Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2009
Winter Storm Warning 6, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Feb 26, 2009, 4:17 AM EST for 12 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Feb 26, 2009, 4:00 PM EST. It was in force for 13 hr. 15 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 26, 2009, 4:17 AM EST (09:17 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 26, 2009, 4:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 27, 2009, 4:49 AM EST
- In force
- 13 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
Counties Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 17 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 9:03 PM EST | SNOW 1.5 | 7 W Gaylord, MI | 3 HR TOTAL THRU 9 PM. |
| Feb 26, 9:39 PM EST | SNOW 2 | 1 W Atlanta, MI | 2 HR TOTAL THRU 9 PM. |
| Feb 26, 9:39 PM EST | SNOW 2 | Rogers City, MI | 2 HR TOTAL THRU 9 PM. |
| Feb 26, 10:00 PM EST | SNOW 1 | 12 Nnw Alpena, MI | 2 HR TOTAL THRU 10 PM. |
| Feb 26, 10:00 PM EST | SNOW 1.5 | 2 Nw Maple City, MI | 5 HR TOTAL THRU 10 PM. MIXED RAIN AND SLEET. |
| Feb 26, 10:00 PM EST | SNOW 1.5 | Ossineke, MI | 2 HR TOTAL THRU 10 PM. |
| Feb 26, 10:15 PM EST | SNOW 3.5 | Cross Village, MI | 6 HR TOTAL THRU 10 PM. |
| Feb 26, 11:08 PM EST | SNOW 2 | 3 S Gaylord, MI | 2 HR TOTAL THRU 9 PM. SNOW TURNED TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. ROADS HAZARDOUS. |
| Feb 26, 11:08 PM EST | SNOW 2.5 | 3 N Gaylord, MI | 2 HR TOTAL THRU 9 PM. SNOW TURNED TO FREEZING RAIN. ROADS HAZARDOUS. |
| Feb 26, 11:35 PM EST | SNOW 1.8 | Vanderbilt, MI | 6 HR TOTAL THRU 1130 PM. MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW. |
| Feb 26, 11:50 PM EST | SNOW 1.5 | 2 Se Mancelona, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 1 AM. ROADWAYS HAZARDOUS DUE TO THICK SLUSH AND ICE. |
| Feb 26, 11:50 PM EST | SNOW 6 | Cross Village, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 12 AM. |
| Feb 26, 11:51 PM EST | SNOW 1 | 2 Se Gaylord, MI | 2 HR TOTAL THRU 9 PM. SNOW CHANGED TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. |
| Feb 27, 1:32 AM EST | SNOW 1.5 | 2 Se Mancelona, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 1 AM. ROADWAYS HAZARDOUS DUE TO THICK SLUSH AND ICE. |
| Feb 27, 1:32 AM EST | SNOW 7 | Rogers City, MI | 12 HR TOTAL THRU 5 AM. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 192 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 477 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 224 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 214 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KAPX 260917 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 417 AM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...QUICK HITTING BUT SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TONIGHT... .LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THIS MORNING WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT. A SURGE OF MOISTURE LIFTING NORTH FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO...INTERACTING WITH A PUSH OF ARCTIC AIR INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES...IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD A SWATH OF HEAVY SNOW AND MIXED PRECIPITATION TO EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF. ALTHOUGH THE PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY BRIEF...IT IS EXPECTED TO BE INTENSE WITH SIX OR MORE INCHES OF HEAVY...WET SNOW BY FRIDAY MORNING. GIVEN THE WIDE VARIATION IN TEMPERATURE OVER A SHORT DISTANCE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM...ANY SMALL DEVIATION IN EXPECTED TRACK COULD RESULT IN AREAS EXPECTED TO RECEIVE HEAVY SNOW PICKING UP HEAVY RAINFALL INSTEAD. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF M-72 IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...WHICH WILL BE VERY NEAR THE RAIN/SNOW/ICE LINE FOR THIS SYSTEM. BE SURE TO STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS AS SNOW AMOUNTS AND PRECIPITATION TYPES ARE LATER REFINED. MIZ036-261030- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.A.0004.090226T2100Z-090227T1200Z/ IOSCO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...TAWAS CITY 417 AM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WATCH. MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE INCOMING STORM SYSTEM TONIGHT IS EXPECTED TO FALL IN THE FORM OF RAIN. THEREFORE THE WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ MIZ016>028-262300- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0004.090226T2100Z-090227T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0006.090226T2100Z-090227T1200Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 417 AM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY 3 AM. A TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 9 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME...WITH SNOW FALLING AT THE RATE OF 2 INCHES OR MORE PER HOUR AT TIMES. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM...WHICH WOULD LOCALLY ENHANCE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ008-015-262300- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0004.090226T2100Z-090227T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.090226T2100Z-090227T1200Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 417 AM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THIS EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY 4 AM. A TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME...WITH SNOW BRIEFLY FALLING AT THE RATE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR DURING THE LATE EVENING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ029>035-262300- /O.UPG.KAPX.WS.A.0004.090226T2100Z-090227T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.090226T2100Z-090227T1200Z/ OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIO...HARRISVILLE...MANISTEE... CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH 417 AM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...PERSISTING INTO THE EVENING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO ALL SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN TAPER OFF BY SUNRISE FRIDAY. ICE ACCUMULATION OF ONE TO TWO-TENTHS OF AN INCH IS EXPECTED... FOLLOWED BY 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS POSSIBLE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE DURING THIS STORM...WHICH WOULD LOCALLY ENHANCE PRECIPITATION RATES. SOME UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ABOUT THE TIMING OF A CHANGE FROM ICE TO SNOW DURING THIS STORM. IF THE CHANGEOVER IS SLOWER...MORE SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR. IF THE CHANGE OCCURS MORE QUICKLY...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL EXCEED 5 INCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ LAWRENCE
6 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KAPX 261621 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1121 AM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...QUICK HITTING BUT SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TONIGHT... .LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THIS MORNING WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT. A SURGE OF MOISTURE LIFTING NORTH FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO...INTERACTING WITH A PUSH OF ARCTIC AIR INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES...IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD A SWATH OF HEAVY SNOW AND MIXED PRECIPITATION TO EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF. ALTHOUGH THE PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY BRIEF...IT IS EXPECTED TO BE INTENSE WITH SIX OR MORE INCHES OF HEAVY...WET SNOW BY FRIDAY MORNING. GIVEN THE WIDE VARIATION IN TEMPERATURE OVER A SHORT DISTANCE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM...ANY SMALL DEVIATION IN EXPECTED TRACK COULD RESULT IN AREAS EXPECTED TO RECEIVE HEAVY SNOW PICKING UP HEAVY RAINFALL INSTEAD. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF M-72 IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...WHICH WILL BE VERY NEAR THE RAIN/SNOW/ICE LINE FOR THIS SYSTEM. BE SURE TO STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS AS SNOW AMOUNTS AND PRECIPITATION TYPES ARE LATER REFINED. MIZ016>028-270630- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.090226T2100Z-090227T1200Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA... FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 1121 AM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY 3 AM. A TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 9 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME...WITH SNOW FALLING AT THE RATE OF 2 INCHES OR MORE PER HOUR AT TIMES. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM...WHICH WOULD LOCALLY ENHANCE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ008-015-270630- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.090226T2100Z-090227T1200Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 1121 AM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THIS EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY 4 AM. A TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME...WITH SNOW BRIEFLY FALLING AT THE RATE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR DURING THE LATE EVENING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ029>035-270630- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.090226T2100Z-090227T1200Z/ OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIO...HARRISVILLE...MANISTEE... CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH 1121 AM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...PERSISTING INTO THE EVENING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO ALL SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN TAPER OFF BY SUNRISE FRIDAY. ICE ACCUMULATION OF ONE TO TWO-TENTHS OF AN INCH IS EXPECTED... FOLLOWED BY 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS POSSIBLE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE DURING THIS STORM...WHICH WOULD LOCALLY ENHANCE PRECIPITATION RATES. SOME UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ABOUT THE TIMING OF A CHANGE FROM ICE TO SNOW DURING THIS STORM. IF THE CHANGEOVER IS SLOWER...MORE SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL OCCUR. IF THE CHANGE OCCURS MORE QUICKLY...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL EXCEED 5 INCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ JPB
