Severe Thunderstorm Warning 95, NWS Amarillo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
343 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH EVIDENT ON THE LATEST WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. THIS FEATURE COMBINED WITH
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA SPARKED A COMPLEX OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS
PARTS OF THE PANHANDLES. WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY PUSHING OFF TO
THE EAST...WENT AHEAD AND CANCELLED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR
THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AROUND 230 PM.

UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK OFF TO THE EAST..
NORTHEAST DURING THE EVENING HOURS. WOULDNT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND MOVE INTO THE PANHANDLES...SO WILL LEAVE
SLIGHT END POPS DURING OVERNIGHT PERIOD. FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOOKS TO
MAKE ANOTHER PUSH TOWARDS THE PANHANDLES TONIGHT AND SHOULD BE
DRAPED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE BY 12Z TOMORROW. IF THE
BOUNDARY GETS BACK THROUGH HERE...TEMPERATURES TOMORROW MAY BE
COOLER THAN ADVERTISED MAV NUMBERS. THINK THIS SCENARIO IS PLAUSIBLE
SO SHAVED A FEW DEGREES OFF THE MAV NUMBERS ACROSS THE BOARD. WINDS
SHOULD REGAIN AN UPSLOPE COMPONENT LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 50S. WILL RETAIN THE
SLIGHT END POPS FOR THURSDAY NIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

FRIDAY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST...MEDIUM TO LONG RANGE
RUNS OF THE GFS/EUROPEAN REMAIN IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE
UPPER AIR PATTERN. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE SITUATED OVER THE
WESTERN UNITED STATES WITH DOWNSTREAM RIDGING TO THE EAST. THIS WILL
PUT THE PANHANDLES IN A PERSISTENT WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...
WITH SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES TRACKING ACROSS THE AREA. SURFACE
TROUGH/DRYLINE MAY GET ACTIVE AS WELL DURING THIS TIME FRAME...WHICH
COULD FURTHER PROVIDE A FOCUS SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.
ON GOING FORECAST WITH LATE EVENING/NIGHT TIME POPS FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY SEEM REASONABLE FOR NOW. HOWEVER...WHEN DETAILS OF FINER
MESOSCALE FEATURES BECOME MORE EVIDENT...ADDITIONAL POPS MAY BE
NEEDED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS INTO THE WEEKEND...BUT WILL KEEP
THEM NON MENTIONABLE FOR NOW.

WITH CONTINUED SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES TO BEGIN
TO CLIMB BACK TO OR ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS FRIDAY THROUGH THE EARLY
PART OF NEXT WEEK. LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S SEEM PLAUSIBLE BY MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. 12Z MEX NUMBERS AND CURRENT FORECAST COVER THIS PRETTY WELL
SO NOTHING MORE THAN MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO TEMPS DURING THE
EXTENDED.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES MAY FALL BETWEEN 15 AND 20 PERCENT
ACROSS THE WESTERN PANHANDLES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...RECENT
RAINFALL...MARGINAL WINDS...AND ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                57  87  58  88  60 /  20   5  20  10  20
BEAVER OK                  55  83  60  84  59 /  20  10  20  10  20
BOISE CITY OK              52  83  54  82  56 /  20   5  20  10  20
BORGER TX                  60  88  62  88  63 /  20   5  20  10  20
BOYS RANCH TX              55  88  57  88  59 /  20   5  20  10  20
CANYON TX                  57  87  57  89  60 /  20   5  20  10  20
CLARENDON TX               60  89  61  90  63 /  20  10  20  10  20
DALHART TX                 54  85  54  85  56 /  20   5  20  10  20
GUYMON OK                  55  85  59  85  59 /  20   5  20  10  20
HEREFORD TX                57  87  57  89  59 /  20   5  20  10  20
LIPSCOMB TX                56  84  60  84  61 /  20  10  20  10  20
PAMPA TX                   57  86  60  86  62 /  20  10  20  10  20
SHAMROCK TX                61  89  61  90  64 /  20  10  20  10  20
WELLINGTON TX              62  90  62  91  65 /  20  10  20  10  20

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

15/10

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
241 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-111100-
ARMSTRONG-BEAVER-CARSON-CIMARRON-COLLINGSWORTH-DALLAM-DEAF SMITH-
DONLEY-GRAY-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-HEMPHILL-HUTCHINSON-LIPSCOMB-MOORE-
OCHILTREE-OLDHAM-POTTER-RANDALL-ROBERTS-SHERMAN-TEXAS-WHEELER-
241 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES THROUGH TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY GET STRONG AND
POSSIBLY SEVERE WITH HAIL AND STRONG WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREATS.
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AREAWIDE DURING THE NIGHTTIME HOURS
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A FEW OF THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP DURING ANY
OF THESE PERIODS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH THE PRIMARY
THREATS BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS WILL WANT TO
KEEP ALERT FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION AT TIMES THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK.

GOEHRING

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>