Small Craft Advisory 19, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1228 PM EST MON FEB 2 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW PRESSURE WILL LIKELY BRING A LIGHT TO
MODERATE SNOWFALL TO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
BEHIND THE SYSTEM...VERY COLD BUT DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR MOST
OF WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.  HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING OFF THE COAST
WILL ALLOW FOR A MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES BY THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK.  IN FACT...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES APPEAR LIKELY BY NEXT
WEEKEND WITH MAINLY DRY WEATHER.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
1159 AM: WE ARE CONSIDERING A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR 8 AM TUESDAY TO
8AM WEDNESDAY FOR MAZ ZONE 18 19 AND 22 /PLYMOUTH AND BARNSTABLE
COUNTIES/ FOR THE 4PM ISSUANCE. NEED TO REVIEW MORE DATA. MARGINAL
WARNING CRITERIA.

SNOWGROWTH...A BIT OF OCEAN ENHANCEMENT...SNOW AND BLOWING/DRIFTING
SNOW WITH PRETTY DECENT CAA DURING TUE NIGHT COULD MARGINALLY REACH
WARNING STATUS? WE DONT KNOW BUT THATS SOME OF THE THOUGHT PROCESS.
MORE AT 4PM.

AQA ISSUED AT 1023AM PER MASS DEP.

12Z NAM TSECS AND CURRENT SAT IMAGERY OFFER A BRIGHTER DAY SE OF FGEN
ZONE THAT YOU SEE STRETCHED OUT ALONG THE W SLOPES OF THE APPS INTO
THE NW FRINGE OF OUR FA AND NNE. GRIDS JUST UPDATED FOR THE SUNNIER
TREND. A NICE DAY IN PROGRESS. CONTINUING YDYS WARMEST SINCE END OF
DECEMBER /28-29/ TEMPS. ENJOY IT GOOD DAY TO SAFELY CLEAR OFF THE
GRITTY ICE AND SNOW.

FROM THE MID SHIFT BELOW.

WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLIP SOUTH OF THE COAST BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH
LIGHT NORTH WIND DEVELOPING.  AS UPPER TROF AMPLIFIES OVER THE GT
LAKES AND OH VALLEY REGION...MODELS HINTING AT SOME SORT OF
DEFORMATION BAND SETTING UP ACROSS NW ZONES LATE TODAY EXTENDING TO
THE SW.  PRONOUNCED BAND OF 850-700 MB MOISTURE DEVELOPS/MOVES NE
INTO THE INTERIOR AND WITHIN THIS BAND GFS SHOWS A TIGHTENING OF THE
850 MB ISOTHERMS CORRESPONDING TO A DECENT AREA OF LOW LEVEL
FRONTOGENESIS.  AN AREA OF MODEST MID LEVEL OMEGA ALSO DEVELOPS IN
THE SATURATED LAYER.  THIS SUGGESTS SOME RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS WILL
DEVELOP OVER NW ZONES LATE TODAY WHICH IS REFLECTED NICELY BY SREF
POPS AND LIGHT QPF FROM GFS/EC/GGEM/UKMET.  MOS GUIDANCE POPS SEEM
TOO LOW SO WE WILL INCREASE POPS TO 20-30 PERCENT IN THE DISTANT
INTERIOR.

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AGAIN TODAY WITH READINGS RANGING FROM UPPER 30S
NW TO MID/UPPER 40S COASTAL PLAIN.  BLENDED MAV/MET TEMPS WHICH IS
CONSISTENT WITH 2M TEMPS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
DEFORMATION/FGEN LIGHT SNOW MAY PERSIST INTO THE EVENING ACROSS THE
DISTANT INTERIOR...THEN ATTENTION WILL FOCUS ON DEVELOPING COASTAL
LOW.

MODELS FINALLY APPEAR TO BE CONVERGING TOWARD TRACK OF COASTAL LOW
PRES FOR LATE TONIGHT AND TUE.  ALL GUIDANCE PRETTY MUCH TAKE LOW
JUST SE OF BENCHMARK TUE AFTERNOON.  THE NAM IS FURTHEST EAST WHILE
OTHER MODELS ARE CLUSTERED TOGETHER ALTHOUGH MANY OF THE GFS
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ARE A LITTLE FURTHER WEST WHICH HAS IMPACT ON QPF
FROM THE ENSEMBLE MEAN.

BASED ON THE FORECAST TRACK...BULK OF HEAVIER PRECIP WITH THE STORM
SHOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE.  HOWEVER...ALL MODELS HAVE NOTABLE INVERTED
TROF HANGING BACK TO THE WEST ACROSS SNE WHICH IS SFC REFLECTION OF
THE STRONG SHORTWAVE/UPPER LOW TO THE WEST.  THIS FEATURE WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN PERIODS OF SNOW LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY DURING
TUE.

