Alert archive / Massachusetts / Frost Advisories in 2009

Frost Advisory 9, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

October 14, 20096 counties in Massachusetts; 5 counties in Rhode Island; Capitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this frost advisory at Oct 14, 2009, 4:09 AM EDT for 6 counties in Massachusetts; 5 counties in Rhode Island; Capitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut. It took effect at Oct 15, 2009, 12:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 14, 2009, 4:09 AM EDT (08:09 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 15, 2009, 12:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 15, 2009, 8:00 AM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA

Counties Capitol Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Barnstable County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Dukes County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 00:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 111 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2009-10-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Chatham, MA at 00:00Z on 2009-10-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -196 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
961 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
85 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-196 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-10 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS71 KBOX 140809
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
409 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

CTZ002>004-MAZ005>007-012-014-018>021-NHZ012-RIZ001-003-141615-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FZ.W.0005.091015T0600Z-091015T1200Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...MILFORD...WORCESTER...CAMBRIDGE...BROCKTON...
PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...MANCHESTER...
NASHUA...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...WEST GREENWICH
409 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY. 

COOL CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL AID IN ALLOWING TEMPERATURES
TO FALL RATHER QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET...WITH MOST LOCATIONS IN THE
WARNING EXPERIENCING TEMPERATURES AT OR JUST BELOW FREEZING BY LATE
TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$

MAZ015-016-022-023-RIZ002-004>007-141615-
/O.NEW.KBOX.FR.Y.0009.091015T0600Z-091015T1200Z/
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOSTON...QUINCY...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...PROVIDENCE...WARWICK...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
409 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A FROST
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY. 

COOL CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL AID IN ALLOWING TEMPERATURES
TO FALL RATHER QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET...WITH MOST LOCATIONS IN THE
ADVISORY EXPERIENCING TEMPERATURES JUST ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK BY
LATE TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD FROST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE GROWING SEASON.  THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED
PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE
AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS71 KBOX 141607
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1207 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

CTZ002>004-MAZ005>007-012-014-018>021-NHZ012-RIZ001-003-150015-
/O.CON.KBOX.FZ.W.0005.091015T0600Z-091015T1200Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...MILFORD...WORCESTER...CAMBRIDGE...BROCKTON...
PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...MANCHESTER...
NASHUA...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...WEST GREENWICH
1207 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

COOL CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL AID IN ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO FALL RATHER QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET...WITH MOST
LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING EXPERIENCING TEMPERATURES AT OR JUST
BELOW FREEZING BY LATE TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$

MAZ015-016-022-023-RIZ002-004>007-150015-
/O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0009.091015T0600Z-091015T1200Z/
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOSTON...QUINCY...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...PROVIDENCE...WARWICK...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
1207 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

COOL CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL AID IN ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO FALL RATHER QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET...WITH MOST
LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY EXPERIENCING TEMPERATURES JUST ABOVE
THE FREEZING MARK BY LATE TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD PROMOTE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD FROST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE GROWING SEASON.  THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED
PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE
AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$
000 
WWUS71 KBOX 142020
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
420 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

CTZ002>004-MAZ018>021-RIZ001-003-150430-
/O.CAN.KBOX.FZ.W.0005.091015T0600Z-091015T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KBOX.FR.Y.0009.091015T0400Z-091015T1200Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
WEST GREENWICH
420 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A FROST
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY. THE FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

COOL CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL
RATHER QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET...WITH MOST LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY
EXPERIENCING TEMPERATURES JUST ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK BY LATE
TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD FROST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE GROWING SEASON.  THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED
PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE
AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$

MAZ005>007-012-014-NHZ012-150430-
/O.CON.KBOX.FZ.W.0005.091015T0600Z-091015T1200Z/
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...MILFORD...WORCESTER...CAMBRIDGE...MANCHESTER...
NASHUA
420 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

COOL CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES
TO FALL RATHER QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET...WITH MOST LOCATIONS IN THE
WARNING EXPERIENCING TEMPERATURES AT OR JUST BELOW FREEZING BY LATE
TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$

MAZ015-016-022-023-RIZ002-004>007-150430-
/O.EXT.KBOX.FR.Y.0009.091015T0400Z-091015T1200Z/
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOSTON...QUINCY...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...PROVIDENCE...WARWICK...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
420 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

...FROST ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE FROST ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
EDT THURSDAY. 

