Alert archive / Iowa / Blizzard Watches in 2009

Blizzard Watch 2, NWS La Crosse, WI

December 6, 20094 counties in Minnesota; 6 counties in Iowa

NWS La Crosse, WI issued this blizzard watch at Dec 6, 2009, 3:11 PM CST for 4 counties in Minnesota; 6 counties in Iowa. It took effect at Dec 8, 2009, 12:00 PM CST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 6, 2009, 3:11 PM CST (21:11 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 8, 2009, 12:00 PM CST
Expired
Dec 7, 2009, 3:50 PM CST
In force
Issued by
NWS La Crosse, WI

Counties Chickasaw County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Howard County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Dodge County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2009-12-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2009-12-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -55 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
802 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
71 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-55 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS43 KARX 062111
WSWARX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
311 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE REGION STARTING TUESDAY...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST OUT OF THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS ON TUESDAY...STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES INTO THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL SPREAD OUT AHEAD OF THIS
WINTER STORM...PUSHING INTO SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA
TUESDAY MORNING...AND THEN INTO WESTERN WISCONSIN IN THE
AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...LIKELY
ENDING WEDNESDAY EVENING AS THE STORM EXITS EAST. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED...IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...POSSIBLY AS
MUCH AS 12. IN ADDITION...THE WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY
OVERNIGHT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS WILL LEAD TO
BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW...AND POTENTIALLY WHITE-OUT
CONDITIONS AT TIMES. BLIZZARD TO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE OPEN AND UNSHELTERED AREAS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA
AND NORTHEAST IOWA...ALONG WITH AREA RIDGE-TOPS.

IAZ008>010-018-019-029-MNZ086-087-094-095-070515-
/O.NEW.KARX.BZ.A.0002.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/
MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-DODGE-OLMSTED-
MOWER-FILLMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...CHARLES CITY...OELWEIN...
ROCHESTER...AUSTIN
311 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009

...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING...CONTINUING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. IN
ADDITION...WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY OVERNIGHT
TUESDAY...INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF UP TO 35 TO 40
MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE
SNOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...AND COULD RESULT IN WHITE-OUT
CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS.

&&

$$

IAZ011-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-053>055-061-
070515-
/O.NEW.KARX.WS.A.0004.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/
ALLAMAKEE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO-
TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-GRANT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUKON...WINONA...MEDFORD...
NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...SPARTA/TOMAH...
MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...RICHLAND CENTER...
PLATTEVILLE
311 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY...CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY
EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. IN
ADDITION...WINDS WILL BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY OVERNIGHT
TUESDAY...INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF UP TO 30 TO 35
MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE
SNOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

RIECK

WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE
5 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS43 KARX 070305
WSWARX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
905 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009

...THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON SET TO IMPACT
THE AREA STARTING TUESDAY...

.THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IS EXPECTED TO HIT THE AREA
WITH SNOW AND HIGH WINDS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE WITH THIS STORM SHOULD BE OVER KANSAS LATE TUESDAY
AND THEN TRACK NORTHEAST TO SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN TUESDAY NIGHT
AND INTO ONTARIO WEDNESDAY. SNOW FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN
SPREADING INTO SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA TUESDAY
MORNING...REACHING INTO WISCONSIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF
HEAVY SNOW LOOK TO FALL TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE SNOW DIMINISHES
WEDNESDAY EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS FROM THIS STORM ARE EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS CURRENTLY
EXPECTED TO FALL FROM NORTHEAST IOWA INTO SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL
WISCONSIN. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE STORM FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING.
THESE STRONG WINDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE OPEN AND UNSHELTERED AREAS OF SOUTHEAST
MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF
THE SNOW WILL OCCUR ELSEWHERE WITH SHORT PERIODS OF NEAR WHITE OUT
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.

IAZ008>010-018-019-029-MNZ086-087-094-095-071115-
/O.CON.KARX.BZ.A.0002.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/
MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-DODGE-OLMSTED-
MOWER-FILLMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...CHARLES CITY...OELWEIN...
ROCHESTER...AUSTIN
905 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009

...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE
SEASON IMPACTS THE AREA. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY
MORNING AND THEN BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE
WEDNESDAY. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL HIT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE WHITE OUT CONDITIONS FROM
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS.