DESPITE CONSENSUS WITH THE TRACK...THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE
VARIABILITY WITH THE EXPECTED QPF ASSOCD WITH THE INVERTED TROF. NAM
AND GFS KEEP STEADIER PRECIP CONFINED TO CAPE/ISLANDS WITH VERY
LIGHT QPF FURTHER WEST.  HOWEVER...ECMWF/SREF/GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN HAVE
CONSIDERABLY MORE QPF EXTENDING BACK ACROSS MUCH OF SNE...0.25 TO
0.5+ FROM THE EC AND GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN.  GIVEN THE STRENGTH AND
AMPLITUDE OF THE UPPER TROF TO THE WEST AND INVERTED TROF WE WILL
LEAN TOWARD A BLEND OF ECMWF/SREF.  GOOD UPPER LEVEL QG FORCING AND
CONVERGENCE SHOULD PRODUCE LIGHT TO POSSIBLY MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS
TUE.  THE ECMWF HAS BEEN THE MOST CONSISTENT MODEL WITH THIS STORM
AND OUR CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER WITH THE ECMWF.  WE BLENDED IN THE SREF
WHICH IS A BIT LIGHTER WITH THE QPF TO TEMPER OUR EXPECTED ACCUMS.

PTYPE SHOULD BE ALL SNOW BY LATE TONIGHT...WITH POSSIBLE EXCEPTION
OF CAPE/ISLANDS WHERE ECMWF AND SREF INDICATE SOME BL ISSUES THROUGH
EARLY TUE MORNING BEFORE COLUMN COOLS...SO WE HAVE MIX/RAIN SNOW
HERE THROUGH EARLY TUE THEN TRANSITIONING TO SNOW.

OUR INITIAL ESTIMATE ON SNOW ACCUMULATION IS AN INCH OR LESS
TONIGHT...MAINLY INTERIOR.  THEN 1-4 FOR MUCH OF SNE ON TUE.
ADVISORIES MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED. BUT THERE IS STILL SOME DEGREE
OF UNCERTAINTY DUE TO MODEL QPF SPREAD.  IT COULD END UP LESS.

NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE INCREASING DURING TUE ALONG THE COAST AS LOW
DEEPENS.  GUSTS TO 30-35 MPH EXPECTED WITH UP TO 40 MPH
CAPE/ISLANDS.

TUESDAY NIGHT...
WE WILL CONTINUE TO LEAN OUR FORECAST TOWARDS THE ECMWF WHICH SHOWS
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION FOR MUCH OF OUR REGION TUESDAY NIGHT.
THIS MODEL HAS BEEN FAR SUPERIOR TO THE OTHER MODELS OUTSIDE 36 HOURS FOR
MOST OF OUR EVENTS THIS WINTER.  WE ALSO NOTICED THAT THE LATEST
SREF/GFS ENSEMBLES HAVE MANY MEMBERS THAT ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE
ECMWF...DESPITE THE 00Z OPERATIONAL NAM/GFS SHOWING LITTLE IF ANY
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION.  THEREFORE...WILL CONTINUE WITH LIKELY
POPS FOR SNOW ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT.  THE ECMWF IS
SHOWING A NICE INVERTED TROUGH SIGNATURE. WE COULD SEE AN ADDITIONAL
INCH OR TWO OF SNOW ACCUMULATION TUESDAY NIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
THIS WILL BE IN OUR SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ZONES.  LOW TEMPERATURES
SHOULD BE IN THE TEENS...TO LOWER 20S.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WEDNESDAY...
A FEW LINGERING FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL PLAIN IN THE
MORNING...AND POSSIBLY SOME LEFT OVER LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE
CAPE/ISLANDS.  OTHERWISE...THE DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL RESULT
IN A VERY COLD DAY ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.  DESPITE PARTIAL
SUNSHINE DEVELOPING...WE ONLY EXPECT HIGHS TO TOP OUT IN THE LOW TO
MID 20S ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...TO THE UPPER 20S ON THE COASTAL
PLAIN.  WE LEANED TOWARDS THE COLDER NAM TEMPERATURES BASED ON MODEL
2 METER TEMPERATURE FORECASTS IN THE COLD AIR ADVECTION PATTERN.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...
WITH VERY COLD AIR WORKING INTO THE REGION...WE MAY SEE SOME
SCATTERED OCEAN EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS BRUSH THE OUTER-CAPE FOR A TIME
WEDNESDAY NIGHT/EARLY THURSDAY.  WIND TRAJECTORIES ARE MARGINAL SO
JUST HAVE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS IN THERE FOR NOW.

