Wind Advisory 59, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

000 
WWUS71 KBOX 152041
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
441 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...THE FIRST OF TWO GALE EVENTS WILL PRODUCE SPOTTY DAMAGING WIND
LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...

.LOW PRESSURE EAST OF THE VIRGINIA CAPES LATE TODAY WILL PASS 200
MILES SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET FRIDAY MORNING AND PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF
40 TO 55 MPH OVER A LARGE PORTION OF SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND.

MAZ023-024-160445-
/O.CON.KBOX.HW.W.0002.091016T0400Z-091016T1500Z/
DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET
441 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
11 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD. 

THE COMBINATION OF 45 TO 55 MPH WILL WIND GUSTS WITH RAIN ON FULLY
LEAVED TREES WILL CAUSE A FEW TREES TO FALL OR LARGE LIMBS WILL BREAK
EARLY FRIDAY. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER
AT ANY TIME.  DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.
TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

&&

$$

MAZ019>022-RIZ007-008-160445-
/O.CON.KBOX.WI.Y.0059.091016T0400Z-091016T1500Z/
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...
MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...NEWPORT...
BLOCK ISLAND
441 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT
FRIDAY FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHEAST COASTAL
RHODE ISLAND AS WELL AS BLOCK ISLAND. A WARNING CONTINUES FOR
NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD. 

NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH COMBINED WITH RAIN ON
FULLY LEAVED TREES WILL CAUSE BRANCH BREAKAGE AND ASSOCIATED POWER
OUTAGES FRIDAY MORNING.

A PORTION OF THIS ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING
IN OVERNIGHT FORECASTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING SMALL TREE LIMBS AND
BRANCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.  DRIVING CAN
ALSO BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

DRAG

000 
WWUS71 KBOX 160200
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1000 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...THE FIRST OF TWO GALE EVENTS WILL PRODUCE SPOTTY DAMAGING WIND
LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...

MAZ023-024-161000-
/O.CON.KBOX.HW.W.0002.091016T0400Z-091016T1500Z/
DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET
1000 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

THE COMBINATION OF 45 TO 55 MPH WILL WIND GUSTS WITH RAIN ON
FULLY LEAVED TREES WILL CAUSE A FEW TREES TO FALL OR LARGE LIMBS
TO BREAK EARLY FRIDAY. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER
AT ANY TIME.  DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.
TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

&&

$$

MAZ019>022-RIZ007-008-161000-
/O.CON.KBOX.WI.Y.0059.091016T0400Z-091016T1500Z/
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...
MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...NEWPORT...
BLOCK ISLAND
1000 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH COMBINED WITH RAIN
ON FULLY LEAVED TREES WILL CAUSE BRANCH BREAKAGE AND ASSOCIATED
POWER OUTAGES FRIDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING SMALL TREE LIMBS AND
BRANCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.  DRIVING CAN
ALSO BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS71 KBOX 160804
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
404 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

...THE FIRST OF TWO GALE EVENTS WILL EASE LATER TODAY... 

MAZ023-161615-
/O.CAN.KBOX.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091016T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KBOX.WI.Y.0059.000000T0000Z-091016T1800Z/
DUKES MA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...VINEYARD HAVEN
404 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE
HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH COMBINED WITH RAIN ON
FULLY LEAVED TREES WILL CAUSE BRANCH BREAKAGE AND ASSOCIATED POWER
OUTAGES THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING SMALL TREE LIMBS AND
BRANCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.  DRIVING CAN
ALSO BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

MAZ020-021-RIZ007-160915-
/O.CAN.KBOX.WI.Y.0059.000000T0000Z-091016T1500Z/
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...
MATTAPOISETT...NEWPORT
404 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WINDS WILL GUST TO BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH THIS MORNING.

$$

MAZ024-161600-
/O.EXT.KBOX.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091016T1600Z/
NANTUCKET MA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NANTUCKET
404 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. 

THE COMBINATION OF 45 TO 55 MPH WIND GUSTS WITH RAIN ON FULLY LEAVED
TREES WILL CAUSE A FEW TREES TO FALL OR LARGE LIMBS TO BREAK EARLY
THIS MORNING. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST AN HOUR...WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER
AT ANY TIME.  DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.
TAKE ACTION NOW TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

&&

$$

MAZ019-022-RIZ008-161615-
/O.EXT.KBOX.WI.Y.0059.000000T0000Z-091016T1800Z/
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLYMOUTH...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...BLOCK ISLAND
404 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON.

NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH COMBINED WITH RAIN ON
FULLY LEAVED TREES WILL CAUSE BRANCH BREAKAGE AND ASSOCIATED POWER
OUTAGES THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING SMALL TREE LIMBS AND
BRANCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.  DRIVING CAN
ALSO BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS71 KBOX 161357
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
957 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

MAZ024-161800-
/O.CAN.KBOX.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-091016T1600Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.WI.Y.0060.091016T1357Z-091016T1800Z/
NANTUCKET MA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NANTUCKET
957 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. THE
HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY GUST UP TO 45 MPH THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING. THE COMBINATION OF THESE STRONG WINDS
ON FULLY LEAVED TREES MAY CAUSE A FEW LARGE LIMBS TO BREAK EARLY THIS
MORNING WITH SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING SMALL TREE LIMBS AND
BRANCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.  DRIVING CAN
ALSO BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

MAZ019-022-023-RIZ008-161500-
/O.CAN.KBOX.WI.Y.0059.000000T0000Z-091016T1800Z/
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLYMOUTH...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...BLOCK ISLAND
957 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY GUST TO 35 TO 40 MPH THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON...BUT THESE SPEEDS ARE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
417 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRES NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST WILL DEVELOP INTO A GALE NOREASTER
AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A BRIEF BREAK IN THE
INCLEMENT WEATHER IS FORESEEN FOR SATURDAY...BUT ANOTHER GALE
NOREASTER MAY DEVELOP JUST SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND FOR SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. FAIR AND PERHAPS WARMER WEATHER MAY RETURN TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON/...
CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS MORNING AS LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST AND A SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES
EASTWARD FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. SIGNIFICANT MODEL DISCREPANCIES EXIST
EVEN AT THIS HOUR. THE GUIDANCE SEEMS TO BE HAVING TROUBLE RESOLVING
SUBTLE SHORT WAVES IN THE LARGE SCALE FLOW...AND THIS IS LEADING TO
UNCERTAINTY IN SEVERAL FACETS OF THE FORECAST. THEREFORE...LOW
CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN POPS TODAY AND TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN AND
AROUND THE MASS PIKE AREA AND NORTH.

FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WE STUCK CLOSE TO THE GLOBAL MODEL
CONSENSUS INSTEAD OF THE REGIONAL GEM AND NAM. THEREFORE...WE EXPECT
LIGHT RAIN TO BEGIN OVERSPREADING SOUTHERN ZONES THIS AFTERNOON. WENT
WITH LIKELY/CAT POPS SOUTH OF THE MASS PIKE. NORTH OF THE PIKE WE
HAVE MUCH LESSER CHANCES...AND EVEN NO PRECIP IN SOUTHERN NH. THE
BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD BE WARM ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE ANY SNOW THIS
AFTERNOON...EXCEPT PERHAPS THE HIGHEST PEAKS OF THE BERKS.

AS FAR AS TEMPS GO...IT WILL BE QUITE COLD FOR THIS TIME OF THE
YEAR...WITH MAXES A GOOD 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /4 PM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
AS MENTIONED IN THE NEAR-TERM SECTION...WE/VE SIDED WITH A
GGEM/GFS/ECMWF BLEND FOR THE FORECAST PACKAGE AND GAVE LESS WEIGHT TO
THE NAM AND RGEM. UKMET SEEMS TO BE MORE WITH THE GFS CAMP. THE 03Z
SREFS HAVE BACKED OFF ON QPF FROM IT/S 21Z RUN...BY ALMOST HALF IN
FACT.

THEREFORE...HAVE CAT POPS OVERNIGHT EXCEPT FOR NORTHERNMOST
MASS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE WHERE WE TAPERED DOWN TO CHANCE THE
FARTHER NORTH ONE GOES.

