Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2009

Winter Storm Warning 5, NWS Gaylord, MI

February 20, 200922 counties in Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Feb 20, 2009, 4:12 PM EST for 22 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Feb 21, 2009, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 45 hr. 60 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 20, 2009, 4:12 PM EST (21:12 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 21, 2009, 7:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 23, 2009, 4:20 AM EST
In force
45 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI
All 22 counties

Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 21, 11:58 AM ESTSNOW 110 S Grayling, MI1 HR TOTAL THRU 12 PM.
Feb 21, 1:04 PM ESTSNOW 3Grayling, MI3 HR TOTAL THRU 1 PM.
Feb 21, 1:15 PM ESTSNOW 0.5Rogers City, MI2 HR TOTAL THRU 1 PM.
Feb 21, 1:33 PM ESTSNOW 6.5Cadillac, MI5 HR TOTAL THRU 2 PM.
Feb 21, 1:41 PM ESTSNOW 1.98 Sw St. Helen, MI4 HR TOTAL THRU 2 PM.
Feb 21, 3:06 PM ESTSNOW 3Gladwin, MI5 HR TOTAL THRU 3 PM. SNOWDEPTH 4 IN.
Feb 21, 3:14 PM ESTSNOW 4.18 Sw St. Helen, MI5 HR TOTAL THRU 3 PM.
Feb 21, 3:14 PM ESTSNOW 5Houghton Lake, MI7 HR TOTAL THRU 3 PM.
Feb 21, 3:49 PM ESTSNOW 2.46 S Gaylord, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 4 PM.
Feb 21, 4:35 PM ESTSNOW 5Cadillac, MI8 HR TOTAL THRU 4 PM.
Feb 21, 4:35 PM ESTSNOW 5.811 N Lake City, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 4 PM.
Feb 21, 5:23 PM ESTSNOW 4.13 Ese Lake Ann, MI7 HR TOTAL THRU 5 PM. SNOWDEPTH 25 IN.
Feb 21, 6:00 PM ESTSNOW 3.510 S Grayling, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM. SNOWDEPTH 17 IN.
Feb 21, 6:00 PM ESTSNOW 42 W Interlochen, MI10 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM. SNOWDEPTH 20 IN.
Feb 21, 6:00 PM ESTSNOW 43 Se Gaylord, MI8 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM.
Feb 21, 6:00 PM ESTSNOW 5Cathro, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM.
Feb 21, 6:00 PM ESTSNOW 6.5Houghton Lake, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM.
Feb 21, 6:19 PM ESTSNOW 7.83 Sw Lake City, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM.
Feb 21, 6:35 PM ESTSNOW 5.22 N St. Helen, MI8 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM. SNOWDEPTH 18 IN.
Feb 21, 6:37 PM ESTSNOW 3Atlanta, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM. SNOWDEPTH 10 IN.
Feb 21, 6:45 PM ESTSNOW 5Maple City, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM
Feb 21, 7:24 PM ESTSNOW 45 Sse Mancelona, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM. SNOWDEPTH 35 IN. SEASONAL SNOWFALL TO DATE 202 INCHES.
Feb 21, 8:17 PM ESTSNOW 4Indian River, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM. SNOWDEPTH 15 IN.
Feb 21, 8:17 PM ESTSNOW 6Lake Ann, MI10 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM.
Feb 21, 8:25 PM ESTSNOW 6.28 Sw St. Helen, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 PM.
Feb 21, 8:27 PM ESTSNOW 2.7Onaway, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 PM. SNOWDEPTH 9 INCHES.
Feb 21, 9:44 PM ESTSNOW 86 Se Glennie, MI9 HR TOTAL THRU 9 PM.
Feb 21, 9:44 PM ESTSNOW 11Onekama, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 9 PM.
Feb 21, 9:49 PM ESTSNOW 63 Se Gaylord, MI10 HR TOTAL THRU 9 PM.
Feb 21, 10:51 PM ESTSNOW 4Gladwin, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 1045 PM.
Feb 21, 10:51 PM ESTSNOW 7Standish, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 1045 PM.
Feb 21, 11:21 PM ESTSNOW 43 Sw Lake City, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 11 PM.
Feb 21, 11:21 PM ESTSNOW 5.5Oscoda, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 11 PM.
Feb 22, 12:35 AM ESTSNOW 5.96 S Gaylord, MI15 HR TOTAL THRU MIDNIGHT.
Feb 22, 12:37 AM ESTSNOW 5Gladwin, MI16 HR TOTAL THRU MIDNIGHT. SNOW DEPTH 6 IN.
Feb 22, 2:53 AM ESTSNOW 5Sterling, MI24 HR TOTAL ENDING 11 AM.
Feb 22, 6:21 AM ESTSNOW 8Ossineke, MI17 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM. SNOW DEPTH 10 IN.
Feb 22, 6:28 AM ESTSNOW 102 W Interlochen, MI20 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM. SNOW DEPTH 24 IN.
Feb 22, 7:24 AM ESTSNOW 7.64 E Honor, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOW DEPTH 23 IN. WATER EQUIVALENT OF 0.23 IN.
Feb 22, 7:24 AM ESTSNOW 8Lupton, MI20 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM.
Feb 22, 7:28 AM ESTSNOW 4.55 Se Mancelona, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOW DEPTH 37 IN.
Feb 22, 7:35 AM ESTSNOW 12Mckinley, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOW DEPTH 21 IN.
Feb 22, 7:36 AM ESTSNOW 511 N Lake City, MI12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOW DEPTH 26 IN.
Feb 22, 8:05 AM ESTSNOW 1.55 Nnw Pellston, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 19 IN.
Feb 22, 8:05 AM ESTSNOW 1.64 E Cadillac, MI6 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.
Feb 22, 8:05 AM ESTSNOW 6.8Indian River, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 16 IN. 2.8 INCHES IN LAST 12 HOURS
Feb 22, 8:16 AM ESTSNOW 8St. Helen, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 20 IN.
Feb 22, 8:21 AM ESTSNOW 8.5Luzerne, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 13 IN.
Feb 22, 8:26 AM ESTSNOW 910 S Grayling, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 20 IN. 4.5 INCHES IN LAST 12 HOURS.
Feb 22, 8:32 AM ESTSNOW 8.93 Ese Lake Ann, MI22 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 29 IN. 4.8 INCHES IN LAST 15 HOURS.
Feb 22, 8:42 AM ESTSNOW 4.5Alba, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 9 AM. SNOWDEPTH 24 IN.
Feb 22, 8:51 AM ESTSNOW 6Higgins Lake, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 9 AM. SNOWDEPTH 9 IN.
Feb 22, 8:51 AM ESTSNOW 10.5Onaway, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 9 AM. SNOWDEPTH 16 IN. 7.8 INCHES IN LAST 12 HOURS.
Feb 22, 9:09 AM ESTSNOW 6.39 Ssw Gaylord, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOWDEPTH 14 IN.
Feb 22, 9:09 AM ESTSNOW 6.52 Se Glennie, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 8AM. SNOWDEPTH 7 IN.
Feb 22, 9:09 AM ESTSNOW 6.62 Nw Houghton Lake, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 14 IN.
Feb 22, 9:09 AM ESTSNOW 7Lake City, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 15 IN.
Feb 22, 9:09 AM ESTSNOW 7.27 Ssw Beulah, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 13 IN.
Feb 22, 9:09 AM ESTSNOW 8Gaylord, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOWDEPTH 19 IN.
Feb 22, 9:09 AM ESTSNOW 8Traverse City, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 12 IN.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2009-02-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 12:00Z on 2009-02-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 205 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
600 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
205 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
212 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS43 KAPX 202112
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
412 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2009