OTHERWISE...THE DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE NORTHEAST WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING DRY...BUT VERY COLD WEATHER TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND.  LATEST MEX GUIDANCE SEEMS WAY TOO WARM BASED WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BASED ON 2 METER TEMPERATURES FROM
THE ECMWF/NAM.  THERE IS ALSO PLENTY OF SNOW COVER WHICH SHOULD ALSO
HELP TO PROMOTE A VERY COLD NIGHT.  LOWS SHOULD RANGE FROM BELOW
ZERO ACROSS THE INTERIOR HIGH TERRAIN...TO MAINLY THE SINGLE DIGITS
TO LOWER TEENS ELSEWHERE.  SKIES SHOULD BE PARTLY SUNNY ON
THURSDAY...BUT WE ONLY EXPECT HIGH TEMPERATURES TO RECOVER INTO THE
20S ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS.

THURSDAY NIGHT...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION.  MOISTURE
IS LIMITED...BUT THERE MIGHT BE ENOUGH MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND LIFT
FOR A BRIEF BAND OF SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES.  WILL JUST GO
WITH 20 POPS TO COVER THIS POTENTIAL FOR NOW.

FRIDAY...
IF ANY SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES AFFECT THE REGION THEY SHOULD BE OVER
BY MID TO LATE MORNING.  OTHERWISE...A PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY DAY
APPEARS TO BE ON TAP.  WITH THE UPPER TROUGH LIFTING OUT OF THE
REGION...WE WILL SEE TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO MODERATE.  HIGHS SHOULD
TOP OUT WELL INTO THE 30S ACROSS THE REGION.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...
ITS A LONG WAY OFF AND WE ALL KNOW THINGS CAN CHANGE THIS FAR OUT.
HOWEVER...THE GFS ENSEMBLES AND THE ECMWF BOTH AGREE ON AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHEAST.  THIS
SHOULD YIELD RISING HEIGHTS AND BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.  HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE WELL INTO THE
40S ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION.  WE ALSO MAY SEE THE MERCURY REACH 50
ALONG THE COASTAL PLAIN...BUT THAT REMAINS UNCERTAIN THIS FAR OUT.
AS FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES...MOST OF THE TIME IT LOOKS DRY.
HOWEVER...WE COULD SEE A BRIEF SHOWER OR TWO SOMETIME IN THE WARM
AIR ADVECTION PATTERN.  WILL JUST INCLUDE A 20 POP FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST...ESPECIALLY LATE TONIGHT AND TUE FOR
KBDL/KORH/KMHT. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE KBOS/KPVD/KFMH/KHYA/KACK.

VFR CEILINGS AOA 8KFT THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SPRINKLES/FLURRIES
POSSIBLE AFTER 20Z NW KBDL/KORH/KMHT. LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS INTERIOR
AND LOCAL SEA BREEZES COAST...BEFORE LIGHT N WINDS DEVELOP THIS
EVENING.

DELAYED ONSET OF LOWER CIGS AND VSBYS /MVFR/ UNTIL NEARLY DAYBREAK
KBOS/KPVD TO KACK. PTYPE TO START AS SNOW KBOS/KPVD AND RAIN
KFMH/KHYA/KACK...BUT TRANSITION TO SNOW WILL TAKE PLACE ON CAPE COD
AND ISLANDS BY MIDDAY TUE WITH INCREASING NE WINDS GUSTING TO 35KT.

BROUGHT IN SNOW TO KBDL BY 17Z TUE BUT REMOVED ENTIRELY THROUGH TAF
PERIOD KBAF/KORH/KMHT DUE TO LOW PROBABILITY OF ANYTHING MAKING IT
THAT FAR INLAND. BETTER CHANCE FOR THESE TERMINALS AFTER 18Z TUE.

KBOS TERMINAL...LIGHT SEA BREEZE LIKELY /12006KT/ TO OCCUR THROUGH
21Z BEFORE WINDS SHIFT TO 34007KT AS FRONT SAGS S THROUGH TERMINAL
AREA. WX SHOULD NOT IMPACT AAR/S THROUGH EVENING PUSH. SNOW EXPECTED
TO ARRIVE 12Z TUE WITH NE WINDS GUSTING TO 25KT...BUT LOWEST
CONDITIONS SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE TUE AFTERNOON /22Z/ WITH IFR
CIGS/VSBYS LIKELY.

