Red Flag Warning 15, NWS Brownsville, TX

000 
WWUS84 KBRO 071737
RFWBRO

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1137 AM CST SAT MAR 7 2009

...WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL ELEVATE THE THREAT FOR RAPID
WILDFIRE GROWTH TODAY...

.STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
LATE AFTERNOON. WINTER CURED FUELS AND DROUGHT STRESSED
VEGETATION WILL ADD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID WILDFIRE GROWTH.

TXZ249>257-080000-
/O.EXT.KBRO.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-090308T0000Z/
JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
1137 AM CST SAT MAR 7 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 20 FOOT WINDS OF AROUND 25 MPH WILL
PERSIST ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER
RIO GRANDE VALLEY THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. WINTER CURED FUELS AND
DROUGHT STRESSED VEGETATION WILL ADD TO THE THREAT OF WILDFIRE
GROWTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THESE CONDITIONS INCLUDE
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR GREATER AND CURED FUELS...OR
THE COMBINATION OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 2 HOURS
OR MORE AND SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 MPH OR HIGHER WHEN
FUELS ARE NOT CURED. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
303 AM CST SAT MAR 7 2009

.DISCUSSION...MAIN ISSUE TODAY WILL BE THE WIND AS KBRO 88D
DOPPLER RADAR VAD WINDS INDICATE MAX WINDS OF 55 KNOTS AT 3000FT
EARLY THIS MORNING. IN ADDITION...NAM12 PROGS A STRONG LOW LEVEL
JET ACROSS THE LOWER TEXAS COAST THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON. WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE CWA FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AS
WINDS SHOULD MIX DOWN WITH DIURNAL HEATING. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH SUNDAY WITH A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING INTO
NORTH CENTRAL TX SUN AFTERNOON. BREEZY CONDITIONS LIKELY TO
PREVAIL SUNDAY AS A RESULT. LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS PROGGED
TO POOL ACROSS CENTRAL TX MONDAY BUT DO NOT EXPECT ANY CONVECTION
TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH TX THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK EVEN
THOUGH THE GFS PROGS A FRONT MOVING INTO SOUTH TX WEDNESDAY. THE
00Z ECMWF IS SLOWER WITH THE SOUTHERN PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT AS
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS COMPARED TO THE WEST FLOW OF THE
GFS. WILL HOLD OFF ON FRONTAL PASSAGE THROUGH DEEP SOUTH TX UNTIL
THURSDAY. LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD POOL ACROSS SOUTH TX
ALLOWING FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK WITH AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE.
&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WITH MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE OCCURRING AT THE REGIONAL AIRPORTS. THE
WINDS WILL INCREASE ON SATURDAY BECOMING MODERATE TO STRONG AND
GUSTY. VFR CONDITIONS WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL PREVAIL
ACROSS THE REGIONAL AIRPORTS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
&&

.MARINE...BUOY 20 REPORTED SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 16 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
19 KNOTS AND SEAS AT 5.6 FEET WITH A 6 SECOND PERIOD. A HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO COMBINED WITH A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ACROSS THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES WILL
PRODUCE MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE MARINE
AREAS TODAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE NECESSARY ACROSS THE
LAGUNA MADRE AND THE OPEN WATERS SATURDAY. THE WINDS AND SEAS WILL
DECREASE SATURDAY NIGHT AND LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
AND MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE MARINE AREAS SUNDAY
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS BETWEEN A TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE OVER WEST TEXAS AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO WILL INCREASE WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS
OF DEEP SOUTH TX TODAY. WINTER CURED FUELS AND DROUGHT STRESSED
VEGETATION WILL ALSO INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR ERRATIC WILDFIRE
BEHAVIOR THIS AFTERNOON.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  82  69  83  69 /  10   0   0   0
BROWNSVILLE          83  68  83  68 /  10   0   0   0
HARLINGEN            86  68  85  68 /  10   0   0   0
MCALLEN              84  68  84  69 /   0   0   0   0
RIO GRANDE CITY      85  67  88  70 /   0   0   0   0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   78  71  77  69 /  10  10   0   0
&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CST THIS EVENING
     FOR TXZ249>257.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
     FOR TXZ250-251-253>257.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST THIS
     EVENING FOR GMZ130-132-135.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ150-155-
     170-175.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BROWNSVILLE

61/65

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
855 PM CST FRI MAR 6 2009

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-TXZ248>257-071200-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
855 PM CST FRI MAR 6 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...THE GULF
OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT ACROSS THE OFFSHORE GULF OF
MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM 3 AM THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY. THERE IS A
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

STRONG WINDS WILL OCCUR AGAIN ON SATURDAY. THERE IS A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS ON SATURDAY.
STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS
FOR LIGHT WEIGHT OR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. THE WINDS WILL ALSO
RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR EXPLOSIVE WILDFIRE GROWTH. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE FROM 6 AM THROUGH
6 PM SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM 3 AM THROUGH 6 PM
SATURDAY. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE
BEACHES OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

MARTIN