PRECIP TYPE IS A LITTLE TRICKY DUE TO THE ANOMALOUSLY COLD AIRMASS
THAT IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE. WE THINK SNOW WILL MIX IN WITH THE RAIN
ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY THE EAST SLOPES OF
THE BERKS AND SW NH WHERE ALL SNOW MAY FALL FOR A TIME OVERNIGHT. A
FEW FLAKES MAY BE SEEN ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE WORCESTER
HILLS AS WELL AS NORTHERN CT. WE WOULD BE A LITTLE MORE EXCITED ABOUT
ACCUMULATING SNOW IF STRONG OMEGA WERE TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT TO HELP
DYNAMICALLY COOL THE COLUMN. HOWEVER...IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST UVV/S
STAY OFFSHORE. EVEN STILL...IT/S A TRICKY SITUATION SO BURSTS OF
HEAVIER PRECIP TONIGHT MAY RESULT IN A SLUSHY COATING IN SOME OF THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WOULDN/T BE COMPLETELY SHOCKED IF THE EAST SLOPES
OF THE BERKS PICKED UP AN INCH OR TWO OVERNIGHT IF THE STEADY PRECIP
SHIELD PROGRESSES THAT FAR NORTH.

OTHERWISE...AN INCREASINGLY WINDSWEPT RAIN FOR SOUTHERN ZONES.

WINDS WILL BECOME A BIGGER ISSUE OVERNIGHT FOR THE CAPE AND ISLANDS
AND PERHAPS OTHER PORTIONS OF SE MASS AND RI AS AN EASTERLY LOW LEVEL
JET DEVELOPS. EVEN THOUGH THE NAM IS FURTHER OFFSHORE THAN THE
GFS...IT HAS A SLIGHTLY STRONGER LOW LEVEL JET. BOTH THE GFS AND NAM
SLOW EXCELLENT LOW LEVEL MIXING POTENTIAL. BASED ON BUFKIT
PROFILES...WE/VE DECIDED TO ISSUE AND HIGH WIND WATCH FOR LATER
TONIGHT FOR NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD AS THERE APPEARS TO BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR A PERIOD OF 30G48KT TYPE STUFF. THIS WOULD BE MORE THAN
SUFFICIENT TO BRING DOWN PLENTY OF LARGE BRANCHES AND SOME TREES. THE
DAYSHIFT WILL BE ABLE TO DECIDE WHETHER OR NOT TO GO WITH ADVISORY OR
WARNING. WE ALSO WENT WITH A WIND ADVISORY FOR PORTIONS OF COASTAL SE
MASS /AND THE CAPE/ AS G35-40KT WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT.

ANY STEADY PRECIP TAPERS OFF AS FRIDAY PROGRESSES...AND WINDS AT THE
COAST GRADUALLY DIMINISH. HOWEVER...POPS REMAIN PRETTY HIGH AS LIGHT
MEASURABLE WILL PROBABLY BE SEEN FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. LOTS OF CLOUDS
AND COLD TEMPS. MAXES LOOK TO BE ABOUT 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...WITH
HIGHER ELEVATIONS PROBABLY NOT GETTING OUT OF THE 30S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

PREVIOUS FORECAST DISCUSSION...

THERE IS LITTLE QUESTION WHETHER WE WILL HAVE HAZARDOUS WEATHER
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THE QUESTION HOW SERIOUS? COASTAL FLOODING
FROM 6 CONSECUTIVE MINOR FLOOD HIGH TIDE CYCLES IS EASILY POSSIBLE.
OUR TOTAL WATER TABLE MAY NEED SOME MORE IN-HOUSE WORK TO MAKE IT
MORE RESPONSIVE BUT IT TRIES TO GIVE AN IDEA OF EXPECTATIONS.

OUR OFFICE HAD A SOFTWARE UPGRADE THIS MORNING AND DID NOT HAVE THE
12Z NAM/09Z SREF AVBL IN AWIPS FOR BLENDING WITH THE GFS.

18Z GFS AND 15Z SREF REVIEWED. FCST AS POSTED LOOKS LIKE A GOOD
START.

12Z GFS MOS GUIDANCE WAS BLENDED WITH THE PREV KBOX FCST AND DEPARTURES
FROM THIS GUIDANCE WERE EDGED TOWARD GEFS/SREF GUIDANCE SEEN ON THE
WEB OR BLENDED WITH THE PREV 4AM KBOX FCST USING PATTERN RECOGNITION.

