Gale Watch 10, NWS Buffalo, NY

504 
WHUS71 KBUF 280911
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
411 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO GALE FORCE FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

LEZ040-041-281715-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0014.091228T1700Z-091229T0500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
411 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO GALE FORCE FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-281715-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.091228T1200Z-091229T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0010.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
411 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATE TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATE IN THE DAY AND POSSIBLY TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-281715-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.091228T1200Z-091229T1100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
411 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATER TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-281715-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0010.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
411 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATE TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATE IN THE DAY AND POSSIBLY TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

087 
WHUS71 KBUF 281514
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1014 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO GALE FORCE FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

LEZ040-041-282315-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0014.091228T1700Z-091229T0500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1014 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO GALE FORCE FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-282315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-091229T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0010.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1014 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATE TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATE IN THE DAY AND POSSIBLY TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-282315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-091229T1100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1014 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATER TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-282315-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0010.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1014 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATE TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATE IN THE DAY AND POSSIBLY TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

SFM

106 
WHUS71 KBUF 282011
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
311 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO GALE FORCE FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

LOZ042>045-290415-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-091229T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0010.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.W.0014.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
311 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES EARLY THIS
EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO
35 KNOTS FOR A TIME LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS
ACTIONS...
A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS
REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-290415-
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0010.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.W.0014.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
311 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATE TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATE IN THE DAY AND POSSIBLY TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-290415-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-091229T0500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
311 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO GALE FORCE FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-290415-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-091229T1100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
311 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATER TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
806 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS NEW YORK STATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY
AND BRING A GENERAL LIGHT SNOWFALL TO THE AREA. FOLLOWING THE
PASSAGE OF THIS LOW...AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED TO
APPROACH AND CROSS THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS
FEATURE WILL BRING ANOTHER BURST OF SNOW TO THE AREA MONDAY
AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED BY A BRISK NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OF MUCH COLDER
AIR FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
800 PM UPDATE...
LIGHT FLURRIES ARE ENTERING WESTERN NY EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH
STEADY LIGHT SNOW ADVANCING AS FAR EAST AS ERIE AT 01Z. EXPECT LIGHT
SNOW TO OVERSPREAD ALL OF WESTERN NY BY LATE EVENING...REACHING THE
GENESEE VALLEY BY AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN QUICKLY DEVELOPING EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO BY 2-3 AM. GENERAL FORECAST IDEAS FROM PREVIOUS SHIFT
STILL LOOK GOOD. HAVE ADJUSTED GRIDS TO BE MORE SPECIFIC IN TIMING
AND COVERAGE THROUGH THE FIRST TWO PERIODS.

LARGE SWATH OF SNOW WILL ACCOMPANY THIS LOW...BUT IT WILL ALL BE
SYNOPTIC SCALE AS PATH OF LOW...DIRECTLY OVER THE REGION...WILL
PREVENT ANY LAKE COMPLICATIONS...AT LEAST UNTIL IT GOES BY LATER
MONDAY. MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A GENERAL 2 TO 4 INCH SNOWFALL
FROM LATE EVENING THROUGH MIDDAY MONDAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT SO FEW
PROBLEMS EXPECTED WITH THIS SNOWFALL. THERE WILL BE SOME LAKE
ENHANCEMENT AS WINDS TURN NORTHWEST TO WEST BRIEFLY MONDAY MORNING
ACROSS SRN TIER AND LATER IN THE DAY OVER TUG HILL. THIS WILL BE
GOOD ENOUGH FOR AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO...ENOUGH TO BOOST
ACCUMULATIONS INTO THE ADVISORY LEVEL CRITERIA THERE...BUT SINCE
NEARLY ALL OF THE SNOW THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY WILL BE
SYNOPTIC...WILL DROP LAKE EFFECT WATCH FOR SRN TIER AND REPLACE IT
WITH A WINTER WX ADVISORY FOR 3-6 INCH SNOWFALL TONIGHT AND MUCH OF
MONDAY...ADDING WYOMING COUNTY TO ADVISORY AS WELL...WITH TIMING
FROM 10 PM TONIGHT TO 6 PM MONDAY. WILL ALSO GO WITH ADVISORY FOR
TUG HILL REGION...THE 3 E LK ONTARIO COUNTIES FROM 2 AM TO 6 PM
MONDAY FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THERE WILL BE A BIT OF RIDGING
MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON MONDAY WHICH SHOULD TEND TO SHUT DOWN ANY
ACTIVITY BEFORE IT STARTS UP AGAIN LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF
NEXT FEATURE (ARCTIC FRONT) OUTLINED BELOW.

