Alert archive / North Dakota / River Flood Warnings in 2009

River Flood Warning 7, NWS Bismarck, ND

March 22, 2009Stutsman County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this river flood warning at Mar 22, 2009, 11:50 AM CDT for Stutsman County, North Dakota. It took effect at Mar 23, 2009, 2:04 AM CDT. It was in force for 34 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Mar 22, 2009, 11:50 AM CDT (16:50 UTC)
In effect from: Mar 23, 2009, 2:04 AM CDT
Expired: Apr 26, 2009, 1:00 AM CDT
In force: 34 days
Issued by: NWS Bismarck, ND
Flood severity: Minor

County Stutsman County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Pipestem Creek near Pingree (PGEN8).

Action stage: 10 ft
Minor stage: 11 ft
Moderate stage: 13 ft
Major stage: 15 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06469400, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 22, 4:20 AM CDT, 7 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 22, 4:20 AM CDT, 7 hours 30 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
420 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2009

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

A MAJOR EARLY SPRING STORM IS ON TAP FOR THE NORTHERN PLAINS.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN THIS MORNING AND ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TODAY  AND TONIGHT...WITH THE CHANGEOVER TO SNOW IN THE FAR
WEST TONIGHT AND IN THE CENTRAL SOMETIME ON MONDAY. TEMPERATURES IN
THE 40S...50S...AND 60S AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM SHOULD HELP TO
ACCELERATE THE SNOW MELT...WHICH WILL ADD TO FLOODING CONCERNS.
FLOOD WARNINGS...WATCHES AND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR NEARLY ALL
OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.

IN ADDITION TO FLOODING AND ANTICIPATED PRECIPITATION...SOUTHEAST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TODAY TO 30 TO 35 MPH OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON. WILL ISSUE A WIND
ADVISORY THESE AREAS...INCLUDING BISMARCK...JAMESTOWN AND SOUTH.

IN TERMS OF TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION TYPE...EXPECT THAT A
COMBINATION OF DYNAMIC COOLING AND LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL
ALLOW FOR A SHIFT IN PRECIPITATION TYPE FROM RAIN TO SNOW...MOST
LIKELY BEGINNING AFTER MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE
WEST. BY MONDAY EVENING...A BROAD AREA OF RAIN/SNOW WILL BE OVER THE
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS...WITH THE RAIN/SNOW LINE ORIENTED FROM MINOT
TO BISMARCK.

AMOUNTS AND LOCATION WILL BE GREATLY RELATED TO SPEED AND TRACK OF
THE STORM...ALONG WITH THE ACTUAL TIMING OF DYNAMIC COOLING. WITH
THREE MAIN AREAS OF UNCERTAINTY...THIS IS A VERY DIFFICULT FORECAST.
LATEST MODELS INDICATING THAT SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE HIGHEST AROUND
HETTINGER...WITH AN AXIS OF HEAVY SNOW EXTENDING FROM NEAR HETTINGER
TO NEAR MANDAN...WITH 7 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH SOME LOCALES
REACHING NEAR 14 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA.
UNCERTAINTY IS GREATER OVER CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA DUE TO ITS
PROXIMITY TO THE FORECAST RAIN/SNOW LINE. THE JAMESTOWN AREA SHOULD
BE SPARED A CHANGEOVER UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY...SO SNOW AMOUNTS SHOULD
BE LESS THERE. WINDS 20 TO 40 MPH WILL ACCOMPANY SNOWFALL WITH AREAS
OF BLOWING SNOW AND VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ZERO AT TIMES. THE
BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE STATE
BEGINNING MONDAY AT DAYBREAK...AND FOR THE CENTRAL THIRD BEGINNING
MONDAY EVENING.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
THE MAJOR SPRING STORM WHICH AFFECTS THE NORTHERN PLAINS IN THE
SHORT TERM WILL BE EXITING WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING WHEN THE LONG TERM GRIDS BEGIN. GENERALLY USED
ECMWF FOR FORECAST.