COLD HIGH PRES IS LOCKING IN OVER QUEBEC. ONE GALE FRIDAY WITH A LESS
CERTAIN GALE THREAT SUNDAY. TRACKS STILL UNCERTAIN BUT LESS OMINOUS
THAN THIS MORNINGS 06Z SREF AND GEFS. HOWEVER...THAT COULD RETURN TO
A MORE ROBUST RESULT.

SKYWARN...THINK WE WILL NEED IN OFF ICE PRESENCE SOMETIME FRIDAY AND
POSSIBLY AGAIN SUNDAY. ALSO REMOTE ENTRY OF SNOWFALL REPORTS MAY BE
NEEDED FROM THU NIGHT INTO SUNDAY OVER VARYING PARTS OF OUR HIGH
TERRAIN...SENSITIVE TO THE BL TEMP.

WE CAN SEE PROBLEMS AHEAD FOR MARINE TRAVEL AND HIGH TERRAIN SURFACE
TRAVEL AS WELL AS WIND RELATED PROBLEMS ALONG PARTS OF THE COAST...FOR
BOTH EVENTS...WHATEVER THEIR OUTCOMES.

SNOW WAS CUT OFF AT 34 DEGS IN OUR WX TOOL WITH ACCUM CUT AT 33DEGS
DUE TO EARLY SEASON CONSIDERATIONS.

GUSTS WERE DRIVEN SOLELY FROM THE AVBL THE 12Z GFS MXG HTS AND 12Z GFS
GUST ALG.

FRIDAY...WILL SEE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL...MAINLY S OF THE MASS
PIKE...ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL FLOODING DUE
TO THE STRONG NE WINDS AND ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES.

TIGHT PRES GRADIENT WILL CAUSE STRONG NE WIND GUSTS...POSSIBLY UP
TO 50 MPH ALONG THE E COAST FROM ABOUT PLYMOUTH DOWN TO THE CAPE
AND ISLANDS DURING THE MORNING.  SOME AREAS...NAMELY CAPE COD AND THE
ISLANDS...WILL LIKELY NEED WIND ADVISORIES ISSUED.

HEAVY RAIN TAPERING EARLY...WHICH MAY CAUSE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WITH FALLEN LEAVES CLOGGING CATCH BASINS ON
ROADWAYS. HEAVIEST RAIN IS DEPARTING FRIDAY MORNING AND ST FLOODING
SHOULD BE SE MASS AND COASTAL RI.

WILL LIKELY SEE COASTAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ALONG
EAST FACING BEACHES FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY SATURDAY/SUNDAY. PLS SEE THE
COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT.

SNOW ACCUM RESTRICTED TO HIGHEST TERRAIN AND CONSERVATIVE. WE CAN SEE
ISOLATED 4 INCH AMOUNTS AND A PERIOD OF 1/4 S+ IN THIS SITN EITHER
ORH OR MORE TOWARD E SLOPES OF BERKS OR MONADS?

AFTER THE SYNOPTIC SCALE GALE DEPARTS...WE HAVE LOW TOP MOIST UNSTABLE
AIRMASS WITH POCKETS OF LIFT GENERATED FROM WEAK SHORT WAVES ALOFT
TRYING TO OVERCOME SUBTLE LOW LVL CAA BUT ALSO LAND SEA INTERFACE AND
HILLS.  THEREFORE DRIZZLE ADDED VIA THE PICK UP TOOL.

SATURDAY...LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE A LULL OF SORTS BETWEEN THE TWO
SYSTEMS. HOWEVER...STILL DOES NOT MEAN DRY CONDITIONS. CONTINUED
WITH LOW CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...MAINLY DUE TO LEFTOVER
INSTABILITY WITH THE LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE W AND CONTINUED
NE LOW LVL FLOW. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF QPF DURING THIS
PERIOD. TEMPS MIGHT BE A FEW DEGS WARMER THAN FRIDAY. TRIMMED THE
12Z GFS MOS MAX TEMPS NW 1/2 OF THE FCST AREA

SAT NIGHT...IN DEFERENCE TO LESS DIGGING OF THE MID SOUTH TROF AND A
FASTER EJECTION OF THE NEXT SET OF PRES FALLS...HAVE RAISED POPS
APPROX SE HALF OF NEW ENGLAND.