...NEXT WINTER STORM TAKES AIM ON NORTHERN MICHIGAN...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE GATHERING STRENGTH OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
TONIGHT WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL MICHIGAN SATURDAY. THIS
STORM WILL SPREAD WIDESPREAD SNOW...LOCALLY HEAVY...ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. IN ADDITION...SOME LAKE ENHANCED SNOW IS
EXPECTED ALONG THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE.

MIZ024-029-030-034>036-041-042-211115-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0005.090221T1200Z-090222T0300Z/
ALPENA-OSCODA-ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...MIO...HARRISVILLE...
HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
412 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW....WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM
EST SATURDAY.

SNOW WILL QUICKLY OVERSPREAD NORTHERN MICHIGAN FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST SATURDAY MORNING...WITH WIDESPREAD SNOW...LOCALLY
HEAVY...CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. IN ADDITION...EAST
WINDS CROSSING THE STILL OPEN WATERS OF LAKE HURON WILL RESULT
IN LAKE ENHANCED SNOW ALONG AND JUST INLAND FROM THE LAKE HURON
SHORELINE. SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE LOCALLY INTENSE...WITH ONE TO
TWO INCHES PER HOUR EXPECTED IN THE HEAVIER SNOW BANDS. TOTAL
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 OR MORE INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
WARNING AREA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WHERE LAKE HURON
ENHANCEMENT OCCURS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME
CAUTION.

$$

MIZ016>023-025>028-031>033-211115-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0013.090221T1200Z-090222T0300Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-
MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-
WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...
FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
412 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST
SATURDAY.

SNOW WILL QUICKLY OVERSPREAD NORTHERN MICHIGAN FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST SATURDAY MORNING...WITH WIDESPREAD SNOW...LOCALLY
HEAVY...CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES WILL
BE LOCALLY INTENSE...WITH UP TO AN INCH PER HOUR EXPECTED IN THE
HEAVIER SNOW BANDS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS FALLING ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE M-32 CORRIDOR.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

MSB
13 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 210318
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1018 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2009

...NEXT WINTER STORM TAKES AIM ON NORTHERN MICHIGAN...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE GATHERING STRENGTH OVER NEAR KANSAS CITY WILL
MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL MICHIGAN SATURDAY. THIS STORM WILL
SPREAD WIDESPREAD SNOW...LOCALLY HEAVY...ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN. IN ADDITION...SOME LAKE ENHANCED SNOW IS EXPECTED
ALONG THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE.

MIZ024-029-030-034>036-041-042-211200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.090221T1200Z-090222T0300Z/
ALPENA-OSCODA-ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...MIO...HARRISVILLE...
HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
1018 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

SNOW WILL QUICKLY OVERSPREAD NORTHERN MICHIGAN FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST SATURDAY MORNING...WITH WIDESPREAD SNOW...LOCALLY
HEAVY...CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. IN ADDITION...EAST
WINDS CROSSING THE STILL OPEN WATERS OF LAKE HURON WILL RESULT IN
LAKE ENHANCED SNOW ALONG AND JUST INLAND FROM THE LAKE HURON
SHORELINE. SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE LOCALLY INTENSE...WITH ONE TO
TWO INCHES PER HOUR EXPECTED IN THE HEAVIER SNOW BANDS. TOTAL
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 OR MORE INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
WARNING AREA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WHERE LAKE HURON
ENHANCEMENT OCCURS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME
CAUTION.

$$

MIZ016>023-025>028-031>033-211200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0013.090221T1200Z-090222T0300Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-
MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-
WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...
FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
1018 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM
EST SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM
EST SATURDAY. 

