Gale Warning 17, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

262 
WHUS71 KBOX 091529
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1129 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

ANZ231-232-254-255-092330-
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090310T0300Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS
VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM-
1129 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

THIS GALE WARNING IS FOR NANTUCKET SOUND...CAPE COD BAY...AND THE
SOUTHEAST OUTER COASTAL WATERS.

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND OFFSHORE
WATERS WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF GEORGES BANK THIS
EVENING. NORTHEAST GALES WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY TOWARD MIDNIGHT 
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NEW ENGLAND FROM THE WEST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ230-233>237-250-092330-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-090310T0600Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA
OUT 40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE
SANCTUARY-
1129 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

THIS ADVISORY IS FOR BOSTON HARBOR...VINEYARD SOUND...BUZZARDS
BAY...RHODE ISLAND SOUND...NARRAGANSETT BAY...BLOCK ISLAND
SOUND...AND THE OCEAN WATERS FROM THE MERRIMACK RIVER TO
PLYMOUTH.

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND OFFSHORE
WATERS WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF GEORGES BANK THIS
EVENING. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT WILL CONTINUE UNTIL 11 PM.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO NEW ENGLAND FROM THE WEST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

440 
WHUS71 KBOX 091939
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
339 PM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

ANZ231-100345-
/O.CAN.KBOX.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090310T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KBOX.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-090310T0600Z/
CAPE COD BAY-
339 PM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

THIS ADVISORY IS FOR CAPE COD BAY.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF GEORGES BANK THIS
EVENING. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT WILL CONTINUE UNTIL 11 PM.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO NEW ENGLAND FROM THE WEST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232-254-255-100300-
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090310T0300Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS
VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM-
339 PM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

THIS GALE WARNING IS FOR NANTUCKET SOUND AND THE SOUTHEAST OUTER
COASTAL WATERS.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF GEORGES BANK THIS
EVENING. NORTHEAST GALES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. WINDS
WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO
NEW ENGLAND FROM THE WEST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ230-233>237-250-100345-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-090310T0600Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA
OUT 40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE
SANCTUARY-
339 PM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

THIS ADVISORY IS FOR BOSTON HARBOR...VINEYARD SOUND...BUZZARDS
BAY...RHODE ISLAND SOUND...NARRAGANSETT BAY...BLOCK ISLAND
SOUND...AND THE OCEAN WATERS FROM THE MERRIMACK RIVER TO
PLYMOUTH.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF GEORGES BANK THIS
EVENING. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT WILL CONTINUE UNTIL 11 PM.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY TOWARD MIDNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO NEW ENGLAND FROM THE WEST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

208 
WHUS71 KBOX 100319
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1119 PM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

ANZ232-254-255-101000-
/O.EXP.KBOX.GL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090310T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KBOX.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-090310T1000Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS
VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM-
1119 PM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY. THE GALE
WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

THIS ADVISORY COVERS NANTUCKET SOUND AND THE COASTAL WATERS FROM
PROVINCETOWN TO NANTUCKET AND MONTAUK NY.

NORTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KT WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. THERE MAY BE
GUSTS TO 30 KT ON THE OUTER WATERS EAST AND SOUTH OF CAPE COD AND
NANTUCKET. WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
HOWEVER...SEAS WILL ALSO REMAIN HIGH INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ230-236-100430-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-090310T0600Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
1119 PM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

NORTH WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA ON BOTH 
BOSTON HARBOR AND NARRAGANSETT BAY.

$$

ANZ231-233>235-237-250-101000-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-090310T1000Z/
CAPE COD BAY-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA
OUT 40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE
SANCTUARY-
1119 PM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY.

THIS ADVISORY IS FOR CAPE COD BAY...VINEYARD SOUND...BUZZARDS
BAY...RHODE ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND SOUND...AND THE OCEAN WATERS
FROM THE MERRIMACK RIVER TO PLYMOUTH.

NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT INTO
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH TOWARD
DAYBREAK. HOWEVER...SEAS WILL REMAIN HIGH INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

EVT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
354 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND TODAY WILL BRING
ACCUMULATING SNOWS TO NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.
DRY WEATHER FOLLOWS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
THE REGION. MORE WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE INLAND TUESDAY
NIGHT...THEN CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN WEDNESDAY.  DRIER AND COLDER
THAN NORMAL WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATE IN WEEK AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL NOON TODAY/...
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IS PRETTY MUCH ON TRACK.  RAIN HAS MOVED ONTO
MUCH OF NORTHEAST CONNECTICUT AND FAR SOUTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS EARLY
THIS EVENING.  THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD CONTINUE TO ADVANCE
NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT...FINALLY REACHING NORTHEAST MA AFTER MIDNIGHT.
THEREFORE...WILL CONTINUE TO SHOW CATEGORICAL POPS WORKING NORTHEAST
OVER THE NEXT 6 HOURS.

ITS QUITE WARM IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER THIS EVENING...SO WHEN THE
PRECIPITATION ARRIVES IT WILL BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN ACROSS MOST OF
THE REGION EVEN INTO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHERN NH.  IN
FACT...ALL THE PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN RAIN IN AREAS SOUTH OF THE
MA PIKE THROUGH 12Z MONDAY.  AS WE WORK NORTHWARD...AREAS FROM THE
MA PIKE TO ROUTE 2 SHOULD INITIALLY SEE RAIN.
HOWEVER...EVAPORATIONAL COOLING IN THIS REGION SHOULD RESULT IN THE
PRECIPITATION CHANGING TO SLEET/SNOW BETWEEN 9Z AND 12Z MONDAY.  THE
MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES IN THIS REGION REMAIN MARGINAL BETWEEN SLEET
AND SNOW...AND POSSIBLY EVEN STILL SOME RAIN ON THE IMMEDIATE COAST
BECAUSE OF BOUNDARY LAYER ISSUES.  HOWEVER...WHEN THE PRECIPITATION
COMES DOWN HEAVY THERE MAY BE ENOUGH COOLING IN THE COLUMN TO RESULT
IN A CHANGE OVER TO SNOW.  FINALLY...WORKING UP FROM ROUTE 2 IN FAR
NORTHERN MA AND INTO SOUTHERN NH AN INITIAL PERIOD OF RAIN/SLEET
SHOULD CHANGE MAINLY TO SNOW BETWEEN 6Z AND 9Z.

AS THE PREVIOUS FORECAST MENTIONED...IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE
ACCUMULATING SNOW THROUGH 12Z WILL BE FOUND NORTH OF ROUTE 2 IN FAR
NORTHERN MA AND INTO SOUTHERN NH.  THE NAM SHOWS A FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE
BURST OF OMEGA IN THE SNOWGROWTH REGION...WHILE THE GFS HAS SOME DRY
AIR IN THE MID LEVELS STRUGGLING TO SATURATE.  THINKING IS THAT WE
COULD SEE A PRETTY GOOD BURST OF SNOW FOR A FEW HOURS IN THIS REGION
BEFORE MID LEVEL DRY AIR MOVES BACK INTO THE REGION.

OTHERWISE...A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND SNOW MAY BE FALLING ALL THE WAY
DOWN TO THE MA TURNPIKE AT 12Z AND A SMALL SLUSHY ACCUMULATION MAY
OCCUR ON THE GRASS...BUT THINK THE ROADS WILL BE WET EXCEPT PERHAPS
IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE WORCESTER HILLS.