SUNDAY...INCREASED POPS SE HALF OF SNE PER INCREASED GEFS POPS S OF
NEW ENGLAND...A SUPPORTIVE PEAK AT THE 15Z SREF ARRIVING AT 345 PM
EDT AND THE 12Z ECMWF. AGAIN UNCERTAINTY ON HOW FAR NW AND HOW DEEP.
EC IS RATHER COLD AND IMPLYING SNOW INTO ORH COUNTY. THIS FCST USED
THE 12Z GFS PARTIAL THICKNESSES AND TRIMMED THE 12Z GFS MOS MAX TEMPS
NW 1/2 OF THE FCST AREA. SO FOR NOW WE DONT ADVERTISE SNOW IN THE
FCST BUT ITS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION IN THE TERRAIN ABOVE 1000FT.
COULD BE A GALE NOREASTER BUT AGAIN DOUBTS THIS FAR AHEAD. WE HAVE
ENOUGH TO DEAL WITH THU NIGHT/FRI.

MONDAY...WILL SEE LEFTOVER SHOWERS DURING THE MORNING ACROSS EASTERN
AREAS...OTHERWISE HIGH PRES WILL BUILD IN. THIS WILL BRING DRY BUT
COOL CONDITIONS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE 4AM KBOX FCST AND WE
DID NOT BUY INTO THE POPS EVERYWHERE IN SNE MONDAY.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THE GENERAL CONSENSUS IS LARGE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES.
WEDNESDAY THE GFS IS HINTING AT A BIT MORE MOISTURE AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS SO HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE TO LOW END CHANCE POPS
FOR THAT TIME FRAME.

CONFIDENCE ON THIS SCENARIO IS ABOVE AVERAGE WITH DETAILS NEEDED TO
BE IRONED OUT. CONSERVATIVE APPROACH LOOKS LIKE A SAFE SURE BET AS
IN THE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...

TODAY...VFR. MAY SEE SOME MVFR CIGS/VSBYS DEVELOP LATE IN THE DAY
FROM KHFD TO KACK.

TONIGHT...GENERAL MVFR-IFR CIGS/VSBYS IN RAIN...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE
MASS PIKE. LIFR CIGS/VSBYS IN HEAVY RAIN AND PATCHY FOG SE MASS AND
RI. NE WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 KT LIKELY HYA-ACK WITH BRIEF 45 KNOTTERS
POSSIBLE. 25-30 KT BOS-PVD LATE. SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN
OF S NH/N CENTRAL AND WESTERN MA.

FRIDAY...GENERAL MVFR-IFR CONDS IN RAIN/DRIZZLE...ESPECIALLY
MORNING. NE WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 KT POSSIBLE HYA-ACK...25-30 KT BOS-
PVD.

OUTLOOK /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

SATURDAY...MAINLY MVFR OR IFR CONDS FROM AROUND THE MASS PIKE S WITH
PATCHY RAIN DRIZZLE AND FOG. MAY BRIEFLY IMPROVE TO VFR ACROSS N
MA/S NH DURING THE DAY?

SUNDAY...MVFR-IFR CONDS WITH MORE RAIN MOVING IN. NE WIND GUSTS 30 TO
40 KT POSSIBLE ON CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS AND 20 TO 30 KT ELSEWHERE.

MONDAY...LEFTOVER MVFR OR IFR CONDS IN RAIN/DRIZZLE EARLY ON THE MASS
COAST OTRW BECOMING VFR CIGS. N GUSTS 15-25 KTS DAYTIME THEN DIMINISHING
AT NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...

TODAY AND TONIGHT...NE WINDS INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON AND
ESPECIALLY TONIGHT REACHING GALE STRENGTH. WE HAVE A GALE WARNING FOR
ALL BUT BOSTON HARBOR. STRONGEST WINDS WITH G40-45 KT MOST LIKELY OVER SE
WATERS. WE FOLLOWED WNAWAVE GUIDANCE FOR SEAS BUT THIS COULD BE A
BIT UNDERDONE IF THE FORECAST WIND SPEEDS VERIFY.

