Alert archive / Iowa / Blizzard Watches in 2009
Blizzard Watch 2, NWS La Crosse, WI
NWS La Crosse, WI issued this blizzard watch at Dec 6, 2009, 3:11 PM CST for 4 counties in Minnesota; 6 counties in Iowa. It took effect at Dec 8, 2009, 12:00 PM CST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 6, 2009, 3:11 PM CST (21:11 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 8, 2009, 12:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Dec 7, 2009, 3:50 PM CST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS La Crosse, WI
Counties Chickasaw County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Howard County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Dodge County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN
The radar
The La Crosse radar (KARX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 802 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 71 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -55 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 29 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KARX 062111 WSWARX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 311 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE REGION STARTING TUESDAY... .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON TUESDAY...STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL SPREAD OUT AHEAD OF THIS WINTER STORM...PUSHING INTO SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA TUESDAY MORNING...AND THEN INTO WESTERN WISCONSIN IN THE AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...LIKELY ENDING WEDNESDAY EVENING AS THE STORM EXITS EAST. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED...IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...POSSIBLY AS MUCH AS 12. IN ADDITION...THE WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY OVERNIGHT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS WILL LEAD TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW...AND POTENTIALLY WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. BLIZZARD TO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE OPEN AND UNSHELTERED AREAS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA...ALONG WITH AREA RIDGE-TOPS. IAZ008>010-018-019-029-MNZ086-087-094-095-070515- /O.NEW.KARX.BZ.A.0002.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/ MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-DODGE-OLMSTED- MOWER-FILLMORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...CHARLES CITY...OELWEIN... ROCHESTER...AUSTIN 311 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009 ...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING...CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY OVERNIGHT TUESDAY...INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF UP TO 35 TO 40 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...AND COULD RESULT IN WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. && $$ IAZ011-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-053>055-061- 070515- /O.NEW.KARX.WS.A.0004.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/ ALLAMAKEE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO- TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD- RICHLAND-GRANT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUKON...WINONA...MEDFORD... NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...SPARTA/TOMAH... MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...RICHLAND CENTER... PLATTEVILLE 311 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY...CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY OVERNIGHT TUESDAY...INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF UP TO 30 TO 35 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ RIECK WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE
5 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KARX 070305 WSWARX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 905 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009 ...THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON SET TO IMPACT THE AREA STARTING TUESDAY... .THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IS EXPECTED TO HIT THE AREA WITH SNOW AND HIGH WINDS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH THIS STORM SHOULD BE OVER KANSAS LATE TUESDAY AND THEN TRACK NORTHEAST TO SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO ONTARIO WEDNESDAY. SNOW FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN SPREADING INTO SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA TUESDAY MORNING...REACHING INTO WISCONSIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW LOOK TO FALL TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE SNOW DIMINISHES WEDNESDAY EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS FROM THIS STORM ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO FALL FROM NORTHEAST IOWA INTO SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL WISCONSIN. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORM FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS THE OPEN AND UNSHELTERED AREAS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW WILL OCCUR ELSEWHERE WITH SHORT PERIODS OF NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. IAZ008>010-018-019-029-MNZ086-087-094-095-071115- /O.CON.KARX.BZ.A.0002.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/ MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-DODGE-OLMSTED- MOWER-FILLMORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...CHARLES CITY...OELWEIN... ROCHESTER...AUSTIN 905 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009 ...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IMPACTS THE AREA. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING AND THEN BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE WEDNESDAY. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL HIT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE WHITE OUT CONDITIONS FROM CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. && $$ IAZ011-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-053>055-061- 071115- /O.CON.KARX.WS.A.0004.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/ ALLAMAKEE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO- TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD- RICHLAND-GRANT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUKON...WINONA...MEDFORD... NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...SPARTA/TOMAH... MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...RICHLAND CENTER... PLATTEVILLE 905 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. HEAVY SNOW AND HIGH WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IMPACTS THE AREA. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON AND THEN BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY EVENING. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL HIT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ 04 WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE
