Small Craft Advisory 101, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

994 
WHUS71 KBOX 230003
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
803 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2009

ANZ231>234-230815-
/O.EXP.KBOX.SC.Y.0100.000000T0000Z-091023T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KBOX.SC.Y.0101.091023T0600Z-091023T1400Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
803 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

FOLLOWING A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE AROUND MIDNIGHT...GUSTY NORTH WINDS
UP TO 30 KT WILL DEVELOP.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ230-235>237-250-251-254>256-230815-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0101.091023T0600Z-091023T1400Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
803 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT
FRIDAY. 

GUSTY NORTH WINDS UP TO 30 KT WILL DEVELOP FOLLOWING A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE AROUND MIDNIGHT. AND SEAS WILL BUILD UP TO 8 FEET
ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RLG

908 
WHUS71 KBOX 230220
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1020 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2009

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-231030-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0101.091023T0220Z-091023T1400Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1020 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT FRIDAY.

GUSTY WINDS AROUND 25 KTS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS
THROUGH MIDNIGHT. THEN AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS...
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KT GUSTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RLG

814 
WHUS71 KBOX 230757
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
357 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

ANZ231>237-231600-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091023T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.SC.Y.0102.091023T2300Z-091025T0000Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
357 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM
EDT THIS MORNING. 

A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS THIS MORNING...SHIFTING WINDS TO 
THE NORTH AND INCREASING THEM TO 25 TO 30 KT GUSTS. TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH ACROSS THE WATERS WILL COMBINE
WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET TO PRODUCE SOUTHERLY WINDS 25 TO 30 KTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ230-231600-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091023T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.SC.Y.0102.091024T0600Z-091025T0000Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-
357 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS THIS MORNING...SHIFTING WINDS TO 
THE NORTH AND INCREASING THEM TO 25 TO 30 KT GUSTS. TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH ACROSS THE WATERS WILL COMBINE
WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET TO PRODUCE SOUTHERLY WINDS 25 TO 30 KTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-251-231600-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091023T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.SC.Y.0102.091024T0600Z-091025T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
357 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS THIS MORNING...SHIFTING WINDS TO 
THE NORTH AND INCREASING THEM TO 25 TO 30 KT GUSTS. TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH ACROSS THE WATERS WILL COMBINE
WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET TO PRODUCE SOUTHERLY WINDS 25 TO 30 KTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254>256-231600-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091025T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
357 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY. 

A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE WATERS THIS MORNING...SHIFTING WINDS TO 
THE NORTH AND INCREASING THEM TO 25 TO 30 KT GUSTS. TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH ACROSS THE WATERS WILL COMBINE
WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET TO PRODUCE SOUTHERLY WINDS 25 TO 30 KTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

RLG

571 
WHUS71 KBOX 231411
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1011 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

ANZ230-232215-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091023T1400Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0102.091024T0600Z-091025T0000Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-
1011 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
2 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR BOSTON HARBOR. 

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR BOSTON HARBOR IS NO LONGER EFFECT FOR
TODAY.

HOWEVER IT REMAINS IN EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. A WARM 
FRONT LIFTING NORTH ACROSS THE WATERS WILL COMBINE WITH A STRONG LOW
LEVEL JET TO PRODUCE SOUTHERLY WINDS 25 TO 30 KTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231>237-232215-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091023T1700Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0102.091023T2300Z-091025T0000Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
1011 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM
THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR THE CLOSER TO SHORE WATERS 
OF THE SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND COAST.

GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS TO NEAR 25 KNOTS AT MID MORNING WILL SLOWLY
DECREASE DURING MIDDAY TODAY. 

THEN TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH ACROSS
THE WATERS WILL COMBINE WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET TO PRODUCE
SOUTHERLY WINDS 25 TO 30 KTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-251-232215-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091023T2300Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0102.091024T0600Z-091025T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
1011 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO
8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR THE NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS.

NORTHEAST WINDS STILL GUSTING TO NEAR 25 KNOTS DURING MID MORNING 
WILL DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON WITH SEAS DROPPING BELOW THE ADVISORY
THRESHOLD FOR A SHORT TIME THIS EVENING.

THEN TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH ACROSS
THE WATERS WILL COMBINE WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET TO PRODUCE
SOUTHERLY WINDS 25 TO 30 KTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254>256-232215-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091025T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1011 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
THE OUTER WATERS OFF THE SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND COAST.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST AROUND 25 KNOTS THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
AND SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE ADVISORY THRESHOLDS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

A STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY JET WILL PRODUCE SOUTHERLY WINDS 25 TO
30 KTS SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


DRAG

068 
WHUS71 KBOX 232007
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
407 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

ANZ250-251-240415-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091023T2300Z/
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0102.091023T2007Z-091025T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.A.0027.091025T0000Z-091025T0900Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
407 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT FOR THE NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY.

NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS EVENING WILL
GRADUALLY TURN SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AND INCREASE ABOUT 5 KNOTS BY
SATURDAY MORNING.

WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHERLY DURING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST SATURDAY EVENING WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 40 KNOTS
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY NEAR A BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS. 

WINDS WILL FINALLY SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS FOR A TIME AT
DAWN SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ230>237-240415-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0102.091023T2007Z-091025T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.A.0027.091025T0000Z-091025T0900Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
407 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT FOR MOST OF THE CLOSER TO SHORE WATERS ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTS. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT
UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY.

NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS EVENING WILL
GRADUALLY TURN SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AND INCREASE ABOUT 5 KNOTS BY
SATURDAY MORNING.

WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHERLY DURING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST SATURDAY EVENING WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 40 KNOTS
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY NEAR A BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS. 

WINDS WILL FINALLY SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS FOR A TIME AT
DAWN SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ254>256-240415-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091025T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.A.0027.091025T0000Z-091025T0900Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
407 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT FOR THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND. 
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY.

NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS EVENING WILL
GRADUALLY TURN SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AND INCREASE ABOUT 5 KNOTS BY
SATURDAY MORNING.

WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHERLY DURING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST SATURDAY EVENING WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 40 KNOTS
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY NEAR A BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS. 

WINDS WILL FINALLY SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS FOR A TIME AT
DAWN SUNDAY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

811 
WHUS71 KBOX 240116
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
916 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

ANZ230>237-250-251-240930-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-091025T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0027.091025T0000Z-091025T0900Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
916 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY.
A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT. 

EASTERLY WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL GRADUALLY TURN
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AND INCREASE ABOUT 5 KNOTS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHERLY DURING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SATURDAY EVENING WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND
40 KNOTS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY NEAR A BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS.

WINDS WILL FINALLY SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS FOR A
TIME AT DAWN SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ254>256-240930-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091025T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0027.091025T0000Z-091025T0900Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
916 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY.
A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT. 

EASTERLY WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 15 TO 25 KNOTS WILL GRADUALLY TURN
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AND INCREASE ABOUT 5 KNOTS BY SATURDAY MORNING.

WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHERLY DURING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SATURDAY EVENING WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND
40 KNOTS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY NEAR A BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS.

WINDS WILL FINALLY SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS FOR A
TIME AT DAWN SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

370 
WHUS71 KBOX 240752
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
352 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

ANZ230>237-250-251-241600-
/O.UPG.KBOX.SC.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-091025T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0034.091024T2200Z-091025T0800Z/
/O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0027.091025T0000Z-091025T0900Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
352 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EDT
SUNDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

EASTERLY WINDS WILL GUST AROUND 30 KNOTS EARLY ON THIS
MORNING...WHICH A LOW PROB OF A FEW GUSTS AROUND 35 KNOTS. THE WINDS
WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THE
STRONGEST SOUTHERLY GUSTS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING JUST AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR THIS EVENING AS WELL...AND
THESE MAY BRING HIGHER GUSTS TO THE SURFACE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254>256-241600-
/O.UPG.KBOX.SC.Y.0101.000000T0000Z-091025T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0034.091024T2200Z-091025T0800Z/
/O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0027.091025T0000Z-091025T0900Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
352 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EDT
SUNDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

EASTERLY WINDS WILL GUST AROUND 30 KNOTS EARLY ON THIS
MORNING...WHICH A LOW PROB OF A FEW GUSTS AROUND 35 KNOTS. THE WINDS
WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THE
STRONGEST SOUTHERLY GUSTS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING JUST AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR THIS EVENING AS WELL...AND
THESE MAY BRING HIGHER GUSTS TO THE SURFACE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
431 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING
WITH A SHARP COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT.
COOL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY.  LOW PRESSURE
SATURDAY WILL BRING HEAVY SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY DRY AND SEASONABLE WEATHER SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
WHILE MOST OF THE REGION HAS EXPERIENCED A WARM AFTERNOON WITH TEMPS
IN THE LOW TO MID 70S...MUCH OF BOSTON AND POINTS NORTH TO CAPE ANN
AND NORTHWEST INTO THE MERRIMACK VALLEY OF SOUTHEAST NH HAVE BEEN
STUCK IN THE UPPER 50S AND LOW 60S. THE CULPRIT HAS BEEN A SLOW
MOVING WARM FRONT THIS MORNING THAT HAS TRANSITIONED INTO BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT WITH COOL EAST WINDS ACROSS THIS REGION. THIS BOUNDARY
SHOWS UP NICELY ON TDWR FROM SOUTH WEYMOUTH MA.