FRIDAY...SUSTAINED NE WINDS UP TO GALE FORCE WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS
LIKELY...MAINLY ON THE SOUTHERN OUTER WATERS...ESPECIALLY IN THE
MORNING. MAY SEE GUSTS APPROACH 50 KT S NANTUCKET. SEAS APPROACH 15
FEET S AND E OF CAPE COD...AND UP TO 10-12 FEET E OF BOSTON. COULD BE
HIGHER.

OUTLOOK /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...

SATURDAY...NE WINDS CONTINUE BUT DIMINISH SOMEWHAT BETWEEN WEATHER
SYSTEMS. WILL STILL SEE GUSTS UP TO 25-30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDE A BIT...BUT
REMAIN UP TO 10 FEET ON THE OUTER WATERS.

SUNDAY...SECOND SYSTEM HAS POTENTIAL TO BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF NE
GALE FORCE GUSTS AS WELL AS SEAS POSSIBLY BACK UP TO 12 FEET OR SO.

MONDAY...DIMINISHING WIND AND SEAS BUT STILL SCA.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
PLS REFERENCE CFWBOX.

CONCERN IS FOR 6 OR MORE CONSECUTIVE TIDE CYCLES OF MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION...ESP NANTUCKET AND OUTER CAPE COD.

WE HAVE ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR NANTUCKET...MARTHAS
VINEYARD...AND CAPE COD FOR THE FRIDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE. WE THINK
SURGE WILL BE ABOUT 1.5 FEET...BUT WE ALSO SUSPECT THAT OFFSHORE SEAS
COULD BE HIGHER THAN FORECAST. COMBINED WITH OFFSHORE NORTHEASTERLY
WINDS POTENTIALLY GUSTING TO NEAR STORM FORCE...WE FELT THAT THERE
WAS A SHOT AT A PERIOD OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING FOR THE ABOVE
AREAS.

THE NEW MOON OCCURS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WHICH SIGNALS ASTRONOMICAL
HIGH TIDES FOR A FEW DAYS EITHER SIDE OF THIS EVENT. THE STRONG
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE LARGE HIGH OVER QUEBEC AND LOW PRES
WORKING NE UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD...EXPECT NE WIND GUSTS POSSIBLY UP
TO 50 MPH SOMETIME EARLY FRIDAY. HIGHEST ASTRONOMICAL TIDES EXPECTED
TO OCCUR BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY MORNING. COULD SEE A STORM SURGE UP
TO 1.5 FEET WITH THIS SYSTEM...MAINLY EARLY FRIDAY.

A HIGH PROBABILITY OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF
HIGH TIDE FRIDAY ON THE EAST FACING BEACHES OF MASSACHUSETTS...WITH A
LOW CHANCE AROUND MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT. MAY ALSO SEE MINOR FLOODING
ON BLOCK ISLAND AND EAST EXPOSED BEACHES ALONG THE RHODE ISLAND
COAST...EVEN IN THE UPPER REACHES OF NARR BAY DESPITE A NNE WIND. LESS
POTENTIAL ON SATURDAYS HIGH TIDES...BUT A LOT OF THE WATER WILL NOT
EVACUATE AWAY FROM THE COAST AS IT NORMALLY DOES DURING LOW TIDES DUE
TO THE STRONG AND PERSISTENT NE WINDS THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...SO WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE SPLASH OVER.

SUNDAY...UNCERTAIN BUT IF A GALE...ASTRO TIDES ARE EVEN HIGHER AND A
STORM SURGE OF 1.5 FOOT WOULD BE POSSIBLE...RAISING THE PROB FOR A
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING. AGAIN DO WE INDEED HAVE ANOTHER GALE?

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR CTZ002>004.
MA...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR
     MAZ019>022.
     FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR MAZ015-016-
     018>023.
     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR MAZ019-022>024.
     FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR MAZ005>007-012-
     014.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     MAZ023-024.
NH...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR NHZ012.
RI...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR
     RIZ007-008.
     FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR RIZ001>007.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR
     ANZ231>235-237-254>256.
     GALE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ236-250-251.