000 WWUS43 KARX 070956 WSWARX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 356 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009 ...THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON SET TO IMPACT THE AREA STARTING TUESDAY... .THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IS EXPECTED TO HIT THE AREA WITH SNOW AND HIGH WINDS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH THIS STORM SHOULD BE OVER KANSAS LATE TUESDAY AND THEN TRACK NORTHEAST TO SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO ONTARIO WEDNESDAY. SNOW FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN SPREADING INTO SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA TUESDAY MORNING...REACHING INTO WISCONSIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW LOOK TO FALL TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE SNOW DIMINISHES WEDNESDAY EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS FROM THIS STORM ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH SOME GREATER THAN 12 INCH AMOUNTS ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORM FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS THE OPEN AND UNSHELTERED AREAS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW WILL OCCUR ELSEWHERE WITH SHORT PERIODS OF NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. IAZ008>010-018-019-029-MNZ086-087-094-095-071800- /O.CON.KARX.BZ.A.0002.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/ MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-DODGE-OLMSTED- MOWER-FILLMORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...CHARLES CITY...OELWEIN... ROCHESTER...AUSTIN 356 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009 ...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IMPACTS THE AREA. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING AND THEN BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE WEDNESDAY. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL HIT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE WHITE OUT CONDITIONS FROM CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. && $$ IAZ011-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-053>055-061- 071800- /O.CON.KARX.WS.A.0004.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/ ALLAMAKEE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO- TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD- RICHLAND-GRANT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUKON...WINONA...MEDFORD... NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...SPARTA/TOMAH... MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...RICHLAND CENTER... PLATTEVILLE 356 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. HEAVY SNOW AND HIGH WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IMPACTS THE AREA. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON AND THEN BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY EVENING. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL HIT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH SOME AREAS ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN RECEIVING IN EXCESS OF 12 INCHES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ RABERDING WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE
000 WWUS43 KARX 071315 WSWARX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 715 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009 ...THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON SET TO IMPACT THE AREA STARTING TUESDAY... .THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IS EXPECTED TO HIT THE AREA WITH SNOW AND HIGH WINDS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH THIS STORM SHOULD BE OVER KANSAS LATE TUESDAY AND THEN TRACK NORTHEAST TO SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO ONTARIO WEDNESDAY. SNOW FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN SPREADING INTO SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA TUESDAY MORNING...REACHING INTO WISCONSIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW LOOK TO FALL TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE SNOW DIMINISHES WEDNESDAY EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS FROM THIS STORM ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH SOME GREATER THAN 12 INCH AMOUNTS ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORM FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS THE OPEN AND UNSHELTERED AREAS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW WILL OCCUR ELSEWHERE WITH SHORT PERIODS OF NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. IAZ008>010-018-019-029-MNZ086-087-094-095-072115- /O.CON.KARX.BZ.A.0002.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/ MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-DODGE-OLMSTED- MOWER-FILLMORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...CHARLES CITY...OELWEIN... ROCHESTER...AUSTIN 715 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009 ...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IMPACTS THE AREA. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING AND THEN BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE WEDNESDAY. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL HIT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE WHITE OUT CONDITIONS FROM CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. && $$ IAZ011-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-053>055-061- 072115- /O.CON.KARX.WS.A.0004.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/ ALLAMAKEE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO- TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD- RICHLAND-GRANT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUKON...WINONA...MEDFORD... NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...SPARTA/TOMAH... MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...RICHLAND CENTER... PLATTEVILLE 715 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. HEAVY SNOW AND HIGH WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IMPACTS THE AREA. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON AND THEN BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY EVENING. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL HIT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH SOME AREAS ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN RECEIVING IN EXCESS OF 12 INCHES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ RABERDING WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE
000 WWUS43 KARX 071743 WSWARX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 1143 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009 ...FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON SET TO IMPACT THE AREA STARTING TUESDAY... .THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IS EXPECTED TO HIT THE AREA WITH SNOW AND HIGH WINDS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH THIS STORM SHOULD BE OVER KANSAS LATE TUESDAY AND THEN TRACK NORTHEAST TO SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO ONTARIO WEDNESDAY. SNOW FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN SPREADING INTO SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA TUESDAY MORNING...REACHING INTO WISCONSIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW LOOK TO FALL TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE SNOW DIMINISHES WEDNESDAY EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS FROM THIS STORM ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH SOME GREATER THAN 12 INCH AMOUNTS ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORM FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS THE OPEN AND UNSHELTERED AREAS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW WILL OCCUR ELSEWHERE WITH SHORT PERIODS OF NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. IAZ008>010-018-019-029-MNZ086-087-094-095-080145- /O.CON.KARX.BZ.A.0002.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/ MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-DODGE-OLMSTED- MOWER-FILLMORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...CHARLES CITY...OELWEIN... ROCHESTER...AUSTIN 1143 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009 ...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IMPACTS THE AREA. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING AND THEN BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE WEDNESDAY. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL HIT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE WHITE OUT CONDITIONS FROM CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. && $$ IAZ011-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-053>055-061- 080145- /O.CON.KARX.WS.A.0004.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/ ALLAMAKEE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO- TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD- RICHLAND-GRANT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUKON...WINONA...MEDFORD... NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...SPARTA/TOMAH... MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...RICHLAND CENTER... PLATTEVILLE 1143 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. HEAVY SNOW AND HIGH WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IMPACTS THE AREA. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON AND THEN BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY EVENING. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL HIT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH SOME AREAS ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN RECEIVING IN EXCESS OF 12 INCHES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ THOMPSON WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE
000 WWUS43 KARX 072150 WSWARX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 350 PM CST MON DEC 7 2009 ...FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON SET TO IMPACT THE AREA STARTING TUESDAY... .THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IS EXPECTED TO HIT THE AREA WITH SNOW AND HIGH WINDS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH THIS STORM SHOULD BE OVER KANSAS LATE TUESDAY AND THEN TRACK NORTHEAST TO SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO ONTARIO WEDNESDAY. SNOW FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN SPREADING INTO SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA TUESDAY MORNING...REACHING INTO WISCONSIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW LOOK TO FALL TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE SNOW DIMINISHES WEDNESDAY EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS FROM THIS STORM ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH SOME GREATER THAN 12 INCH AMOUNTS ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE STORM FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ACROSS THE OPEN AND UNSHELTERED AREAS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW WILL OCCUR ELSEWHERE WITH SHORT PERIODS OF NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. IAZ008>010-018-019-029-MNZ086-087-094-095-080600- /O.UPG.KARX.BZ.A.0002.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KARX.BZ.W.0001.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/ MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-DODGE-OLMSTED- MOWER-FILLMORE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...CHARLES CITY...OELWEIN... ROCHESTER...AUSTIN 350 PM CST MON DEC 7 2009 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL SHOULD OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. * FALLING TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS SHOULD PRODUCE WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM INCLUDE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...ROAD CLOSURES AND IMPOSSIBLE TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. && $$ IAZ011-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-053>055-061- 080600- /O.UPG.KARX.WS.A.0004.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KARX.WS.W.0006.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/ ALLAMAKEE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO- TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD- RICHLAND-GRANT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUKON...WINONA...MEDFORD... NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...SPARTA/TOMAH... MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...RICHLAND CENTER... PLATTEVILLE 350 PM CST MON DEC 7 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS THE AREA FROM LATE TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL SHOULD OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. A FOOT OR MORE OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN. * NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * FALLING TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS SHOULD PRODUCE WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM INCLUDE THE POSSIBILITY OF NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...ROAD CLOSURES AND IMPOSSIBLE TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ON THE RIDGE TOPS AND IN OPEN COUNTRY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ THOMPSON
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this blizzard watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS La Crosse, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this blizzard watch went out at Dec 6, 2:55 PM CST, 16 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 6, 2:55 PM CST, 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
255 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
FORECAST CONCERNS CONTINUE TO FOCUS SQUARELY ON WHAT LOOKS TO BE A
MAJOR WINTER STORM FOR TUES/WED...SIGNIFICANT SNOWS/WIND.
CONSISTENCY BETWEEN...AND WITHIN THE MODELS HAVE LEAD TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE PREDICTABILITY OF A WINTER STORM TO PLOW ACROSS
THE REGION ON TUESDAY THOUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BE A HIGH
IMPACT...DANGEROUS STORM...WITH APPRECIABLE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COUPLED
WITH STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. BLIZZARD OR NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
ARE LIKELY...RESULTING IN WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. IF THE WINTER STORM
MANIFESTS PER FORECAST...TRAVEL MAY NOT BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES TUESDAY
NIGHT/WED.
