Gale Warning 28, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

313 
WHUS71 KBOX 092030
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
430 PM EDT WED SEP 9 2009

ANZ250-251-100430-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-090911T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.SW.Y.0038.090909T2030Z-090911T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
430 PM EDT WED SEP 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM
EDT FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WEDNESDAY HAVE RESULTED IN 4 TO 6 FOOT WIND WAVES
ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS WATERS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
SOMEWHAT TONIGHT...HOWEVER A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND OF 15 TO 20 KT
WILL RESULT IN SEAS REMAINING ROUGH ACROSS THESE WATERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID
SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING
WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK
MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED.
REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

&&

$$

ANZ230-236-092130-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-090909T2200Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
430 PM EDT WED SEP 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED AS OF LATE WEDNESDAY ACROSS
BOSTON HARBOR AND NARRAGANSETT BAY. THEREFORE THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

$$

ANZ256-100430-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-090910T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.W.0028.090910T1000Z-090911T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
430 PM EDT WED SEP 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY.

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO THE MARITIMES
THURSDAY AND WILL COMBINE WITH LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TO
YIELD NORTHEAST GALES ACROSS THE WATERS SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 10 FEET THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231>235-237-254-255-100430-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-090911T1200Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
430 PM EDT WED SEP 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY. 

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO THE MARITIMES
THURSDAY AND WILL COMBINE WITH LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TO
YIELD GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

NOCERA

035 
WHUS71 KBOX 100308
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1108 PM EDT WED SEP 9 2009

ANZ256-101115-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-090910T1000Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.W.0028.090910T1000Z-090911T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1108 PM EDT WED SEP 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY
FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING
OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND.

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO THE
MARITIMES THURSDAY AND WILL COMBINE WITH LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST TO YIELD NORTHEAST GALES ACROSS THE WATERS SOUTH
OF BLOCK ISLAND.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 10 FEET THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231>235-237-254-255-101115-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-090911T1200Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
1108 PM EDT WED SEP 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY
FOR CAPE COD BAY...NANTUCKET SOUND...VINEYARD SOUND...BUZZARDS BAY...
RHODE ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL
WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET.

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO THE
MARITIMES THURSDAY AND WILL COMBINE WITH LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST TO YIELD GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS
THROUGH FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-251-101115-
/O.CON.KBOX.SW.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-090911T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
1108 PM EDT WED SEP 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
8 AM EDT FRIDAY COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN
BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY...MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY.

GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WEDNESDAY RESULTED IN 4 TO 6 FOOT WIND WAVES
ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS WATERS. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED
BUT A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND OF 15 TO 20 KT WILL RESULT IN SEAS
REMAINING ROUGH ACROSS THESE WATERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID
SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING
WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK
MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED.
REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

&&

$$

600 
WHUS71 KBOX 100824
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
424 AM EDT THU SEP 10 2009

ANZ256-101630-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-090912T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KBOX.GL.W.0028.090910T1000Z-090911T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
424 AM EDT THU SEP 10 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
FRIDAY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD
EXTENDING OUT TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND.

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC WILL BE CENTERED ACROSS THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES TODAY AND WILL COMBINE WITH LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST TO BRING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ACROSS 
HE WATERS SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 10 FEET THROUGH FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231>235-237-254-255-101630-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-090912T0000Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
424 AM EDT THU SEP 10 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY
FOR CAPE COD BAY...NANTUCKET SOUND...VINEYARD SOUND...BUZZARDS BAY...
RHODE ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM
PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL
WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC WILL BE CENTERED ACROSS THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES TODAY AND WILL COMBINE WITH LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST TO BRING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ACROSS 
THE WATERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-251-101630-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SW.Y.0038.000000T0000Z-090912T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
424 AM EDT THU SEP 10 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NOW IN EFFECT
UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY
AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY...MASSACHUSETTS
BAY AND IPSWICH BAY.