&&

SYNOPSIS...EKSTER
NEAR TERM...EKSTER
SHORT TERM...EKSTER
LONG TERM...DRAG/RLG
AVIATION...DRAG/EKSTER
MARINE...DRAG/EKSTER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
516 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

MAZ002>004-008>011-013-017-024-026-NHZ011-015-151215-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
NANTUCKET MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
516 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL
MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A STRONG NOREASTER WILL AFFECT THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN...STRONG WIND AND POSSIBLE COASTAL
FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION.

THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING
WILL BE ALONG THE SOUTH COAST. THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF STRONG
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE OVER THE OUTER CAPE AND ISLANDS. WIND
ADVISORIES WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED WITH A LOW PROBABILITY OF A HIGH
WIND WARNING ON THE CAPE AND ISLANDS.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WITHIN 2 HOURS EITHER
SIDE OF THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES ON FRIDAY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS COAST WITH A LOW PROBABILITY OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING.

THERE IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY OF AN INCH OR TWO OF WET SNOW ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND THE MONADNOCK REGION OF
SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

ANOTHER STORM MAY BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GALE FORCE NORTHEAST GUSTS
DURING SUNDAY WITH A VERY LOW PROBABILITY OF ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL IN
SOME OF THE HIGH TERRAIN FROM CENTRAL AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS INTO
SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

CTZ002>004-MAZ015-016-018>023-RIZ001>007-151215-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
516 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FROST ADVISORY.

A STRONG NOREASTER WILL AFFECT THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN...STRONG WIND AND POSSIBLE COASTAL
FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION.

THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING
WILL BE ALONG THE SOUTH COAST. THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF STRONG
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE OVER THE OUTER CAPE AND ISLANDS. WIND
ADVISORIES WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED WITH A LOW PROBABILITY OF A HIGH
WIND WARNING ON THE CAPE AND ISLANDS.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WITHIN 2 HOURS EITHER
SIDE OF THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES ON FRIDAY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS COAST. THE HIGHEST RISK EXTENDS FROM OUTER CAPE COD TO
NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS VINEYARD.

THERE IS ONLY A LOW RISK OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE RHODE
ISLAND COASTS FRIDAY.

ANOTHER STORM MAY BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GALE FORCE NORTHEAST GUSTS
DURING SUNDAY ALONG THE COAST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MAZ005>007-012-014-NHZ012-151215-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
516 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL
MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS
AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WARNING.

A STRONG NOREASTER WILL AFFECT THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN...STRONG WIND AND POSSIBLE COASTAL
FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION.

THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING
WILL BE ALONG THE SOUTH COAST. THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF STRONG
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE OVER THE OUTER CAPE AND ISLANDS.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WITHIN 2 HOURS EITHER
SIDE OF THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES ON FRIDAY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS COAST.

THERE IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY OF AN INCH OR TWO OF WET SNOW ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND THE MONADNOCK REGION OF
SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

ANOTHER STORM MAY BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS
DURING SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ232>235-237-254>256-151215-
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
516 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF ANOTHER PERIOD OF NORTHEAST GALE FORCE
WIND GUSTS AS A SECOND LOW APPROACHES THE WATERS SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230-236-151215-
BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
516 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

GALE FORCE NORTHEAST WINDS ARE POSSIBLE FOR A TIME LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. GALE WARNINGS MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF ANOTHER PERIOD OF NORTHEAST GALE FORCE
WIND GUSTS AS A SECOND LOW APPROACHES THE WATERS SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ231-250-251-151215-
CAPE COD BAY-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
516 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF ANOTHER PERIOD OF NORTHEAST GALE FORCE
WIND GUSTS AS A SECOND LOW APPROACHES THE WATERS SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

RIZ008-151215-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
516 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A STRONG NOREASTER WILL AFFECT THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN...STRONG WIND AND POSSIBLE COASTAL
FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION.

THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING
WILL BE ALONG THE SOUTH COAST. THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF STRONG
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE OVER THE OUTER CAPE AND ISLANDS. WIND
ADVISORIES WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED WITH A LOW PROBABILITY OF A HIGH
WIND WARNING.

THERE IS A RISK OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WITHIN 2 HOURS EITHER SIDE
OF THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES ON FRIDAY ALONG PARTS OF BLOCK ISLAND.

ANOTHER STORM MAY BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GALE FORCE GUSTY NORTHEAST
WINDS DURING SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.