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DRIVE WEST ACROSS THE ROCKIES ON
TUES...TAKING ON A NEGATIVE TILT/STRENGTHENING AS IT LIFTS INTO THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES BY 18Z WED. THIS SYSTEM IS GETTING A SHOVE BY A
120+ KT 300 MB CURVED JET...WITH THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE JET
ENHANCING THE LIFT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WED.
AT THE SFC...THE 06.12 NAM AND GFS PLACE A LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF LAKE MICHIGAN...AND WITHIN A MB OR TWO OF EACH OTHER IN STRENGTH.
THE 06.00Z EC AND GEM VERY SIMILAR...WHILE THE 06.09Z SREF IS JUST A
TAD FARTHER WEST COMPARED TO THE LATEST OPERATIONAL RUNS. QG
CONVERGENCE IS STRONG WITH THIS SYSTEM...ESPECIALLY IN THE 06-12Z
WED TIME FRAME FOR THE FORECAST AREA. HEFTY ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE FROM
285-305 K SFCS...AND LOOKING AT THE 850-700 MB THETA-E ADVECTION...A
TONGUE OF RELATIVELY WARM/MOIST AIR IS PULLED NORTH AND WEST AROUND
THE SFC LOW...FEEDING AREAS OF SNOW. THE NAM AND GFS SHOW SOME 2-D
FRONTOGENETIC LIFT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WEST/NORTH OF THE SFC
LOW...ON THE 900-700 MB SFC. AGAIN...STRONGEST LOCALLY IN THE 06-12Z
WED TIME FRAME. THIS POINTS TO THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME BANDING OF THE
SNOW...AND POSSIBLY HIGHER ACCUMULATION RATES WITH THEM. NOT MUCH
-EPV INDICATED THOUGH...NOR DOES THERE APPEAR TO BE ANY INSTABILITY
TO SUPPORT CONVECTIVE SNOW CHANCES. THE DENDRITIC GROWTH REGION
DOESN/T LOOK OVERLY LARGE PER BUFKIT SOUNDINGS AND TIME/HEIGHT
X-SECTIONS. IN ADDITION...SNOWFALL RATIOS PER COBB OUTPUT ALSO ABOUT
AVERAGE...AROUND 14:1 GENERALLY. CAN/T RULE OUT INCH PER HOUR RATES
WITH ANY BAND THAT DEVELOPS...BUT OVERALL...IT WOULD APPEAR THIS
EVENT WILL BE A DRAWN OUT ONE...WITH UP TO 1/2 INCH PER HOUR
ACCUMULATIONS FOR UP TO 24 HOURS.
SO...LOOKING FIRST AT SNOWFALL TOTALS...AS MENTIONED...ACCUMULATION
RATES DON/T APPEAR TO BE TOO HEFTY AT THE MOMENT...WITH RATIOS IN
THE AVERAGE BALLPARK FOR THE REGION. THE WEST-EAST MOVEMENT WILL
LEAD TO A PROLONGED PERIOD OF ACCUMULATIONS THOUGH...AND COBB OUTPUT
VIA THE GFS AND NAM HAS BEEN VERY CONSISTENT WITH 6 TO 12 INCHES FOR
THE FORECAST AREA. WITH THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR SNOW
PRODUCTION...AND THE GOOD LIFT...THESE TOTALS LOOK VERY REASONABLE.
IN ADDITION TO APPRECIABLE SNOW AMOUNTS...WINDS WILL BE A MAJOR
FACTOR WITH THIS WINTER STORM. THE STORM WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN
AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION...WITH THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE
GRADIENT PRODUCING SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 20 TO 30 MPH AT
TIMES...WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH. BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE NEW
FALLEN/FALLING SNOW WILL RESULT...AND REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITIES TO
1/4 MILE OR LESS LOOKS LIKELY AT TIMES. WHITE-OUT OR NEAR WHITE-OUT
CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
THE IMPACT ON TRAVEL CANNOT BE OVER EMPHASIZED. THE STORM MAY VERY
WELL BE AT ITS PEAK FOR THE LOCAL AREA DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ON
WED. ROADS WILL NOT ONLY BECOME EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS...BUT POSSIBLY
IMPASSABLE AT TIMES. IF THE STORM EVOLVES AS EXPECTED...TRAVEL
SHOULD BE LIMITED TO EMERGENCIES ONLY.