SEVERAL MID LEVEL LOWS TRAVERSE THE REGION THROUGH THE EXTENDED ON
GENERALLY NORTHWEST FLOW. SCATTERED POPS WILL REMAIN FOR WEDNESDAY AS
WRAP-AROUND CONTINUES. FIRST CLOSED LOW MOVES ACROSS STATE THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY BUT QPF REMAINS WEAK AS NORTHERN PLAINS NOW CUTOFF FROM
GULF MOISTURE. WEAK ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM NORTH OF LAKE
WINNIPEG SOUTH TO CENTRAL PLAINS. FEW CHANGES IN EXTENDED.

&&

.AVIATION...
STRONG MOISTURE ADVECTION AHEAD OF INTENSE LOW FROM SOUTHEAST
MONTANA TO NORTHERN COLORADO. THE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT TAFS NEXT 24
HOURS AS NORTHERN PLAINS REMAIN IN WARM SECTOR WITH AREAS OF STRATUS
AND FOG...COMBINED WITH UNSTABLE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BRINGING BANDS
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

SNOW MELT AND RUNOFF CONTINUE TO GENERATE ICE JAMS AND
RISING WATER LEVELS IN MANY LOCATIONS...IN ADDITION TO COVERING
SEVERAL ROADWAYS. THE SIGNIFICANT STORM MENTIONED ABOVE WILL
AGGRAVATE THE SITUATION TREMENDOUSLY AS FIRST TWO BAND OF
PRECIPITATION IN THE FORMS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING
ACROSS THE REGION. THE FIRST MORE INTENSE NOW EXITING NORTHEAST CWA
WHILE SECOND MORE DIFFUSE AREA CROSSES WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA. THESE
TWO BANDS HAVE TRIGGERED AREAL FLOOD ADVISORIES FOR NORTHWEST AND
NORTH CENTRAL RESPECTIVELY.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLIZZARD WATCH FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
NDZ003-004-011-012-019>022-034-035-042-045-046.

FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING FOR NDZ001-002-009-010-017-032.

BLIZZARD WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
NDZ001-002-009-010-017-018-031>033-040-041-043-044.

FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR
NDZ003-004-011-012-021-022.

FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON CDT TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR
NDZ005-013-023-025-036-037-047-048-050-051.

WIND ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
NDZ023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051.

&&

JV/HW

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 22, 5:35 AM CDT, 6 hours 15 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
535 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2009

NDZ001-002-009-010-017-032-231045-
DIVIDE-BURKE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-MCKENZIE-BILLINGS-
535 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2009 /435 AM MDT SUN MAR 22 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NORTH
DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MAJOR EARLY SPRING STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING ACROSS THE ROCKIES...WILL
BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION TODAY
AND TONIGHT...WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NDZ003-004-011-012-021-022-231045-
RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-WARD-MCHENRY-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-
535 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MAJOR EARLY SPRING STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING ACROSS THE ROCKIES...WILL
BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY...WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AND BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NDZ005-013-231045-
ROLETTE-PIERCE-
535 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MAJOR EARLY SPRING STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING ACROSS THE ROCKIES...WILL
BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW POSSIBLE
TUESDAY.

FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NDZ031-040-043-231045-
GOLDEN VALLEY-SLOPE-BOWMAN-
435 AM MDT SUN MAR 22 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MAJOR EARLY SPRING STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING ACROSS THE ROCKIES...WILL
BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION TODAY
AND TONIGHT...WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NDZ018-033-041-044-231045-
DUNN-STARK-HETTINGER-ADAMS-
535 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2009 /435 AM MDT SUN MAR 22 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MAJOR EARLY SPRING STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING ACROSS THE ROCKIES...WILL
BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION TODAY
AND TONIGHT...WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NDZ019-020-034-042-045-231045-
MERCER-OLIVER-MORTON-GRANT-SIOUX-
535 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2009 /435 AM MDT SUN MAR 22 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MAJOR EARLY SPRING STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING ACROSS THE ROCKIES...WILL
BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY...WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AND BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NDZ035-046-231045-
BURLEIGH-EMMONS-
535 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MAJOR EARLY SPRING STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING ACROSS THE ROCKIES...WILL
BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY...WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AND BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NDZ023-025-036-037-047-048-050-051-231045-
WELLS-FOSTER-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
535 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MAJOR EARLY SPRING STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING ACROSS THE ROCKIES...WILL
BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW POSSIBLE MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