OUTLOOK /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...

TUESDAY NIGHT...MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS LIKELY IN SOME SNOW.

WEDNESDAY...MVFR/IFR CEILINGS MAY LINGER IN THE MORNING PARTICULARLY
IN THE EASTERN SECTIONS...BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE ACROSS MOST
LOCATIONS BY AFTERNOON.

THURSDAY...VFR.

THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR.  HOWEVER...A BRIEF PERIOD OF
MVFR/IFR CEILINGS IS POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING IF A BAND OF SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES AFFECTS THE
REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SCA FOR SEAS CONTINUE FOR OPEN SOUTH COASTAL WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT.
SEAS SUBSIDING BUT REMAIN ABOVE 5 FT. WINDS BECOME LIGHT NORTHERLY
LATER TODAY...INCREASING TONIGHT.

WE ISSUED GALE WATCH TUE EASTERN WATERS FOR STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS
AS LOW PRES DEEPENS TO THE EAST.  GFS SOUNDINGS SUPPORT GUSTS TO
NEAR 40 KT.  SEAS BUILDING TO 10-15 FT EASTERN OUTER WATERS.

TUESDAY NIGHT...SCA WIND GUSTS FROM THE NORTH NORTHWEST ARE EXPECTED
BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE COLD AIR ADVECTION
PATTERN.  LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY WILL ALSO LIKELY DEVELOP.

OUTLOOK /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...

WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WINDS MAY DROP BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS FOR
A TIME ON WEDNESDAY BUT SEAS ON THE OUTER-WATERS WILL REMAIN AT SCA
THRESHOLDS.  HOWEVER...THE WINDS SHOULD PICK BACK UP FROM THE
NORTHWEST WITH SCA WIND GUSTS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO PART OF
THURSDAY WITH A REINFORCING SHOT OF VERY COLD AIR.  IN ADDITION...WE
EXPECT AREAS OF FREEZING SPRAY.

FRIDAY...WINDS SHIFT TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST BUT AIRMASS IS STILL
RELATIVELY COLD AND SHOULD PROMOTE GOOD MIXING.  THIS WILL LIKELY
YIELD SCA WIND GUSTS.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     ANZ231-232-250-254-255.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR ANZ235-237.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY
     FOR ANZ254-255.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KJC/FRANK
NEAR TERM...KJC/DRAG
SHORT TERM...KJC
LONG TERM...FRANK
AVIATION...DRAG/FRANK/JWD
MARINE...KJC/DRAG/FRANK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1152 AM EST MON FEB 2 2009

CTZ002>004-MAZ005>007-013>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-031700-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
NANTUCKET MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
1152 AM EST MON FEB 2 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

LIGHT SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION LATE TONIGHT.
THE PRECIPITATION MAY START AS RAIN ACROSS THE CAPE AND ISLANDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A SERIES OF COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL LIKELY BRING A LIGHT TO
MODERATE SNOWFALL TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY.

THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MAY BE ISSUED
TUESDAY MORNING FOR PARTS OF THE REGION.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF WARNING SNOW AMOUNTS /WATCH-WARNING
PROCESS/ FOR PLYMOUTH AND BARNSTABLE COUNTIES BETWEEN 9 AM TUESDAY
AND 9 AM WEDNESDAY. NASTY TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED AT TIMES
LATE TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY FOR COASTAL PLYMOUTH COUNTY AND
THE UPPER CAPE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ231-232-250-254-255-031700-
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS
VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM-
1152 AM EST MON FEB 2 2009

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

GALE WATCH.

IN ADDITION...AREAS OF FREEZING SPRAY ARE ALSO EXPECTED TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AS VERY COLD AIR MOVES OVER THE WATERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230-233>237-031700-
BOSTON HARBOR-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
1152 AM EST MON FEB 2 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

COASTAL LOW PRESSURE MAY BRING A PERIOD OF MARGINAL NORTHEAST GALE
FORCE WIND GUSTS TO THE REGION ON TUESDAY.

AREAS OF FREEZING SPRAY ARE ALSO EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY AS VERY COLD AIR MOVES OVER THE WATERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MAZ002>004-008>012-031700-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
1152 AM EST MON FEB 2 2009

...AIR QUALITY ALERT IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS AND
WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   AIR QUALITY ALERT.

LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL
MASSACHUSETTS LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A SERIES OF COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL BRING A LIGHT TO POSSIBLY
MODERATE SNOWFALL FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS TUESDAY INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MAY NEED TO
BE ISSUED TUESDAY MORNING FOR PARTS OF THIS AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DRAG