000 WWUS43 KAPX 262155 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 455 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...QUICK HITTING BUT SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TONIGHT... .LOW PRESSURE OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AT LATE AFTERNOON WILL CROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT...SPREADING A WIDE SWATH OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN. PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL VARY ACROSS THE REGION...WITH PRIMARILY SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN NORTH OF M-72. ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE M-55 CORRIDOR WILL BE MOSTLY RAIN...WHILE IN BETWEEN WILL BE A STRIP OF MIXED SNOW...SLEET...AND RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN DEPENDING ON SURFACE TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL LIKELY BE HOVERING RIGHT AROUND THE FREEZING MARK. ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR OVER A 6 TO 9 HOUR TIME PERIOD...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE INTENSE WITH SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. GIVEN THE WIDE VARIATION IN TEMPERATURE OVER A SHORT DISTANCE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM...ANY SMALL DEVIATION IN EXPECTED TRACK COULD RESULT IN AREAS EXPECTED TO RECEIVE HEAVY SNOW PICKING UP MORE SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...OR HEAVY RAINFALL INSTEAD. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR AREAS ALONG THE M-72 CORRIDOR WHERE SEVERAL PRECIPITATION TYPES ARE POSSIBLE. BE SURE TO MONITOR CURRENT CONDITIONS BEFORE VENTURING OUT TONIGHT. MIZ033>035-262300- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH 455 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. PRECIPITATION ALONG THE M-55 CORRIDOR IS PRIMARILY EXPECTED TO FALL AS RAIN TONIGHT...WITH MORE SIGNIFICANT WINTRY PRECIPITATION EXPECTED FARTHER NORTH. THEREFORE...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ MIZ008-015-271200- /O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ /O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 455 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA EARLY THIS EVENING AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY 4 AM. A TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME...WITH SNOW BRIEFLY FALLING AT THE RATE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR DURING THE LATE EVENING. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF CHIPPEWA AND MACKINAC COUNTIES. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ016>024-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-ALPENA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA 455 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA EARLY THIS EVENING AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY 3 AM. A TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME...WITH SNOW FALLING AT THE RATE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM...WHICH WOULD LOCALLY ENHANCE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ025>028-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA... GRAYLING 455 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA EARLY THIS EVENING AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY 3 AM. SNOW MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AT TIMES...PARTICULARLY AROUND KALKASKA AND GRAYLING. A TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME...THOUGH AREAS THAT PICK UP MORE ICE PELLETS WILL SEE LESS TOTAL SNOWFALL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM...WHICH WOULD LOCALLY ENHANCE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ029-030-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ OSCODA-ALCONA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIO...HARRISVILLE 455 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS EVENING...WHICH COULD MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. PRECIPITATION MAY START OUT AS SNOW AND SLEET...AND COULD EVENTUALLY CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN IF SURFACE TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING. REGARDLESS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. SOME UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ABOUT THE EXACT PRECIPITATION TYPE. IF SNOW FALLS FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY OCCUR. AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY ALSO OCCUR IF RAIN DEVELOPS AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES HOVER NEAR THE FREEZING MARK. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ031-032-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANISTEE...CADILLAC 455 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS MANISTEE AND WEXFORD COUNTIES THIS EVENING...AND MAY CHANGE TO A MIX OF SLEET AND SNOW OR ALL SNOW BEFORE ENDING. TRAVEL COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS OVERNIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ JPB