&&

$$

IAZ011-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-053>055-061-
071115-
/O.CON.KARX.WS.A.0004.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/
ALLAMAKEE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO-
TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-GRANT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUKON...WINONA...MEDFORD...
NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...SPARTA/TOMAH...
MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...RICHLAND CENTER...
PLATTEVILLE
905 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

HEAVY SNOW AND HIGH WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON
IMPACTS THE AREA. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING AND
AFTERNOON AND THEN BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY BEFORE
DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY EVENING. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL HIT THE
AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25
MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING
AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES WILL
BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

04

WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE
000 
WWUS43 KARX 070956
WSWARX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
356 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009

...THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON SET TO IMPACT
THE AREA STARTING TUESDAY...

.THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IS EXPECTED TO HIT THE AREA
WITH SNOW AND HIGH WINDS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE WITH THIS STORM SHOULD BE OVER KANSAS LATE
TUESDAY AND THEN TRACK NORTHEAST TO SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN
TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO ONTARIO WEDNESDAY. SNOW FROM THIS SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN SPREADING INTO SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA
TUESDAY MORNING...REACHING INTO WISCONSIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW LOOK TO FALL TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE SNOW
DIMINISHES WEDNESDAY EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS FROM THIS STORM ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH SOME GREATER THAN 12
INCH AMOUNTS ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN. IN
ADDITION TO THE SNOW...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
STORM FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. THESE STRONG
WINDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE OPEN AND UNSHELTERED AREAS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHEAST IOWA. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW WILL
OCCUR ELSEWHERE WITH SHORT PERIODS OF NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE.

IAZ008>010-018-019-029-MNZ086-087-094-095-071800-
/O.CON.KARX.BZ.A.0002.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/
MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-DODGE-OLMSTED-
MOWER-FILLMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...CHARLES CITY...OELWEIN...
ROCHESTER...AUSTIN
356 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009

...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF
THE SEASON IMPACTS THE AREA. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY
MORNING AND THEN BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE
WEDNESDAY. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL HIT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE WHITE OUT CONDITIONS FROM
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS.

&&

$$

IAZ011-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-053>055-061-
071800-
/O.CON.KARX.WS.A.0004.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/
ALLAMAKEE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO-
TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-GRANT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUKON...WINONA...MEDFORD...
NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...SPARTA/TOMAH...
MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...RICHLAND CENTER...
PLATTEVILLE
356 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

HEAVY SNOW AND HIGH WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON
IMPACTS THE AREA. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING
AND AFTERNOON AND THEN BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
BEFORE DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY EVENING. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
HIT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF
15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OF 8 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH SOME AREAS ACROSS
NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN RECEIVING IN EXCESS OF 12 INCHES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

RABERDING

WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE
000 
WWUS43 KARX 071315
WSWARX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
715 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009

...THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON SET TO IMPACT
THE AREA STARTING TUESDAY...

.THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IS EXPECTED TO HIT THE AREA
WITH SNOW AND HIGH WINDS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE WITH THIS STORM SHOULD BE OVER KANSAS LATE
TUESDAY AND THEN TRACK NORTHEAST TO SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN
TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO ONTARIO WEDNESDAY. SNOW FROM THIS SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN SPREADING INTO SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA
TUESDAY MORNING...REACHING INTO WISCONSIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW LOOK TO FALL TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE SNOW
DIMINISHES WEDNESDAY EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS FROM THIS STORM ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH SOME GREATER THAN
12 INCH AMOUNTS ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN. IN
ADDITION TO THE SNOW...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
STORM FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. THESE STRONG
WINDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE OPEN AND UNSHELTERED AREAS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHEAST IOWA. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW WILL
OCCUR ELSEWHERE WITH SHORT PERIODS OF NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE.