SHIFTING GEARS BACK A BIT TO TONIGHT...WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH SPINNING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...AND
THIS FEATURE IS SLATED TO SLIDE INTO NORTHERN ILL BY 12Z
MON...LIFTING NORTHEAST OF THE REGION BY 06Z TUES. DECENT QG
CONVERGENCE WITH THE SYSTEM...AND SOME 2-D FRONTOGENETIC FORCING
INDICATED FROM THE NAM12 ON THE 900-800 SFCS...RUNNING ACROSS
NORTHEAST IA/SOUTHWEST WI. SFC OBS AND RADAR IMAGERY SHOW SNOW
FALLING OVER NEB FROM THIS SHORTWAVE...WITH VSBYS REDUCED TO 1/2
MILE OR LESS IN MANY LOCATIONS. COBB OUTPUT VIA THE GFS AND NAM DROP
ABOUT 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA...IN
THE REGION OF BETTER LIFT/MOISTURE. THIS CONTINUES TO LOOK
REASONABLE. AS A RESULT...DO NOT FEEL A WINTER WEATHER ADV WILL BE
NECESSARY FOR NORTHEAST IA/SOUTHWEST WI LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
OF COURSE...TRENDS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED...AND UPDATES MADE AS
NECESSARY.
.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
THE SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL BE EXITING TO THE NORTHEAST WED
EVENING...AS THE GOOD AGREEMENT BETWEEN ECMWF/GFS/GEM CONTINUES.
WINDS COULD STILL BE A FACTOR WED NIGHT...CONTINUING A
BLOWING/DRIFTING SNOW THREAT...BUT IT WOULD APPEAR THE BULK OF THE
ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL LIKELY HAVE SHIFTED EAST BY THIS TIME. IN THE
WAKE OF THE STORM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SINK ACROSS THE REGION FOR
THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK...WITH COLD TEMPERATURES THE MAIN
FORECAST CONCERN. 850 MB TEMPS WILL TUMBLE INTO THE -20 C RANGE AT
850 MB FOR THU...WITH SOME WARMING PROGGED TO AROUND -8 C BY SUNDAY.
CLEARING SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...AND FRESH SNOW COVER MEAN RATHER
CHILLY MORNINGS THOUGH...AND SINGLE DIGIT LOWS ARE LIKELY INTO THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. A FEW BELOW ZERO READINGS ALSO LOOK VERY
POSSIBLE.
&&
.AVIATION...TONIGHT AND MONDAY
IN THE SHORT TERM...EMPHASIS WAS ON TIMING AND DEGREE OF LOWERING
CEILING AND VISIBILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH LIGHT SNOW TONIGHT. PER
PREVIOUS DATA SETS...STRONGEST UPWARD VERTICAL MOTIONS SUPPORTED
GREATEST LIKELIHOOD OF IFR WILL BE SOUTH OF THE TAF SITES TONIGHT.
THEREFORE...PREVAILING CONDITIONS AT KRST AND KLSE SHOULD BE MAINLY
MVFR WITH PERHAPS A SHORT PERIOD OF IFR. SNOW AMOUNTS AT BOTH KRST
AND KLSE OVERNIGHT EXPECTED TO BE AROUND AN INCH. LOW LEVEL RELATIVE
HUMIDITY REMAINS HIGH THROUGH MONDAY AND THUS EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS
AND SOME LINGERING FLURRIES TO PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST 07.18Z.
LOOKING AHEAD...PRIMARY CONCERN WAS ASSOCIATED WITH MAJOR WINTER
STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. HIGH PREDICTABILITY
ASSOCIATED WITH EXCELLENT CONSENSUS AMONG VARIOUS DATA SETS SUPPORTS
HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT A MAJOR WINTER STORM WITH HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG
WINDS WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON AIRPORTS AREAWIDE. WE CANNOT
EMPHASIZE ENOUGH FOR AIRPORT MANAGERS...DISPATCHERS AND PILOTS TO
KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST FORECASTS DUE TO EXPECTED IMPACTS ON SUCH
OPERATIONS AS SNOW REMOVAL...DEICING AIRCRAFT AND INSTRUMENT
APPROACHES.