SNOW WILL QUICKLY OVERSPREAD NORTHERN MICHIGAN FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST SATURDAY MORNING...WITH WIDESPREAD SNOW...LOCALLY
HEAVY...CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES WILL
BE LOCALLY INTENSE...WITH UP TO AN INCH PER HOUR EXPECTED IN THE
HEAVIER SNOW BANDS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS
FALLING ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE M-32 CORRIDOR.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

JZ
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 210926
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
426 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO IMPACT NORTHERN MICHIGAN...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE OVER ILLINOIS WILL STRENGTHEN AND MOVE
NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL MICHIGAN TODAY. THIS STORM WILL BLANKET
NORTHERN LOWER AND MUCH OF EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN WITH SNOW
THROUGH THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS SNOW WILL BE
ENHANCED BY LAKE HURON. HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SNOW TO FALL
AT A RAPID PACE.

MIZ017-018-022-023-027-028-032-033-212330-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0013.090221T1200Z-090222T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0005.090221T1200Z-090222T0300Z/
CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...GAYLORD...
ATLANTA...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
426 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

SNOW...LOCALLY HEAVY AND ENHANCED BY LAKE HURON...WILL RESULT IN
4 TO 8 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. SNOWFALL
RATES WILL BE LOCALLY INTENSE LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR EXPECTED IN THE HEAVIER
SNOW BANDS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A RAPID
RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ024-029-030-034>036-041-042-212330-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.090221T1200Z-090222T0300Z/
ALPENA-OSCODA-ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALPENA...MIO...HARRISVILLE...
HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
426 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW...LOCALLY HEAVY AND ENHANCED BY LAKE HURON...WILL RESULT IN
4 TO 8 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. SNOWFALL
RATES WILL BE LOCALLY INTENSE LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR EXPECTED IN THE HEAVIER
SNOW BANDS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A RAPID
RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.


$$

MIZ016-019>021-025-026-031-212330-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0013.090221T1200Z-090222T0300Z/
EMMET-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...
MANCELONA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...MANISTEE
426 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW DEVELOPING LATER THIS MORNING AND EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON WILL
RESULT IN 2 TO 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.
SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE LOCALLY INTENSE LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH AN INCH PER HOUR EXPECTED IN THE HEAVIER SNOW
BANDS. 

LATER TONIGHT AND THROUGH SUNDAY...ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED AROUND THE GRAND
TRAVERSE BAY REGION. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL LIKELY NEED
TO BE EXTENDED IN TIME.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS
AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...ESPECIALLY WHEN SNOW FALLS AT A RAPID
RATE. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

SD
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 211255
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
755 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO IMPACT NORTHERN MICHIGAN...

.STRONG LOW PRESSURE OVER ILLINOIS WILL STRENGTHEN AND MOVE
NORTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL MICHIGAN TODAY. THIS STORM WILL BLANKET
NORTHERN LOWER AND MUCH OF EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN WITH SNOW
THROUGH THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS SNOW WILL BE
ENHANCED BY LAKE HURON. HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SNOW TO
FALL AT A RAPID PACE.

MIZ020-025-026-031-211800-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-090222T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T2200Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE
755 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH THIS
EVENING...RESULTING IN SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 4 TO 8
INCHES. SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE LOCALLY INTENSE LATE THIS MORNING
AND THIS AFTERNOON...WITH AN INCH PER HOUR EXPECTED IN THE HEAVIER
SNOW BANDS.

LATER TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS BRING ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES AROUND THE
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY...MANISTEE AND CADILLAC AREA BY SUNDAY EVENING.
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED IN
TIME.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ016-019-021-211800-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-090222T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T0300Z/
EMMET-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA
755 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING AND PERSIST INTO THE EVENING...
BRINGING SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION THROUGH THIS EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE LOCALLY
INTENSE LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON...WITH AN INCH PER
HOUR EXPECTED IN THE HEAVIER SNOW BANDS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ032-211800-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T2200Z/
WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CADILLAC
755 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH THIS
EVENING...RESULTING IN SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 4 TO 8
INCHES. SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE LOCALLY INTENSE LATE THIS MORNING
AND THIS AFTERNOON...WITH AN INCH PER HOUR EXPECTED IN THE HEAVIER
SNOW BANDS.

LATER TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS BRING ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES AROUND THE
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY...MANISTEE AND CADILLAC AREA BY SUNDAY EVENING.
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED IN
TIME.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ017-018-022>024-027>030-033-034-211800-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T0300Z/
CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-KALKASKA-
CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...GAYLORD...
ATLANTA...ALPENA...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MIO...HARRISVILLE...
LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE
755 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW...LOCALLY HEAVY AND ENHANCED BY LAKE HURON...WILL RESULT IN
4 TO 8 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION THROUGH THIS EVENING. SNOWFALL RATES
WILL BE LOCALLY INTENSE LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR EXPECTED IN THE HEAVIER SNOW BANDS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ035-036-041-042-211800-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T0300Z/
OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...
STANDISH
755 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW...LOCALLY HEAVY AND ENHANCED BY LAKE HURON...WILL RESULT IN
3 TO 6 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION THROUGH THIS EVENING. SNOWFALL
RATES WILL BE LOCALLY INTENSE LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR EXPECTED IN THE HEAVIER
SNOW BANDS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ008-015-211800-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0014.090221T1255Z-090222T1000Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
755 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SUNDAY.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS...WITH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 2 TO 6
INCHES. 