A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST TO EAST WIND OF 15 TO 20 KT WILL RESULT
IN SEAS REMAINING ROUGH ACROSS THESE WATERS WITH 3 TO 6 FOOT SEAS
EXPECTED.

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC WILL BE CENTERED ACROSS THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES TODAY AND WILL COMBINE WITH LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST TO BRING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ACROSS 
THE WATERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID
SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING
WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK
MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED.
REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1026 PM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FROM SOUTHEAST CANADA INTO NEW ENGLAND BECOMES STRONGER
AS IT RE-CENTERS OVER THE MARITIMES WED NIGHT PRODUCING GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS HERE ON WEDNESDAY. MEANWHILE...A DEVELOPING GALE
CENTER CURRENTLY ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WILL TRACK SLOWLY
UP THE COAST...THEN PROBABLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES NEAR SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. BEFORE THEN IT WILL DELIVER A PERIOD OF WIND DRIVEN RAINS
LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. DRY AND QUIET WEATHER SHOULD PREVAIL THIS
COMING SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO NEW ENGLAND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
LITTLE CHANGE TO THE CURRENT FORECAST EXCEPT TO MAKE SOME MODIFICATIONS
TO INCREASE HOURLY TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS DUE TO PREVALENT HIGH
CLOUD COVER WHICH IS FAIRLY DENSE SOUTH OF THE MASS PIKE.

A FEW SPRINKLES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR SOUTH COAST OVERNIGHT
ASSOCIATED A MID LEVEL AC DECK AND WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT AVAILABLE
NEARBY. AGAIN ANY PRECIPITATION WHICH OCCURS IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LIGHT.

SOME STRATUS OR STRATOCUMULUS MAY FORM WITH THE NEARBY SPRINKLES
ACROSS THE FAR SOUTH COAST. ALSO STRATOCUMULUS WILL BE FOUND IN THE
VICINITY OF THE BACKDOOR FRONT AS IT CROSSES THE INTERIOR OVERNIGHT.
THE 18Z NAM SHOWS THIS FAIRLY WELL AND IT IS ALSO CURRENTLY BEING
DETECTED BY UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS ACROSS NOVA SCOTIA.

FOG PATCHES WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE INTERIOR BEFORE WINDS PICK UP
NEAR DAYBREAK. THE FOG COULD BE LOCALLY DENSE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CT RIVER VALLEY BEFORE THIS OCCURS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OVER NEW ENGLAND CENTERING OVER MAINE AND NOVA
SCOTIA WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  AS LOW PRESSURE OFF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA
SLOWLY CREEPS UP THE COAST...EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE
ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. DESPITE
THE FACT THAT THIS IS A DAY 2 FORECAST...THE MODELS ARE HAVING
DIFFICULTY WITH THE LOCATION AND TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.
ONLY THE GFS HAS ANY QPF OUTPUT PRIOR TO 12Z THURSDAY.  NOT
ANTICIPATING ANY PRECIPITATION PRIOR TO THAT TIME.  HAVE PUT SLIGHT
CHANCE TO VERY LOW END CHANCE POPS ONTO THE SOUTH COAST LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT ONLY.  EXPECT THE CLOUDY SKIES TO PERSIST WITH
MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND DURING THE
DAY WEDNESDAY WITH SOME THICKENING AND LOWERING OF CLOUDS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

THE WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN DURING THIS PERIOD OF THE
FORECAST.  THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY THAT A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE
NECESSARY FOR THE CAPE AND ISLANDS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  WILL LET
LATER SHIFTS MAKE THE FINAL DECISION ON THE ISSUANCE OF AN
ADVISORY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
12Z MODEL CONSENSUS THIS PERIOD /ESPECIALLY WITH APPROACHING COASTAL
STORM/ IS VERY CLOSE TO THE 12Z GFS...WITH THE 12Z NAM A SLOW
OUTLIER. ADDITIONAL SUPPORT FOR THE GFS COMES FROM THE 15Z SREF POPS
WHICH ARE CONSIDERABLY HIGHER THAN THE 12Z METNAM MOS POPS...MORE IN
LINE WITH THE 12Z MAVMOS POPS. THEREFORE THIS FORECAST WAS BASED
HEAVILY ON THE 12Z GFS...WHICH IS VERY SIMILAR TO OUR 4 AM FORECAST.