THERE WILL BE SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT ISSUES MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY ON NW FLOW...BUT WE WILL ADDRESS FUTURE LAKE EFFECT FLAGS IN
FUTURE SHIFTS TO AVOID CONFUSION BETWEEN SYNOPTIC AND LAKE EFFECT
SITUATION...BUT THE OVERALL THREAT FOR WARNING CRITERIA IS TOO LOW
TO MAINTAIN ANY WATCHES.

THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WILL BE THE ARCTIC
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THIS
FEATURE SHOULD BE USHERED IN WITH A BURST OF SNOW AND STRONG WINDS
EVERYWHERE. ACCUMS MAY ONLY BE AN INCH OR TWO...BUT CONDITIONS WILL
DETERIORATE WITH BLOWING SNOW AND ICY ROADS. TIMING RIGHT NOW LOOKS
TO BE IN 4-6 PM RANGE BUF TO ABOUT 8-10 PM ART/FZY. WINDS WILL BACK
A BIT AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SO SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD INCREASE ACROSS
SRN ERIE/WYOMING COS IN MID-LATE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THIS...MAYBE UP
AS FAR AS BUFFALOS SOUTH TOWNS FOR A TIME.

SUMMARIZING...A GENERAL LIGHT TO MODERATE SYNOPTIC SNOW THROUGH
MIDDAY MONDAY...THEN INCREASING LAKE ENHANCEMENT OFF ERIE S OF
BUFFALO MON AFTERNOON AND OFF ONTARIO OVER TUG HILL TOWARD
EVENING...THEN A BURST OF SNOW AND WIND EVERYWHERE WITH THE COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE AFTERNOON MONDAY FAR WEST AND EARLY EVENING
EAST. SEE SHORT TERM DISC BELOW FOR CONTINUATION....

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE ARCTIC COLD FRONT MONDAY EVENING...
WINDS WILL VEER SHARPLY TO THE NORTHWEST AND ALLOW MUCH COLDER AIR
TO FLOOD ACROSS THE REGION...WITH 850 MB TEMPS PLUMMETING TO THE
-20C TO -24C RANGE BY TUESDAY MORNING...AND 925 MB READINGS FALLING
TO -14C TO -22C. THIS WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES TURNING SHARPLY
COLDER ACROSS THE REGION AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES...WITH READINGS
FALLING TO WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF 10 ABOVE BY TUESDAY MORNING FOR
MOST AREAS...AND INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY.
COUPLED WITH BRISK NORTHWESTERLY WINDS...THESE TEMPERATURES WILL
RESULT IN WIND CHILLS FALLING TO BELOW ZERO FOR MOST OF THE
AREA...AND TO AS LOW AS 15 TO 20 BELOW ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY.

AS FOR THE LAKE SNOWS...THE SHARPLY VEERING WINDS SHOULD PUSH THE
LAKE SNOWS SOUTHWARD TO AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES...WITH THE
ACTIVITY BECOMING MORE MULTIBANDED IN NATURE DUE TO THE SHORTENING
FETCH. AS FOR HOW INTENSE THE LAKE SNOWS WILL BE DURING THIS TIME
FRAME...THAT REMAINS SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION. WHILE POTENTIAL UPSTREAM
CONNECTIONS AND OROGRAPHIC EFFECTS COULD CERTAINLY HELP TO ENHANCE
THE ACTIVITY DURING THIS PERIOD...NEGATIVE FACTORS IN THE FORM OF A
LOWERING CAP...SHORT FETCH...AND MODERATELY STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL
ALSO BE PRESENT. AT THIS POINT...BEST ESTIMATES ARE FOR ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS IN THE ADVISORY RANGE SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES...WITH
AT LEAST A CHANCE FOR MORE THAN THAT. GIVEN THAT THIS IS THE THIRD
PERIOD AND LOTS WILL HAPPEN BEFORE THEN...WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY FLAGS
FOR THIS TIME FRAME AND LET THE MID SHIFT REEVALUATE THINGS TONIGHT.

OUTSIDE OF THE MAIN LAKE EFFECT AREAS...THE REST OF THE AREA COULD
SEE ANOTHER INCH OR TWO OF MORE GENERAL ACCUMULATION MONDAY
NIGHT...OWING TO A COMBINATION OF LINGERING FRONTAL SNOW SHOWERS
EARLY...AND UPSLOPE EFFECTS/MORE SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
LATER IN THE NIGHT. AS SUCH...LIKELY POPS WILL BE LEFT IN PLAY TO
ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