COOL CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES
TO FALL RATHER QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET...WITH MOST LOCATIONS IN THE
ADVISORY EXPERIENCING TEMPERATURES JUST ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK BY
LATE TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD
FROST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE GROWING SEASON.  THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED
PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE
AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$
000 
WWUS71 KBOX 150057
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
857 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

MAZ005>007-012-014-NHZ012-150900-
/O.CON.KBOX.FZ.W.0005.091015T0600Z-091015T1200Z/
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...MILFORD...WORCESTER...CAMBRIDGE...MANCHESTER...
NASHUA
857 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

COOL CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO FALL RATHER QUICKLY...WITH MOST LOCATIONS IN THE
WARNING EXPERIENCING TEMPERATURES AT OR JUST BELOW FREEZING BY LATE
TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$

CTZ002>004-MAZ015-016-018>023-RIZ001>007-150900-
/O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0009.091015T0400Z-091015T1200Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...BOSTON...QUINCY...BROCKTON...
PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...
FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...
WESTERLY...NEWPORT
857 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
EDT THURSDAY...

A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
EDT THURSDAY. 

COOL CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO FALL RATHER QUICKLY...WITH MOST LOCATIONS IN THE
ADVISORY EXPERIENCING TEMPERATURES JUST ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK BY
LATE TONIGHT. THIS SHOULD PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD
FROST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE GROWING SEASON.  THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED
PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE
AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$
000 
WWUS71 KBOX 150843
NPWBOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
443 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

MAZ005>007-012-014-NHZ012-151200-
/O.CON.KBOX.FZ.W.0005.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...MILFORD...WORCESTER...CAMBRIDGE...MANCHESTER...
NASHUA
443 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING. 

TEMPERATURES AROUND FREEZING WILL REBOUND EARLY THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT
TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS
SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$

MAZ019>022-RIZ007-151645-
/O.NEW.KBOX.WI.Y.0059.091016T0400Z-091016T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...
MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...NEWPORT
443 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT
FRIDAY. A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THIS MORNING WILL
STRENGTHEN INTO A STRONG GALE CENTER WELL SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT. EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY TONIGHT AS A RESULT.
WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY ON THE CAPE. LESSER WINDS THAN THIS
WILL PROBABLY VERIFY AWAY FROM THE CAPE...BUT MAY STILL DO SOME
DAMAGE TO LARGE LIMBS AS FOLIAGE REMAINS ON MOST TREES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE GROWING SEASON.  THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED
PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE
AWAY FROM THE COLD.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING SMALL TREE LIMBS AND
BRANCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.  DRIVING CAN
ALSO BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

RIZ008-151645-
/O.NEW.KBOX.WI.Y.0059.091016T0400Z-091016T1500Z/
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BLOCK ISLAND
443 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EDT
FRIDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THIS MORNING WILL
STRENGTHEN INTO A STRONG GALE CENTER WELL SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT. EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY TONIGHT AS A RESULT.
WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS
THIS STRONG ARE CAPABLE OF DOWNING SMALL TREE LIMBS AND
BRANCHES...POSSIBLY CAUSING ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.  DRIVING CAN
ALSO BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

MAZ023-151645-
/O.NEW.KBOX.HW.A.0003.091016T0400Z-091016T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/
DUKES MA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...VINEYARD HAVEN
443 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING. A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THIS MORNING WILL
STRENGTHEN INTO A STRONG GALE CENTER WELL SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT. EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY TONIGHT AS A RESULT.
WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. WITH TREES STILL NEARLY FULLY-FOLIATED...SOME
LARGE BRANCHES WILL PROBABLY BE BROKEN ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
SOME UPROOTINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE GROWING SEASON.  THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED
PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE
AWAY FROM THE COLD.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STRONG DAMAGING
WINDS TO DEVELOP IN THE MENTIONED AREAS.  THESE STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF DOWNING TREES AND POWER LINES AS WELL AS CAUSING
PROPERTY DAMAGE.  IF A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED...STAY INSIDE
AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

$$

CTZ002>004-MAZ015-016-018-RIZ001>006-151200-
/O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-091015T1200Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...BOSTON...QUINCY...BROCKTON...
FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...
BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY
443 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING. 

TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S WILL REBOUND EARLY THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
DURING THE GROWING SEASON.  THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL INTERESTS ARE
ADVISED TO HARVEST OR PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED
PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE
AWAY FROM THE COLD.

&&

$$

MAZ024-151645-
/O.NEW.KBOX.HW.A.0003.091016T0400Z-091016T1500Z/
NANTUCKET MA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NANTUCKET
443 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING. 

LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THIS MORNING WILL
STRENGTHEN INTO A STRONG GALE CENTER WELL SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT. EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY TONIGHT AS A RESULT.
WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. WITH TREES STILL NEARLY FULLY-FOLIATED...SOME
LARGE BRANCHES WILL PROBABLY BE BROKEN ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
SOME UPROOTINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR STRONG DAMAGING
WINDS TO DEVELOP IN THE MENTIONED AREAS.  THESE STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF DOWNING TREES AND POWER LINES AS WELL AS CAUSING
PROPERTY DAMAGE.  IF A HIGH WIND WARNING IS ISSUED...STAY INSIDE
AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this frost advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this frost advisory went out at Oct 14, 3:32 AM EDT, 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 14, 3:32 AM EDT, 37 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
332 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA WILL USHER IN UNSEASONABLY
CHILLY WEATHER THAT WILL LAST FOR AT LEAST THE REST OF THE WEEK. A
GALE NOREASTER IS PROBABLE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY
SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND. ANOTHER GALE MAY DEVELOP FOR LATE IN THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. COASTAL FLOODING...WIND...AND MARINE
HAZARDS WILL LIKELY BE THE MAIN CONCERNS WITH THESE SYSTEMS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A COOL AND CRISP DAY IS IN STORE FOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TODAY AS
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD OVERHEAD. SOME CIRRUS AND
DIURNAL CUMULUS SHOULD PRESENT THEMSELVES TODAY...OTHERWISE IT LOOKS
LIKE A PRETTY DECENT DAY IF YOU LIKE ANOMALOUSLY COOL AUTUMN WEATHER.
TEMPS LOOK TO AVERAGE AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TODAY. WINDS MAY
BE SLIGHTLY GUSTY THIS MORNING...MAINLY IN EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN
ZONES...BUT THE GRADIENT LOOSENS UP THIS AFTERNOON AND SHOULD ALLOW
FOR LIGHTER SPEEDS THEN. THE CAPE AND ISLANDS WILL SEE MOSTLY CLOUDY
CONDITIONS THIS MORNING AS OCEAN EFFECT CLOUDS STREAM OVERHEAD.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
COLD NIGHT IN STORE FOR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL.
HAVE ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING FOR MOST ZONES THAT HAVE NOT BUT SHUT
OFF FOR THE SEASON YET. SEE NPWBOX FOR DETAILS. THE WWA MAP ON OUR
HOMEPAGE MAY LOOK A LITTLE GOOFY...WITH NO WARNING IN EFFECT FOR
NORFOLK AND NORTHERN BRISTOL COUNTIES...BUT THEY HAVE ALREADY HAD A
FREEZE...SO THEREFORE...NO HEADLINE THERE. WE ALSO HAVE FROST
ADVISORIES UP WHERE TEMPS WILL LIKELY FALL TO 33-36 DEGREES. THE ONLY
FLY IN THE OINTMENT HERE IS IF WINDS STIR A BIT AND CIRRUS REALLY
THICKENS UP /ESPECIALLY IN CT/. THIS COULD KEEP TEMPS UP SOME.
HOWEVER...A CAREFUL BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE GUDIANCE SUGGESTS CURRENT
ADVISORY/WARNING CONFIGURATION IS REASONABLE.