ALL IN ALL...NO CHANGES ANTICIPATED TO ANY OF THE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY HEADLINES AT THIS POINT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /NOON THROUGH 6 PM TODAY/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND AT THE
BEGINNING OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. IT WILL LIKELY BE RAINING ACROSS
MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MASS PIKE AT THIS
TIME...WITH SNOW...SLEET...OR SNOW/SLEET MIXED NORTH OF THE
PIKE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AS WELL AS SOUTHERN
NEW HAMPSHIRE. AS THE EARLY MORNING PROGRESSES...THE MIXED PRECIP
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE PIKE SHOULD GRADUALLY CHANGE TO SNOW AS THE
COLUMN COOLS. AREAS TO THE SOUTH OF THE PIKE SHOULD GRADUALLY CHANGE
TO SNOW STARTING LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON AS COLD AIR
CONTINUES TO FILTER SOUTHWARD AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO DEVELOP AND THE
STRONG SHORT WAVE APPROACHES.

BASED ON WHAT WE/RE SEEING IN THE DATA...SUCH AS MODELED QPF...SNOW
GROWTH...OMEGA PROFILES...TEMPERATURE PROFILES...AND CLIMO WE THINK
THE BEST COURSE OF ACTION AT THIS TIME IS TO ISSUE A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE MASS PIKE...INCLUDING
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE ADVISORY /AT THIS TIME/ DOES NOT INCLUDE
SUFFOLK COUNTY. WE/LL GO WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE MASS PORTION OF
THE ADVISORY /WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS/
WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES IN NEW HAMPSHIRE.

TO THE SOUTH OF THE ADVISORY AREA WILL GO WITH A COATING TO 2
INCHES...WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER LOCAL AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN.

THERE MAY BE A BRIEF BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION LATE MORNING OR VERY
EARLY AFTERNOON AS NARROW DRY SLOT MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES.
HOWEVER...THAT SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED AS THE MID LEVELS MOISTEN UP
AGAIN WITH THE APPROACH OF THE SHORT WAVE ITSELF. EVEN AREAS SUCH AS
PROVIDENCE TO TAUNTON TO PLYMOUTH SHOULD SEE SNOW BY AFTERNOON WITH
AN INCH OR SO POSSIBLE. RAIN/SLEET MAY TRANSITION TO A BRIEF PERIOD
OF SNOW BEFORE ENDING ON THE CAPE AND ISLANDS.

TEMPS SHOULD GRADUALLY FALL THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WINDS WILL INCREASE
NOTICEABLY AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES.

OVERALL...THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE SNOWFALL
FORECAST AND CHANGEOVER TIMES. THE NEXT SHIFT SHOULD GET A BETTER
IDEA ON HOW THINGS WILL EXACTLY PAN OUT AS THE DATA SHOULD BECOME
CLEARER. SOME CHANGES TO THE SNOW AMOUNTS AND ADVISORY AREA MAY BE
NECESSARY.

&&

.LONG TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
GIVEN THE WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY WE DID NOT DEVOTE MUCH TIME
TO THE EXTENDED...WITH NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST BEYOND TUE NIGHT.
HOWEVER THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME THOUGHTS REGARDING THE NEW 00Z MODEL
GUIDANCE.

MONDAY NIGHT...
MID LEVEL TROF AND ASSOCIATED COASTAL LOW WILL EXIT SOUTHEAST NEW
ENGLAND AND MOVE SEAWARD.  BACK EDGE OF DEEPER MOISTURE AND
NORTHEAST FLOW MAY RESULT IN SOME LINGERING LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES
MON EVENING ACROSS EASTERN MA AND RI.  OTHERWISE EXPECT DECREASING
CLOUDS AS DEEP LAYER RIDGE BUILDS EASTWARD INTO THE REGION. IT WILL
BE A CHILLY NIGHT ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN MA AND SOUTHWEST NH
WHERE TODAY/S EXPECTED SNOWFALL WILL COMBINE WITH LIGHT WINDS AND
CLEAR SKIES FOR TEMPS TO PLUMMET INTO THE TEENS. ELSEWHERE LOWS WILL
BE IN THE 20S.