AT 3 PM THIS BOUNDARY HAS PROPAGATED NORTHWEST INTO THE I495
CORRIDOR OF NORTHEAST MA. TRICKY TEMP AND WIND FORECAST HERE GIVEN
VAD WIND PROFILE INDICATING THIS BOUNDARY IS VERY SHALLOW WITH 1 KFT
WINDS SW. THINK THIS BOUNDARY WILL ERODE EARLY THIS EVENING AS COLD
FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND DROPS SOUTHWARD AND WESTERLY PRES
GRADIENT INCREASE. SO SHOULD SEE A WIND SHIFT TO THE WEST THIS
EVENING WITH TEMPS LIKELY RISING THROUGH THE 60S BEFORE FALLING
LATER TONIGHT WITH THE FROPA.

FROPA WILL OCCUR 03Z-06Z ACROSS THE REGION WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST. EXPECT A DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE DESPITE SOME FORCING
EXPECTED WITH THE FRONT. MOISTURE IS LACKING SO NOT EXPECTING ANY
PRECIP. SHARP TEMP GRADIENT WITH NOTICEABLY COOLER TEMPS AS 925
TEMPS FALL FROM +16C THIS EVENING TO NEAR 0C BY 12Z THIS WIND SHIFT
TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH HIGHEST GUSTS OVER EASTERN MA INCLUDING CAPE COD AND THE
ISLANDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
MUCH COOLER TOMORROW THAN TODAY WITH HIGHS ABOUT 20 DEGS COOLER IN
MOST LOCATIONS AS COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH OF THE REGION. BRISK
NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS IN THE MORNING WILL ABATE BY MIDDAY. SUNSHINE
WILL LIKELY BE FILTERED BY HIGH CLOUDS ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN
MA/CT AND RI.

FRI NIGHT...
DRY WEATHER SHOULD PREVAIL DURING THE EVENING HOURS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS RI AND EASTERN MA. SHOWERS WILL BE ADVANCING EASTWARD FROM NY
STATE AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY RETURNING AS A
WARM FRONT. MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT REGARDING TIMING WITH GFS ON
THE FAST SIDE OF THE ENVELOPE AND THE NAM THE SLOWEST OF THE GUID.
THE 15Z SREF AND 12Z ECMWF IN THE MIDDLE OF THE PACK WITH WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS OVERSPREADING THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT AND POSSIBLY WAITING
TIL DAYBREAK SAT ACROSS THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. THIS SEEMS REASONABLE
GIVEN THE ARRIVAL OF MODEST SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT AND PWATS QUICKLY
RISING TO 1.5 INCHES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
DRAFT 430 PM UPDATE: BRIEFLY REVIEWING SREF/GEFS ENSEMBLES FOR FLOOD
POTENTIAL...GENERAL AREAL RAINFALL ISOPLETHS AND HIGH WIND PROCEDURES...
THE FOLLOWING IS A QUICK ASSESSMENT. COMPLETED 1256PM.

1) WIND ADVY POTENTIAL RI AND E MASS EARLY SAT NIGHT. 3 HRLY PRES
FALLS OF 3-4/MB...COMBINED WITH 925MB SSW WIND OF NEAR 65 KTS...AND
MARGINAL LAPSE RATES ARGUE FOR A WIND ADVY A PTN OF E MA COAST.
MODELS TEND TO UNDERPLAY THE INTERIOR WARMING AWAY FROM THE S COAST
AND THAT EXTRA DEG OR 2 IN THE BL LAPSE RATE OFFERS A WIND PROBLEM.
ANY TREES STILL PARTIALLY OR FULLY LEAVED...ACTING AS LARGE WET SAILS
COULD RESULT IN UPROOTS/LIMBS BREAKING AND POWER OUTAGES IF GUSTS
NEAR 40 KTS. NO WATCH OR ADVY ATTM BUT POTENTIAL EXISTS. THUNDER
MIGHT ENHANCE TRANSFER FOR DAMAGING WIND.