000 WWUS43 KAPX 270119 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 819 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...QUICK HITTING BUT SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TONIGHT... .LOW PRESSURE SOUTHWEST OF CHICAGO AT MID EVENING WILL CROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT...SPREADING A WIDE SWATH OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN. PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL VARY ACROSS THE REGION...WITH PRIMARILY SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN NORTH OF M-72. ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE M-55 CORRIDOR WILL BE MOSTLY RAIN...WHILE IN BETWEEN WILL BE A STRIP OF MIXED SNOW... SLEET...AND RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN DEPENDING ON SURFACE TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL LIKELY BE HOVERING RIGHT AROUND THE FREEZING MARK. ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR OVER A 6 TO 9 HOUR TIME PERIOD...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE INTENSE WITH SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. GIVEN THE WIDE VARIATION IN TEMPERATURE OVER A SHORT DISTANCE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM...ANY SMALL DEVIATION IN EXPECTED TRACK COULD RESULT IN AREAS EXPECTED TO RECEIVE HEAVY SNOW PICKING UP MORE SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...OR HEAVY RAINFALL INSTEAD. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR AREAS ALONG THE M- 72 CORRIDOR WHERE SEVERAL PRECIPITATION TYPES ARE POSSIBLE. BE SURE TO MONITOR CURRENT CONDITIONS BEFORE VENTURING OUT TONIGHT. MIZ008-015-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 819 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS EVENING AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY 4 AM. A TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME...WITH SNOW BRIEFLY FALLING AT THE RATE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR DURING THE LATE EVENING. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF CHIPPEWA AND MACKINAC COUNTIES. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ016>024-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-ALPENA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA 819 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY 4 AM. A TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME... WITH SNOW FALLING AT THE RATE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM... WHICH WOULD LOCALLY ENHANCE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ025>028-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA... GRAYLING 819 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW...MIXED AT TIMES WITH SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN...WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY 4 AM. THE CHANCE FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL BE GREATEST SOUTH OF M-72. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME...THOUGH AREAS THAT PICK UP MORE SLEET WILL SEE LESS TOTAL SNOWFALL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM... WHICH WOULD LOCALLY ENHANCE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ033>035-271200- /O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH 819 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...WHICH COULD MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. ANY MIX WITH SLEET WILL BE NORTH OF M-55. ICING WILL BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND FREEZING. BUT SOME ICY SPOTS ARE EXPECTED ON AREAS ROADS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH ON ROADS...BUT WILL BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER ON ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS TREE BRANCHES. PRECIPITATION WILL TURN BACK TO SNOW JUST BEFORE ENDING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ029-030-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ OSCODA-ALCONA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIO...HARRISVILLE 819 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. ROADS WILL BECOME ICY IN SPOTS...THOUGH TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND FREEZING WILL LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH ON ROADS...BUT WILL BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER ON EXPOSED SURFACES SUCH AS TREE BRANCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ031-032-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ MANISTEE-WEXFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANISTEE...CADILLAC 819 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...WHICH COULD MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. ANY MIX WITH SLEET WILL BE NORTH OF M-55. ICING WILL BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND FREEZING. BUT SOME ICY SPOTS ARE EXPECTED ON AREAS ROADS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH ON ROADS...BUT WILL BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER ON ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS TREE BRANCHES. PRECIPITATION WILL TURN BACK TO SNOW JUST BEFORE ENDING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ JZ
000 WWUS43 KAPX 270217 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 917 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...QUICK HITTING BUT SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TONIGHT... .LOW PRESSURE SOUTHWEST OF CHICAGO AT MID EVENING WILL CROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT...SPREADING A WIDE SWATH OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN. PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL VARY ACROSS THE REGION...WITH PRIMARILY SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN NORTH OF M- 72. ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE M-55 CORRIDOR WILL BE MOSTLY RAIN... WHILE IN BETWEEN WILL BE A STRIP OF MIXED SNOW... SLEET...AND RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN DEPENDING ON SURFACE TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL LIKELY BE HOVERING RIGHT AROUND THE FREEZING MARK. ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR OVER A 6 TO 9 HOUR TIME PERIOD...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE INTENSE WITH SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. GIVEN THE WIDE VARIATION IN TEMPERATURE OVER A SHORT DISTANCE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM...ANY SMALL DEVIATION IN EXPECTED TRACK COULD RESULT IN AREAS EXPECTED TO RECEIVE HEAVY SNOW PICKING UP MORE SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...OR HEAVY RAINFALL INSTEAD. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR AREAS ALONG THE M- 72 CORRIDOR WHERE SEVERAL PRECIPITATION TYPES ARE POSSIBLE. BE SURE TO MONITOR CURRENT CONDITIONS BEFORE VENTURING OUT TONIGHT. MIZ008-015-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 917 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS EVENING AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY 4 AM. A TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME...WITH SNOW BRIEFLY FALLING AT THE RATE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR DURING THE LATE EVENING. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF CHIPPEWA AND MACKINAC COUNTIES. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ016>024-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO- MONTMORENCY-ALPENA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY... CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA 917 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY 4 AM. SNOW WILL MIX WITH FREEZING RAIN ALONG AND SOUTH OF M-32. A TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 10 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME... WITH SNOW FALLING AT THE RATE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ025>028-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA... GRAYLING 917 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW...MIXED AT TIMES WITH SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN...WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY 4 AM. THE CHANCE FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL BE GREATEST SOUTH OF M- 72. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME...THOUGH AREAS THAT PICK UP MORE SLEET WILL SEE LESS TOTAL SNOWFALL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM... WHICH WOULD LOCALLY ENHANCE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ029-030-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ OSCODA-ALCONA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIO...HARRISVILLE 917 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. ROADS WILL BECOME ICY IN SPOTS...THOUGH TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND FREEZING WILL LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH ON ROADS...BUT WILL BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER ON EXPOSED SURFACES SUCH AS TREE BRANCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ031>035-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY... HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH 917 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...WHICH COULD MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. ANY MIX WITH SLEET WILL BE NORTH OF M-55. ICING WILL BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND FREEZING. BUT SOME ICY SPOTS ARE EXPECTED ON AREAS ROADS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH ON ROADS...BUT WILL BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER ON ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS TREE BRANCHES. PRECIPITATION WILL TURN BACK TO SNOW JUST BEFORE ENDING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ JZ