TUESDAY...
RIDGING AT ALL LEVELS WILL PROMOTE SUNSHINE EARLY IN THE DAY.
HOWEVER UPPER AIR PATTERN IS PROGRESSIVE WITH RIDGE AXIS MOVING
OFFSHORE DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL YIELD INCREASING CLOUDS TUE
AFTERNOON. 00Z GFS HAS TRENDED SLOWER WITH ONSET OF PRECIP FROM NEXT
SYSTEM...KEEPING THE REGION DRY MOST OF TUE WITH JUST A LOW PROB OF
RAIN ENTERING WESTERN NEW ENGLAND LATE IN THE DAY. THIS IS IN
AGREEMENT WITH THE 00Z NAM/RGEM AND 21Z SREF.

TUESDAY NIGHT...
PRECIP LIKELY LATER TUE NIGHT AS WARM FRONT APPROACHES SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND FROM THE SOUTHWEST. COLD AIR OVER THE INTERIOR TAKES SOME
TIME TO ERODE...SO A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIP IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA.
MODEL SOUNDINGS AND SREF PTYPES SUGGEST THE MOST LIKELY PTYPE WILL
BE SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.  THEREFORE COULD BE SOME SLIPPERY TRAVEL
LATE TUE NIGHT INTO EARLY WED ACROSS THE INTERIOR. HOWEVER THIS
SHOULD NOT BE A PROLONG EVENT AS INCREASING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
SHOULD EVENTUALLY WIN OUT AND COMPLETELY ERODE LOW LEVEL COLD AIR.

WEDNESDAY...
SHOWERS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
ANY FROZEN PRECIP EARLY WED MORNING WILL RAPIDLY CHANGE TO ALL RAIN
IN RESPONSE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD
FRONT.  THIS STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION MAY PUSH HIGHS INTO THE 50S
WED AFTN BEFORE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. 00Z MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON
FRONT CLEARING THE REGION LATE WED/WED EVENING.

THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
00Z MODEL GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS PERIOD WITH A BROAD COLD
TROF SETTING UP ACROSS SOUTHEAST CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST. 00Z GFS
AND GGEM COOLING 850 TEMPS DOWN TO -12C TO -14C HERE THU AND
FRI...THEN EASING TO -6C TO -8C NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN
BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WITH HIGHS LIKELY ONLY IN THE 30S THU AND
FRI...THEN POSSIBLY WARMING TO 40 OR SO OVER THE WEEKEND. IN FACT
TROF IS SOMEWHAT ANOMALOUS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...AS IT SUPPRESSES
STORM TRACK SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND. THIS RESULTS IN A STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY OVER THE MID ATLC OR SE STATES WITH WAVES OF LOW PRES
RIDING THE FRONT...BUT PASSING WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA. WILL
HAVE TO WATCH THIS CLOSELY AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES GIVEN THE COLD
AIRMASS OVER THE NORTHEAST...YIELDING THE POTENTIAL FOR WINTRY
WEATHER IF THE STORM TRACK SHIFTS NORTHWARD.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
TODAY...INITIALLY...MAINLY RAIN SOUTH OF THE MA PIKE WITH
SNOW/SLEET/RAIN NORTH OF THE MA PIKE. THE SNOW/SLEET LINE WILL PUSH
TOWARDS THE SOUTH COAST DURING THE DAY MONDAY AS COLDER AIR WORKS
INTO THE SYSTEM.

OUTLOOK /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...

TONIGHT...AREAS OF MVFR POSSIBLE EARLY BOS/PVD/HYA AND ACK...OTHERWISE
IMPROVING TO VFR WITH CLEARING SKIES.

TUESDAY...VFR...BUT LOWERING CIGS AFTERNOON BAF/BDL WITH CHC RA/SN
LATE.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...LOWERING TO MVFR/IFR WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR A WINTRY MIX BDL/BAF/ORH/MHT...CHANGING TO RAIN BY WED
MORNING.  ELSEWHERE MAINLY RAIN EXPECTED.