POTENTIAL HAZARDS WITH THIS EVENT INCLUDE WIND ADVISORY AND HIGH
SURF ADVISORY. GALE WATCH ALREADY ISSUED FOR THE SOUTH COASTAL WATERS.

TIDES ARE NEAR NORMAL....SO IT WILL TAKE QUITE A SUBSTANTIAL EVENT
TO GENERATE ANYTHING MORE THAN MODEST SPLASHOVER THU/FRI.

COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPS THU AND FRI WITH ONSHORE FLOW AND PRECIP.

THURSDAY...
COASTAL STORM APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH. VERY SHORT HALF WAVE LENGTH
FROM TROF TO RIDGE AXIS. THEREFORE THERE WILL BE A SHARP CUTOFF IN
THE PRECIP SHIELD FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. AS A RESULT HIGHEST
PROBABILITY OF RAIN THU WILL BE ACROSS CT...RI AND SOUTHEAST MA WITH
THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION POSSIBLY REMAINING DRY MUCH OF THE DAY.
A WIND DRIVEN RAIN IS LIKELY ACROSS THE SOUTH COAST ESPECIALLY LATE
IN THE DAY.

AS WE DRAW CLOSER TO THE EVENT A WIND ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED
FOR THE SOUTH COAST AS EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE LIKELY PER GFS MOS AND 15Z SREF.

THURSDAY NIGHT...
RIDGE OVER THE MARITIMES BEGINS TO SLIDE SEAWARD ALLOWING COASTAL
STORM TO DRIFT NORTHWARD. THIS SHOWS UP NICELY IN 12Z GEFS POPS OF
0.05 QPF WITH VALUES INCREASING TO FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. STRONG LOW
LEVEL EASTERLY INFLOW WILL LIKELY YIELD RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES WITH
PROBABLY SOME ENHANCED RAINFALL OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE
WORCESTER HILLS/EAST SLOPES OF BERKSHIRES AND THE MONADNOCKS. THIS
STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A WIND SWEPT RAIN FOR THE
COASTAL PLAIN.

FRIDAY...
MID LEVEL LOW BECOMES AN OPEN WAVE DURING THIS TIME WHICH RESULTS IN
COASTAL STORM WEAKENING. THEREFORE EXPECTING LESS WIND FRI
ESPECIALLY AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. HOWEVER PERIODS OF RAIN WILL
CONTINUE AS DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AND LIFT CONTINUES TO CIRCULATE
ACROSS THE REGION.

SATURDAY...
MID LEVEL TROF REMAINS OVER THE REGION ALONG WITH LIGHT ONSHORE
FLOW. NOT EXPECTING SUBSTANTIAL RAINFALL SAT AS MOISTURE BECOMES
SHALLOW WITH TIME. THUS COULD BE MORE DRIZZLE THAN SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL.

SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
DRY WEATHER SHOULD RETURN SUNDAY AS MID LEVEL TROF MOVES OFFSHORE.
CLOUDS MAY LINGER AS LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES NORTHERLY. TEMPS SHOULD
REBOUND WITH SOME SUNSHINE AND DRY WEATHER. WE REMOVED POPS FOR TUE
AS BOTH THE 12Z GFS/ECMWF AND GEFS ALL INDICATE DRY NORTHWEST FLOW
INTO NEW ENGLAND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. TEMPS APPEAR TO BE AT OR
ABOVE AVERAGE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
TONIGHT...VFR. MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE MVFR CEILINGS JUST AHEAD OF A
BACK DOOR COLD FROPA AFTER MIDNIGHT 06Z-12Z. LCL IFR CEILINGS AND
VSBYS IN FOG PATCHES ACROSS THE CT RIVER VALLEY FROM 08Z TO 12Z.

