  LATE TONIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-092132-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-090310T1715Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.090308T1839Z.090309T0415Z.090310T1115Z.NO/
1132 AM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.1 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RESUME ITS RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.5 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING 
  ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS, RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND 
  ALSO IN CITY OF BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

NYC037-055-092132-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-090311T0800Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.090309T0735Z.090310T0000Z.090311T0200Z.NO/
1132 AM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.7 FEET 
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE LENGTH OF CREEK. SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI AREA. POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

NYC009-092132-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0016.090309T1800Z-090310T1900Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.090309T1800Z.090310T0000Z.090310T1300Z.NO/
1132 AM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 10.6 FEET THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...FARM LANDS AND ROADS SEVERAL 
  MILES FROM OLEAN FLOOD SLIGHTLY. NO DAMAGES.

$$

NYC009-092132-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0017.090309T1800Z-090310T1200Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.090309T1800Z.090310T0000Z.090310T0600Z.NO/
1132 AM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 12.2 FEET THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...MINOR FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH IN AREAS UNPROTECTED BY DIKES.

$$

NYC029-037-092132-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-090310T0600Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.090309T0522Z.090310T0000Z.090310T0000Z.NO/
1132 AM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 9 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE, MINOR FLOODING  SOME FLOODING 
  BEGINS ALONG AERO DRIVE FROM HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA. ALSO 
  SOME FLOODING ALONG THE FLOOD CONTROL PROJECT AREA IN AMHERST SUCH 
  AS THE BIKE PATH AND GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING IN ELLICOTT CREEK 
  PARK. LITTLE OR NO OVERALL DAMAGE.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 091853
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
253 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC037-055-100053-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-090311T1500Z/
/GRBN6.2.ER.090309T0845Z.090310T0600Z.090311T0900Z.UU/
253 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 2 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.7 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 7.1 FEET 
  LATE TONIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

NYC037-055-100053-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-090311T0800Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.090309T0735Z.090310T0000Z.090311T0200Z.NO/
253 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 2 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.7 FEET 
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE LENGTH OF CREEK. SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI AREA. POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

NYC009-100053-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090310T1900Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.090309T1817Z.090310T0000Z.090310T1300Z.NO/
253 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 2 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 10.6 FEET THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...FARM LANDS AND ROADS SEVERAL 
  MILES FROM OLEAN FLOOD SLIGHTLY. NO DAMAGES.

$$

NYC009-100053-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090310T1200Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.090309T1900Z.090310T0000Z.090310T0600Z.NO/
253 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 2 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 12.2 FEET THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...MINOR FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH IN AREAS UNPROTECTED BY DIKES.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-100053-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-090310T0900Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.090308T1839Z.090309T0415Z.090310T0300Z.NO/
253 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 2 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
  AGAIN AND CREST NEAR 9.2 FEET THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE-MINOR FLOODING...FLOOD       
PROTECTION
  AT CHESTNUT STREET BRIDGE BEGINS TO BE TOPPED. SOME LOW LYING AREAS
  FLOODED...ESPECIALLY IN THE RAPIDS AND NORTH CLARENCE AREAS. 
  FLOODING IN KIBBE PARK AREA OF BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-100053-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0018.090310T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.090310T1200Z.090311T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
253 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 2 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY 
  MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. THERE ARE MANY 
  ROAD CLOSURES FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON 
  INCLUDING TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD, AND RAPIDS ROAD. BACKWATER FLOODING
  BEGINS INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM, BLACK, 
  BEEMAN, AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS ALSO CONSIDERABLE FARMLAND 
  FLOODING.

$$

NYC029-037-091923-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-090310T0600Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.090309T0522Z.090309T0840Z.090309T1025Z.NO/
253 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE.
* AT 2 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING AND WILL 
  CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 5.8 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE, MINOR FLOODING  SOME FLOODING 
  BEGINS ALONG AERO DRIVE FROM HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA. ALSO 
  SOME FLOODING ALONG THE FLOOD CONTROL PROJECT AREA IN AMHERST SUCH 
  AS THE BIKE PATH AND GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING IN ELLICOTT CREEK 
  PARK. LITTLE OR NO OVERALL DAMAGE.