2) FLOOD POTENTIAL... ATTM SEE THIS AS MAINLY BLO THREAT LEVEL.
DEPENDS ON TARGET OF MORE THAN ISOLATED 4 INCH RAINS BUT
ATTM...SPREAD OUT OVER A LARGE ENOUGH DURATION THAT IT SHOULD
PRECLUDE A SUBSTANTIAL FLOOD PBLM. 00Z/22 GEFS HAD 50-60 PCT PROB OF
2 INCHES OVER A WIDE AREA OF THE INTERIOR. EVEN 4 INCHES WOULD NOT BE
A SUBSTANTIAL PBLM. FUTURE MODEL GUIDANCE MAY DICTATE OTRW. WOULD
LIKE TO SEE THE ECMWF BECOME MORE ROBUST IN FUTURE CYCLES TO BECOME
CONCERNED.

FROM THE MID SHIFT BELOW...

LOW PRESSURE TRACKS NE FROM THE GT LAKES FRI NIGHT WITH WARM FRONT
APPROACHING SNE FROM THE SOUTH.  DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET WILL
INCREASE MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO SNE AND COMBINED WITH ISENTROPIC
LIFT WILL RESULT IN SHOWERS OVERSPREADING THE REGION FROM WEST TO
EAST DURING FRI NIGHT.  NAM APPEARS TOO SLOW MOVING THE SHOWERS IN
BASED ON MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND REST OF MODEL GUIDANCE WHICH IS
FASTER.  WE USED A BLEND OF THE SREF AND GFS FOR POPS WITH LIKELY TO
CATEGORICAL POPS FOR MOST OF THE REGION...EXCEPT CHC FOR
CAPE/ISLANDS.  BULK OF SHOWERS SHOULD HOLD OFF TIL AFTER MIDNIGHT IN
THE COASTAL PLAIN.

WARM FRONT LIFTS TO THE NORTH DURING SATURDAY WITH SNE GETTING INTO
WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH NEW YORK STATE.
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL BRING ANOMALOUSLY HIGH PWATS INTO SNE
SO PERIODS OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY W ZONES CLOSEST TO APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
TEMPS WILL REACH THE 60S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...BUT A LITTLE
COOLER NW HIGHER TERRAIN.

IT WILL BECOME BREEZY IN THE COASTAL PLAIN BUT LOW LEVEL INVERSION
SHOULD PREVENT STRONGER WINDS ALOFT FROM MIXING DOWN.

COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS SNE SAT NIGHT AND THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL MAY
OCCUR DURING THIS TIME.  LOW LEVEL JET INTENSIFIES AHEAD OF THE
FRONT AS IT MOVES EAST ACROSS SNE WITH NAM INDICATING 75 KT AT 925
MB ACROSS SE NEW ENG LATE SAT NIGHT.  PWATS SPIKE TO 1.5-2...SWI
DROP BELOW ZERO AND RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF STRONG UPPER JET
APPROACHES.  THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND
EMBEDDED TSTMS MOVING THROUGH SNE ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE
FRONT.  TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH SAT NIGHT WILL AVERAGE 1-2 BUT ISOLD
3-4 POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF CONVECTION.  LLJ/PWAT ANOMALY IS +3SD
WHICH IS INDICATIVE OF HEAVY RAINFALL.

WIND WILL BE THE OTHER CONCERN FOR SAT NIGHT AS STRONG LLJ MOVES
ACROSS THE REGION WITH ANY CONVECTION BRINGING AN ENHANCED THREAT OF
STRONG WIND GUSTS.  BEST THREAT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY BE
IN THE COASTAL PLAIN WHERE STRONGEST LOW LEVEL WINDS...AND MILDER
TEMPS RESULTING IN BETTER MIXING.  IT WILL BE A MILD NIGHT WITH
TEMPS LIKELY REMAINING IN THE 60S FOR A GOOD PART OF THE NIGHT...BUT
COOLING W ZONES LATE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

SUNDAY...COLD FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE SO EXPECTING A DRY DAY WITH
SEASONABLE TEMPS.  DEPENDING ON TIMING OF FROPA...COULD HAVE A FEW
LINGERING SHOWERS OVER OUTER CAPE/ISLANDS EARLY IN THE MORNING.

MONDAY...HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL FOR ANOTHER DRY DAY BUT COOLER
TEMPS.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE LOW.  GFS/UKMET/GGEM
INDICATE LOW PRES DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTH OF NEW ENG WITH HIGH PRES
TO THE NE.  ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SO HAVE MOCLDY SKIES
WITH LOW CHC POPS.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
TONIGHT...
STUBBORN FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS EASTERN MA WILL PERSIST UNTIL ABOUT
00Z. THEREAFTER EXPECT WINDS AT LOGAN TO SHIFT FROM EAST TO WEST-
SOUTHWEST. OTHERWISE VFR WITH A DECK OF CIGS AROUND 030 BEGINNING
03-06Z ASSOCIATED WITH CDFRONT. BEHIND THE FRONT WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. A LOW PROB OF 34 KT 06Z-09Z AT
BOS/HYA/FMH AND ACK.