IAZ008>010-018-019-029-MNZ086-087-094-095-072115-
/O.CON.KARX.BZ.A.0002.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/
MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-DODGE-OLMSTED-
MOWER-FILLMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...CHARLES CITY...OELWEIN...
ROCHESTER...AUSTIN
715 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009

...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF
THE SEASON IMPACTS THE AREA. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY
MORNING AND THEN BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE
WEDNESDAY. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL HIT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE WHITE OUT CONDITIONS FROM
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS.

&&

$$

IAZ011-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-053>055-061-
072115-
/O.CON.KARX.WS.A.0004.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/
ALLAMAKEE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO-
TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-GRANT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUKON...WINONA...MEDFORD...
NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...SPARTA/TOMAH...
MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...RICHLAND CENTER...
PLATTEVILLE
715 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

HEAVY SNOW AND HIGH WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON
IMPACTS THE AREA. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING
AND AFTERNOON AND THEN BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
BEFORE DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY EVENING. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
HIT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF
15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OF 8 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH SOME AREAS ACROSS
NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN RECEIVING IN EXCESS OF
12 INCHES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

RABERDING

WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE
000 
WWUS43 KARX 071743
WSWARX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1143 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009

...FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON SET TO IMPACT
THE AREA STARTING TUESDAY...

.THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IS EXPECTED TO HIT THE AREA
WITH SNOW AND HIGH WINDS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE WITH THIS STORM SHOULD BE OVER KANSAS LATE
TUESDAY AND THEN TRACK NORTHEAST TO SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN
TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO ONTARIO WEDNESDAY. SNOW FROM THIS SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN SPREADING INTO SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA
TUESDAY MORNING...REACHING INTO WISCONSIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW LOOK TO FALL TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE SNOW
DIMINISHES WEDNESDAY EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS FROM THIS STORM ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH SOME GREATER THAN
12 INCH AMOUNTS ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN. IN
ADDITION TO THE SNOW...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
STORM FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. THESE STRONG
WINDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE OPEN AND UNSHELTERED AREAS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHEAST IOWA. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW WILL
OCCUR ELSEWHERE WITH SHORT PERIODS OF NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE.

IAZ008>010-018-019-029-MNZ086-087-094-095-080145-
/O.CON.KARX.BZ.A.0002.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/
MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-DODGE-OLMSTED-
MOWER-FILLMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...CHARLES CITY...OELWEIN...
ROCHESTER...AUSTIN
1143 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009

...BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF
THE SEASON IMPACTS THE AREA. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY
MORNING AND THEN BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE
WEDNESDAY. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL HIT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE WHITE OUT CONDITIONS FROM
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS.

&&

$$

IAZ011-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-053>055-061-
080145-
/O.CON.KARX.WS.A.0004.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/
ALLAMAKEE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO-
TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-GRANT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUKON...WINONA...MEDFORD...
NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...SPARTA/TOMAH...
MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...RICHLAND CENTER...
PLATTEVILLE
1143 AM CST MON DEC 7 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

HEAVY SNOW AND HIGH WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON
IMPACTS THE AREA. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING
AND AFTERNOON AND THEN BE HEAVY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
BEFORE DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY EVENING. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
HIT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF
15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. THIS WILL PRODUCE
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OF 8 TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH SOME AREAS ACROSS
NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN RECEIVING IN EXCESS OF
12 INCHES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

THOMPSON

WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE
000 
WWUS43 KARX 072150
WSWARX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
350 PM CST MON DEC 7 2009

...FIRST SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON SET TO IMPACT THE
AREA STARTING TUESDAY...

.THE FIRST WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON IS EXPECTED TO HIT THE AREA
WITH SNOW AND HIGH WINDS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE WITH THIS STORM SHOULD BE OVER KANSAS LATE
TUESDAY AND THEN TRACK NORTHEAST TO SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN
TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO ONTARIO WEDNESDAY. SNOW FROM THIS SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN SPREADING INTO SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA
TUESDAY MORNING...REACHING INTO WISCONSIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW LOOK TO FALL TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE SNOW
DIMINISHES WEDNESDAY EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS FROM THIS STORM ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH SOME GREATER THAN
12 INCH AMOUNTS ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN. IN
ADDITION TO THE SNOW...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
STORM FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. THESE STRONG
WINDS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE OPEN AND UNSHELTERED AREAS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHEAST IOWA. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW WILL
OCCUR ELSEWHERE WITH SHORT PERIODS OF NEAR WHITE OUT CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE.