$$

SFM

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 100026
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
826 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC009-100626-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090310T1900Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.090309T1800Z.090310T0600Z.090310T1300Z.NO/
826 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET AND NEARLY STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.5 FEET
  LATE TONIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...FARM LANDS AND ROADS SEVERAL 
  MILES FROM OLEAN FLOOD SLIGHTLY. NO DAMAGES.

$$

NYC009-100626-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090310T1200Z/
/SLMN6.1.ER.090310T0600Z.090310T0600Z.090310T0600Z.NO/
826 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET AND NEARLY STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE LATE 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...MINOR FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH IN AREAS UNPROTECTED BY DIKES.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-100056-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-090310T0900Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.090308T1839Z.090309T0415Z.090309T1530Z.NO/
826 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA.
* AT 8 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND  
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 5.3 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 9.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE-MINOR FLOODING...FLOOD
  PROTECTION AT CHESTNUT STREET BRIDGE BEGINS TO BE TOPPED. SOME LOW
  LYING AREAS FLOODED...ESPECIALLY IN THE RAPIDS AND NORTH CLARENCE
  AREAS. FLOODING IN KIBBE PARK AREA OF BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-100625-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0018.090310T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.1.ER.090310T1200Z.090311T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
826 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY 
  MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. THERE ARE MANY 
  ROAD CLOSURES FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON 
  INCLUDING TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD, AND RAPIDS ROAD. BACKWATER FLOODING
  BEGINS INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM, BLACK, 
  BEEMAN, AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS ALSO CONSIDERABLE FARMLAND 
  FLOODING.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 100209
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1009 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC009-100400-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090310T0400Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.090309T1800Z.090309T2000Z.090309T2200Z.NO/
1009 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 10 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET AND NEARLY STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE OVERNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...FARM LANDS AND ROADS SEVERAL 
  MILES FROM OLEAN FLOOD SLIGHTLY. NO DAMAGES.

$$

NYC009-100239-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090310T1200Z/
/SLMN6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1009 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT SALAMANCA.
* AT 10 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET AND SLOWLY FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW THE FLOOD STAGE AT 11.6 FEET. 
  THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 8.8 FEET BY WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...MINOR FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH IN AREAS UNPROTECTED BY DIKES.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 100322
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1122 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC009-100352-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090310T0400Z/
/OLNN6.1.ER.090309T1800Z.090309T2000Z.090309T2025Z.NO/
1122 PM EDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AT OLEAN.
* AT 11 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET AND SLOWLY FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLIER TONIGHT AND
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 8.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...FARM LANDS AND ROADS SEVERAL 
  MILES FROM OLEAN FLOOD SLIGHTLY. NO DAMAGES.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
433 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL NEW YORK THIS MORNING WILL MOVE OFF THE
COAST IN THE AFTERNOON WITH PRECIPITATION TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO
EAST AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH INTO NEW YORK STATE. THE HIGH
WILL BRING A BRIEF BREAK IN THE UNSETTLED WEATHER TONIGHT. A WARM
FRONT AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE WESTERN LAKES WILL BRING
MORE RAIN TO THE REGION TUESDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO
CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY WITH MUCH COLDER AIR FOLLOWING THE FRONT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE MAIN AREA OF RAIN WILL EXIT THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING AS THE
SURFACE LOW MERGES WITH A COASTAL LOW, BUT AN UPPER SHORT WAVE WILL
ENHANCE LINGERING MOISTURE WITH MORE PRECIPITATION LIKELY TODAY. IT
WILL BE A MIXED BAG OF TYPES WITH AIR INITIALLY COOLING ENOUGH FOR
SNOW, THEN WARM AIR MIXES IN ALOFT FOR A CHANGE TO SLEET OR RAIN AS
THE DAY PROGRESSES. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO, BUT WITH TEMPERATURES IN FLUX, WE DO NOT HAVE ENOUGH
CONFIDENCE FOR AN ADVISORY AT THIS TIME.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TONIGHT FOR FAIR BUT COOLER CONDITIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
TUESDAY...A RETURN TO MORE DAMP WEATHER WILL OCCUR AS A WARM FRONT
LIFTS NORTH INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.