FRI...
VFR WITH DIMINISHING WIND.

FRI NIGHT...
MVFR CIGS WITH RAIN ARRIVING AROUND 04Z BDL/BAF AND THEN AROUND
09Z-10Z AT BOS/PVD/HYA/FMH/ACK. CIGS WILL ALSO LOWER TO IFR TOWARD
MORNING.

OUTLOOK /SAT THROUGH MONDAY/...

SAT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP IN PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN/LOW CLOUDS. IN
ADDITION...LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS MAY BE A
CONCERN FOR A TIME ON SATURDAY AND ESPECIALLY SAT NIGHT WITH A STRONG
LOW LEVEL JET.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY...GENERALLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
TONIGHT...
S-SW WINDS GUSTING TO 25 KT SOUTH COAST NEAR SHORE THIS EVENING.
THEN WIND SHIFT TO THE N-NE AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH GUSTS 20-30 KT. LOW
PROB OF GUSTS TO 35 KT EASTERN MA WATERS.

FRIDAY...
N-NE WINDS DIMINISH AS HIGH PRES NOSES SOUTHWARD INTO NEW ENGLAND
WATERS.

FRI NIGHT...
SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASE TO 20-25 KT LATE. SHOWERS OVERSPREAD THE
WATERS FROM WEST TO EAST.

OUTLOOK /SAT THROUGH MONDAY/...

THE POTENTIAL FOR MARGINAL GALE FORCE SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS DURING SAT
AND ESPECIALLY SAT NIGHT AS THE STRONGEST LOW LEVEL WINDS MOVE
THROUGH.

WHILE GALE NOT ADVERTISED BY 09Z/22 SREF ON SLY FLOW...WE CONTINUE TO
MONITOR SLY GALE POTENTIAL FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS...ACK/MVY/BUZZ
BAY/BOS HARBOR/MERR RVR TO PYM NEARSHORE WATERS AND MAYBE NARR CC
BAYS.

WINDS MAY BE ENHANCED WITH ANY CONVECTION. SEAS BUILDING TO 9-12 FT
OVER SOUTHERN WATERS.

SUNDAY...DIMINISHING WESTERLY WINDS BUT HIGHEST SEAS WILL OCCUR THROUGH
THE MORNING BEFORE SLOWLY SUBSIDING.

MONDAY...NORTHERLY WINDS BELOW SCA BUT SCA SEAS WILL PERSIST OVER
SOUTHERN WATERS.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     ANZ231>234.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR
     ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DRAG/NOCERA
NEAR TERM...NOCERA
SHORT TERM...NOCERA
LONG TERM...KJC/DRAG
AVIATION...KJC/NOCERA
MARINE...KJC/NOCERA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
437 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2009

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-231200-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
437 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY TO CAUSE URBAN POOR DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING
SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING...ESPECIALLY THE INTERIOR. THIS IN
PART DUE TO THE FORECAST 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN FROM SOUTHWEST NEW
HAMPSHIRE THROUGH THE WEST TWO THIRDS OF MASSACHUSETTS...THE NORTHWEST
CORNER OF RHODE ISLAND AND ALL OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST CONNECTICUT.
LEAF CLOGGED STORM DRAINS WILL GREATLY CONTRIBUTE TO THE STANDING
WATER PROBLEM.

WIND ADVISORY SOUTHERLY GUST CONDITIONS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FOR
NORTHEAST CONNECTICUT...THE EASTERN HALF OF MASSACHUSETTS AND ALL OF
RHODE ISLAND LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING MAY ADD
TO THE RISK OF DAMAGING WIND...THE BEST CHANCE SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND.

THE COMBINED WIND RISK RAISES THE LOW PROBABILITY OF UPROOTED TREES...
BROKEN TREE LIMBS AND ASSOCIATED POWER OUTAGES...ESPECIALLY IN THE
BOSTON...PROVIDENCE CORRIDOR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-231200-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
437 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF ISOLATED NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS
BETWEEN 1 AM AND 5 AM LATE TONIGHT IN THE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS
WATERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOUTHERLY GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 40
KNOTS LATE SATURDAY MAINLY... THE NEAR SHORE WATERS...INCLUDING
BOSTON HARBOR AND NARRAGANSETT BAY. BEST CHANCE FOR GALES IS THE
PLYMOUTH TO BOSTON TO GLOUCESTER...NEWBURYPORT NEAR SHORE WATERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DRAG