000 WWUS43 KAPX 270343 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1043 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM TO EXIT LATE TONIGHT... .LOW PRESSURE NEAR CHICAGO LATE THURSDAY EVENING WILL CROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT...SPREADING A WIDE SWATH OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN. MIZ020-025-026-270445- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY 1043 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. RAIN MAY TURN BACK TO LIGHT SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE BEFORE PRECIPITATION ENDS...BUT ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE WILL BE MINIMAL. $$ MIZ031-035-270445- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ MANISTEE-OGEMAW- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANISTEE...WEST BRANCH 1043 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. RAIN MAY TURN BACK TO LIGHT SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE BEFORE PRECIPITATION ENDS...BUT ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE WILL BE MINIMAL. $$ MIZ008-015-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE 1043 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. HEAVY SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATE TONIGHT. UNTIL THEN...SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL OCCUR AT TIMES. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ016>018-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY 1043 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. HEAVY SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATE TONIGHT. UNTIL THEN...SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL OCCUR AT TIMES. SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN NEAR AND SOUTH OF M-68. TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ019-021>024-027-028-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD... ATLANTA...ALPENA...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 1043 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW WILL COME TO AN END OVERNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NORTH OF M-32. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE UP TO A QUARTER INCH...HIGHEST IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION MEANS SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. $$ MIZ029-030-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ OSCODA-ALCONA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIO...HARRISVILLE 1043 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. ROADS WILL BECOME ICY IN SPOTS...THOUGH TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND FREEZING WILL LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH ON ROADS...BUT WILL BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER ON EXPOSED SURFACES SUCH AS TREE BRANCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MIZ032>034-271200- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE 1043 PM EST THU FEB 26 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY. A MIX OF RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN WILL TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT. FREEZING RAIN SHOULD BE CONFINED TO ONLY THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. ICING WILL BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES RIGHT AROUND FREEZING. BUT SOME ICY SPOTS ARE EXPECTED ON AREA ROADS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH ON ROADS...BUT WILL BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER ON ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS TREE BRANCHES. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ JZ
000 WWUS43 KAPX 270949 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 449 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009 MIZ008-015>019-021>024-027-028-271100- /O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM- OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE... PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA... GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...KALKASKA...GRAYLING 449 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. $$ MIZ029-030-032>034-271100- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-090227T1200Z/ OSCODA-ALCONA-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIO...HARRISVILLE...CADILLAC... LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE 449 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. $$ ADAM