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
TODAY...WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE REDEVELOPING SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND TODAY WILL
ALLOW FOR STRENGTHENING EASTERLY WINDS MONDAY...WHICH MAY RESULT IN
MARGINAL GALES NEAR AND AROUND NANTUCKET. HAVE ISSUED A GALE WATCH
FOR THAT AREA ATTM AS WE ARE A BIT UNCERTAIN IF WE/LL GET WIDESPREAD
LOW END GALES OR HIGH END SCA CONDITIONS. FOR ALL OTHER WATERS WE
HAVE ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO GO WITH SCA.

OUTLOOK /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...

TONIGHT...MARGINAL NE GALE POSSIBLE EARLY THE WATERS SOUTHEAST OF THE
CAPE AND NANTUCKET. OTHERWISE N-NE WINDS DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT AS
HIGH PRES BUILDS FROM W TO E. NE SWELL WILL PERSIST. VSBY IMPROVING.

TUE...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING SSE AS HIGH PRES MOVES
OFFSHORE. MODEST NE SWELL PERSISTING ACROSS THE OUTER OCEAN WATERS.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE
REGION FROM THE WEST. STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL LIKELY NOT MIX TO THE
SURFACE GIVEN THE COLD OCEAN WATERS. SOUNDING DATA SUGGEST S WINDS
OF 15-20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 POSSIBLE. VSBY WILL BE REDUCED IN FOG
AND SHOWERS. COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE AREA SOMETIME LATE WED OR
WED EVENING. BEHIND THE FRONT...IMPROVING VSBYS WITH A WIND SHIFT TO
THE WNW WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 20-30 KT.

THURSDAY...DRY WEATHER WITH MODEST NW WINDS OF 20-30 KT.

FRIDAY...DIMINISHING WINDS /15-20 KT/ AS HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER THE
WATERS.  SEAS WILL SUBSIDE AS WELL.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     MAZ002>006-008-014-026.
NH...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NHZ011-
     012-015.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING
     FOR ANZ232-254-255.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 AM TO 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ232.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 2 AM EDT
     TUESDAY FOR ANZ230-231-233>237-250.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR ANZ254-
     255.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NOCERA - UPDATED 354 AM
NEAR TERM...FRANK
SHORT TERM...EKSTER
LONG TERM...NOCERA - UPDATED 354 AM
AVIATION...NOCERA/EKSTER - UPDATED 354 AM
MARINE...NOCERA/EKSTER - UPDATED 354 AM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
427 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

CTZ002>004-MAZ009-011>013-016>023-RIZ001>008-100830-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
427 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW THIS AFTERNOON FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS
CONNECTICUT...RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTH OF THE MASS PIKE. A SLUSHY INCH
OR 2 ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE SOUTH COAST.
ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO THE COLDER SURFACES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ024-100830-
NANTUCKET MA-
427 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ230-233>237-250-100830-
BOSTON HARBOR-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT 25 NM TO PLYMOUTH MA OUT
40 NM...INCLUDING THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
427 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF A NORTHWEST GALE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ006-026-NHZ011-012-015-100830-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-
427 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ANOTHER PERIOD OF WINTRY MIXED PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY NIGHT
WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE TO RAIN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH SOME ICING AND A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ002>005-007-008-014-015-100830-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
427 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL
MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS
AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ANOTHER PERIOD OF WINTRY MIXED PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY NIGHT
WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE TO RAIN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH SOME ICING AND A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MAZ010-100830-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
427 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SNOW THIS AFTERNOON FROM NORTH TO SOUTH AS
COLDER AIR MOVES IN. A SLUSHY INCH OR 2 ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE
MAINLY ON THE COLDER SURFACES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ANOTHER PERIOD OF WINTRY MIXED PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY NIGHT
WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE TO RAIN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH SOME ICING AND A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ231-232-254-255-100830-
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO BLOCK ISLAND RI TO MARTHAS
VINEYARD MA TO NANTUCKET MA SOUTHEAST TO 20 NM-
427 AM EDT MON MAR 9 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF A NW GALE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY
BEHIND A DEPARTING COLD FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.