IAZ008>010-018-019-029-MNZ086-087-094-095-080600-
/O.UPG.KARX.BZ.A.0002.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KARX.BZ.W.0001.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/
MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-DODGE-OLMSTED-
MOWER-FILLMORE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DECORAH...CHARLES CITY...OELWEIN...
ROCHESTER...AUSTIN
350 PM CST MON DEC 7 2009

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL SHOULD OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW
  ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH LATE
  TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH
  WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD
  CONDITIONS WILL BE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* FALLING TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS SHOULD PRODUCE
  WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM INCLUDE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...ROAD
  CLOSURES AND IMPOSSIBLE TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY FROM LATE TUESDAY
  NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

&&

$$

IAZ011-030-MNZ079-088-096-WIZ017-029-032>034-041>044-053>055-061-
080600-
/O.UPG.KARX.WS.A.0004.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KARX.WS.W.0006.091208T1800Z-091210T0600Z/
ALLAMAKEE-CLAYTON-WABASHA-WINONA-HOUSTON-TAYLOR-CLARK-BUFFALO-
TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON-LA CROSSE-MONROE-JUNEAU-ADAMS-VERNON-CRAWFORD-
RICHLAND-GRANT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAUKON...WINONA...MEDFORD...
NEILLSVILLE...BLACK RIVER FALLS...LA CROSSE...SPARTA/TOMAH...
MAUSTON...VIROQUA...PRAIRIE DU CHIEN...RICHLAND CENTER...
PLATTEVILLE
350 PM CST MON DEC 7 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT
CST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM NOON TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER
STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS THE AREA FROM LATE TUESDAY
  MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL SHOULD
  OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. A FOOT
  OR MORE OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN.

* NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH LATE
  TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. GUSTS UP
  TO 40 MPH WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* FALLING TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS SHOULD PRODUCE
  WIND CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS FROM THIS STORM INCLUDE THE POSSIBILITY OF NEAR WHITEOUT
  CONDITIONS...ROAD CLOSURES AND IMPOSSIBLE TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY ON
  THE RIDGE TOPS AND IN OPEN COUNTRY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS MEANS SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNTS OF SNOW COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP
AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF
AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

THOMPSON

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this blizzard watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS La Crosse, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this blizzard watch went out at Dec 6, 2:55 PM CST, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 6, 2:55 PM CST, 16 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
255 PM CST SUN DEC 6 2009

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY

FORECAST CONCERNS CONTINUE TO FOCUS SQUARELY ON WHAT LOOKS TO BE A
MAJOR WINTER STORM FOR TUES/WED...SIGNIFICANT SNOWS/WIND.

CONSISTENCY BETWEEN...AND WITHIN THE MODELS HAVE LEAD TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN THE PREDICTABILITY OF A WINTER STORM TO PLOW ACROSS
THE REGION ON TUESDAY THOUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BE A HIGH
IMPACT...DANGEROUS STORM...WITH APPRECIABLE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COUPLED
WITH STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS. BLIZZARD OR NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
ARE LIKELY...RESULTING IN WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. IF THE WINTER STORM
MANIFESTS PER FORECAST...TRAVEL MAY NOT BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES TUESDAY
NIGHT/WED.