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 26, 3:49 AM EST, 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 26, 3:49 AM EST, 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 349 AM EST THU FEB 26 2009 .SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 349 AM/ RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER WILL BE FOUND ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN TODAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN CANADA BRIEFLY DOMINATES. HOWEVER...LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN AND TRACK THROUGH SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT...BRINGING A PERIOD OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE LOWER PENINSULA. HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN PRIMARILY NORTH OF M-72...AND INTO EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN. SOUTH OF M-72...A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND RAIN IS EXPECTED...TRANSITIONING TO ALL RAIN ACROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. HIGH PRESSURE AND COLDER WEATHER WILL FOLLOW THIS SYSTEM INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND. ADAM && .SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 349 AM/...TODAY THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM /LITERALLY/ THRU MUCH OF THE DAY...AS WEAKISH SHORTWAVE RIDGING ARRIVES BY LATE MORNING IN ADVANCE OF INCOMING SYSTEM (THE BIG HEADACHE FOR THIS EVENING/TONIGHT). DRIZZLE/PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE QUICKLY ON THE WANE EARLY THIS MORNING GIVEN INFLUX OF DRIER LOW LEVEL AIRMASS...WHICH HAS ALSO ALLOWED SFC TEMPS TO DROP BACK NEAR/BELOW FREEZING. WILL MAKE A MENTION IN THE HWO OF POTENTIAL SLICK SPOTS PER RECENT SPOTTER CALLS/EARLIER DRIZZLE. OTHERWISE...CLOUD FCST IFFY WITH EARLY MORNING SATELLITE PICS SHOWING WIDESPREAD STRATUS HANGING TOUGH BENEATH RATHER STOUT 800MB INVERSION AND FIRMLY PLANTED IN LOW LEVEL COL REGION AS CWA FALLS FIRMLY IN BETWEEN WX SYSTEMS. GIVEN THIS SCENARIO...MAY VERY WELL SEE LOW STRATUS PERSIST IN MANY SPOTS...THOUGH PROBABLY WITH INCREASING BREAKS THRU THE MORNING. PRECIP WILL BE KNOCKING ON THE DOOR 21Z TIMEFRAME...AND WILL GO AHEAD AND BUMP POPS TO CATEGORICAL...BUT MAJORITY OF PRECIP SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL THE VERY END OF THE PERIOD (SEE BELOW FOR MORE). LAWRENCE && .LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 349 AM/...TONIGHT AND BEYOND ALL SYSTEMS GO FOR A FAST MOVING BUT HARD HITTING WINTER STORM ACRS THE CWA FROM ROUGHLY 23Z THRU 10Z AS PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE (EMERGING ONTO THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS EARLY THIS MORNING) AMPLIFIES ACRS IA/IL...DRIVING DEEPENING SFC CYCLONE FROM WESTERN KS TO NEAR SAGINAW BAY BY 06Z TONIGHT. TONS OF MOISTURE TO BE HAD WITH THIS SYSTEM (PWATS PUSHING AN INCH)...OWING TO MODEST PACIFIC TAP AND BURGEONING GULF INFLUENCE WITH DEEPENING RETURN FLOW FCST TO STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY INTO THE AFTN/EVENING WITH DEVELOPING IMPRESSIVE LOW LEVEL JET (ON THE ORDER OF 50 KNOTS). MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALREADY WELL UNDERWAY PER UPSTREAM OBS SHOWING MID 40S DEWPOINTS ALREADY INTO SOUTHERN IL AS OF 07Z. 00Z SUITE OF GUIDANCE HAS FINALLY COME INTO GOOD AGREEMENT...AND AS EXPECTED HAS TRENDED HEAVILY TOWARD THE ECMWF/GGEM SOLUTIONS OF RECENT DAYS...SHOWING PRONOUNCED AXIS OF 700-300MB QG UPWARD FORCING SLIDING DIRECTLY OVERHEAD THIS EVENING. THE ENTIRE SETUP REMAINS IMPRESSIVE WITH STRONGLY SLOPED FGEN SIGNATURE CLEARLY EVIDENT IN REGIONAL CROSS SECTIONS...WITH LIFT OVR THE FRONTAL CIRCULATION HEAVILY AUGMENTED BY DEEP LAYER OF WEAK STABILITY (NEGATIVE EPV)...BOTH OF SLANTWISE ORIGIN AS WELL AS POTENTIALLY JUST PLAIN UPRIGHT ORIGIN AS NEGATIVE THETA-E LAPSE RATE PLUME RUSHES INTO THE SOUTHERN CWA. ALSO IMPRESSIVE IS DEEP LAYER AND STRONG NATURE OF ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE...SOME 40-50 KNOTS PERPENDICULAR TO THE PRESSURE SURFACES...WHICH WHEN COUPLED WITH PLENTIFUL MOISTURE AND CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL SPELLS LIKELIHOOD OF HEAVY PRECIP AMOUNTS. NOT SURPRISINGLY...00Z MODELS CONTINUE TO SPIT OUT A GENERAL 0.6 TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF FOR THIS EVENT...PERHAPS EVEN UNDERDONE ACRS SOUTHEAST PENDING DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION. THE BIG QUESTION IS JUST WHAT TYPE THE PRECIP WILL TAKE...AS APPEARS WE WILL BE FIGHTING STRONG WARM NOSE DEVELOPING ACRS THE SOUTHERN CWA (JUST NORTH OF THE SFC LOW TRACK). KNOWING FULL WELL THAT I WILL INEVITABLY BE WRONG WITH AT LEAST SOME ASPECT OF THE PRECIP TYPE IN THIS EVENT...HERE IS MY BEST GUESS AT THIS TIME. M-72 NORTH APPEARS TO BE THE EASY SIDE OF THINGS...STAYING MAINLY SNOW AS ANY INITIAL WARM NOSE