Gale Warning 16, NWS Gaylord, MI

152 
WHUS73 KAPX 300901
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
501 AM EDT FRI OCT 30 2009

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-301715-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-091031T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0016.091031T0000Z-091101T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
501 AM EDT FRI OCT 30 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT SATURDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

232 
WHUS73 KAPX 301459
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1059 AM EDT FRI OCT 30 2009

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-302100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-091031T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0016.091031T0000Z-091101T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1059 AM EDT FRI OCT 30 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

340 
WHUS73 KAPX 301955
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
355 PM EDT FRI OCT 30 2009

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-310400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-091031T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0016.091031T0000Z-091101T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
355 PM EDT FRI OCT 30 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
EDT SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

544 
WHUS73 KAPX 310211
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1011 PM EDT FRI OCT 30 2009

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-311015-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091101T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1011 PM EDT FRI OCT 30 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

791 
WHUS73 KAPX 310840
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
440 AM EDT SAT OCT 31 2009

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-311645-
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091031T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
440 AM EDT SAT OCT 31 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

640 
WHUS73 KAPX 311440
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1040 AM EDT SAT OCT 31 2009

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-312100-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091031T2100Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1040 AM EDT SAT OCT 31 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING
IN THESE CONDITIONS.

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ADAM

635 
WHUS73 KAPX 312013
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
413 PM EDT SAT OCT 31 2009

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-010400-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091031T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0077.091031T2013Z-091101T0900Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
413 PM EDT SAT OCT 31 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ345>349-LSZ321-322-010300-
/O.EXT.KAPX.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091101T0300Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
413 PM EDT SAT OCT 31 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

941 
WHUS73 KAPX 010227
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1027 PM EDT SAT OCT 31 2009

LHZ345>349-LSZ321-322-010900-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-091101T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0077.000000T0000Z-091101T0900Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1027 PM EDT SAT OCT 31 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-010900-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0077.000000T0000Z-091101T0900Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1027 PM EDT SAT OCT 31 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY. 

PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
445 AM EDT FRI OCT 30 2009

.SYNOPSIS.../ISSUED AT 404 AM/

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL DEEPEN AND APPROACH THE
GREAT LAKES TODAY. THIS WILL BRING ANOTHER PERIOD OF SOAKING RAIN TO
THE REGION TODAY AND INTO SATURDAY. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY...ESPECIALLY
AT THE COASTS. WE WILL GET A LITTLE RESPITE FROM THE RAIN ON
SUNDAY...BEFORE THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES EARLY NEXT WEEK.

BERGER

&&

.SHORT TERM.../ISSUED AT 404 AM/...TODAY

ON THE LATEST SURFACE WEATHER MAP...993 MB LOW PRESSURE WAS
CENTERED ACROSS THE EASTERN NEBRASKA AND WESTERN IOWA BORDER WITH
1027 MB HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. APX AND
SURROUNDING RADARS SHOWED A LARGE SHIELD OF RAIN EXTENDING ACROSS
MUCH OF MICHIGAN SOUTH AND WESTWARD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND
EASTERN PLAINS. THE MAIN SHORT TERM FORECAST CONCERN IS WINDS
TODAY.

LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN
TODAY WHILE MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST. MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT RICH GULF MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO THE
REGION. THEREFORE...PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE (100
POP). AS THE SURFACE OCCLUDED FRONT APPROACHES LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR
TWO. HIGHS TODAY OF WELL INTO THE 50S TO THE LOWER 60S.

SULLIVAN

&&

.LONG TERM.../ISSUED AT 404 AM/...TONIGHT AND BEYOND

TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE WILL BOMB
OUT ACROSS EAST CENTRAL CANADA (ECMWF HAS AN ASTOUNDING 958 MB AT
00Z SUN ACROSS NORTHWEST QUEBEC). RAIN WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST
THIS EVENING WITH WRAP AROUND MOISTURE SKIMMING THE REGION AFTER
MIDNIGHT. IT WILL TURN COLD ENOUGH FOR LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS AS
WELL LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY IN WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW FAVORED
AREAS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S. TEMPERATURES NOT GOING UP
MUCH SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE 40S TO AROUND 50. WINDS
WILL BE GUSTY AS WELL AS COLD ADVECTION KICKS IN THIS EVENING AND
CONTINUES INTO SATURDAY. WINDS WILL BE ON THE GUSTY SIDE.

SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...POSSIBLY SOME LINGERING LAKE EFFECT
RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN CHIPPEWA COUNTY...OTHERWISE SHORT
WAVE RIDGING TAKES OVER LEADING TO PARTIAL CLEARING. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S WITH HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 40S.

MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL BRING A GOOD
CHANCE OF RAIN MONDAY. A QUICK SHOT OF CHILLY AIR WILL THEN LEAD
TO A CHANCE OF LAKE EFFECT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS FOR MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY (ESPECIALLY IN NORTHWEST FLOW FAVORED LOCALS). HIGHS
IN THE MIDDLE 40S TO AROUND 50 MONDAY AND LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S
TUESDAY.

SULLIVAN

&&

.MARINE.../ISSUED AT 404 AM/

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PLAIN INTO CENTRAL
CANADA OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE GUSTY
TODAY BUT GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST BELOW GALE FORCE.
WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO INCREASE THIS EVENING AND BE STRONG AND
VERY GUSTY INTO SATURDAY...REACHING GALE FORCE AT TIMES (AS WE MIX
DOWN 35 TO 40 KNOT 950 MB WINDS). WINDS WILL THEN DIMINISH SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

&&

.AVIATION.../ISSUED AT 230 AM/...VALID FOR 06Z TAFS

LOW PRESSURE WILL LIFT NORTH FROM OMAHA...ACROSS MN...AND INTO
NORTHERN ONTARIO. ALL TAFS SITES WILL HAVE LLWS EARLY THIS
MORNING...AS THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN QUITE
STABLE. SUSTAINED RAINFALL WILL ARRIVE AT ALL TAF SITES AS WELL...
TAKING TIL ALMOST DAWN AT APN. SUSTAINED RAIN WILL LAST FOR SEVERAL
HOURS BEFORE DIMINISHING FOR A TIME ON FRIDAY. FLIGHT CATEGORIES
WILL VARY QUITE A BIT. TVC... MAINLY MVFR...AT TIMES IFR DURING
PERIOD OF BEST RAINFALL...MOST LIKELY NEAR DAYBREAK (TVC) OR A BIT
AFTER (APN). PLN/APN...MAINLY IFR. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AT
TVC/PLN FRIDAY EVENING AS A COLD FRONT SWEEPS THRU.

JZ

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR LMZ323-341-
     342-344>346.
     GALE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
     LMZ323-341-342-344>346.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR LHZ345>349.
     GALE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
     LHZ345>349.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR LSZ321-322.
     GALE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
     LSZ321-322.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1007 PM EDT THU OCT 29 2009

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-042-
301200-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT-
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY-
SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG-
SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-PT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT-
MANISTEE TO PT BETSIE-WHITEFISH BAY-ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
1007 PM EDT THU OCT 29 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT IN PARTS OF NORTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN. THESE STORMS WILL NOT BE SEVERE. HOWEVER...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT...MAINLY IN NORTHWEST LOWER
MICHIGAN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY...HOWEVER...THE STORMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND
EVENTUALLY SWEEPS ACROSS THE REGION. GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

JZ