Alert archive / New York / Gale Warnings in 2009

Gale Warning 14, NWS Buffalo, NY

December 27, 2009

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this gale warning at Dec 27, 2009, 3:36 PM EST. It took effect at Dec 28, 2009, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 15 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 27, 2009, 3:36 PM EST (20:36 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 28, 2009, 12:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 29, 2009, 3:15 AM EST
In force
15 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

362 
WHUS71 KBUF 272036
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
336 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED LATER MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATER MONDAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO GALE FORCE
FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

LEZ040-041-280445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.W.0014.091228T1700Z-091229T0500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
336 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST MONDAY
NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
MONDAY NIGHT. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATER MONDAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO GALE FORCE
FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-280445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.091228T1200Z-091229T1100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
336 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATER MONDAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS FOR
A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING MONDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-280445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.091228T1200Z-091229T1100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
336 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM EST
TUESDAY. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATER MONDAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS FOR
A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING MONDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
802 
WHUS71 KBUF 280224
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
924 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED LATER MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATER MONDAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO GALE
FORCE FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

LEZ040-041-281030-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0014.091228T1700Z-091229T0500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
924 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EST MONDAY NIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
MONDAY NIGHT. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATER MONDAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO GALE
FORCE FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-281030-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.091228T1200Z-091229T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0010.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
924 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATE MONDAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATE IN THE DAY AND POSSIBLY TO GALE FORCE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-281030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.091228T1200Z-091229T1100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
924 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO
6 AM EST TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM
EST TUESDAY. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATER MONDAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING MONDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-281030-
/O.NEW.KBUF.GL.A.0010.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
924 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATE MONDAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATE IN THE DAY AND POSSIBLY TO GALE FORCE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

SAGE
504 
WHUS71 KBUF 280911
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
411 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO GALE FORCE FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

LEZ040-041-281715-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0014.091228T1700Z-091229T0500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
411 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO GALE FORCE FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-281715-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.091228T1200Z-091229T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0010.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
411 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATE TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATE IN THE DAY AND POSSIBLY TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-281715-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.091228T1200Z-091229T1100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
411 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATER TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-281715-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0010.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
411 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATE TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATE IN THE DAY AND POSSIBLY TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$
087 
WHUS71 KBUF 281514
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1014 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO GALE FORCE FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

LEZ040-041-282315-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0014.091228T1700Z-091229T0500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1014 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO GALE FORCE FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-282315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-091229T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0010.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1014 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATE TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATE IN THE DAY AND POSSIBLY TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-282315-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-091229T1100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
1014 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATER TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-282315-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.A.0010.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1014 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATE TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATE IN THE DAY AND POSSIBLY TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

SFM
106 
WHUS71 KBUF 282011
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
311 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO GALE FORCE FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

LOZ042>045-290415-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-091229T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0010.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.W.0014.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
311 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES EARLY THIS
EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO
35 KNOTS FOR A TIME LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS
ACTIONS...
A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS
REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-290415-
/O.UPG.KBUF.GL.A.0010.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.GL.W.0014.091229T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
311 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATE TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATE IN THE DAY AND POSSIBLY TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-290415-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-091229T0500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
311 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO GALE FORCE FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-290415-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-091229T1100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
311 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATER TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
854 
WHUS71 KBUF 290234
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
934 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009

LOZ042>045-062>065-291045-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
934 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST TUESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST TUESDAY. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATE TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATE IN THE DAY AND POSSIBLY TO GALE FORCE TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-290500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-091229T0500Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
934 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE
TO GALE FORCE FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING THE EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-291045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-091229T1100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
934 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY. 

A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN LAKES LATER TODAY.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 30 KNOTS
FOR A TIME LATER IN THE DAY AND DURING TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SAGE
668 
WHUS71 KBUF 290815
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
315 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

LOZ042-291615-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-091230T0500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
315 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-291615-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-091230T0900Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
315 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ062>065-290915-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-091229T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
315 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. 

$$

LEZ040-041-291400-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-091229T1400Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
315 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-291100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-091229T1100Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
315 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY
THIS MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY
THIS MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 27, 11:53 AM EST, 3 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 27, 11:53 AM EST, 3 hours 43 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1153 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE NEAR GREEN BAY WISCONSIN WILL TRACK NORTHEAST
TODAY...REACHING JAMES BAY THIS EVENING. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL
PUSH ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING THE LIKELIHOOD OF SNOW
SHOWERS TO WESTERN SECTIONS LATER THIS AFTERNOON THEN SPREADING
EAST TONIGHT. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FOLLOWING IN ITS WAKE FOR
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS COLDER AIR WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL
FOR SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO THE LEE OF THE LAKES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1145 AM UPDATE...
ISSUED ANOTHER UPDATE FOR BUF METRO. BROAD AREA OF VERY LIGHT SNOW
ASSOCIATED WITH SUBTLE MID LEVEL TROF CONTINUES TO WORK NE ACROSS
LK ERIE AND SRN ONTARIO AND HAS BECOME ENHANCED A BIT BY ITS
PASSAGE OVER LK ERIE ON A SW FLOW. ACTIVITY HAS WEAKENED ON CLE
RADAR AND EXPECT IT TO DO SO IN OUR AREA BY MID AFTERNOON...
ESPECIALLY AS WINDS BACK...REDUCING THE ENHANCEMENT. IN THE
MEANTIME WILL BREAK OUT NRN ERIE COUNTY FOR CATEG POPS UNTIL ABOUT
2 PM WHEN ACTIVITY WILL WEAKEN TO A FEW SNOW SHOWERS...ACCUM UP TO
AN INCH. NO OTHER CHANGES FOR MIDDAY UPDATE. PREV DISC FOLLOWS..