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL DRIVE WEST ACROSS THE ROCKIES ON
TUES...TAKING ON A NEGATIVE TILT/STRENGTHENING AS IT LIFTS INTO THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES BY 18Z WED. THIS SYSTEM IS GETTING A SHOVE BY A
120+ KT 300 MB CURVED JET...WITH THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE JET
ENHANCING THE LIFT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WED.
AT THE SFC...THE 06.12 NAM AND GFS PLACE A LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF LAKE MICHIGAN...AND WITHIN A MB OR TWO OF EACH OTHER IN STRENGTH.
THE 06.00Z EC AND GEM VERY SIMILAR...WHILE THE 06.09Z SREF IS JUST A
TAD FARTHER WEST COMPARED TO THE LATEST OPERATIONAL RUNS. QG
CONVERGENCE IS STRONG WITH THIS SYSTEM...ESPECIALLY IN THE 06-12Z
WED TIME FRAME FOR THE FORECAST AREA. HEFTY ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE FROM
285-305 K SFCS...AND LOOKING AT THE 850-700 MB THETA-E ADVECTION...A
TONGUE OF RELATIVELY WARM/MOIST AIR IS PULLED NORTH AND WEST AROUND
THE SFC LOW...FEEDING AREAS OF SNOW. THE NAM AND GFS SHOW SOME 2-D
FRONTOGENETIC LIFT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WEST/NORTH OF THE SFC
LOW...ON THE 900-700 MB SFC. AGAIN...STRONGEST LOCALLY IN THE 06-12Z
WED TIME FRAME. THIS POINTS TO THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME BANDING OF THE
SNOW...AND POSSIBLY HIGHER ACCUMULATION RATES WITH THEM. NOT MUCH
-EPV INDICATED THOUGH...NOR DOES THERE APPEAR TO BE ANY INSTABILITY
TO SUPPORT CONVECTIVE SNOW CHANCES. THE DENDRITIC GROWTH REGION
DOESN/T LOOK OVERLY LARGE PER BUFKIT SOUNDINGS AND TIME/HEIGHT
X-SECTIONS. IN ADDITION...SNOWFALL RATIOS PER COBB OUTPUT ALSO ABOUT
AVERAGE...AROUND 14:1 GENERALLY. CAN/T RULE OUT INCH PER HOUR RATES
WITH ANY BAND THAT DEVELOPS...BUT OVERALL...IT WOULD APPEAR THIS
EVENT WILL BE A DRAWN OUT ONE...WITH UP TO 1/2 INCH PER HOUR
ACCUMULATIONS FOR UP TO 24 HOURS.

SO...LOOKING FIRST AT SNOWFALL TOTALS...AS MENTIONED...ACCUMULATION
RATES DON/T APPEAR TO BE TOO HEFTY AT THE MOMENT...WITH RATIOS IN
THE AVERAGE BALLPARK FOR THE REGION. THE WEST-EAST MOVEMENT WILL
LEAD TO A PROLONGED PERIOD OF ACCUMULATIONS THOUGH...AND COBB OUTPUT
VIA THE GFS AND NAM HAS BEEN VERY CONSISTENT WITH 6 TO 12 INCHES FOR
THE FORECAST AREA. WITH THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR SNOW
PRODUCTION...AND THE GOOD LIFT...THESE TOTALS LOOK VERY REASONABLE.

IN ADDITION TO APPRECIABLE SNOW AMOUNTS...WINDS WILL BE A MAJOR
FACTOR WITH THIS WINTER STORM. THE STORM WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN
AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION...WITH THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE
GRADIENT PRODUCING SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 20 TO 30 MPH AT
TIMES...WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH. BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE NEW
FALLEN/FALLING SNOW WILL RESULT...AND REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITIES TO
1/4 MILE OR LESS LOOKS LIKELY AT TIMES. WHITE-OUT OR NEAR WHITE-OUT
CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

THE IMPACT ON TRAVEL CANNOT BE OVER EMPHASIZED. THE STORM MAY VERY
WELL BE AT ITS PEAK FOR THE LOCAL AREA DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ON
WED. ROADS WILL NOT ONLY BECOME EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS...BUT POSSIBLY
IMPASSABLE AT TIMES. IF THE STORM EVOLVES AS EXPECTED...TRAVEL
SHOULD BE LIMITED TO EMERGENCIES ONLY.