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

ADAM
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 211729
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1229 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO IMPACT NORTHERN MICHIGAN...

.DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WILL TRACK
ACROSS CENTRAL MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS
STORM WILL BRING A SWATH OF SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER AND
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN THROUGH TONIGHT. HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR
ACROSS MOST OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE SNOW TO FALL AT A RAPID PACE.

MIZ016>019-021>024-027>030-033-034-220300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T0300Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-
ALPENA-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...KALKASKA...
GRAYLING...MIO...HARRISVILLE...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE
1229 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING BEFORE
DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT...BRINGING TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE LOCALLY INTENSE
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH AN INCH PER HOUR OR GREATER ACCUMULATIONS
EXPECTED AT TIMES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031-032-220500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T2200Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC
1229 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT...BRINGING
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES. SNOWFALL RATES WILL
BE LOCALLY INTENSE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH AN INCH PER HOUR OR
GREATER ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED AT TIMES.

LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY...AS THIS STORM SYSTEM DEPARTS...
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY
SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
AND THE WINTER STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED IN
TIME.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ035-036-041-042-220300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T0300Z/
OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...
STANDISH
1229 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING BEFORE
DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT...BRINGING TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
9 INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE LOCALLY INTENSE
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH AN INCH PER HOUR ACCUMULATION EXPECTED AT
TIMES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ008-015-220500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-090222T1000Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
1229 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...WITH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 2 TO
6 INCHES.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

ADAM
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 212122
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
422 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...HEAVY SNOW CONTINUING TO IMPACT NORTHERN MICHIGAN...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN WILL TRACK ACROSS THE
SAGINAW VALLEY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING
OCCASIONAL HEAVY SNOW AND LOW VISIBILITIES TO MUCH OF NORTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN THIS EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND
IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH THE DAY
SUNDAY.

MIZ008-212230-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-090222T1000Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
422 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 


$$

MIZ016-017-019-021-022-027-028-220300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T0300Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...
MANCELONA...GAYLORD...KALKASKA...GRAYLING
422 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING BEFORE 
DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT WITH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL WILL BE INTENSE AT TIMES THIS
EVENING...PRODUCING VISIBILITIES LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031-032-220500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T2200Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC
422 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT...BRINGING
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES. SNOWFALL WILL BE
INTENSE AT TIMES THIS EVENING...PRODUCING VISIBILITIES LESS THAN
ONE QUARTER MILE.

LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY...AS THIS STORM SYSTEM
DEPARTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 
INCHES ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ033>036-041-042-220300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T0300Z/
MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...
WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY...GLADWIN...STANDISH
422 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING BEFORE
DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT...BRINGING TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL WILL BE INTENSE AT TIMES THIS
EVENING...PRODUCING VISIBILITIES LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ018-023-024-029-030-220300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T0300Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA-ALCONA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO...
HARRISVILLE
422 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THIS EVENING
BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT...WITH STORM TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 8 INCHES EXPECTED BY SUNDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL WILL BE
INTENSE AT TIMES THIS EVENING...PRODUCING VISIBILITIES LESS THAN
ONE QUARTER MILE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ015-220300-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-090222T0300Z/
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE
422 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

OCCASIONAL HEAVY SNOW WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF EASTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN THIS EVENING...WITH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING
FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

ADAM
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 220042
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
742 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...HEAVY SNOW CONTINUING TO IMPACT NORTHERN MICHIGAN...

.LOW PRESSURE NEAR BIG RAPIDS WILL TRACK JUST NORTH OF SAGINAW BAY
TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING OCCASIONAL HEAVY SNOW
AND LOW VISIBILITIES TO MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS
EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND
IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH THE DAY
SUNDAY.

MIZ016>019-021>024-027>030-033>036-221000-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T1000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-
ALPENA-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-
IOSCO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...KALKASKA...
GRAYLING...MIO...HARRISVILLE...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...
WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY
742 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING BEFORE
DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT WITH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL WILL BE INTENSE AT TIMES THIS
EVENING...PRODUCING VISIBILITIES LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031-032-221100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T2200Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC
742 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES WILL PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT...BRINGING
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 9 INCHES. SNOWFALL WILL BE
INTENSE AT TIMES THIS EVENING...PRODUCING VISIBILITIES LESS THAN
ONE QUARTER MILE.

LATE TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY...AS THIS STORM SYSTEM
DEPARTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO
4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ041-042-220300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T0300Z/
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLADWIN...STANDISH
742 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING...WITH TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ015-221000-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-090222T1000Z/
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE
742 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

OCCASIONAL HEAVY SNOW WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF EASTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN TONIGHT...WITH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 2
TO 5 INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

JZ
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 220304
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1004 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...HEAVY SNOW CONTINUING TO IMPACT NORTHERN MICHIGAN...

.LOW PRESSURE NEAR CLARE WILL TRACK JUST NORTH OF SAGINAW BAY
TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING OCCASIONAL HEAVY SNOW
AND LOW VISIBILITIES TO MUCH OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN LATE THIS
EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND
IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH THE DAY
SUNDAY.