BEST LIFT OCCURS ALONG WARM FRONT SOUTH OF BUFFALO WHERE HAVE
HIGHEST QPF GENLY FROM ARND .20 NEAR SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO TO
JUST UNDER A HALF INCH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER. HAVE RAISED POPS TO
CATEGORICAL FOR AREAS FROM THE FINGER LKS WEST AND TO LKLY ACROSS
THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH BULK OF PRECIP DURG THE AFTERNOON.

TUESDAY NIGHT WENT WITH HPC TOWARD WETTER SOLUTION OF GFS AS WARM
FRNT LIFTS NORTH WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND LIFT ACROSS THE AREA
AND COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM CENTRAL LKS AHEAD OF DEEP LOW MOVING
INTO WESTERN LKS. CATEGORICAL POPS LOOK GOOD ACROSS THE AREA. QPF
AMNTS OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE FINGER LKS WEST AND A HALF TO
TWO THIRDS OF AN INCH ACROSS AREAS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. LATER
SHIFTS WILL LIKELY HAVE TO CONSIDER ADDITIONAL FLOOD WATCHES DURG
THIS PERIOD. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE GENLY FROM THE FINGER
LKS WEST.

TEMPS LOOK LIKE THEY COULD BE MARGINAL FOR SOME MIXED PRECIP ACROSS
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY IN THE EVENING BUT ANY ACCUMS
SHLD BE MINIMAL AS SFC TEMPS SHLD BE GENLY IN MID 30S. ELSEWHERE
EXPECT MIN TEMPS IN THE EVENING WITH STEADY OR MODERATING TEMPS
OVERNIGHT AS INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS SPREAD WARMER AIR NORTHWARD
AHEAD OF COLD FRONT.

THE CENTER OF THE LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK JUST SOUTH OF JAMES BAY
ON WEDNESDAY AND DRAG A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESAY
GFS AND ECMWF ARE FASTER BRINGING THE COLD FRONT THROUGH IN THE
MORNING REACHING AREAS EAST OF OUR CWA BY MID AFTERNOON AND TO THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST BY EVENING WHILE TEH NAM BRINGS IT INTO WESTERN
NEW YORK EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND MOVING IT TO THE HUDSON VALLEY
BY EVENING. TRENDED TOWARD THE GFS/ECMWF TIMING. COULD STILL GET
SOME THUNDER AHEAD OF THE FRONT WED MAINLY FROM THE FINGER LKS EAST
BUT WILL HOLD OFF MENTIONING IT FOR NOW.

THE MODELS STILL SHOW A WELL DEFINED DRY SLOT WORKING IN BEHIND THE
FRONT DURING THE AFTERNOON. BASED ON THIS TREND...EXPECT THE
STEADIEST SHWRS TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON
BEFORE THE COLDER TEMPERATURES ALOFT CAUSE A POSSIBLE CHANGEOVER ANY
SNOW SHWRS. THREAT FOR SNOW SHWRS AT THIS POINT IN DRIER AIR BEHIND
FRONT IS ONLY IN SLGT CHANCE RANGE FOR WESTSERN PORTIONS OF CWA.

GFS SHOWS COLDER DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT IN BEHIND THE
FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHILE 850 MB TEMPERATURES DROP TO ABOUT -17C.
THE DRYNESS OF THE AIR WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
ORGANIZED LAKE SNOW BANDS...BUT WILL MAINTAIN CHANCE POPS EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO IN THE WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW.