DECENT DAY FOR THE MOST PART ON THURSDAY. HIGH CLOUDS WILL QUICKLY
THICKEN UP FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. TEMPS WILL BE QUITE COLD...WITH HIGHS
ANYWHERE BETWEEN 10 AND 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL DEPENDING WHERE YOU
ARE. BUT...IT SHOULDN/T BE TOO BAD WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS IN
PLACE. WE HAVE INCREASING POPS FOR RAIN LATE IN THE DAY...MAINLY FOR
CT...RI...AND SE MASS AS COASTAL LOW REALLY STARTS TO GET CRANKING OFF
THE VA/NC COASTLINE.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

COULD BE WRONG BUT BLV WE ARE SEEING A RATHER TYPICAL MODEL TREND OF
SIGNALING A STRONG EVENT DAYS 5-6-7 /LATE LAST WEEK IF YOU RECALL OUR
AFDS FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND/ AND THEN A FADE IN MODEL CONSENSUS AND
TEND TO FORGO THE OMINOUS SOLUTION ONLY TO COME BACK CLOSE TO THE
ORIGINAL GAME PLAN AS WE LOOK AT MODELING FROM 72 HOURS ON TOWARD T0.

THE 15Z SREF HAS TAKEN A MARKEDLY WETTER MORE OMINOUS SHIFT PER THE
12Z NAM...SOMETHING WE TEND TO SEE. THE SREF CYCLES JUST 3 HOURS BEFORE
THE CHANGING PARENT NAM SIGNAL...LAG...THEN CATCH UP. GEFS HAS ALSO
BECOME WETTER AND EVEN THE GGEM ECMWF AND UKMET ARE FOCUSING ON A
FRIDAY EVENT.

WHILE INTERNALLY WE CAN SEE TWO GALES SPLITTING ENERGY FOR SNE
IMPACTS FRIDAY AND SUNDAY...WE DONT THINK THAT IS THE ODDS ON
FAVORITE.

INSTEAD WE ARE FOCUSING ON A SUBSTANTIAL EVENT FOR FRIDAY WITH
LINGERING LEFTOVERS THIS WEEKEND...THOSE LEFTOVERS DERIVED FROM
LEFTOVER OCEAN EFFECT/COASTAL CONVERGENCE AND INTERIOR HILLY LIFT AS
WELL AS POSSIBLE TOP DOWN SEEDING IF A MARGINAL SECOND GALE CENTER
DEVELOPS SUNDAY WITH FRINGE MID DECK/HIGH DECK ICE CRYSTAL SEEDING
OCCURS.

THURSDAY...18Z HPC QPF WHICH IS NOTICEABLY FASTER THAN PREVIOUS HPC
GUIDANCE. 09Z AND 15Z SREF INCORPORATED BUT WE HESITATED TO RUN THIS
IN TOO FAST...AND MAINTAINED CONSIDERABLE CONTINUITY WITH THE 4AM
KBOX FCST.

FRIDAY...09Z SREF POPS NOT USED. THE 15Z SREF ARRIVING AT 345PM WERE
50 PERCENT HIGHER AND ALMOST AS OMINOUS AS THE 12Z GEFS/12Z GFS AND
12Z NAM COMBO. BOTTOM LINE... OUR POPS HAVE TRENDED WETTER. WE
BLENDED 12Z NAM/GFS SUSTAINED WINDS. WE ALSO USED THE CONSERVATIVE
12Z GFS FOR THE WIND GUSTS AFTER DERIVING MXG HTS FROM THE NAM. THE
NAM WIND GUSTS WERE AT LEAST 5 KNOTS HIGHER.

BOTTOM LINE...WE HAVE A MULTITUDE OF HAZARD POTENTIAL FRIDAY...THE
FIRST AND FOREMOST IS COASTAL FLOODING...ESPECIALLY OUTER CAPE COD
AND NANTUCKET. THE SECOND HIGH RISK IS WIND DAMAGE FROM RAIN SOAKED
FULLY LEAVED TREES ALONG THE COAST CATCHING 40-50 MPH WIND GUSTS...AGAIN
FOCUS CAPE COD AND NANTUCKET. OTHER RISKS THAT COULD DEVELOP ARE SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES IN THE HIGH TERRAIN OF INTERIOR
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND POSSIBLY SOUTHWEST NEW
HAMPSHIRE...AND POOR DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING STATEMENTS WOULD APPEAR
PROBABLE IF THE CURRENT TRENDS ARE CORRECT. 15Z SREF PROBS FOR 1 INCH
OF SNOW ARE 20 TO 30 PCT NW MA AND SW NH.