&&
.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR WIZ017-WIZ029-WIZ032-WIZ033-WIZ034-WIZ041-
WIZ042-WIZ043-WIZ044-WIZ053-WIZ054-WIZ055-WIZ061.
MN...BLIZZARD WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR MNZ086-MNZ087-MNZ094-MNZ095.
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR MNZ079-MNZ088-MNZ096.
IA...BLIZZARD WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR IAZ008-IAZ009-IAZ010-IAZ018-IAZ019-IAZ029.
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR IAZ011-IAZ030.
&&
AVIATION.......... THOMPSON
SHORT/LONG TERM... RIECKHazardous weather outlook, Dec 6, 5:00 AM CST, 10 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 500 AM CST SUN DEC 6 2009 IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029- 032>034-041>044-053>055-061-071200- ADAMS-ALLAMAKEE-BUFFALO-CHICKASAW-CLARK-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-DODGE- FAYETTE-FILLMORE-FLOYD-GRANT-HOUSTON-HOWARD-JACKSON-JUNEAU- LA CROSSE-MITCHELL-MONROE-MOWER-OLMSTED-RICHLAND-TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU- VERNON-WABASHA-WINNESHIEK-WINONA- 500 AM CST SUN DEC 6 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...NORTHEAST IOWA...AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA THIS EVENING...THEN MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW ARE LIKELY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 90...WITH THE HEAVIER TOTALS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CHARLES CITY AND WAUKON IOWA TO RICHLAND CENTER WISCONSIN. LESSER AMOUNTS OF A TRACE TO AN INCH ARE LIKELY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 90. BE PREPARED FOR A SLOWER COMMUTE MONDAY MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY LIGHT SNOW WILL DIMINISH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA MONDAY MORNING...WITH UP TO AN ADDITIONAL HALF INCH POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND FAR SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN. IT CONTINUES TO LOOK MORE LIKELY THAT AN EARLY SEASON WINTER STORM WILL STRENGTHEN OVER OKLAHOMA OR SOUTHERN KANSAS TUESDAY...THEN LIFT TOWARD THE SOUTHERN TIP OF LAKE MICHIGAN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL PULL ABUNDANT GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE NORTHWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW NORTHWEST OF THE TRACK OF THE LOW. THE LATEST STORM TRACK HAS TRENDED TO THE NORTH OF THE TRACK INDICATED SATURDAY MORNING...THUS IT APPEARS THE HEAVIEST SNOW MAY ONCE AGAIN FALL OVER PARTS OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...THE TRACK OF THE LOW REMAINS UNCERTAIN AND MAY YET TREND FURTHER NORTH OR BACK TO THE SOUTH. THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY STRONG...AND EVEN IF THE TRACK IS NOT VERY CLOSE TO THE AREA...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. AS THE LOW DEEPENS TUESDAY NIGHT AND APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN TIP OF LAKE MICHIGAN...NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA AND BECOME QUITE STRONG FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY NEW SNOWFALL LIKELY IN OPEN AREAS AND ACROSS THE RIDGE TOPS...WHICH MAY LEAD TO WHITEOUT OR NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. SNOW AMOUNTS WITH THIS SYSTEM REMAIN UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME...BUT IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES IS LOOKING POSSIBLE SOUTH AND EAST OF A ROCHESTER MINNESOTA TO NEILLSVILLE WISCONSIN LINE. PLANNING SHOULD BE MADE FOR A POTENTIAL DIFFICULT COMMUTE WEDNESDAY MORNING. STAY TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS CONCERNING THIS POTENTIAL DANGEROUS WINTER STORM. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SNOWFALL REPORTS WOULD BE APPRECIATED MONDAY MORNING. .EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION... NO CALL IS SCHEDULED. RRS
The office that day
Everything else NWS La Crosse, WI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 3:11 PM CST | Winter Storm Watch | ARX | Houston, Wabasha, Winona | 25 hr |
Nearby
Blizzard Watches in Iowa, 2009Blizzard Watches in Minnesota, 2009Every blizzard watch in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.