ON TUESDAY...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE SOUTHEAST OF THE
LAKES WITH A WELL-ALIGNED COLD NORTHWEST FLOW REMAINS INTACT ACROSS
THE AREA...ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND A DECENT
SNOW GROWTH AREA BELOW A CAPPING INVERSION SITUATED AROUND 5 KFT.
ACCORDINGLY...WILL KEEP LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS IN PLAY IN THE
EXPECTED LAKE EFFECT AREAS...WITH A DOWNWARD TREND IN POPS FOR THE
AFTERNOON AS DIURNAL INFLUENCES COME INTO PLAY. ELSEWHERE...WILL
JUST CONTINUE WITH A GENERAL CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS GIVEN THE
CONTINUED COLD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW...THOUGH WILL HAVE LOW LIKELIES
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY IN THE MORNING TO COVER ANY LINGERING
UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS. WITH 925 MB TEMPS GENERALLY RANGING FROM -13C
ACROSS FAR SOUTHWESTERN NY TO -22C ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...MOST
AREAS WILL SEE HIGHS ONLY IN THE MID TO UPPER TEENS ON
TUESDAY...WITH READINGS LIKELY TO REMAIN LOCKED IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY.

DURING TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE LAKE SNOWS SHOULD
QUICKLY DIMINISH AS WARM ADVECTION DEVELOPS ALOFT...THE CAPPING
INVERSION LOWERS...AND RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS NEW YORK STATE ALONG
WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL SHEAR. WILL THEREFORE DROP ASSOCIATED POPS
BACK TO THE LOW CHANCE AND EVENTUALLY SLIGHT CHANCE RANGES DURING
THIS PERIOD...WITH THE REMNANT LAKE ERIE SNOWS POSSIBLY LIFTING BACK
NORTH TOWARD THE BUFFALO AREA LATER TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW STARTS TO TURN MORE WSW. EXPECT THAT
ANY REMNANT LAKE EFFECT SHOULD FINALLY GET SQUELCHED BY MIDDAY
WEDNESDAY...WITH DRY WEATHER EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WITH
WARM ADVECTION...TEMPS SHOULD BEGIN TO RECOVER ON WEDNESDAY...WITH
READINGS CLIMBING BACK INTO THE 20S DURING THE DAY.

AS FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THAT SHOULD START OUT DRY AND QUIET...THEN
AT LEAST A LOW THREAT OF SOME SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD WORK INTO THE
WESTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT AS THE NEXT SYSTEM
APPROACHES FROM THE WESTERN LAKES. WILL INSERT LOW CHANCE POPS TO
COVER THIS...BUT OTHERWISE THIS TIME FRAME SHOULD BE RELATIVELY
QUIET WHEN COMPARED TO EARLIER IN THE WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THIS TIME PERIOD WILL BE ACTIVE WITH SNOW PRODUCING SYNOPTIC EVENTS.
SEVERAL LIGHT EVENTS TO START THE TIME PERIOD WITH GLOBAL MODELS
SUGGESTING POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER COASTAL STORM LATER IN THE WEEK
THAT WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON.

THE 19Z SFC ANALYSIS THIS AFTERNOON SHOWS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
FORMING IN SOUTHERN ALBERTA TO THE LEE OF THE CANADIAN ROCKIES. THE
12Z GLOBAL MODELS OF GFS, ECMWF AND GGEM AND SUPPORT FROM THE GFS
ENSEMBLES ALL BRING THIS SFC LOW TO JUST NORTH OF THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES BY THURSDAY MORNING. AHEAD OF THIS SFC LOW WARM AIR ADVECTION
ON THE BACK SIDE OF A SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW ACROSS
THE CWA AREA THURSDAY. WILL KEEP LOW CHC POPS AS PRECIPITATION WILL
BE LIGHT.

A QUICK MOVING SHORT WAVE FROM THE PLAINS COMBINED WITH THE
ADVANCEMENT OF THE ALBERTA CLIPPER WILL INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR
SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. WITH THIS SNOW MORE WIDESPREAD
AND ADDED SUPPORT FROM AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE WILL GO HIGH END
CHC POPS.

TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A PHASING
OF ENERGY FROM THE NORTHERN BRANCH OF THE JET STREAM AND SOUTHERN
BRANCH OF THE JET STREAM TO FORM A DEEPENING SFC LOW ADVANCING FROM
THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO TO ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE.
TELECONNECTIONS ARE ALSO FAVORABLE FOR A COASTAL STORM AS THE NAO IS
FORECASTED TO REMAIN NEGATIVE AND THE PNA TO REMAIN NEUTRAL TO
SLIGHTLY POSITIVE.

WHILE MOST OF THE SNOW WITH THIS SYNOPTIC SYSTEM WILL BE TO OUR EAST
THE MODELS HAVE HINTED AT A SFC TROUGH BACK ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES THAT WOULD YIELD SNOW SHOWERS FOR LATER FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO
SATURDAY. HOWEVER THE 12Z MODEL RUNS CONTINUE TO SHOW RUN TO RUN
VARIANCES FOR THIS SYSTEM.