WEDNESDAY...VFR. OCCASIONAL MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE...MAINLY SOUTH COAST.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MAINLY VFR. MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE...MAINLY SOUTH OF
THE MASS PIKE.

OUTLOOK /THU THROUGH SUNDAY/...

THU...VFR/MVFR CIGS SHOULD HOLD ON MUCH OF THU. WIND GUSTS OF 34 KT
AND GREATER POSSIBLE ACK/HYA AND FMH.

THU NGT THRU SAT...IFR LIKELY. STRONG NE WINDS OF 34 KT AND GREATER
POSSIBLE ACK/HYA AND FMH THU NGT INTO EARLY FRI.

SUN...IMPROVING TO VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SEAS WILL INCREASE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...REMAINING BELOW 5 FT
THROUGH TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY INCREASING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT/EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.  SEAS MAY REACH 8 TO 12 FEET ON THE
SOUTHERN WATERS BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.  IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AS A BACK DOOR FRONT MOVES
SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE WATERS.  WINDS TONIGHT WILL GUST TO AROUND
20 KTS.  SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE UP FOR WEDNESDAY DAYLIGHT
HOURS.  BEGINNING AT 5PM...A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTHERN WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.  WINDS WILL INCREASE FIRST
IN THE SOUTHERN OUTER WATERS AND THEN INCREASE CLOSER TO THE COAST
OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY.

OUTLOOK /THU THROUGH SUNDAY/...

GALE WATCH SOUTH COASTAL WATERS THRU AT LEAST THU...POSSIBLY INTO
THU NIGHT. WINDS AND SEAS SLOWLY EASE FRI AND ESP SAT. IMPROVING
WEATHER SUN WITH NORTHERLY WINDS AND DRY WEATHER.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED LATE THU INTO FRI...BUT ANY
POTENTIAL FLOODING RAINS LIKELY FARTHER WEST ACROSS NEW YORK
STATE...POSSIBLY INTO THE BERKS AND LITCHFIELD HILLS.

&&

.CLIMATE...
THE 8 T0 9 DAY STRETCH OF ESSENTIALLY RAINFREE DATING BACK TO AUGUST
29TH /BDL AUGUST 30TH/ WILL PROBABLY EXTEND ANOTHER DAY OR 2 BEFORE
AN INTERRUPTION THURSDAY OR FRIDAY OF THIS WEEK. MQE/BOS/ORH/PVD DATE
BACK TO 8/29 FOR NO MEASURABLE.

CALENDER DAY HIGHS THU OR FRI MAY BE 10F BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
NH...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR
     ANZ232>235-237-254.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 AM TO 5 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
     ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256.
     GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
     FOR ANZ255-256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NOCERA/RLG
NEAR TERM...STRAUSS/RLG
SHORT TERM...RLG
LONG TERM...NOCERA
AVIATION...NOCERA/RLG
MARINE...NOCERA/RLG
HYDROLOGY...
CLIMATE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
457 PM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>006-008>014-017-018-021-026-NHZ011-012-015-
RIZ001>004-092100-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
457 PM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND
NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WHICH
MAY RESULT IN MINOR POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MAZ007-015-016-019-020-022>024-RIZ005>008-092100-
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
457 PM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR RIP CURRENTS A LOW TO MODERATE
PROBABILITY THURSDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO FRIDAY.

A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WHICH
MAY RESULT IN MINOR POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ232>235-237-254-092100-
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
457 PM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

EAST WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 35 KNOTS ON THE OUTER WATERS MAINLY FROM
PROVINCETOWN TO POINT JUDITH AND MONTAUK POINT FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY AS LOW PRESSURE PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. SEAS MAY
BUILD UP TO 11 FEET.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230-231-236-250-251-092100-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
457 PM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ255-256-092100-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
457 PM EDT TUE SEP 8 2009

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

EAST WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 35 KNOTS ON THE OUTER WATERS MAINLY FROM
PROVINCETOWN TO POINT JUDITH AND MONTAUK POINT FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY AS LOW PRESSURE PASSES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. SEAS MAY
BUILD UP TO 11 FEET.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.