SHIFTING GEARS BACK A BIT TO TONIGHT...WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH SPINNING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...AND
THIS FEATURE IS SLATED TO SLIDE INTO NORTHERN ILL BY 12Z
MON...LIFTING NORTHEAST OF THE REGION BY 06Z TUES. DECENT QG
CONVERGENCE WITH THE SYSTEM...AND SOME 2-D FRONTOGENETIC FORCING
INDICATED FROM THE NAM12 ON THE 900-800 SFCS...RUNNING ACROSS
NORTHEAST IA/SOUTHWEST WI. SFC OBS AND RADAR IMAGERY SHOW SNOW
FALLING OVER NEB FROM THIS SHORTWAVE...WITH VSBYS REDUCED TO 1/2
MILE OR LESS IN MANY LOCATIONS. COBB OUTPUT VIA THE GFS AND NAM DROP
ABOUT 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA...IN
THE REGION OF BETTER LIFT/MOISTURE. THIS CONTINUES TO LOOK
REASONABLE. AS A RESULT...DO NOT FEEL A WINTER WEATHER ADV WILL BE
NECESSARY FOR NORTHEAST IA/SOUTHWEST WI LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
OF COURSE...TRENDS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED...AND UPDATES MADE AS
NECESSARY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

THE SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL BE EXITING TO THE NORTHEAST WED
EVENING...AS THE GOOD AGREEMENT BETWEEN ECMWF/GFS/GEM CONTINUES.
WINDS COULD STILL BE A FACTOR WED NIGHT...CONTINUING A
BLOWING/DRIFTING SNOW THREAT...BUT IT WOULD APPEAR THE BULK OF THE
ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL LIKELY HAVE SHIFTED EAST BY THIS TIME. IN THE
WAKE OF THE STORM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SINK ACROSS THE REGION FOR
THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK...WITH COLD TEMPERATURES THE MAIN
FORECAST CONCERN. 850 MB TEMPS WILL TUMBLE INTO THE -20 C RANGE AT
850 MB FOR THU...WITH SOME WARMING PROGGED TO AROUND -8 C BY SUNDAY.
CLEARING SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...AND FRESH SNOW COVER MEAN RATHER
CHILLY MORNINGS THOUGH...AND SINGLE DIGIT LOWS ARE LIKELY INTO THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. A FEW BELOW ZERO READINGS ALSO LOOK VERY
POSSIBLE.

&&

.AVIATION...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

IN THE SHORT TERM...EMPHASIS WAS ON TIMING AND DEGREE OF LOWERING
CEILING AND VISIBILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH LIGHT SNOW TONIGHT. PER
PREVIOUS DATA SETS...STRONGEST UPWARD VERTICAL MOTIONS SUPPORTED
GREATEST LIKELIHOOD OF IFR WILL BE SOUTH OF THE TAF SITES TONIGHT.
THEREFORE...PREVAILING CONDITIONS AT KRST AND KLSE SHOULD BE MAINLY
MVFR WITH PERHAPS A SHORT PERIOD OF IFR. SNOW AMOUNTS AT BOTH KRST
AND KLSE OVERNIGHT EXPECTED TO BE AROUND AN INCH. LOW LEVEL RELATIVE
HUMIDITY REMAINS HIGH THROUGH MONDAY AND THUS EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS
AND SOME LINGERING FLURRIES TO PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST 07.18Z.

LOOKING AHEAD...PRIMARY CONCERN WAS ASSOCIATED WITH MAJOR WINTER
STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. HIGH PREDICTABILITY
ASSOCIATED WITH EXCELLENT CONSENSUS AMONG VARIOUS DATA SETS SUPPORTS
HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT A MAJOR WINTER STORM WITH HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG
WINDS WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON AIRPORTS AREAWIDE. WE CANNOT
EMPHASIZE ENOUGH FOR AIRPORT MANAGERS...DISPATCHERS AND PILOTS TO
KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST FORECASTS DUE TO EXPECTED IMPACTS ON SUCH
OPERATIONS AS SNOW REMOVAL...DEICING AIRCRAFT AND INSTRUMENT
APPROACHES.

&&

.ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR WIZ017-WIZ029-WIZ032-WIZ033-WIZ034-WIZ041-
     WIZ042-WIZ043-WIZ044-WIZ053-WIZ054-WIZ055-WIZ061.