JV

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 22, 10:01 AM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1001 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0936 AM     TSTM WND GST     MINOT AIR FORCE BASE    48.42N 101.36W
03/22/2009  M60 MPH          WARD               ND   ASOS

&&

NHEINERT

Local storm report, Mar 22, 10:30 AM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1030 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0822 AM     FLOOD            2 S WATFORD CITY        47.77N 103.28W
03/22/2009                   MCKENZIE           ND   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CHERRY CREECK ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF CITY OUTSKIRTS IS
            FLOODED. TOURIST PARK UNDER WATER. SANDBAGGING ONGOING IN
            CITY. AT LEAST ONE HOME FLOODED WITH POTENTIAL FOR 6 MORE
            THIS MORNING IF RISE CONTINUES.

&&

SCHECK

Local storm report, Mar 22, 11:46 AM CDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1146 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1135 AM     TSTM WND GST     LONG LAKE               45.86N 99.21W
03/22/2009  M67 MPH          MCPHERSON          SD   MESONET

&&

NHEINERT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 21, 7:35 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	BIS	Adams	4 hr
Mar 21, 10:13 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	BIS	Adams, Burleigh, Dunn, Emmons, Grant, Hettinger and 5 more	12 hr
Mar 22, 2:57 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	BIS	Divide, McKenzie, Williams	18 days
Mar 22, 3:30 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	BIS	Bottineau, Burleigh, Kidder, McHenry, Pierce, Rolette	86 days
Mar 22, 5:05 AM CDT	Wind Advisory	BIS	Bottineau, Burke, Burleigh, Dickey, Dunn, Emmons and 17 more	16 hr
Mar 22, 9:54 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bottineau, McHenry, Renville, Rolette, Ward	51 min
Mar 22, 10:22 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	BIS	Adams, Billings, Bottineau, Bowman, Burke, Burleigh and 30 more	5 days
Mar 22, 10:33 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Emmons	57 min
Mar 22, 10:48 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bottineau, McHenry, Renville, Rolette, Ward	57 min
Mar 22, 11:35 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burleigh, Emmons, Kidder, Logan	55 min
Mar 22, 11:41 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bottineau, McHenry	64 min
Mar 22, 11:50 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	BIS	Foster	71 hr
Mar 22, 11:50 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	BIS	Burleigh, Morton	5 hr
Mar 22, 12:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Kidder, LaMoure, Logan, Stutsman	19 min
Mar 22, 12:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Foster, LaMoure, Stutsman	54 min
Mar 22, 2:29 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	BIS	Dickey, LaMoure	6 hr
Mar 22, 4:10 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	BIS	Stutsman	6 hr
Mar 22, 4:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Billings, Golden Valley	66 min
Mar 22, 5:04 PM CDT	Blizzard Warning	BIS	Adams, Billings, Bottineau, Bowman, Burleigh, Dunn and 16 more	50 hr
Mar 22, 5:04 PM CDT	Winter Storm Watch	BIS	Foster, Kidder, Logan, McIntosh, Pierce, Rolette and 2 more	23 hr
Mar 22, 5:04 PM CDT	Winter Weather Advisory	BIS	Burke, Divide, McKenzie, Williams	42 hr
Mar 22, 5:16 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	BIS	Burleigh, Morton	4 days
Mar 22, 5:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Billings, Dunn	29 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Dakota, 2009 Every river flood warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.