Red Flag Warning 5, NWS Brownsville, TX

000 
WWUS84 KBRO 062227
RFWBRO

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
427 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2009

...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PROVIDE AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK
ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH THIS EVENING AND AGAIN ON 
SATURDAY...

.THE COMBINATION OF A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST AND A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WILL PRODUCE BREEZY TO
WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN 
ON SATURDAY. 

TXZ248>257-070300-
/O.NEW.KBRO.FW.A.0007.090207T1600Z-090208T0100Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090207T0300Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
427 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM
CST THIS EVENING. 

THE COMBINATION OF DRY AND CURED FUELS AND SOUTHEAST WINDS OF
25 TO 30 MPH WILL PROVIDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK TO MOST OF
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS INCLUDE
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER AND CURED FUELS...OR
THE COMBINATION OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 2 HOURS
OR MORE AND SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR HIGHER WHEN
FUELS ARE NOT CURED. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO OCCUR. THESE CONDITIONS INCLUDE SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER AND CURED FUELS...OR THE COMBINATION
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE AND
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR HIGHER WHEN FUELS ARE NOT
CURED.  LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

65

000 
WWUS84 KBRO 070058
RFWBRO

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
658 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2009

...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PROVIDE AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK
ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS ON SATURDAY...

.THE COMBINATION OF A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST AND A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WILL PRODUCE BREEZY TO
WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS ON SATURDAY.

TXZ248>257-071200-
/O.CAN.KBRO.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090207T0300Z/
/O.CON.KBRO.FW.A.0007.090207T1600Z-090208T0100Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
658 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2009

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. 

THE COMBINATION OF DRY AND CURED FUELS AND SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 25
TO 30 MPH WILL PROVIDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK TO MOST OF
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS ON SATURDAY.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO OCCUR. THESE CONDITIONS INCLUDE SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER AND CURED FUELS...OR THE COMBINATION
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 2 HOURS OR MORE AND
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR HIGHER WHEN FUELS ARE NOT
CURED.  LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

$$

65

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
334 AM CST FRI FEB 6 2009

.DISCUSSION...WIND WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN TODAY AND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET IS PROGGED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
LOWER TEXAS COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND A NOCTURNAL LOW LEVEL JET
DEVELOPS TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
UNITED STATES AND LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL
PROVIDE A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE CWA. BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS
THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE
A WIND ADVISORY FOR INLAND CAMERON...INLAND WILLACY...KENEDY AND
HIDALGO COUNTIES FOR TODAY. THE 06Z NAM PROGS ANOTHER NOCTURNAL
JET SATURDAY NIGHT BUT NOT AS STRONG AS TONIGHTS BUT BREEZY TO
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY. EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO RELAX WITH A WEAK
COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS MONDAY. A 500MB
TROUGH ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST U.S. TUESDAY IS PROGGED TO MOVE
EASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING A
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE LOWER RIO GRAND VALLEY WEDNESDAY BRINGING A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE COASTAL SECTIONS LATE TUES
NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING SOME SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUE FOR THE UPCOMING TAF PERIOD WILL
BE THE STRENGTHENING SURFACE WINDS DUE TO THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
AREA DEVELOPING OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
EXPECT THE STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL QUICKLY
INCREASE AFTER SUNRISE TODAY AS THE CURRENT KBRO VWP SHOWS A
SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY LLJ FROM 30 TO 35 KNOTS. WILL INCLUDE A MENTION
OF LLWS IN THE FIRST PERIOD DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE LLJ. THE
STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL THEN DECOUPLE ONCE AGAIN FRI NIGHT
ALLOWING THE SURFACE WINDS TO WEAKEN SOME. EXPECT VFR CEILINGS AND
VSBYS TO PREVAIL AS THE 00Z BRO SOUNDING SHOWS A FAIRLY PARCHED
SOUNDING IN PLACE OVER THE REGION.
&&

.MARINE...MTRPIL REPORTS A SSE WIND AROUND 10 KTS WITH BUOY020
REPORTING A SE WIND AT 21G27KTS WITH SWELLS NEAR 7 FT. THE
TIGHTENING PGF WILL MAINTAIN STRONG SCA WINDS ACROSS THE LOWER
TX COASTLINE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THIS WILL BUILD THE OVERALL
GULF SWELLS THROUGHOUT SUNDAY. THE PGF WILL THEN WEAKEN SOME AFTER
SUNDAY AS THE SURFACE LOW OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. LIFTS OUT FURTHER TO
THE NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS STATES. WILL
MAINTAIN THE SCA FOR THE ENTIRE BRO CWA TODAY.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WITH ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF DEEP
SOUTH TX AND MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST PORTIONS
OF THE CWA...WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE A RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL
OF DEEP SOUTH TX TODAY AS WINDS WILL INCREASE TO WARNING CRITERIA
TODAY IN COMBINATION WITH THE CURED FUELS ACROSS THE WESTERN AND
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  77  64  79  64 /   0   0   0   0
BROWNSVILLE          78  64  79  64 /   0   0   0   0
HARLINGEN            80  64  80  63 /   0   0   0   0
MCALLEN              79  64  81  63 /   0   0   0   0
RIO GRANDE CITY      81  61  82  61 /   0   0   0   0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   74  65  76  66 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING
     FOR TXZ248>257.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     TXZ251-253>255.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST SATURDAY FOR GMZ130-132-135.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST SATURDAY FOR GMZ150-155-170-
     175.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BROWNSVILLE

PUBLIC/GRIDS...61
AVIATION/MARINE/MESO...60

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
506 AM CST THU FEB 5 2009

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-TXZ248>257-061115-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
506 AM CST THU FEB 5 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...THE GULF
OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THIS
AFTERNOON AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...A MODERATE RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR AREA BEACHES OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND
AND BOCA CHICA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY AND CONTINUE
TO REMAIN NEAR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS THROUGH SUNDAY.
THIS WILL PROVIDE A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY AS A RESULT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

CASTILLO