Wind Advisory 8, NWS Brownsville, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
258 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

.DISCUSSION...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS BEGINNING TO RELAX ACROSS
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. THE WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES
BECOMING MODERATE AND GUSTY FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST TODAY AND
MODERATE OVER THE INLAND COUNTIES. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE CWA SATURDAY MORNING. THEREFORE THE WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT
OVERNIGHT FROM THE SOUTHEAST IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. THE WINDS WILL
INCREASE FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT ON
SATURDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS ON SATURDAY ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL TODAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT THEN
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL ON SATURDAY THEN BELOW NORMAL
SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH CLEAR SKIES AS THE COOLER DRIER AIR FILTERS
ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. THE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TO MODERATE FROM
THE NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY THEN SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST ON MONDAY. LIGHT
TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE TO SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN NORMAL
TUESDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES WILL PREVAIL OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD.
&&

.MARINE...BUOY020 REPORTS A S WIND 15G20KTS WITH SWELLS NEAR 7 FT
WHILE MTRPIL AND TCOONS SITES ALONG THE BAY WATERS REPORTS S-SSE
WINDS FROM 15G20KT. A MODERATE TO STRONG PGF WILL PREVAIL TODAY AS A
COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS STATES. THE
SURFACE FLOW WILL THEN SHIFT AROUND TO A MORE N-NE DIRECTION IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT RESULTING IN A RETURN OF SCA CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
BAY AND GULF WATERS SAT INTO EARLY SUN. THE PGF WILL THEN RELAX
LATER IN THE DAY ON SUN AS THE SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTS OUT TO THE EAST.
A SURFACE LOW FORMING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK
WILL SHIFT THE SURFACE FLOW BACK AROUND TO A MODERATE S-SE DIRECTION
FOR MON AND TUES. WILL ALLOW THE SCA FOR THE GULF WATERS TO EXPIRE
AT MIDMORNING AND WILL POST AN SCA FOR THE BAY WATERS FROM MID
MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
&&

.AVIATION...IR SATL IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBS SHOWS A NARROW AREA OF
SC FORMING UP ALONG THE COASTLINE REDUCING CEILINGS AT THE BRO
AIRPORT. DAYTIME HEATING LATER TODAY WILL INCREASE THE LOW LEVEL
MIXING. EXPECT SOME FAIR WX CU/SC FORMATION LATER TODAY WITH
STRONGER WINDS REFORMING AS THE STRONG PG MIXES DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
OTHER THAN THE MORNING SC OVER THE COASTAL AREAS...WILL GO WITH VFR
CONDITIONS.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  85  66  75  48  68 /  00  00  20  00  00
BROWNSVILLE          89  65  78  45  70 /  00  00  20  00  00
HARLINGEN            93  63  78  43  70 /  00  00  10  00  00
MCALLEN              95  64  75  44  71 /  00  00  10  00  00
RIO GRANDE CITY      98  64  76  43  71 /  00  00  05  00  00
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   82  68  74  50  67 /  00  00  20  00  00

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM
THIS MORNING TO 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GMZ130-132-135. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR GMZ150-155-170-175.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BROWNSVILLE

SYNOPTIC/GRIDS.........63
MARINE/AVIATION/MESO...60

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
515 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-TXZ248>257-281200-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
515 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...THE GULF
OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE FROM 9 AM
THIS MORNING THROUGH 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS
ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER TEXAS GULF WATERS THROUGH 9 AM THIS
MORNING. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES
OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

MODERATE TO STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS ON SATURDAY. THEREFORE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE
LIKELY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY OVER THE LOWER TEXAS MARINE AREAS DUE TO
AN INCREASE IN THE WINDS AND SEAS. AN ELEVATED RIP CURRENT RISK WILL
ALSO OCCUR THIS WEEKEND. WARM AND DRY WEATHER WILL THEN PREVAIL
ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FROM NEXT MONDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

SPEECE