MN...BLIZZARD WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
     FOR MNZ086-MNZ087-MNZ094-MNZ095.

     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR MNZ079-MNZ088-MNZ096.

IA...BLIZZARD WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
     FOR IAZ008-IAZ009-IAZ010-IAZ018-IAZ019-IAZ029.

     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR IAZ011-IAZ030.
&&

AVIATION.......... THOMPSON
SHORT/LONG TERM... RIECK
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 6, 5:00 AM CST, 10 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
500 AM CST SUN DEC 6 2009

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-071200-
ADAMS-ALLAMAKEE-BUFFALO-CHICKASAW-CLARK-CLAYTON-CRAWFORD-DODGE-
FAYETTE-FILLMORE-FLOYD-GRANT-HOUSTON-HOWARD-JACKSON-JUNEAU-
LA CROSSE-MITCHELL-MONROE-MOWER-OLMSTED-RICHLAND-TAYLOR-TREMPEALEAU-
VERNON-WABASHA-WINNESHIEK-WINONA-
500 AM CST SUN DEC 6 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
MINNESOTA...NORTHEAST IOWA...AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA
THIS EVENING...THEN MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW ARE LIKELY SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 90...WITH THE HEAVIER TOTALS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CHARLES
CITY AND WAUKON IOWA TO RICHLAND CENTER WISCONSIN. LESSER AMOUNTS OF
A TRACE TO AN INCH ARE LIKELY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 90. BE
PREPARED FOR A SLOWER COMMUTE MONDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

LIGHT SNOW WILL DIMINISH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA
MONDAY MORNING...WITH UP TO AN ADDITIONAL HALF INCH POSSIBLE OVER
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND FAR SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN.

IT CONTINUES TO LOOK MORE LIKELY THAT AN EARLY SEASON WINTER STORM
WILL STRENGTHEN OVER OKLAHOMA OR SOUTHERN KANSAS TUESDAY...THEN LIFT
TOWARD THE SOUTHERN TIP OF LAKE MICHIGAN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS
STORM SYSTEM WILL PULL ABUNDANT GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE NORTHWARD AND
IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW NORTHWEST OF THE TRACK OF
THE LOW. THE LATEST STORM TRACK HAS TRENDED TO THE NORTH OF THE
TRACK INDICATED SATURDAY MORNING...THUS IT APPEARS THE HEAVIEST SNOW
MAY ONCE AGAIN FALL OVER PARTS OF THE AREA.

HOWEVER...THE TRACK OF THE LOW REMAINS UNCERTAIN AND MAY YET TREND
FURTHER NORTH OR BACK TO THE SOUTH. THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY STRONG...AND EVEN IF THE TRACK IS NOT VERY CLOSE TO THE
AREA...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. AS THE LOW DEEPENS TUESDAY NIGHT AND
APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN TIP OF LAKE MICHIGAN...NORTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA AND BECOME QUITE STRONG FOR TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY...WITH CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF ANY NEW
SNOWFALL LIKELY IN OPEN AREAS AND ACROSS THE RIDGE TOPS...WHICH MAY
LEAD TO WHITEOUT OR NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.

SNOW AMOUNTS WITH THIS SYSTEM REMAIN UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME...BUT IN
EXCESS OF 6 INCHES IS LOOKING POSSIBLE SOUTH AND EAST OF A ROCHESTER
MINNESOTA TO NEILLSVILLE WISCONSIN LINE. PLANNING SHOULD BE MADE FOR
A POTENTIAL DIFFICULT COMMUTE WEDNESDAY MORNING. STAY TUNED TO LATER
FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS CONCERNING THIS POTENTIAL DANGEROUS WINTER
STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SNOWFALL REPORTS WOULD BE APPRECIATED MONDAY MORNING.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

NO CALL IS SCHEDULED.

RRS

The office that day

Everything else NWS La Crosse, WI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 6, 3:11 PM CSTWinter Storm WatchARXHouston, Wabasha, Winona25 hr

Nearby

Blizzard Watches in Iowa, 2009Blizzard Watches in Minnesota, 2009Every blizzard watch in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.