MIZ041-042-220415-
/O.EXP.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T0300Z/
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLADWIN...STANDISH
1004 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT...WITH ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS LESS THAN AN INCH.

$$

MIZ016>019-021>024-027>030-033>036-221000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T1000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-
ALPENA-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-
IOSCO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...KALKASKA...
GRAYLING...MIO...HARRISVILLE...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE...
WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY
1004 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES BY SUNDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL WILL
BE INTENSE AT TIMES LATE THIS EVENING...PRODUCING VISIBILITIES
LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031-032-221200-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T2200Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC
1004 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL PERSIST TONIGHT...THOUGH NOT AS HEAVY AS EARLIER IN THE
DAY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES.

ON SUNDAY...AS THIS STORM SYSTEM DEPARTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY.
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS...ESPECIALLY IF FALLING AT A
RAPID RATE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ015-221000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-090222T1000Z/
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE
1004 PM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN TONIGHT...
WITH TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES BY
SUNDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

JZ
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 220857
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
357 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS NOW...

.COLD AIR FLOWING OVER LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN WILL ALLOW
MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO PILE UP ACROSS THE GRAND TRAVERSE
BAY REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL BE A BIT
GUSTY...RESULTING IN AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WHICH WILL
WORSEN VISIBILITIES AT TIMES AND CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS.

THE STORM SYSTEM THAT PRODUCED THE MODERATE TO HEAVY SYSTEM SNOW
IS EXITING OVER LAKE HURON. THE SNOW INTENSITY HAS STEADILY FALLEN
OFF OVERNIGHT...AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING.

MIZ021-027-033-222300-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0015.090222T0900Z-090223T1100Z/
ANTRIM-KALKASKA-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCELONA...KALKASKA...LAKE CITY
357 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 6 INCHES WILL
ACCUMULATE BY MONDAY MORNING. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL HELP
REDUCE VISIBILITIES AT TIMES...CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$

MIZ016>019-022>024-028>030-034>036-221000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090222T1000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-
CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
CHARLEVOIX...GAYLORD...ATLANTA...ALPENA...GRAYLING...MIO...
HARRISVILLE...HOUGHTON LAKE...WEST BRANCH...TAWAS CITY
357 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

THE MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS THE REGION.
SPORADIC LIGHT SNOW AND PATCHY BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO WANE
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THEREFORE...THE WINTER STORM
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

$$

MIZ015-221000-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-090222T1000Z/
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE
357 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

THE LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS THE REGION.
SPORADIC LIGHT SNOW AND PATCHY BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO WANE
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THEREFORE...THE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL DEVELOP LATER TODAY ACROSS FAR WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY...AND WILL ACCUMULATE TO AS MUCH AS 2
INCHES.

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031-032-222300-
/O.EXT.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090223T1100Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC
357 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY
THIS MORNING...THEN CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL
ACCUMULATE 4 TO 8 INCHES BY MONDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION...AREAS
OF BLOWING SNOW WILL FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO AS LOW AS A
QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES...RESULTING IN VERY HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. BE PREPARED FOR RAPID REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME
CAUTION.

$$

SD
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 221615
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1115 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.COLD AIR FLOWING OVER LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN WILL PRODUCE
PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE GRAND TRAVERSE
BAY REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST
WILL PRODUCE SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WHICH WILL
WORSEN VISIBILITIES AT TIMES AND CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS.


MIZ020-025-026-031-032-222300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090223T1100Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC
1115 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL IMPACT THE GRAND
TRAVERSE BAY AREA SOUTH TO MANISTEE AND CADILLAC...THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT. OVERALL NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TODAY AND TONIGHT
WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES. HOWEVER...LOCALIZED AMOUNTS IN
EXCESS OF A FOOT ARE POSSIBLE. 

IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE
SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND FURTHER
REDUCE VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. VERY
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING. HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS AND LOW VISIBILITIES WILL
MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ021-027-033-222300-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-090223T1100Z/
ANTRIM-KALKASKA-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCELONA...KALKASKA...LAKE CITY
1115 AM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

OCCASIONAL HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. OVERALL NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES. 

IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE
SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AND FURTHER
REDUCE VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS...CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$

ADAM
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 222049
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
349 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.COLD AIR FLOWING OVER LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN WILL PRODUCE
PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE GRAND
TRAVERSE BAY REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTH TO
NORTHWEST WILL PRODUCE SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
THIS EVENING WHICH WILL WORSEN VISIBILITIES AT TIMES AND CREATE
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

MIZ020-025-026-031-032-230500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090223T1100Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC
349 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL IMPACT THE GRAND
TRAVERSE BAY AREA SOUTH TO MANISTEE AND CADILLAC THROUGH TONIGHT.
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FROM TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 5
TO 9 INCHES. HOWEVER...LOCALIZED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF A FOOT ARE
POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE
SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THROUGH THIS EVENING AND
FURTHER REDUCE VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.
VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING. HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS AND LOW VISIBILITIES
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME
CAUTION.

$$

MIZ021-027-033-230500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-090223T1100Z/
ANTRIM-KALKASKA-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCELONA...KALKASKA...LAKE CITY
349 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

OCCASIONAL HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THIS EVENING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FROM TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL
RANGE FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES.

IN ADDITION...GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE
SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THIS EVENING AND FURTHER
REDUCE VISIBILITIES IN OPEN AREAS...CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$

ADAM
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 230326
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1026 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW TONIGHT...

.COLD AIR FLOWING OVER LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN WILL PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS IN NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN 
TONIGHT. 