DEEP UPPER LOW THAT IS CENTERED OVER NORTHERN ILLINOIS WILL
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT SWINGS EASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW...LOCATED
OVER LAKE MICHIGAN...WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT SLOWLY TO THE NORTHEAST
WHILE A TRAILING COLD FRONT/SFC TROUGH HEADS EAST ACROSS THE LOWER
LAKES. THE COMBINATION OF INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND THE
LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL GENERATE
SOME LIGHT SNOW ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK AND PARTS OF THE GENESEE
VALLEY BY LATE AFTERNOON. 850 MB TEMPS WERE -6C AT BUF BUT -12C AT
DTX PER 12Z RAOBS...SO WE WILL SEE COLD ADVECTION INCREASING THE
INSTABILITY (LAKE TEMP 3C). A SIMILAR TREND IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
NORTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO LATE IN THE DAY. THE REST OF THE CWA
WILL JUST SEE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON. MINIMAL
ACCUMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...PERHAPS AN INCH MAX...AND THIS
WOULD BE FROM BUF-IAG DUE TO SW FLOW.

TONIGHT...THE SOUTHERN EXTENSION OF THE WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
FORECAST TO CROSS WESTERN NEW YORK/WESTERN PA...WHILE THE ATTENDANT
SURFACE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK. THIS WILL
RESULT IN A GENERAL LIGHT SNOWFALL ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA. STILL
EXPECT A BRIEF PERIOD OF LAKE ENHANCED SNOW TO IMPACT AREAS
NORTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW AS THE SURFACE
TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK. AFTER 06Z...THE BOUNDARY
LAYER WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE NORTHWEST...CAUSING THE LAKE ENHANCED
SNOW TO SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER. TWO TO THREE INCHES
OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CHAT/WESTERN CATT COUNTIES AS THE
NORTHWEST UPSLOPE FLOW COMES INTO PLAY.

THE BEST COMBINATION OF LIFT AND FAVORABLE SNOW GROWTH WILL COME
TOGETHER LATER TONIGHT EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.
THEREFORE...ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE A LITTLE LIGHTER ACROSS THIS AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD AS THE MAIN
UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION PUSHES ACROSS NEW YORK STATE. A GENERAL INCH
OR SO LOOKS REASONABLE...WITH SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT LIKELY TO THE
EAST OF BOTH LAKES AS 850 MB TEMPERATURES DROP TO NEAR -10C. COULD
SEE LOCAL AMOUNTS ESPECIALLY EAST OF LAKE ERIE OF 2 TO 4 INCHES.

LATER MONDAY...A POLAR VORTEX WILL DROP SOUTH FROM HUDSON BAY AND
REINFORCE THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND NEW
ENGLAND...WITH AN ASSOCIATED ARCTIC FRONT CROSSING THE AREA
MONDAY AFTERNOON. A GENERAL BURST OF SNOW SHOWERS IS EXPECTED TO
ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH
ADDITIONAL GENERAL MINOR ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY...WITH THE
CONTINUATION FOR LAKE ENHANCEMENT EAST OF BOTH LAKES.

FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE SURFACE FRONT MONDAY EVENING...WINDS
WILL VEER SHARPLY TO THE NORTHWEST AND ALLOW MUCH COLDER AIR TO
FLOOD ACROSS THE REGION...WITH 850 MB TEMPS PLUMMETING TO THE -20C
TO -24C RANGE BY TUESDAY MORNING...AND 925 MB READINGS FALLING TO
-14C TO -22C. THIS WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES TURNING SHARPLY
COLDER ACROSS THE REGION AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES...WITH ANY LAKE
SNOWS SHIFTING SOUTHWARD TO AREAS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES AND
BECOMING MORE MULTIBANDED IN NATURE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR UPSTREAM
LAKE CONNECTIONS. FAVORED NORTHWEST FLOW REGIONS SHOULD WILL SEE THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS.

TEMPERATURES DROPPING WELL INTO THE TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS
COMBINED WITH A BRISK NORTHWEST WIND WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILLS
BELOW ZERO WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO READINGS FOR
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER AND NORTH COUNTRY.