USING THE 1.5 PV SFC TO TRACE THE ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
POTENTIAL WEEKEND SYSTEM...ONE CAN FIND A SHORT WAVE NEAR 1K
MILES WEST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND A SECOND SHORT WAVE CURRENTLY
CROSSING NEAR THE NORTH POLE. GIVEN THE SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL RANGE
OF THESE TWO SHORT WAVES COMBINED WITH MODELS VARIANCES FOR NOW
WILL JUST HAVE CHC POPS FOR SNOW.

SKIES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN OVERCAST THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD WHICH
WILL LIMIT THE DIURNAL SWINGS IN TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES WILL RUN NEAR TO JUST BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THIS TIME
PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
COMPLEX FORECAST FOR THE 00Z TAF CYCLE WITH MAIN ISSUES REVOLVING
AROUND THE TIMING OF SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SNOW. UPSTREAM RADARS SHOW A
WIDESPREAD AREA OF MAINLY LIGHT SNOW FROM OHIO AND LAKE ERIE WEST
ACROSS INDIANA AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. THIS WILL OVERSPREAD THE
REGION TONIGHT WITH VSBY/CIGS DETERIORATING TO IFR AT KBUF-KIAG-KJHW
IN THE 02Z-04Z TIME FRAME...ABOUT AN HOUR OR SO LATER AT KROC.
EXPECT IFR TO DEVELOP AT KART IN THE 06Z-09Z TIME FRAME. THERE MAY
ALSO BE A FEW POCKETS OF MODERATE SNOW WITH LIFR LATE TONIGHT ACROSS
WESTERN NY AND EARLY MONDAY AT KART...BUT EXPECT VSBY TO REMAIN
ABOVE APPROACH MINIMUMS.

THIS FIRST BATCH OF SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AT KBUF-KIAG-KJHW IN THE
10Z-12Z TIME FRAME...AN HOUR OR SO LATER AT KROC...AND BY AROUND 16Z
OR SO AT KART. CONDITIONS WILL THEN RETURN TO VFR QUICKLY DURING THE
MORNING ACROSS WESTERN NY AND BY MIDDAY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE
ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER INCLUDING
KJHW WHERE SOME LIMITED LAKE EFFECT WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF IFR FROM
MID MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST AND
INCREASE ON MONDAY...WITH DRSN DEVELOPING.

MONDAY AFTERNOON AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST.
EXPECT LEFTOVER LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY OFF LAKE ERIE TO SHIFT NORTH
TOWARD KBUF BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. THE ARCTIC FRONT ITSELF WILL
CREATE A BURST OF SNOW WITH IFR CONDITIONS...BUT THE COMBINATION OF
LAKE EFFECT AND THE ARCTIC FRONT MAY PRODUCE A RATHER INTENSE SQUALL
POSSIBLY IMPACTING THE KBUF TERMINAL FROM 21Z-00Z. WINDS WILL ALSO
BE QUITE STRONG WITH THE ARCTIC FRONT PASSAGE...WITH PLENTY OF
BLSN/DRSN REDUCING VSBY.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT...IFR/MVFR WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
TUESDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOCAL IFR IN LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
WEAK RIDGING WORKING SLOWLY ACROSS NEW YORK STATE TODAY WILL RESULT
IN A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT KEEPING WINDS/WAVES WELL BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA. THIS RIDGE WILL DRIFT OFF TO THE EAST TONIGHT...WITH A
CYCLONIC FLOW OF COLDER AIR OVERSPREADING THE AREA AT ALL LEVELS.
THIS WILL RESULT IN STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST WINDS AND CHOPPIER
WATERS BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

THE NEXT ROUND OF ADVISORY-LEVEL CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE
MONDAY AS AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION. DURING THIS
PERIOD...A BRISK WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS BOTH LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO...STRENGTHENING FURTHER BEFORE VEERING SHARPLY
TO NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
MONDAY EVENING. AT THIS POINT...IT APPEARS THAT AT LEAST HIGH END
ADVISORY LEVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME...
WITH WINDS POSSIBLY REACHING LOW END GALES. FOR NOW WILL JUST
HIGHLIGHT THIS POTENTIAL IN THE HWO...WITH THE THOUGHT THAT MARINE
FLAGS OF SOME SORT WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT
12-24 HOURS.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR
     NYZ006>008.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR NYZ012-019-
     020-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM EST TUESDAY FOR
         LEZ020.
         GALE WARNING FROM NOON MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST MONDAY NIGHT
         FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM EST
         TUESDAY FOR LOZ042>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/SFM
SHORT TERM...JJR
LONG TERM...THOMAS
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...JJR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
341 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

NYZ001>005-010-011-013-014-021-281045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
341 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING AND BE ACCOMPANIED BY SNOWSQUALLS AND GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-281045-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
341 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019-020-085-281045-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
341 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-281045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
341 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ024-281045-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
341 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-281045-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
341 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST MONDAY
NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SFM