MIZ020-025-026-031-032-231100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090223T1100Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC
1026 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

PERIODS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL IMPACT THE GRAND
TRAVERSE BAY AREA SOUTH TO MANISTEE AND CADILLAC THROUGH TONIGHT.
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FROM TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 3
TO 8 INCHES. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING. HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS AND LOW VISIBILITIES
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME
CAUTION.

$$

MIZ021-027-033-231100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-090223T1100Z/
ANTRIM-KALKASKA-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCELONA...KALKASKA...LAKE CITY
1026 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

OCCASIONAL HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG AN AXIS FROM KEWADIN...TO KALKASKA...TO
EAST OF LAKE CITY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FROM TODAY AND TONIGHT
WILL RANGE FROM 3 TO 7 INCHES.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$

JZ
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 230451
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1151 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW TONIGHT...

.COLD AIR FLOWING OVER LAKES SUPERIOR AND MICHIGAN WILL PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS IN NORTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN TONIGHT.

MIZ025-031-231100-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090223T1100Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-090223T1100Z/
BENZIE-MANISTEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...MANISTEE
1151 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE AT TIMES TONIGHT...WITH
TOTAL NIGHTTIME ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES. BLUSTERY NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL RESULT IN SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$

MIZ021-027-231100-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-090223T1100Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090223T1100Z/
ANTRIM-KALKASKA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCELONA...KALKASKA
1151 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM
EST MONDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ALONG AN AXIS FROM KEWADIN...TO KALKASKA...TO SHARON. TOTAL
NIGHTTIME ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE AS HIGH AS 6 TO 8 INCHES ALONG
THAT AXIS. IN ADDITION...BLUSTER NORTHWEST WINDS WILL RESULT IN
SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS SEVERE
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE
EXTREME CAUTION.

$$

MIZ020-026-032-231100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090223T1100Z/
LEELANAU-GRAND TRAVERSE-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...TRAVERSE CITY...CADILLAC
1151 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY. 

PERIODS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL IMPACT THE GRAND
TRAVERSE BAY AREA SOUTH TO CADILLAC THROUGH TONIGHT. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS FROM SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 7
INCHES. IN ADDITION...BLUSTERY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL RESULT IN SOME
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING. HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS AND LOW VISIBILITIES
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...USE EXTREME
CAUTION.

$$

MIZ033-231100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-090223T1100Z/
MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE CITY
1151 PM EST SUN FEB 22 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
MONDAY. 

OCCASIONAL HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT IN
MISSAUKEE COUNTY. TOTAL NIGHTTIME ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2
TO 6 INCHES.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

$$

JZ
000 
WWUS43 KAPX 230920
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
420 AM EST MON FEB 23 2009

...SNOW SHOWERS WANING THROUGH THE DAY...

MIZ020-021-026-027-032-231030-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-090223T1100Z/
LEELANAU-ANTRIM-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-WEXFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...CADILLAC
420 AM EST MON FEB 23 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS REORGANIZED AND INTENSIFIED OVERNIGHT...AND
WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN BRIEFLY REDUCED POOR VISIBILITIES
ACROSS LEELANAU AND GRAND TRAVERSE COUNTIES THROUGH DAYBREAK.
HOWEVER...HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.

$$

MIZ025-031-033-231030-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-090223T1100Z/
BENZIE-MANISTEE-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...MANISTEE...LAKE CITY
420 AM EST MON FEB 23 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS PRIMARILY IMPACTED AREAS TO THE NORTH AND EAST
LAST NIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH DAYBREAK...AND MAY
EVEN RESULT IN A VERY BRIEF PERIOD OF SHARPLY REDUCED
VISIBILITIES. HOWEVER...MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE NO LONGER
EXPECTED.

$$

SD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 20, 3:50 PM EST, 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 20, 3:50 PM EST, 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
350 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2009

.SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 350 PM/

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL SHIFT EAST INTO THE GREAT
LAKES TONIGHT. THIS SCENARIO WILL BRING A GRADUAL END TO LINGERING
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING...WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRY
WEATHER THEN EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY SATURDAY AND TRACK INTO
SOUTHERN MICHIGAN...RETURNING THE THREAT FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW TO
NORTHERN MICHIGAN FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND. A RENEWED SURGE
OF COLD AIR AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL FOLLOW TO ROUND OUT
THE WEEKEND...BEFORE DRY WEATHER AGAIN RETURNS EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
THE APPROACH OF HIGH PRESSURE.

KAS

&&

.SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 350 PM/...TONIGHT

SFC RIDGE AXIS JUST UPSTREAM STRETCHING ACROSS WISCONSIN THIS
AFTERNOON...SLOWLY MAKING PROGRESS INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES.
NONETHELESS...WITH H8 TEMPS RUNNING AROUND -15C AND A STEADY NW FLOW
OFF THE LAKES...FAIRLY WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF LIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS CONTINUES OVER A PORTION OF NRN LOWER MICHIGAN...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE GRAND TRAVERSE BAY/KALKASKA/MISSAUKEE COUNTY AREA WITH A
FLOW TRAJECTORY CONNECTED BACK TO LAKE SUPERIOR. SOME DOWNWIND
DIURNAL EXPANSION TO THE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS TRANSPIRED THIS
AFTERNOON. BUT DRIER LOW LEVEL AIR SITUATED OVER THE NRN/ERN PART OF
THE CWA HAS LIMITED CLOUD COVER LET ALONE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY FOR
THOSE AREAS WITH QUITE A BIT OF SUNSHINE DOMINATING.