OUR KBOX QPF RANGES FROM .10 NW OF EEN TO 1 INCH OR HIGHER FROM PYM
TO WST SEWD...WHICH IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE HPC AND WAS DERIVED FROM
HPC QPF THROUGH 00Z FRI AND 12Z MOS GUIDE TIME SHIFTED -12 HOURS.
FOR FUTURE QPF...IN ADDITION TO OUR OFFICE AND HPC/NERFC FCST...
PLEASE FOLLOW THE SREF AND GEFS PROBS FOR 1 AND 2 INCHES. THE TRENDS
INCREASING FOR 2 INCHES IN A PORTION OF SNE... FOR NOW WE WONT LOCK
INTO THAT SOLUTION YET... THERE IS STILL MODEL VARIABILITY AND A SEWD
SOLN IS STILL POSSIBLE.

SAT/SUN...LINGERING LOW TOP MOISTURE...OCEAN EFFECT INSTABILITY...LIFT
FROM SOME OF THE HILLS/COASTAL LAND - SEA INTERFACE CONVERGENCE...WEAK
SHORT WAVES RIDING NEWD IN THE TROF ALOFT...ALL COULD ASSIST DEPOSITING
POCKETS OF .01 TO .10. THIS FCST DID NOT ADJUST POPS MUCH FROM THE
4AM FCST FOR THIS WEEKEND...MAINTAINING CLOSE TO THE 4AM FCST
PKG...INSTEAD FOCUSING ON A FRIDAY EVENT.

MONDAY...MODELS SEEM TO HAVE A GOOD HANDLE AS LARGE HIGH PRES
BUILDS SE ACROSS THE ENTIRE EASTERN THIRD OF THE CONUS. WITH COOL
N-NE FLOW...EXPECT TEMPS NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL.

TUESDAY RECOVERY BEGINS...

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
TODAY AND TONIGHT...VFR WITH DIMINISHING WINDS. SOME OCEAN EFFECT
CLOUDS MAY ALLOW FOR SOME MVFR CIGS THIS MORNING ON THE CAPE AND
ISLANDS.

THURSDAY...VFR FOR THE MOST PART. CONDITIONS PROBABLY LOWER TO MVFR
ACROSS CT...SOUTHERN RI...AND THE SOUTH COAST OF MASS BY LATE
AFTERNOON WITH ADVANCING RAIN SHIELD.

OUTLOOK /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

FRIDAY...MVFR-IFR CIGS/VSBYS IN RAIN AND PATCHY FOG COAST. MAY SEE
POCKETS OF IFR VSBYS IN MIXED RASN ACROSS HIGHER INLAND TERRAIN.
NE WINDS GUSTS TO 25-30 KT EVERYWHERE EXCEPT 35 TO 45 KT CAPE COD AND
THE ISLANDS.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...MVFR CIGS WITH SPOTTY IFR CONDS IN DRIZZLE OR SCT
SHOWERS. NE WIND GUSTS 25 TO 30 KTS CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS.

&&

.MARINE...
TODAY...NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE BUT MUCH LIGHTER WITH SPEEDS OF
10-20 KT EXPECTED. LINGERING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR THIS MORNING
EXCEPT FOR WATERS EAST OF THE CAPE WHERE SEAS WILL REMAIN AOA 5 FT
ALL DAY.

TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS WITH HIGH PRES OVERHEAD.

THURSDAY...NE WINDS INCREASE TO SCA LEVELS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
SOUTH COASTAL WATERS AS LOW PRESSURE GETS CRANKING OFF THE MID ATLC.

OUTLOOK /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

FRIDAY...NE GALE LIKELY. SEAS ARE WNA STRAIGHT FORWARD. DANGEROUS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. SHOULD MONITOR FUTURE FCSTS...ESP THOSE TRAVELING S
AND E OF SNE.