IN TERMS OF TEMPERATURES...EXPECT ABOVE AVERAGE READINGS TO BE THE
RULE THROUGH MOST OF WEDNESDAY BEFORE THE COLDER AIR SURGES IN FROM
THE WEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
EXPECT MAINLY DRY AND SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TO PREVAIL
THROUGH MOST OF THIS PERIOD AS A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SETS UP
ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND SOUTHERN QUEBEC PROVINCES. A COLD FRONT
ACCOMPANYING A POTENT SHORT WAVE IS FORECAST TO DROP SOUTH ACROSS
NEW YORK STATE SATURDAY NIGHT. THE LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE
ATMOSPHERE MAY BE TOO DRY TO SUPPORT ANY ORGANIZED PCPN.
THEREFORE...WILL JUST MAINTAIN SLIGHT CHANCE WITH THE ANTICIPATED
FRONTAL PASSAGE. AREA TEMPERATURES MAY REBOUND TO ABOVE AVERAGE
LEVELS ON SUNDAY AS THE DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW SLIDES OFF THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
DRY SLOT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF VFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING,
THEN IFR CEILINGS WILL MOVE BACK IN WITH MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND
RETREATING LOW PRESSURE. FROM ROCHESTER EASTWARD PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE FROM RAIN TO SNOW THIS MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF. CEILINGS
WILL LIFT TO MVFR TODAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SNOW OR SLEET IN THE
EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION ENDS ALTOGETHER. MVFR
CEILINGS WILL DISSIPATE BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT

OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY...VFR...MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.
WEDNESDAY...VFR/MVFR IN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
INCREASING EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AHEAD OF A LOW TRACKING EAST
TOWARD THE LOWER LAKES WILL GENERATE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS
ON LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT. AS THE LOW DRIFTS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW YORK
MONDAY MORNING...THE WINDS WILL BACK TO THE NORTHWEST AND SUBSIDE.
EXPECT WIND AND WAVES TO TO POSSIBLY RESULT IN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY AFTER A DEEPENING LOW OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO
DRAGS A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
OVER THE COURSE OF THE PAST 24-30 HOURS...MUCH OF THE AREA HAS
PICKED UP 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH THE SOUTHERN TIER GETTING
THE BULK OF THEIR RAINFALL TODAY. AS MUCH AS ANOTHER QUARTER INCH
TO HALF INCH OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT...WHICH WILL
AGGRAVATE AREA STREAMS AND CREEKS. FOR THIS REASON...THE FLOOD
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.

FLOOD WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE TYPICALLY SLOWER
RESPONDING BUFFALO AREA CREEKS...TONAWANDA AT BATAVIA AND ELLICOTT
CREEK AT WILLIAMSVILLE...AS WELL AS THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT AND
THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE. AS FOR THE FASTER-RESPONDING
BUFFALO AREA CREEKS...THOSE SHOULD NOT FLOOD AGAIN UNLESS TOTAL
QPFS WITH THIS SECOND EVENT AVERAGE THREE QUARTERS OF AN
INCH...BUT THIS WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY.

FREQUENT UPDATES AND STATEMENTS ON THE SITUATION WILL CONTINUE TO
BE ISSUED AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. YOU CAN STAY TUNED BY
FOLLOWING ALONG ON OUR RIVER AND LAKES AHPS SECTION ON OUR
WEBSITE (WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF).

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ001>008-010>014-
     019>021-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR LOZ042-
         043.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJP
NEAR TERM...APB
SHORT TERM...JJP/TJP
LONG TERM...TJP
AVIATION...APB
MARINE...APB
HYDROLOGY...JJR/SFM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
556 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

NYZ019>021-101000-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
556 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN HIGH TODAY. THE
SITUATION WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR ANY POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

MORE RAIN IS EXPECTED TUESDAY AND ESPECIALLY TUESDAY NIGHT WHEN
ANOTHER INCH OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE. FLOOD WATCHES WILL MOST LIKELY
HAVE TO BE EXTENDED FOR THIS PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-010>014-085-101000-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
556 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

AREA CREEKS AND RIVERS WILL CONTINUE AT HIGH LEVELS WITH SOME
BUFFALO AND ROCHESTER AREA CREEKS NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE
SITUATION WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR ANY ADDITIONAL FLOOD
WARNINGS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

MORE RAIN IS EXPECTED TUESDAY AND ESPECIALLY TUESDAY NIGHT WHEN
ANOTHER INCH OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE. FLOOD WATCHES WILL MOST LIKELY
HAVE TO BE EXTENDED FOR THIS PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-101000-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
556 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE SITUATION WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR ANY FLOOD WARNINGS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

MORE RAIN IS EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT WHEN ANOTHER HALF TO THREE
QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL FLOOD WATCHES
MAY BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-101000-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
556 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

WINDS MAY APPROACH GALE FORCE WEDNESDAY WITH GALE FORCE GUSTS
EXPECTED.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

JJP