TONIGHT...SFC RIDGE AXIS EXPECTED TO SLIDE OVERHEAD WHILE MEAN LOW
LEVEL NW FLOW FINALLY WEAKENS AND BACKS BY MID EVENING. WILL
PROBABLY TAKE UNTIL THAT TIME TO FINALLY GET RID OF THE REMAINING
LAKE EFFECT CONVECTION AND HAVE THUS STRETCHED HIGHER (LIKELY) POPS
INTO THE MID EVENING TIMEFRAME BEFORE ENDING. ONLY MINIMAL
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ANTICIPATED.

ELSEWHERE...CLR TO PTCLDY SKIES OVER THE NRN/ERN PORTION OF THE CWA
FOR THE EVENING FOLLOWED BY INCREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH THE
APPROACH OF TOMORROWS HEADLINE SNOW MAKER.

ADAM

&&

.LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 350 PM/...SATURDAY AND BEYOND

FORECAST FOCUS FOR THE LONG TERM LIES SQUARELY WITH EVENTUAL IMPACTS
OF VIGOROUS NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE DIVING INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHERN HEMISPHERIC WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...
OVERLAID WITH RUC INITIATION AND 12Z UPPER AIR ANALYSIS...SHOWS THE
POTENCY OF THIS SYSTEM WITH TIGHT COMPACT SIGNATURE AND 110+ KNOT
250MB JET DIVING IN JUST BEHIND IT. NO SURPRISE GIVEN ITS APPEARANCE
THAT OVERALL THEME OF NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A QUICKER NEGATIVE
TILT/CLOSING OFF OF THE MID LEVELS...AND A SUBSEQUENT FARTHER NORTH
PASSAGE COMPARED TO JUST 24 HOURS AGO. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AND
NORTHWARD PLACEMENT OF BEST DYNAMICS REMAIN A FORMIDABLE CHALLENGE
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...WOW...WHAT A DIFFERENCE A DAY MAKES.
YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME IT LOOKED AS IF THE AFOREMENTIONED CLIPPER
SYSTEM WOULD PASS HARMLESSLY TO OUR SOUTH...JUST BRINGING SOME
NUISANCE LIGHT SNOW TO THE NORTHWOODS. LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
AND MODEL GUIDANCE TELL A VASTLY DIFFERENT STORY...WITH A RAPIDLY
DEEPENING MID LEVEL WAVE (NOT SO EXPLOSIVE AT THE SURFACE WITH LACK
OF STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE) CUTTING RIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL MICHIGAN
SATURDAY...REACHING GEORGIAN BAY BY SUNDAY MORNING. THIS PLACES MUCH
OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN DIRECTLY IN THE CROSS HAIRS OF HEAVY SNOW.
PLENTY GOING FOR THIS SYSTEM TO LAY DOWN A PATH OF SIGNIFICANT SNOW
(MAYBE EVEN MORE IMPORTANTLY...EXTREMELY HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES)
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY EVENING AS DEEPENING SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH
NORTHWARD SURGING WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE TAP. COUPLE THIS
WITH STRONG DPVA PASSAGE...DEEP LAYER OMEGA PEGGED IN FAVORABLE DGZ
(FAVORING HIGH SLR...ON THE ORDER OF 20 TO 1)...AND STRONG
SUGGESTION OF ENHANCED CONVECTIVE BANDING STRUCTURES ALONG LEADING
EDGE OF DRY SLOT PUNCHING INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MICHIGAN...SUPPORTS
POTENTIAL OF VERY HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES...EASILY ON THE ORDER OF AN
INCH TO TWO PER HOUR. CROSS SECTIONAL ANALYSIS INDICATES HEAVIEST
SNOW WILL FALL ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM ALPENA
TO HOUGHTON LAKE (UPWARDS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES BY LATE SATURDAY
EVENING). IN ADDITION...SOLID LAKE ENHANCEMENT POTENTIAL EXISTS NEAR
THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE WITH MAINTENANCE OF -10C OR COOLER 850MB
TEMPERATURES OVER CENTRAL LAKE HURON AS WINDS BACK EASTERLY AHEAD OF
APPROACHING SYSTEM. THUS...COULD EASILY SEE SOME FAVORED LOCATIONS
IN ALCONA AND IOSCO COUNTIES APPROACHING A FOOT. SNOW INTENSITY WILL
GRADUALLY TAPER OFF FARTHER NORTH AND WEST...BUT STILL WITH SEVERAL
INCHES EXPECTED UP TO THE STRAITS. EASTERN UPPER APPEARS TOO FAR
REMOVED FROM BEST DYNAMICS TO SEE APPRECIABLE SNOW. NOW...THAT
SAID...FGEN AND DEFORMATION PROCESSES (ALTHOUGH STRONG FGEN APPEARS
LACKING IN THIS CASE) SEEM TO SET UP FARTHER NORTH AND WEST THAN
MODELS DISPLAY. IF THIS OCCURS...COULD EASILY SEE WARNING CRITERIA
SNOW UP THROUGH THE M-32 CORRIDOR. SYSTEM SNOW TAPERS OFF LATER
SATURDAY NIGHT...ONLY TO BE REPLACED BY NNW LAKE ENHANCEMENT...
TARGETING THE GRAND TRAVERSE BAY REGION FOR ADDITIONAL OVERNIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS. DID NOT GO TO OVERBOARD WITH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FOR
THIS REGION...WITH FORECAST RAOBS SUGGESTING MINIMAL OMEGA THROUGH
THE COLUMN. DO FEEL THIS IS UNDERDONE...BUT GIVEN COMPLEXITY FROM
COMING EVENT...WILL LET FUTURE SHIFTS ADJUST SNOW AMOUNTS UPWARD AS
NECESSARY.

