Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2009

Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Binghamton, NY

August 18, 2009Broome County, Chenango County, Tioga County, New York

NWS Binghamton, NY issued this flash flood warning at Aug 18, 2009, 7:27 PM EDT for Broome County, Chenango County, Tioga County, New York. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 18, 2009, 7:27 PM EDT (23:27 UTC)
Expired
Aug 18, 2009, 9:52 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS Binghamton, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Broome County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Tioga County, NY

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 10 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2009-08-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 213 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2009-08-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 81 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
213 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-116 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1316 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
72 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 18, 2:34 PM EDT, 4 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 18, 2:34 PM EDT, 4 hours 53 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
234 PM EDT TUE AUG 18 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL NEW
YORK LATE TONIGHT...AND INTO NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA BY WEDNESDAY EVENING
...ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS
FRONT WILL WORK BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT ON THURSDAY. UNSETTLED
WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS SUPPORTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA PSBL JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE THIS EVNG BUT XPCT
ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET. STILL CANT RULE OUT ISOLD SVR
LATE THIS AFTN/EARLY EVNG...AND ISOLD GENERIC ACTIVITY OVRNGT
GIVEN PROXIMITY OF FNT AND WEAK EMBEDDED RIPPLES. THE FNT XPCTD TO
SAG INTO NRN PA TMRW...AND RESTRICTED CHC POPS TO THAT AREA ON
WED. LEANED TWDS THE WARMER SIDE OF GUIDANCE FOR TNGT GIVEN XPCTD
TDS (M/U60S).

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
FNT WILL BEGIN TO LIFT NWD LATER WED NGT AS POTENT UPR TROF DIGS
INTO THE CNTRL GTLAKES. STILL SOME DIFFS WITH RESPECT TO DEPTH AND
PROGRESSIVENESS OF THIS TROF. HOWEVER...FCST AREA WILL BE IN FVRBL
AREA FOR SHRA/TSRA BOTH THU AND FRI. MOS GUIDANCE LOOKED OK FOR
MAXES...BUT TOO COOL FOR MINS..SPCLY THU NGT WHEN WELL BE IN THE
WARM SECTOR WITH TDS PUSHING 70. DEPENDING THE FNTL MVMNT...COULD
SEE POTNL FOR SOME +RA ON FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
A COLD FRONTAL SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
ON FRIDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH AMPLITUDE...HIGH PWAT PATTERN OFFERED UP BY
THE ECMWF...AND NOW THE 12Z GFS SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.
STILL PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY IN TIMING WITH THESE PATTERNS...BUT GIVEN
OVERALL RUN-RUN CONSISTENCY IN THE ECMWF AND EXPECTATIONS OF HPC...WE
THINK IT IS OK TO NOW INCREASE TO LIKELY POPS ON FRIDAY NIGHT. IF
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH ON SCHEDULE...THE REST OF THE WEEKEND LOOKS
REASONABLY DRY WITH JUST A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH THE TRAILING UPPER
TROF ON SATURDAY...OTHERWISE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THROUGH MONDAY.
PATTERN BECOMES A BIT MORE NWLY WITH A FAST MOVING TROF AND SOME
SHOWERS PSBL TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLING DOWN TO MORE SEASONAL NORMS DURING
THIS PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR IS EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING...HOWEVER SCATTERED TS ARE
WILL MOVE ABOUT CNY AND NEPA THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS A
WEAK UL DISTURBANCE MOVES FROM EASTERN OH ACROSS NRN PA. PERIODIC
MVFR CIGS/VSBYS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN ANY TS AFFECTING TERMINAL
OPERATIONS. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO WANE LATER THIS
EVENING WITH LOSS OF HEATING AND PASSAGE OF DISTURBANCE. OVERNIGHT
BECOMES TRICKY THEN WITH HIGH DWPTS CONTINUING AND A LIGHT WIND
FLOW. CIGS SHOULD SCATTER OUT SOMEWHAT BEFORE 06Z...BUT THEN
MVFR STRATUS AND LIGHT MVFR/IFR FOG IS LIKELY TO FORM AROUND
SUNRISE. MVFR CIGS WILL SLOWLY LIFT DURING THE MORNING TO BKN VFR
BY 18Z. ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER
WEDNESDAY MORNING AND DURING THE AFTERNOON AS A SURFACE COLD FRONT
DRIFTS INTO THE AREA.

OUTLOOK...

WEDS NIGHT...VFR/MVFR.
THURS...VFR/MVFR. CHC SHRA/TS
FRI...MVFR/IFR. CHC RAIN/TS
SAT...VFR.
SUN...VFR.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

LONG TERM...JAB
AVIATION...JAB
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 18, 5:30 PM EDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 18, 4:52 PM EDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 18, 5:39 PM EDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 18, 6:22 PM EDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 18, 6:37 PM EDT, 50 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 18, 6:54 PM EDT, 33 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 18, 7:10 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 18, 3:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMOnondaga32 min
Aug 18, 3:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSchuyler, Seneca, Yates23 min
Aug 18, 5:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChenango, Otsego44 min
Aug 18, 6:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware, Otsego50 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2009Every flash flood warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.