WEEKEND...SLOWLY SUBSIDING WINDS AND SEAS BUT STILL VERY UNCOMFORTABLE
HIGH SEAS WITH SCA WINDS.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FREEZE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR CTZ002>004.
MA...FREEZE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR MAZ005>007-
     012-014-018>021.
     FROST ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR MAZ015-016-
     022-023.
NH...FREEZE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR NHZ012.
RI...FREEZE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR RIZ001-003.
     FROST ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR RIZ002-
     004>007.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ231>235-237-251-256.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ250-
     254-255.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DRAG/EKSTER
NEAR TERM...EKSTER
SHORT TERM...EKSTER
LONG TERM...DRAG
AVIATION...DRAG/EKSTER
MARINE...DRAG/EKSTER
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 13, 4:47 PM EDT, 11 hours 22 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
447 PM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>006-008>013-017-018-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>003-
141200-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
447 PM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND
NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A STRONG NOREASTER FRIDAY WITH ASSOCIATED HEAVY
RAINFALL AND POOR DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING FROM CONNECTICUT ACROSS
RHODE ISLAND AND THE EAST HALF OF MASSACHUSETTS. ADDITIONALLY...THERE
IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF AN INCH OR 2 OF WET SNOW IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...FAR WESTERN HARTFORD COUNTY AND
NORTH CENTRAL TOLLAND COUNTY OF CONNECTICUT AS WELL AS THE MONADNOCK
REGION OF SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ231>234-250-254>256-141200-
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
447 PM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A NORTHEAST GALE IS LIKELY FRIDAY...WITH SEAS BUILDING TO BETWEEN 15
AND 20 FEET EAST CAPE COD AND NANTUCKET...THEN ONLY SLOWLY SUBSIDING
THIS WEEKEND. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF 50 TO 55 KNOT NORTHEAST WIND
GUSTS JUST EAST OF CAPE COD AND NANTUCKET ON FRIDAY.

THERE IS A LESSENING PROBABILITY OF A SECOND NOREASTER GALE CENTER ON
SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230-235>237-251-141200-
BOSTON HARBOR-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
447 PM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A NORTHEAST GALE IS LIKELY FRIDAY.  THERE IS A LESSENING PROBABILITY
OF A SECOND NOREASTER GALE CENTER ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MAZ007-014>016-019>024-RIZ004>008-141200-
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
447 PM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

IF CURRENT FORECAST TRENDS CONTINUE...THERE IS A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK
OF MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING WITHIN 2 HOURS EITHER SIDE OF
THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES ON FRIDAY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS
COAST VULNERABLE TO NORTHEAST OCEAN SPLASH OVER. THE COMBINATION OF
INCREASING ASTRONOMICAL TIDES AN EXPECTED 1.5 TO 2 FOOT STORM SURGE
AND SEAS OF 10 TO 18 FEET DRIVEN ASHORE BY GALE FORCE NORTHEAST
WIND GUSTS TO 40 TO 50 MPH IS THE BASIS OF THIS OUTLOOK.

THE HIGHEST RISK EXTENDS FROM OUTER CAPE COD TO NANTUCKET AND MARTHAS
VINEYARD FRIDAY.

THE LATE AFTERNOON OR NIGHTTIME HIGH TIDE CYCLES ON FRIDAY APPEAR
TARGETED WITH THE HIGHEST RISK FOR COASTAL FLOODING WITH LINGERING
COASTAL FLOOD THREAT THIS WEEKEND FROM SLOWLY SUBSIDING LEFTOVER
SEAS AND A STILL LINGERING 1 FOOT STORM SURGE AS WELL AS INCREASING
ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

THERE IS ONLY A LOW RISK OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE RHODE
ISLAND COASTS FRIDAY.

WIND DAMAGE MAY RESULT FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT ALONG THE MASSACHUSETTS
COAST FROM THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50
MPH BLOWING UPON STILL FULLY LEAVED TREES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DRAG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 14, 4:09 AM EDTFreeze WarningBOXBristol, Essex, Middlesex, Norfolk, Plymouth, Worcester28 hr
Oct 14, 4:35 PM EDTGale WatchBOX12 hr
Oct 14, 4:35 PM EDTSmall Craft Advisory for Hazardous SeasBOX85 min
Oct 14, 4:43 PM EDTCoastal Flood StatementBOXBarnstable, Bristol, Dukes, Essex, Nantucket, Norfolk and 2 more36 hr
Oct 14, 6:29 PM EDTSmall Craft Advisory for Hazardous SeasBOX8 hr

Nearby

Frost Advisories in Massachusetts, 2009Frost Advisories in Rhode Island, 2009Frost Advisories in Connecticut, 2009Every frost advisory in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.