SHOULD BE OVERCOME BY DEEP OMEGA/DYNAMIC COOLING (THOUGH PERHAPS A MIX WITH SLEET BRIEFLY UP TO THE M-32 CORRIDOR). FARTHER SOUTH A MUCH DIFFERENT STORY WITH FCST RAOBS SHOWING MORE OF A SNOW/SLEET/RAIN MIX (TRENDING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH)...THOUGH CONCERNED FREEZING RAIN MAY ENTER THE PICTURE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WHERE SFC TEMPS LIKELY TO HANG AROUND 31-32F. THAT SAID...EXPECTED HEAVY PRECIP RATES OF CONCERN FOR ANY FZRA POTENTIAL AS THIS MAY EASILY OFFSET MARGINAL SFC TEMPS ANYWAY. ALSO COMING INTO PLAY IS LIKELIHOOD OF PRECIP TRANSITION BACK TO SNOW FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST WITH COOLING ALOFT IN THE WAKE OF SFC LOW PASSAGE WHILE HEAVY PRECIP RATES STILL ONGOING. IN ADDITION...SNOW TO LIQUID RATIOS SHOULD BE ON THE LOW SIDE WITH DEEP OMEGA WELL BELOW THE DGZ AND WARM NATURE OF THE STORM. GUT FEELING IS A SWATH OF 6 TO 9 INCHES OF PURE CONCRETE SNOW SHOULD FALL ROUGHLY ALONG/NORTH OF A LINE FROM TRAVERSE CITY TO GAYLORD TO ALPENA... EXCEPT FOR EASTERN UPPER WHERE APPEARS MORE OF A 3 TO 6 INCH SNOWFALL ON TAP. TO THE SOUTH MUCH MORE OF A PAIN WITH MIXING ISSUES...BUT WILL CALL IT 2 TO 5 INCHES ON AVERAGE...CERTAINLY MUCH LESS ACRS THE FAR SOUTHEAST CWA (GLADWIN/ARENAC/IOSCO) WHERE MAINLY RAIN EXPECTED. ALL THAT SAID...WILL FIRE OFF WARNINGS ROUGHLY CENTRAL THIRD OF COUNTIES...BOUNDED BY ADVISORIES ON EITHER SIDE TO EXCLUDE THE AFOREMENTIONED COUNTIES ABOVE. STILL POTENTIAL FOR CHANGES AS THE EVENT UNFOLDS...SO STAY TUNED. SYSTEM TO RAPIDLY EXIT THE SCENE FRIDAY MORNING...WITH AN EXPECTED PERIOD OF GUSTY NORTH WINDS AS GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN DEPARTING LOW AND RATHER IMPRESSIVE UPSTREAM 1040MB HIGH SLIDING INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS MAY PROLONG ISSUES FROM THE HEAVY SNOW EVENT. AFTN HIGHS TO TAKE A HIT WITH ONGOING COLD ADVECTION...SETTING THE STAGE FOR WHAT SHOULD BE A VERY COLD NIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT. LOOKS LIKE A GREAT DRAINAGE FLOW SETUP WITH BUBBLE HIGH BRANCHING INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO...AND HAVE THUS UNDERCUT AVAILABLE GUIDANCE BY SEVERAL DEGREES (CURRENT READINGS UNDER THE HIGH -20 TO -25F RIGHT NOW). LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL CONTINUES TO LOOK RATHER ANEMIC DESPITE MODEST OVERLAKE INSTABILITY...OWING SIMPLY TO DEGREE OF DEEP LAYER DRYING IN THE WAKE OF DEPARTING LOW. THAT SAID...THERE IS ALWAYS SOME SEMBLANCE OF LAKE EFFECT AND WILL MAINTAIN GOING CHANCE POPS AT THIS TIME. NOT MUCH TIME TO LOOK BEYOND SATURDAY MORNING BUT LATEST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO DOWNPLAY NEXT CLIPPER SYSTEM ON SUNDAY. WILL PUNT ANY GRID CHANGES WITH THIS TO THE DAY SHIFT. LAWRENCE && .AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 1145 PM/...VALID FOR 06Z TAFS MVFR TO IFR STRATUS DECK AND AREAS OF MVFR FOG WILL CONTINUE TO HANG OVER ALL TAF SITES OVERNIGHT. PATCHY DRIZZLE/FREEZING WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NRN LWR MICHIGAN...MAINLY THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. IMPROVING CONDITIONS EXPECTED THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A STRONG STORM APPROACHES THE AREA. SNOW/MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS BEGIN TO DEVELOP FROM SW TO NE ACROSS THE AREA LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...FURTHER DETERIORATING TO IFR/LIFR AS HEAVY SNOW DEVELOPS AFTER 00Z. && .APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR MIZ008-015-029>035. WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR MIZ016>028. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 25, 4:22 PM EST, 11 hours 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 422 PM EST WED FEB 25 2009 MIZ008-015>036-041-042-261200- CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU- ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA- CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW- IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- 422 PM EST WED FEB 25 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM APPEARS LIKELY TO AFFECT THE AREA LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT. WHILE THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNCERTAIN...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW APPEAR LIKELY DURING THIS TIME FRAME. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WINTER STORM WATCH FOR MORE INFORMATION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND/OR ICE AT ANY TIME OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. JPB
The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 4:17 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | Alcona, Manistee, Missaukee, Ogemaw, Oscoda, Roscommon and 1 more | 25 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2009Every winter storm warning in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.