ON TUESDAY...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES AS A WELL-ALIGNED COLD NORTHWEST FLOW REMAINS
INTACT ACROSS THE AREA...ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
AND A DECENT SNOW GROWTH AREA BELOW A CAPPING INVERSION SITUATED
AROUND 5 KFT. ACCORDINGLY...WILL KEEP LIKELY POPS IN PLAY IN THESE
AREAS DURING THIS PERIOD...WITH JUST A GENERAL CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS FOUND ELSEWHERE. WITH 925 MB TEMPS GENERALLY RANGING FROM
-13C ACROSS FAR SOUTHWESTERN NY TO -22C ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY...MOST AREAS WILL SEE HIGHS ONLY IN THE MID TO UPPER TEENS
ON TUESDAY...WITH READINGS LIKELY TO REMAIN LOCKED IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY.

DURING TUESDAY NIGHT...THE LAKE SNOWS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH AS WARM
ADVECTION DEVELOPS ALOFT...THE CAPPING INVERSION LOWERS...AND
RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS NEW YORK STATE ALONG WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL
SHEAR. WILL THEREFORE DROP POPS BACK TO THE LOW CHANCE RANGE IN THE
LAKE EFFECT AREAS DURING THIS PERIOD...WITH THE REMNANT LAKE ERIE
SNOWS POSSIBLY LIFTING BACK NORTH TOWARD THE BUFFALO AREA LATER IN
THE NIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW STARTS TO TURN MORE
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY. ELSEWHERE...WILL MAINTAIN A GENERALLY DRY
FORECAST...WITH COLD TEMPERATURES CONTINUING.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
WEDNESDAY WILL BEGIN WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES. LAKE EFFECT SNOW OFF LAKE ERIE AND ONTARIO WILL DIMINISH
WITH ADDED WIND SHEAR AS LOW LEVEL WINDS BACK. THE 12Z GFS CONTINUES
TO SHOW WEAK WAA ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK AND INTO THE NORTH COUNTY
ON WEDNESDAY...WHILE THE GGEM AND THE 0Z ECMWF MAINTAINS A DRY
FORECAST. WILL HAVE LOW CHC POPS WEDNESDAY FOR LIGHT SNOW.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN BELOW NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY EVEN
THOUGH THEY WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE.

EXPECT CLOUD COVER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF AN ALBERTA CLIPPER TO
KEEP TEMPERATURES HIGHER THAN PREVIOUS NIGHTS. A GENERAL AREA OF
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO
THURSDAY AS WARM AIR ADVECTION SETS UP AHEAD OF THE CLIPPER.

AS THE SFC LOW STALLS LATER IN THE WEEK NEAR THE GREAT LAKES,
COMBINED WITH A DIGGING SHORT WAVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
REGION...EXPECT GENERAL SNOW SHOWERS TO CONTINUE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
THE WEEKEND WITH EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER.

TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND WILL RUN JUST BELOW TO
NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER TO MVFR CIGS LATER THIS
AFTERNOON FROM WEST TO EAST...AND TO IFR IN LIGHT SNOW TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT...IFR/MVFR WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
TUESDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOCAL IFR IN
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
WEAK RIDGING WORKING SLOWLY ACROSS NEW YORK STATE TODAY WILL RESULT
IN A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT KEEPING WINDS/WAVES WELL BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA. THIS RIDGE WILL DRIFT OFF TO THE EAST TONIGHT...WITH A
CYCLONIC FLOW OF COLDER AIR OVERSPREADING THE AREA AT ALL LEVELS.
THIS WILL RESULT IN STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST WINDS AND CHOPPIER
WATERS BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

THE NEXT ROUND OF ADVISORY-LEVEL CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE
MONDAY AS AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION. DURING THIS
PERIOD...A BRISK WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS BOTH LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO...STRENGTHENING FURTHER BEFORE VEERING SHARPLY
TO NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
MONDAY EVENING. AT THIS POINT...IT APPEARS THAT AT LEAST HIGH END
ADVISORY LEVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME...
WITH WINDS POSSIBLY REACHING LOW END GALES. FOR NOW WILL JUST
HIGHLIGHT THIS POTENTIAL IN THE HWO...WITH THE THOUGHT THAT MARINE
FLAGS OF SOME SORT WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT
12-24 HOURS.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
     MORNING FOR NYZ019-020-085.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...SFM/TJP
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...THOMAS
AVIATION...SFM
MARINE...TMA
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 27, 5:26 AM EST, 10 hours 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
526 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

NYZ001>008-010>014-021-281030-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
526 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-085-281030-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
526 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-281030-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
526 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

WINDS MAY APPROACH GALE FORCE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ024-281030-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
526 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 27, 4:34 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WatchBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie11 hr
Dec 27, 3:23 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFCattaraugus, Chautauqua, Erie, Jefferson, Lewis, Oswego and 1 more19 hr
Dec 27, 3:36 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF55 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in New York, 2009Every gale warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.