AS FOR HEADLINES...HATE TO DO IT WITH NO WATCH IN EFFECT...BUT GIVEN
OVERWHELMING 12Z SUPPORT...WILL PULL THE TRIGGER ON A WINTER STORM
WARNING ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM ALPENA TO
HOUGHTON LAKE...WITH WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES WILL RUN FROM
12Z SATURDAY THROUGH 03Z SUNDAY. BASED OFF SYSTEM SPEED/ONSET OF
NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN LES...COULD SEE THE NEED FOR SOME EXTENSIONS
...BUT FIGURE THIS IS A GOOD STARTING POINT.

SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...NNW FLOW LAKE SNOWS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS PERIOD WITH MAINTENANCE OF PLENTIFUL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
AND 850MB TEMPERATURES AVERAGING IN THE NEGATIVE UPPER TEENS
CELSIUS. SIMPLY USING MODEL SOUNDINGS...WHICH SHOW INVERSIONS
REMAINING AT 850MB OR LESS THROUGH THE DURATION...SUGGEST ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE HELD IN CHECK. HOWEVER...AS JUST EXPERIENCED
LAST NIGHT...WITH MOISTURE UP THROUGH FAVORABLE DGZ...INVERSION
HEIGHTS CAN BE SEVERELY OVERRATED. ONCE AGAIN...GIVEN BREVITY OF
TIME...DID NOT MAKE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO INHERITED GRIDS...WHICH
FEATURED OVERALL GIST OF FORECAST. MUCH LIKE SATURDAY NIGHT...
HOWEVER...COULD EVENTUALLY SEE THE NEED TO UP THE SNOW AMOUNTS
THROUGH THIS PERIOD...WITH SOME POTENTIAL HEADLINES IN FAVORED
LOCATIONS.

LATER PERIODS (MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...TIMING AND MAGNITUDE OF
SHORTWAVES DURING RAPID TRANSITION TO WHAT BECOMES ESSENTIALLY ZONAL
FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN CONUS REMAINS PROBLEMATIC AT BEST THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. AFTER SOME VERY LIGHT LINGERING LAKE SNOWS
MONDAY...STILL LOOKING LIKE WE CAN SQUEEZE OUT AT LEAST A FEW DRY
PERIODS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS MID LEVEL AND SURFACE RIDGE AXIS
CRESTS THE REGION. BEYOND THAT...YOUR GUESS IS AS GOOD AS MINE WITH
VERY PROGRESSIVE FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE NORTHERN CONUS. GIVEN
INHERENT TIMING ISSUES OF ANY WAVE...HAVE TAKEN THE SIMPLE WAY OUT
(IS USUALLY THE CASE AT THIS TIME FRAME) AND SIDED WITH HPC
GUIDANCE...FEATURING CHANCE POPS TUESDAY NIGHT ALL THE WAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH GRIDS WILL FEATURE ALL SNOW MENTION THROUGH THE
PERIOD...DEGREE OF WARMING IN QUESTION OWNING TO EXACT PASSAGE OF
VARIOUS WAVES...WITH SOME POTENTIAL OF A WINTRY MIX AT ANY TIME
THROUGH THIS PERIOD (ESPECIALLY IF THE 12Z GFS HAS ITS WAY).

MSB

&&

.AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 231 PM/...VALID FOR 18Z TAFS

LAKE SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NW LOWER MICHIGAN WILL CONTINUE TO DWINDLE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...IMPACTING JUST THE TVC TAF SITE WITH
BKN MAINLY VFR CIGS AND SLIGHTLY REDUCED VSBYS THROUGH 00Z.
MEANWHILE...DRIER AIR BLEEDING INTO THE TIP OF THE MITT COUNTIES AND
NE LOWER MICHIGAN WILL RESULT IN SCT VFR CLOUDS AT PLN/APN.

VFR CONDITIONS PERSIST AT THE TERMINAL SITES THROUGH TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...A RATHER STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO SPIN
UP OVER THE PLAINS TONIGHT AND ROLL THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN SATURDAY.
THIS STORM WILL BRING A RAPID DETERIORATION TO CONDITIONS AT ALL 3
TERMINAL SITES SATURDAY MORNING WITH SNOW AND IFR CONDITIONS
DEVELOPING BETWEEN 14Z AND 16Z.

ADAM

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
MIZ016>023-025>028-031>033.

WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY FOR MIZ024-
029-030-034>036-041-042.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 20, 11:04 AM EST, 5 hours 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1104 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2009

MIZ008-015>036-041-042-211300-
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-
ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-
IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC-
1104 AM EST FRI FEB 20 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL TAKE SHAPE IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS
TONIGHT...THEN LIFT INTO LOWER MICHIGAN SATURDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL
OVERSPREAD NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN SATURDAY AND CONTINUE INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT. LIGHT TO MODERATE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED BY SUNDAY MORNING.

ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

ADAM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 20, 6:14 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryAPXAntrim, Crawford, Kalkaska, Otsego5 hr
Feb 20, 4:12 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPXAntrim, Benzie, Cheboygan, Crawford, Emmet, Grand Traverse and 8 more16 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2009Every winter storm warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.